Buffalo at Nebraska - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 11th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Nebraska -13.5 (54.0)
Nebraska 28 - Buffalo: 3

Bulls (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEB 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -12.5 (SP+ NEB -20)
Projected Score: BUFF: 23 - NEB: 28 (51)
NEB Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
BUFF Travel: 932 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cornhuskers (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (14 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
NEB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Buffalo vs Wagner	-44.0	54.5	W 69 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Buffalo at Nebraska	+13.5	54.0	L 3 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/18	Buffalo vs Coastal Carolina	+14.0	58.0	L 25 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Buffalo at Old Dominion	-13.0	50.5	W 35 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/2	Buffalo vs Western Michigan	+7.0	59.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Buffalo at Kent State	+7.0	66.0	L 38 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/16	Buffalo vs Ohio	-7.5	54.5	W 27 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/23	Buffalo at Akron	-13.5	58.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-13.5	51.5	L 44 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/9	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+7.0	58.0	L 18 - 45	O	N
Wed 11/17	Buffalo vs Northern Illinois	+2.0	59.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Tue 11/23	Buffalo at Ball State	+6.0	59.5	L 3 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Nebraska's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	Nebraska at Illinois	-6.5	52.0	L 22 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/4	Nebraska vs Fordham	-42.0	55.0	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Nebraska vs Buffalo	-13.5	54.0	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Nebraska at Oklahoma	+22.5	62.5	L 16 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Nebraska at Michigan State	+3.5	55.0	L 20 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-11.0	51.5	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Nebraska vs Michigan	+2.5	50.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/16	Nebraska at Minnesota	-4.5	48.5	L 23 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Nebraska vs Purdue	-7.5	54.0	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/6	Nebraska vs Ohio State	+14.0	68.5	L 17 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Nebraska vs SE Louisiana	-28.5
Sat 11/20	Nebraska at Wisconsin	+10.0	43.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Fri 11/26	Nebraska vs Iowa	-1.5	41.0	L 21 - 28	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	.37	49%	24	49%	3.52	288	50%	191	4.79	.11	40%	23.5	41%	39%	3.15	52.7	0.9	1.4
NEB	.18	47%	28.7	50%	3.01	201	44%	188	3.3	.19	42%	24.6	41%	43%	3.75	60.6	2.3	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	7	24	23.2	49.4%	4.79	0.9	22	478	288	191	6.7	64%	36%	49%	50%	9%	.37
NEB Defense	8	24.6	20.9	42.2%	3.75	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	41%	43%	17%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	7	23.5	22.6	39.7%	3.15	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	41%	39%	16%	.11
NEB Offense	8	28.7	36.1	47.3%	3.3	2.3	21	389	201	188	4.8	58%	42%	50%	44%	18%	.18

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	7	30:33	22	48%	54%	6	52.7	0.9	1.4	5.3	2.9	1	29.5
Nebraska	8	28:25	21.3	36%	62%	6.8	60.6	2.3	0.9	6.6	1.6	0	24.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	7	64%	49%	43	287.9	6.7	32	.37	3.52	80%	4%	1.27
NEB Defense	8	55%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.73	58%	12%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	7	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.06	3.25	70%	10%	0.75
NEB Offense	8	58%	50%	41.8	201.4	4.8	15	.2	3.01	82%	13%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	7	36%	50%	13.9	22.3	190.6	8.6	13.8	7	4	.37	1.4	27%	37%	.5	5%	1.8
NEB Defense	8	45%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.27	1.5	30%	34%	.35	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	7	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.16	1.6	30%	21%	.08	7%	2.2
NEB Offense	8	42%	44%	19.4	28.5	188	6.6	9.7	5	9	.16	1.3	27%	25%	.24	5%	2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2021 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #104
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #90
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: Nebraska: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -9.5 Nebraska: 10.3

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
Nebraska's Offense Rating: NR
Nebraska's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nebraska's 2021 Expected Record: -
Nebraska's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #33
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #27

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Nebraska 28
Buffalo 23

Projected Total Points: 51

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/11	Nebraska	28	Buffalo	3	Nebraska -13.5	Nebraska	54.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nebraska	1	1	0 Overs
Buffalo	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) BUFF at (#) NEB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	NEB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#35
Perf GradeGrade	#96	#93
OffenseOff	#99	#78
DefenseDef	#72	#83
Spec TeamsST	#89	#63
TalentTal	#124	#25
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Buffalo Injury Report

Nebraska Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	NEB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#99	#83
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#27
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#70	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#80

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#115	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#95	#68
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nebraska on Offense


CategoryCat	NEB Off	BUFF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#78	#72
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nebraska Run Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#88	#27
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#16

Nebraska Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#58	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#132	#8
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Nebraska -13.5 (54.0)
Nebraska won vs Buffalo this year (28-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Joe Cauthen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEB's OC Matt Lubick (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Erik Chinander (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD