Buffalo at Central Michigan - 2022 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Central Michigan Chippewas  Central Michigan logo
Wednesday, November 9th 2022 (7:00 PM EST)
Central Michigan -3 (54.0)
Central Michigan 31 - Buffalo: 27  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -0  (SP+ BUFF -5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 22 - CMU: 25 (47)
CMU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BUFF Travel: 304 miles
Chippewas (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jim McElwain (20 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (30 - 15 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Buffalo at Maryland+24.066.0L 10 - 31UY
Sat 9/10 Buffalo vs Holy Cross-6.051.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 9/17 Buffalo at Coastal Carolina+12.060.0L 26 - 38OY
Sat 9/24 Buffalo at Eastern Michigan+6.557.5W 50 - 31OY
Sat 10/1 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-3.050.0W 24 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 Buffalo at Bowling Green-2.055.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/15 Buffalo at Massachusetts-17.047.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/22 Buffalo vs Toledo+7.056.0W 34 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Buffalo at Ohio-2.561.0L 24 - 45ON
Wed 11/9 Buffalo at Central Michigan+3.054.0L 27 - 31ON
Sat 11/19 Buffalo vs Akron-14.043.5
Sat 11/26 Buffalo vs Kent State-4.551.0L 27 - 30ON
Fri 12/2 Buffalo vs Akron-12.055.0W 23 - 22UN
Tue 12/27 Buffalo vs Georgia Southern+6.067.0W 23 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Central Michigan's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Central Michigan at Oklahoma State+20.558.0L 44 - 58OY
Sat 9/10 Central Michigan vs South Alabama-6.057.5L 24 - 38ON
Sat 9/17 Central Michigan vs Bucknell-41.059.0W 41 - 0UN
Sat 9/24 Central Michigan at Penn State+28.061.5L 14 - 33UY
Sat 10/1 Central Michigan at Toledo+6.556.0L 17 - 38UN
Sat 10/8 Central Michigan vs Ball State-7.563.0L 16 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 Central Michigan at Akron-12.060.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 10/22 Central Michigan vs Bowling Green-5.551.0L 18 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2 Central Michigan at Northern Illinois+4.554.0W 35 - 22OY
Wed 11/9 Central Michigan vs Buffalo-3.054.0W 31 - 27OY
Wed 11/16 Central Michigan vs Western Michigan-10.049.0L 10 - 12UN
Fri 11/25 Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan+1.053.5L 19 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1843%2445%3.1619642%2153.82.3144%23.545%43%3.67521.61.3
CMU.2444%22.544%3.1417944%2653.65.1941%23.543%40%3.9655.81.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense122423.243.2%3.821.6244101962154.456%43%45%42%14%.18
CMU Defense1323.515.241.3%3.961.2 - - - - - 48%52%43%40%22%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1223.522.643.9%3.671.3 - - - - - 56%43%45%43%19%.31
CMU Offense1322.530.443.7%3.651.1234451792654.552%47%44%44%16%.24

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1231:3523.847%58%5.4521.61.37.33.1026
Central Michigan1331:0323.137%59%6.355.81.11.27.52.8331.7
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1256%45%44.9195.54.430.163.1683%9%0.91
CMU Defense1348%43% - - - - .132.8471%14%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1256%45% - - - - .323.1772%14%1.37
CMU Offense1352%44%40179.24.518.143.1478%10%1

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1243%42%18.230.6214.9711.81211.261.528%31%.35%1.9
CMU Defense1352%40% - - - - - - 5.281.634%28%.187%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 3.371.832%39%.595%2.1
CMU Offense1347%44%2134.5265.47.712.63110.411.735%32%.356%2.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2  #98
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #79
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #104

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Central Michigan: -4.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -9.2   Central Michigan: -14.0




Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -4.5 NR
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Central Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Central Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0  #112
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0  #102
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #92

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Central Michigan 25
Buffalo 22

Projected Total Points: 47
Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Central Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/12Central Michigan38Buffalo19Central Michigan -2.5Central Michigan44.5Over
202310/07Buffalo37Central Michigan13Central Michigan -2.5Buffalo51.5Under
202211/09Central Michigan31Buffalo27Central Michigan -3Central Michigan54.0Over
201910/26Buffalo43Central Michigan20Buffalo -1.5Buffalo46.5Over
201810/06Central Michigan24Buffalo34Buffalo -6.5Buffalo52.0Over
201510/17Central Michigan51Buffalo14Central Michigan -7Central Michigan55.5Over
201410/25Buffalo14Central Michigan20Central Michigan -1.5Central Michigan0
200910/03Buffalo13Central Michigan20
200809/27Central Michigan27Buffalo25
200611/24Buffalo28Central Michigan55
200411/13Buffalo36Central Michigan6
200109/29Buffalo8Central Michigan16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Central Michigan845 Overs
Buffalo431 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 55 - 24 - 01 - 2
Road Teams5 - 72 - 52 - 10 - 4

(#) BUFF at (#) CMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFCMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #112
Perf GradeGrade #99 #89
OffenseOff #107 #108
DefenseDef #60 #37
Spec TeamsST #115 #9
TalentTal #117 #114
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffCMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #107 #37
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #92
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffCMU Def
Run GameRun #119 #26
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #119 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #48
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffCMU Def
Pass GamePass #102 #73
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #100 #24
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Central Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatCMU OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #108 #60
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #102 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Central Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
CMU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRun #93 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #65 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #96
Central Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatCMU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePass #108 #77
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #113 #60
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Central Michigan -3.0 (54.0)
Central Michigan won vs Buffalo this year (31-27)

Previous Matchups
Central Michigan beat Buffalo last year (38-19)
Buffalo beat Central Michigan in 2023 (37-13)

  
BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CMU's OC Paul Petrino (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Robb Akey (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD