Akron at Buffalo - 2025 Matchup Preview
Akron logo   Akron Zips at Buffalo Bulls  Buffalo logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (1:00 PM EDT)
Buffalo -10 (48.5) (-395)  Open: -10.0
Akron 24 - Buffalo: 16  (Mid-American)

 
Zips (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (8 - 28)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
AKR 2nd straight Road Game
AKR is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -9.5  (SP+ BUFF -6)
Projected Score: AKR: 20 - BUFF: 29 (49)
BUFF Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
AKR Travel: 193 miles
Bulls (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Pete Lembo (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
 
Akron's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Akron vs Wyoming+8.549.5L 0 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Akron at Nebraska+34.047.5L 0 - 68ON
Sat 9/13 Akron at UAB+12.558.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Akron vs Duquesne-10.551.0W 51 - 7OY
Sat 9/27 Akron at Toledo+21.550.5L 3 - 45UN
Sat 10/4 Akron vs Central Michigan+7.047.5W 28 - 22OY
Sat 10/11 Akron vs Miami (OH)+11.547.5L 7 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 Akron at Ball State-2.544.5L 28 - 42ON
Sat 10/25 Akron at Buffalo+10.048.5W 24 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Akron vs Massachusetts-12.551.5W 44 - 10OY
Tue 11/11 Akron vs Kent State-7.549.5L 35 - 42ON
Tue 11/18 Akron at Bowling Green+2.547.5W 19 - 16UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Buffalo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Buffalo at Minnesota+16.545.5L 10 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA)-37.048.0W 45 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Buffalo at Kent State-23.548.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 Buffalo vs Troy-5.543.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 9/27 Buffalo vs UConn+3.051.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 10/4 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-9.553.5W 31 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Buffalo at Massachusetts-16.547.5W 28 - 21ON
Sat 10/25 Buffalo vs Akron-10.048.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 11/1 Buffalo at Bowling Green+2.544.5W 28 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Buffalo at Central Michigan+2.544.5L 19 - 38ON
Wed 11/19 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)+2.538.5L 20 - 37ON
Fri 11/28 Buffalo vs Ohio+7.044.5L 26 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)22.344% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)27.441% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)2438% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)23.543% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense1222.31738.8%3.261.7183331012333.540%59%44%36%17%.07
BUFF Defense1323.524.142.8%3.841.5 - - - - - 46%53%43%43%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense1227.436.344.6%4.190.8 - - - - - 54%45%41%49%14%.21
BUFF Offense132424.639.6%4.221173291531764.255%45%38%42%17%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron1228:3317.936%31%6.348.71.70.851.5226.4
Buffalo1326:2017.234%52%439.311.56.32.2231.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense1240% (124)44% (64)28.5100.53.511 (116).03 (114)2.82 (103)78% (34)10% (77)0.91 (93)
BUFF Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .08 (47)3.01 (68)63% (16)12% (35)0.94 (45)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense1254% (111)41% (55) - - - - .1 (57)2.95 (58)65% (24)9% (95)0.98 (66)
BUFF Offense1355% (36)38% (115)36.2153.34.223 (52).08 (96)2.7 (117)61% (122)10% (84)1.11 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense1259% (13)36% (118)19.535232.56.611.916 (87)10 (63).12 (118)1.6 (54)35% (121)25% (120).07 (133)7% (91)2.1 (36)
BUFF Defense1353% (109)43% (97) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (91)1.7 (97)32% (58)29% (40).18 (18)7% (38)2.2 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense1245% (23)49% (126) - - - - - - 3 (132).37 (122)1.5 (45)28% (120)36% (121).45 (114)5% (90)2.1 (71)
BUFF Offense1345% (99)42% (70)14.225.2175.8712.419 (65)6 (10).29 (47)1.5 (80)33% (97)31% (75).34 (66)6% (89)1.9 (106)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -16.31  #123
Akron's Offense Rating: 3.83  #122
Akron's Defense Rating: 20.14  #111
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Akron's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Akron's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9  #117
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2  #123
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -16.31   Buffalo: -5.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.9   Buffalo: -7.5




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -5.635  #95
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 4.27  #121
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 13.04  #63
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5  #95
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2  #118
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #70

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Akron's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 29
Akron 20

Projected Total Points: 49
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Buffalo16Akron24Buffalo -10Akron48.5Under
202411/02Akron30Buffalo41Akron -1Buffalo49.0Over
202309/30Akron10Buffalo13Akron -3Buffalo53.0Under
202212/02Buffalo23Akron22Buffalo -12.0Akron55.0Under
202110/23Akron10Buffalo45Buffalo -13.5Buffalo58.5Under
202012/12Buffalo56Akron7Buffalo -33.5Buffalo58.5Over
201910/19Akron0Buffalo21Buffalo -17.5Buffalo48.0Under
201810/13Buffalo24Akron6Buffalo -12Buffalo55.0Under
201710/28Akron21Buffalo20Buffalo -3Akron49.5Under
201610/27Buffalo41Akron20Akron -14.5Buffalo63.0Under
201511/21Akron42Buffalo21Akron -2.5Akron45.0Over
201411/11Buffalo55Akron24Akron -2.5Buffalo0
201111/19Buffalo51Akron10
201011/26Akron22Buffalo14
200910/17Buffalo21Akron17
200811/13Akron40Buffalo43
200710/27Buffalo26Akron10
200611/09Akron31Buffalo16
200510/08Buffalo7Akron13
200410/09Akron44Buffalo21
200309/27Buffalo21Akron38
200111/17Buffalo14Akron41
200011/10Akron49Buffalo14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo1383 Overs
Akron1048 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 96 - 63 - 43 - 2
Road Teams9 - 146 - 62 - 34 - 3

(#123) AKR at (#95) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAKRBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #123 #95
SP+SP+ #117 #95
Perf GradeGrade #91 #58
OffenseOff #90 #80
DefenseDef #59 #36
Spec TeamsST #102 #23
TalentTal #122 #109
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #101
Akron Notes
(11/4) Killed UMass, over 430 yds, Def played well
(10/31) Coming off only bye into Nov & last 3 MAC gms
(10/31) QB Ben Finley & RB Jordan Grant can play, OL Avg
(10/31) Could get to 6-6? UMass, Kent, BG to finish
(10/4) QB Finley missed Toledo game, ? for CMU game
(9/24) QB Finley playing better but this Off is terrible
(8/28) Offense somehow worse than anticipated, woof
(8/21) This is not an FBS roster. Bad team
(8/21) No bowl, no real bye, end on Nov 18th
(7/27) WR A Adams was leader WR in '23, injury probs
(5/29) QB Finley & WRs + DBs are only real assets
(5/29) RB awful LY. Limited options, 1 FCS portal add?
Akron Injury Report
Buffalo Notes
(11/20) Hard L vs M-OH. QB Roberson great, 3 TO's cost
(10/31) Avg OL/DL, QB Roberson OK but good mobility
(10/31) WR Snow best MAC weapon, RB Henderson good
(10/31) Bulls look like frauds, 4 W's vs truly awful teams
(10/31) Same staff, but regressing badly vs #135 SOS?
(9/20) Could have lost to Kent. Allowed 420+? Yikes
(9/20) Blew 17-0 4th Q lead vs Troy at home? Bad loss
(9/20) Off really bad, Def shockingly avg at best.
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
Buffalo Injury Report
Akron on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
AKR OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #90 #36
SuccessSuc #114 #82
ExplosiveExp #66 #97
PPAPPA #122 #72
PowerPwr #122 #63
SP+SP+ #123 #70
Pts POPPO #120 #74
HavocHav #85 #33
Akron Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
AKR OffBUFF Def
Run GameRun #112 #42
Run SuccessRSuc #64 #71
Run ExplRExp #93 #45
PPAExp #114 #47
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #103 #68
Stuff RateStuff #100 #64
TackleTak -  #13
Akron Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
AKR OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePass #63 #87
Pass SuccessPSuc #118 #97
Pass ExplPExl #54 #97
PPAExp #118 #91
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #119 #19
F7 HavocF7 #77 #35
DB HavocDB #91 #38
Buffalo on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatBUFF OffAKR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #59
SuccessSuc #104 #101
ExplosiveExp #41 #54
PPAPPA #77 #91
PowerPwr #121 #111
SP+SP+ #118 #87
Pts POPPO #41 #108
HavocHav #91 #96
Buffalo Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
BUFF OffAKR Def
Run GameRun #111 #64
Run SuccessRSuc #115 #55
Run ExplRExp #17 #66
PPAExp #96 #57
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLY #117 #58
Stuff RateStuff #96 #37
TackleTak -  #55
Buffalo Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatBUFF OffAKR Def
Pass GamePass #116 #87
Pass SuccessPSuc #70 #126
Pass ExplPExl #80 #45
PPAExp #47 #122
Pass Block/RushP Blk #58 #49
F7 HavocF7 #84 #95
DB HavocDB #89 #90
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Buffalo -10.0 (48.5)
Akron won at Buffalo this year (24-16)

Previous Matchups
Akron beat Buffalo last year (24-16)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2024 (41-30)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2023 (13-10)

  
AKR's OC Taylor Housewright (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley18636251%24751996.8
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)122352%62102.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Gant (Tr)213103264.836
Sean Patrick6927414.025
Ben Finley6913021.940
Marquese Williams218604.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcel Williams (Tr)45641214.246
Israel Polk33525815.975
Kyan Mason33481514.662
Myles Walker20209010.524

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shammond Cooper665111
Gage Summers547210
DiMarco Johnson531003
Malcom DeWalt IV513018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julien Laventure4511460
Bruno Dall448466
Cyrus Durham (Tr)329470
Ronald Hull203320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcom DeWalt IV513018
Bruno Dall448466
Elijah Reed442104

BUFF's OC Dave Patenaude (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)20635658%252017127.1
Gunnar Gray295355%228224.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al-Jay Henderson18275564.141
Terrance Shelton Jr.5724414.320
Lamar Sperling3923416.063
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)8312531.540
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nik McMillan61975316.055
Victor Snow62815813.175
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)36410311.439
Al-Jay Henderson2518117.222

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Joe Bowen (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock14214511
Dion Crawford795431
Miles Greer (Tr)743313
Mitchell Gonser (Tr)706120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock14214511
Malin White559440
Junior Poyser305420
Dion Crawford795431
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobi Blackwell200007
Solomon Brown560005
Keontez Bradley (Tr)280004