Akron at Buffalo - 2025 Matchup Preview
Akron logo Akron Zips at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
UB Stadium - Amherst, NY  (Akron 8th straight game)

 
Zips (0 - 3) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (8 - 28)
Avg Score : 9 - 36 (14 - 50 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#121)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
AKR 2nd straight Road Game
AKR is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -17   (SP+ BUFF -19)

Projected Score: AKR: 18 - BUFF: 35 (52)
BUFF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
AKR Travel: 193 miles
Bulls (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (45 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Akron's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Akron vs Wyoming+8.549.5L 0 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Akron at Nebraska+34.047.5L 0 - 68ON
Sat 9/13 Akron at UAB+12.558.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Akron vs Duquesne-4
Sat 9/27 Akron at Toledo+30
Sat 10/4 Akron vs Central Michigan-5
Sat 10/11 Akron vs Miami (OH)+4.5
Sat 10/18 Akron at Ball State-0.5
Sat 10/25 Akron at Buffalo+17
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Akron vs Massachusetts-7
Tue 11/11 Akron vs Kent State-3
Tue 11/18 Akron at Bowling Green+10.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Buffalo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Buffalo at Minnesota+16.545.5L 10 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA)-37.048.0W 45 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Buffalo at Kent State-23.548.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 Buffalo vs Troy-6.042.5
Sat 9/27 Buffalo vs UConn+6
Sat 10/4 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-16
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Buffalo at Massachusetts-16.5
Sat 10/25 Buffalo vs Akron-17
Sat 11/1 Buffalo at Bowling Green-4
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Buffalo at Central Michigan-14.5
Wed 11/19 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-10
Fri 11/28 Buffalo vs Ohio-3.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#136 (-.24)27% (135)9.341% (88)2.39 (117)12019% (136)161-0.25 (136)#64 (.12)43% (88)36.343% (89)42% (87)2.56 (37)27.70.31
BUFF#73 (.19)41% (91)28.745% (62)3.02 (67)18635% (113)1864.58 (43)#79 (.15)40% (74)1934% (32)46% (105)2.3 (27)38.71.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)44% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)41% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense39.31427%-0.250.3162811201613.438%61%41%19%12%-.24
BUFF Defense319640.2%2.31 - - - - - 47%53%34%46%12%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense336.349.542.6%2.561 - - - - - 52%48%43%42%17%.12
BUFF Offense328.74540.8%4.581.3213721861864.860%39%45%35%11%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron328:5015.722%50%3.727.70.314.30.7026.4
Buffalo327:0921.343%50%3.738.71.316.73032.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense338% (127)41% (88)35.7120.33.41 (127)-.06 (123)2.39 (117)50% (124)4% (6)0.77 (119)
BUFF Defense347% (53)34% (32) - - - - -.1 (20)2.93 (84)75% (80)7% (117)0.65 (9)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense352% (90)43% (89) - - - - -.04 (37)3.22 (112)42% (9)8% (99)0.89 (57)
BUFF Offense360% (18)45% (62)38.7185.74.86 (49).17 (55)3.02 (67)83% (28)6% (23)0.97 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense361% (10)19% (136)14.7321615112 (102)1 (23)-.28 (136)1.5 (84)39% (127)11% (135)-.18 (135)7% (117)1.3 (130)
BUFF Defense353% (87)46% (105) - - - - - - 1 (87).38 (113)1.6 (90)34% (57)32% (85).27 (71)6% (76)1.6 (23)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense348% (52)42% (87) - - - - - - 2 (56).29 (96)1.5 (55)25% (128)26% (45).3 (77)9% (14)1.8 (44)
BUFF Offense339% (120)35% (113)1727.31866.810.95 (54)3 (92).28 (72)1.6 (48)29% (56)30% (81).25 (87)5% (63)1.4 (126)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -14.56 #115
Akron's Offense Rating: 0.02 #131
Akron's Defense Rating: 14.58 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Akron's 2025 Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3
Akron's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.1 #135
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.7 #134
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #126

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -14.56   Buffalo: -2.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -24.1   Buffalo: -5.5




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Akron Scoring
Offense: 9.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 49.5

Akron's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 35
Akron 18


Total Points: 52

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 6

Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Akron30Buffalo41BuffaloAkron -1Buffalo49.0Over
202309/30Akron10Buffalo13BuffaloAkron -3Buffalo53.0Under
202212/02Buffalo23Akron22BuffaloBuffalo -12.0Akron55.0Under
202110/23Akron10Buffalo45BuffaloBuffalo -13.5Buffalo58.5Under
202012/12Buffalo56Akron7BuffaloBuffalo -33.5Buffalo58.5Over
201910/19Akron0Buffalo21BuffaloBuffalo -17.5Buffalo48.0Under
201810/13Buffalo24Akron6BuffaloBuffalo -12Buffalo55.0Under
201710/28Akron21Buffalo20AkronBuffalo -3Akron49.5Under
201610/27Buffalo41Akron20BuffaloAkron -14.5Buffalo63.0Under
201511/21Akron42Buffalo21AkronAkron -2.5Akron45.0Over
201411/11Buffalo55Akron24BuffaloAkron -2.5Buffalo0
201111/19Buffalo51Akron10Buffalo
201011/26Akron22Buffalo14Akron
200910/17Buffalo21Akron17Buffalo
200811/13Akron40Buffalo43Buffalo
200710/27Buffalo26Akron10Buffalo
200611/09Akron31Buffalo16Akron
200510/08Buffalo7Akron13Akron
200410/09Akron44Buffalo21Akron
200309/27Buffalo21Akron38Akron
200111/17Buffalo14Akron41Akron
200011/10Akron49Buffalo14Akron
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo1383 Overs
Akron937 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 86 - 53 - 33 - 2
Road Teams8 - 145 - 62 - 33 - 3

(#115) Akron Info
Power Rating: -14.56 #115
Offense Rating: 0.02 #131
Defense Rating: 14.58 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.1 #135
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.7 #134
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #126
Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 38%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 27%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position -0.25 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 19%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 2.56 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Akron has lost 8 straight
Akron has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Akron Notes
(8/21) This is not an FBS roster. Bad team
(8/21) No bowl, no real bye, end on Nov 18th
(7/27) WR A Adams was leader WR in '23, injury probs
(5/29) QB Finley & WRs + DBs are only real assets
(5/29) RB awful LY. Limited options, 1 FCS portal add?
(5/29) WR complete rebuild, 4 portals. TE Newell good
(5/29) OL poor LY, 2/5 back. 4 meh portals (2 FCS).
(5/29) Def improved LY but lost most. Only 6 portals?
(5/6) Ineligible for bowl due to APR below 914
(3/26) QB Finley back, JAG. Depth looks v light

Akron Highlights
Akron Secondary is very good (#14)
Akron has a great TO Margin (#11)
Akron commits very few Penalties (#16)

Akron Deficiencies
Akron has a really bad Offense
Akron Can Not Run the Ball (#105)
Akron offense is really bad (#135)
Akron offense is not Explosive (#119)
Akron Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#111)
Akron offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#136)
Akron pass game is really bad (#136)
Akron offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Akron Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Akron does not Sack the QB (#122)
Akron has a bad defensive line (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBUFFAKR
OverallOver#44#96
OffenseOff#43#95
DefenseDef#60#84
Special TeamsST#32#112
PassingPass#67#50
RushingRush#71#91
Run BlockRBLK#19#69
Pass BlockPBLK#30#59
Route RunningWR Rt#69#106
TacklingTkl#33#81
Run DefenseR Def#41#78
Pass Rush DefPRush#38#104
Coverage DefCov#88#82

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Akron last year (41-30)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2023 (13-10)
Akron beat Buffalo in 2022 (0-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AKR | BUFF
Depth Chart: AKR | BUFF
Rosters: AKR | BUFF
(#89) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Buffalo has lost 4 straight
Buffalo has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though

Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo is Undefeated at Home
Buffalo is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)

Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)

Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)


  
Akron's OC Taylor Housewright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley429445%475215.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)22100%8004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Patrick3617114.825
Jordan Gant (Tr)2511704.716
Marquese Williams125404.514
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)131501.217
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Israel Polk6112218.775
Myles Walker689014.824
Kyan Mason562012.432
Sean Patrick555011.018

View Akron's Full Roster
Akron's DC Tim Tibesar
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shammond Cooper161000
DiMarco Johnson150001
Alex Branch142021
Malcom DeWalt IV122003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bruno Dall63212
Cyrus Durham (Tr)62110
Shammond Cooper161000
Jon'Trell Mixon41000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcom DeWalt IV122003
Bruno Dall63212
Alex Branch142021

Buffalo's OC Dave Patenaude
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)508063%558527.0
Gunnar Gray1250%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al-Jay Henderson5019834.038
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)2815825.640
James McNeil Jr.106616.626
Lamar Sperling135003.87
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Snow11168315.340
Nik McMillan10148114.838
Chance Morrow699116.526
Al-Jay Henderson108008.022

View Buffalo's Full Roster
Buffalo's DC Joe Bowen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock323100
Miles Greer (Tr)221001
Dion Crawford200010
Solomon Brown180002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Saveon Brown133222
Khalil Murdock323100
Kobe Stewart62120
Junior Poyser41110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Saveon Brown133222
Solomon Brown180002
Jalen McNair151012