Ohio Bobcats at Buffalo Bulls
Friday, November 28th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
UB Stadium - Amherst, NY (Mid-American)
Bobcats (1 - 2) (2 - 0 - 1)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 27 (20 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 27 (20 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
BUFF 2nd straight Home Game
OHIO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -3.5 (SP+ OHIO -0.5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 23 - BUFF: 27 (50)
BUFF Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
OHIO Travel: 307 miles
OHIO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -3.5 (SP+ OHIO -0.5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 23 - BUFF: 27 (50)
BUFF Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
OHIO Travel: 307 miles
Bulls (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (45 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (45 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
| Ohio's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Ohio at Rutgers | +11.5 | 46.5 | L 31 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Ohio vs West Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 17 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Ohio at Ohio State | +28.0 | 49.0 | L 9 - 37 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Ohio vs Gardner-Webb | -17.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/27 | Ohio vs Bowling Green | -8 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Ohio at Ball State | -13.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Ohio vs Northern Illinois | -3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Ohio at Eastern Michigan | -10 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/4 | Ohio vs Miami (OH) | -9 | |||||
| Tue 11/11 | Ohio at Western Michigan | -9 | |||||
| Tue 11/18 | Ohio vs Massachusetts | -20.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/28 | Ohio at Buffalo | +3.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Buffalo's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Buffalo at Minnesota | +16.5 | 45.5 | L 10 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA) | -37.0 | 48.0 | W 45 - 6 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Buffalo at Kent State | -23.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Buffalo vs Troy | -6.0 | 42.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Buffalo vs UConn | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan | -16 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Buffalo at Massachusetts | -16.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Buffalo vs Akron | -17 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Buffalo at Bowling Green | -4 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/12 | Buffalo at Central Michigan | -14.5 | |||||
| Wed 11/19 | Buffalo vs Miami (OH) | -10 | |||||
| Fri 11/28 | Buffalo vs Ohio | -3.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | #115 (.07) | 36% (122) | 19 | 31% (128) | 2.72 (95) | 150 | 41% (88) | 200 | 3.14 (113) | #103 (.2) | 46% (112) | 27 | 42% (86) | 50% (120) | 2.42 (32) | 43.3 | 1 | 1 |
| BUFF | #73 (.19) | 41% (91) | 28.7 | 45% (62) | 3.02 (67) | 186 | 35% (113) | 186 | 4.58 (43) | #79 (.15) | 40% (74) | 19 | 34% (32) | 46% (105) | 2.3 (27) | 38.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | #40 (.24) | 46% (30) | 47% (35) | 3.1 (52) | 214 | 45% (35) | 193 | 4.15 (47) | #23 (.1) | 37% (10) | 34% (3) | 40% (57) | 3.79 (68) | 44.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | ||
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO Offense | 3 | 19 | 20 | 35.6% | 3.14 | 1 | 19 | 350 | 150 | 200 | 4 | 51% | 48% | 31% | 41% | 16% | .07 |
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 19 | 6 | 40.2% | 2.3 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 34% | 46% | 12% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO Defense | 3 | 27 | 35.5 | 46.2% | 2.42 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 42% | 50% | 13% | .2 |
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 28.7 | 45 | 40.8% | 4.58 | 1.3 | 21 | 372 | 186 | 186 | 4.8 | 60% | 39% | 45% | 35% | 11% | .19 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio | 3 | 31:55 | 19 | 33% | 57% | 6.3 | 43.3 | 1 | 1 | 4.7 | 2 | 0 | 26.1 |
| Buffalo | 3 | 27:09 | 21.3 | 43% | 50% | 3.7 | 38.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 6.7 | 3 | 0 | 32.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO Offense | 3 | 51% (64) | 31% (128) | 37.3 | 150.3 | 4 | 2 (109) | - (109) | 2.72 (95) | 67% (86) | 9% (78) | 1.09 (44) |
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 47% (53) | 34% (32) | - | - | - | - | -.1 (20) | 2.93 (84) | 75% (80) | 7% (117) | 0.65 (9) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO Defense | 3 | 49% (58) | 42% (86) | - | - | - | - | .07 (69) | 2.7 (61) | 67% (53) | 8% (105) | 1.03 (86) |
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 60% (18) | 45% (62) | 38.7 | 185.7 | 4.8 | 6 (49) | .17 (55) | 3.02 (67) | 83% (28) | 6% (23) | 0.97 (65) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO Offense | 3 | 48% (76) | 41% (88) | 17.7 | 27.7 | 199.7 | 7.2 | 11.3 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .24 (76) | 1.4 (108) | 37% (122) | 29% (88) | .2 (99) | 7% (111) | 1.7 (110) |
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 53% (87) | 46% (105) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .38 (113) | 1.6 (90) | 34% (57) | 32% (85) | .27 (71) | 6% (76) | 1.6 (23) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO Defense | 3 | 51% (81) | 50% (120) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .33 (107) | 1.4 (46) | 28% (118) | 34% (102) | .25 (64) | 5% (88) | 1.6 (28) |
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 39% (120) | 35% (113) | 17 | 27.3 | 186 | 6.8 | 10.9 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .28 (72) | 1.6 (48) | 29% (56) | 30% (81) | .25 (87) | 5% (63) | 1.4 (126) |
Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -6.90 #98
Ohio's Offense Rating: 4.59 #109
Ohio's Defense Rating: 11.49 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 574.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0 #87
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #87
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Ohio's Power Rating: -6.90 #98
Ohio's Offense Rating: 4.59 #109
Ohio's Defense Rating: 11.49 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 574.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0 #87
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #87
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -6.90 Buffalo: -2.33
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -5.0 Buffalo: -5.5
Ohio: -6.90 Buffalo: -2.33
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -5.0 Buffalo: -5.5
Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Buffalo's Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5
Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 1
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5
Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 1
Projected Score
Buffalo 27
Ohio 23
Total Points: 50
Buffalo 27
Ohio 23
Total Points: 50
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 6
Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 6
Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Ohio | 47 | Buffalo | 16 | Ohio | Ohio -4.0 | Ohio | 46.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/07 | Buffalo | 10 | Ohio | 20 | Ohio | Ohio -9.5 | Ohio | 45.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/01 | Ohio | 45 | Buffalo | 24 | Ohio | Buffalo -2.5 | Ohio | 61.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/16 | Buffalo | 27 | Ohio | 26 | Buffalo | Buffalo -7.5 | Ohio | 54.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/05 | Buffalo | 20 | Ohio | 21 | Ohio | Ohio -3 | Buffalo | 53.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/14 | Ohio | 52 | Buffalo | 17 | Ohio | Ohio -2.5 | Ohio | 66.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/24 | Buffalo | 31 | Ohio | 24 | Buffalo | Ohio -7 | Buffalo | 56.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/03 | Ohio | 34 | Buffalo | 10 | Ohio | Ohio -19 | Ohio | 51.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/24 | Buffalo | 41 | Ohio | 17 | Buffalo | Ohio -2 | Buffalo | 53.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/05 | Ohio | 37 | Buffalo | 14 | Ohio | Ohio -2 | Ohio | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/05 | Buffalo | 30 | Ohio | 3 | Buffalo | Buffalo -2.5 | Buffalo | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/06 | Ohio | 38 | Buffalo | 31 | Ohio | ||||
| 2011 | 10/08 | Buffalo | 38 | Ohio | 37 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2010 | 11/04 | Ohio | 34 | Buffalo | 17 | Ohio | ||||
| 2009 | 11/10 | Buffalo | 24 | Ohio | 27 | Ohio | ||||
| 2008 | 10/28 | Ohio | 19 | Buffalo | 32 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2007 | 10/06 | Buffalo | 31 | Ohio | 10 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2006 | 10/21 | Ohio | 42 | Buffalo | 7 | Ohio | ||||
| 2005 | 10/29 | Buffalo | 20 | Ohio | 34 | Ohio | ||||
| 2004 | 09/25 | Ohio | 34 | Buffalo | 0 | Ohio | ||||
| 2003 | 10/25 | Buffalo | 26 | Ohio | 17 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2002 | 09/28 | Ohio | 34 | Buffalo | 32 | Ohio | ||||
| 2001 | 11/03 | Buffalo | 44 | Ohio | 0 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | Ohio | 42 | Buffalo | 20 | Ohio |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 9 | 4 | 4 Overs |
| Ohio | 15 | 7 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 19 - 5 | 9 - 2 | 5 - 1 | 4 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 19 | 2 - 9 | 1 - 4 | 1 - 5 |
(#98) Ohio Info
Power Rating: -6.90 #98
Offense Rating: 4.59 #109
Defense Rating: 11.49 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 574.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 2.42 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Ohio has lost 9 straight
Ohio has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 0 - 1 vs Spread )
Ohio Notes
(8/29) Navarro great vs Gers, but Pass Def torched
(8/28) RB S Bangura - 2k career yds (TR Back, inj LY)
(7/27) WR rebuild, Hendricks good LY, have some depth
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
(5/5) Def OK LY, returns good prod. 8 portal adds
(5/5) HC Smith was OC/PGC for past 3 years
(5/5) LY HC Albin left Ohio for Charlotte? Bad sign
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, OK LY. Have depth
Ohio Highlights
Ohio is Undefeated vs Spread
Ohio defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio has a really bad Offense
Ohio offense is really bad (#122)
Ohio offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Ohio run game is really bad (#128)
Ohio offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Ohio has a bad defense (#112)
Power Rating: -6.90 #98
Offense Rating: 4.59 #109
Defense Rating: 11.49 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 574.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 2.42 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Ohio has lost 9 straight
Ohio has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 0 - 1 vs Spread )
Ohio Notes
(8/29) Navarro great vs Gers, but Pass Def torched
(8/28) RB S Bangura - 2k career yds (TR Back, inj LY)
(7/27) WR rebuild, Hendricks good LY, have some depth
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
(5/5) Def OK LY, returns good prod. 8 portal adds
(5/5) HC Smith was OC/PGC for past 3 years
(5/5) LY HC Albin left Ohio for Charlotte? Bad sign
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, OK LY. Have depth
Ohio Highlights
Ohio is Undefeated vs Spread
Ohio defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio has a really bad Offense
Ohio offense is really bad (#122)
Ohio offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Ohio run game is really bad (#128)
Ohio offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Ohio has a bad defense (#112)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BUFF | OHIO |
| OverallOver | #44 | #97 |
| OffenseOff | #43 | #90 |
| DefenseDef | #60 | #98 |
| Special TeamsST | #32 | #62 |
| PassingPass | #67 | #85 |
| RushingRush | #71 | #78 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #19 | #107 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #30 | #87 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #69 | #43 |
| TacklingTkl | #33 | #42 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #41 | #70 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #38 | #77 |
| Coverage DefCov | #88 | #113 |
(#89) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has lost 8 straight
Buffalo has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo is Undefeated at Home
Buffalo is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)
Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has lost 8 straight
Buffalo has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo is Undefeated at Home
Buffalo is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)
Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Navarro | 49 | 75 | 65% | 580 | 5 | 3 | 7.7 |
| Nick Poulos | 4 | 8 | 50% | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Navarro | 32 | 183 | 1 | 5.7 | 28 |
| Sieh Bangura (Tr) | 48 | 176 | 1 | 3.7 | 24 |
| Duncan Brune | 24 | 70 | 0 | 2.9 | 8 |
| Nick Poulos | 6 | 13 | 0 | 2.2 | 11 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Hendricks | 20 | 312 | 2 | 15.6 | 67 |
| Max Rodarte | 6 | 87 | 0 | 14.5 | 24 |
| Eian Pugh | 4 | 51 | 0 | 12.8 | 25 |
| Jake Bruno | 4 | 48 | 2 | 12.0 | 16 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adonis Williams Jr. | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Molnar | 20 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| DJ Walker | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Fries | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anas Luqman (Tr) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Molnar | 20 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Nehemiah Dukes (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jay Crable | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Fries | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Tank Pearson | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jay Crable | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr) | 50 | 80 | 63% | 558 | 5 | 2 | 7.0 |
| Gunnar Gray | 1 | 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jay Henderson | 50 | 198 | 3 | 4.0 | 38 |
| Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr) | 28 | 158 | 2 | 5.6 | 40 |
| James McNeil Jr. | 10 | 66 | 1 | 6.6 | 26 |
| Lamar Sperling | 13 | 50 | 0 | 3.8 | 7 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Snow | 11 | 168 | 3 | 15.3 | 40 |
| Nik McMillan | 10 | 148 | 1 | 14.8 | 38 |
| Chance Morrow | 6 | 99 | 1 | 16.5 | 26 |
| Al-Jay Henderson | 10 | 80 | 0 | 8.0 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Murdock | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Miles Greer (Tr) | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dion Crawford | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Solomon Brown | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saveon Brown | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Khalil Murdock | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobe Stewart | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Junior Poyser | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saveon Brown | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Solomon Brown | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jalen McNair | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |