Akron at Buffalo - 2025 Matchup Preview
Akron logo Akron Zips at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
UB Stadium - Amherst, NY  (Akron 8th straight game)

 
Zips (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (8 - 28)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (17 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
AKR 2nd straight Road Game
AKR is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -14.5   (SP+ BUFF -12)
Projected Score: AKR: 20 - BUFF: 35 (53)
BUFF Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
AKR Travel: 193 miles
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#35)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
 
Akron's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Akron vs Wyoming+9.50.0
Sat 9/6 Akron at Nebraska+33
Sat 9/13 Akron at UAB+7.5
Sat 9/20 Akron vs Duquesne-4
Sat 9/27 Akron at Toledo+20.5
Sat 10/4 Akron vs Central Michigan+3
Sat 10/11 Akron vs Miami (OH)+5.5
Sat 10/18 Akron at Ball State-0.5
Sat 10/25 Akron at Buffalo+14.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Akron vs Massachusetts-5.5
Tue 11/11 Akron vs Kent State-9.5
Tue 11/18 Akron at Bowling Green+8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Buffalo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Buffalo at Minnesota+18.00.0
Sat 9/6 Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA)-16
Sat 9/13 Buffalo at Kent State-16
Sat 9/20 Buffalo vs Troy+0.5
Sat 9/27 Buffalo vs UConn+1
Sat 10/4 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Buffalo at Massachusetts-12.5
Sat 10/25 Buffalo vs Akron-14.5
Sat 11/1 Buffalo at Bowling Green-3.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Buffalo at Central Michigan-3.5
Wed 11/19 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-6.5
Fri 11/28 Buffalo vs Ohio+1

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)20.444% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)3241% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)28.838% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)26.443% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense1220.416.938.8%3.261.7183331012333.540%59%44%36%17%.07
BUFF Defense1326.422.342.8%3.841.5 - - - - - 46%53%43%43%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense123237.344.6%4.190.8 - - - - - 54%45%41%49%14%.21
BUFF Offense1328.838.239.6%4.221173291531764.255%45%38%42%17%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron1228:3317.936%31%6.348.71.70.851.5226.4
Buffalo1326:2017.234%52%439.311.56.32.2231.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense1240% (124)44% (64)28.5100.53.511 (116).03 (114)2.82 (103)78% (34)10% (77)0.91 (93)
BUFF Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .08 (47)3.01 (68)63% (16)12% (35)0.94 (45)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense1254% (111)41% (55) - - - - .1 (57)2.95 (58)65% (24)9% (95)0.98 (66)
BUFF Offense1355% (36)38% (115)36.2153.34.223 (52).08 (96)2.7 (117)61% (122)10% (84)1.11 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense1259% (13)36% (118)19.535232.56.611.916 (87)10 (63).12 (118)1.6 (54)35% (121)25% (120).07 (133)7% (91)2.1 (36)
BUFF Defense1353% (109)43% (97) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (91)1.7 (97)32% (58)29% (40).18 (18)7% (38)2.2 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense1245% (23)49% (126) - - - - - - 3 (132).37 (122)1.5 (45)28% (120)36% (121).45 (114)5% (90)2.1 (71)
BUFF Offense1345% (99)42% (70)14.225.2175.8712.419 (65)6 (10).29 (47)1.5 (80)33% (97)31% (75).34 (66)6% (89)1.9 (106)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -19.44 #122
Akron's Offense Rating: 5.11 #122
Akron's Defense Rating: 24.55 #117
2025 Talent Rating: 432.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Akron's 2025 Expected Record: 4.7 - 7.3
Akron's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.3 #132
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #131
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #119

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 527.38
Average Power Five Talent: 856.63
Average FBS Talent: 681.13

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -19.44   Buffalo: -4.975

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -19.3   Buffalo: -7.1




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -4.975 #87
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.44 #101
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 16.29 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 552.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1 #91
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #104
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #78

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 527.38
Average Power Five Talent: 856.63
Average FBS Talent: 681.13


Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.9
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Akron's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 35
Akron 20

Projected Total Points: 53
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.2
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Akron30Buffalo41BuffaloAkron -1Buffalo49.0Over
202309/30Akron10Buffalo13BuffaloAkron -3Buffalo53.0Under
202212/02Buffalo23Akron22BuffaloBuffalo -12.0Akron55.0Under
202110/23Akron10Buffalo45BuffaloBuffalo -13.5Buffalo58.5Under
202012/12Buffalo56Akron7BuffaloBuffalo -33.5Buffalo58.5Over
201910/19Akron0Buffalo21BuffaloBuffalo -17.5Buffalo48.0Under
201810/13Buffalo24Akron6BuffaloBuffalo -12Buffalo55.0Under
201710/28Akron21Buffalo20AkronBuffalo -3Akron49.5Under
201610/27Buffalo41Akron20BuffaloAkron -14.5Buffalo63.0Under
201511/21Akron42Buffalo21AkronAkron -2.5Akron45.0Over
201411/11Buffalo55Akron24BuffaloAkron -2.5Buffalo0
201111/19Buffalo51Akron10Buffalo
201011/26Akron22Buffalo14Akron
200910/17Buffalo21Akron17Buffalo
200811/13Akron40Buffalo43Buffalo
200710/27Buffalo26Akron10Buffalo
200611/09Akron31Buffalo16Akron
200510/08Buffalo7Akron13Akron
200410/09Akron44Buffalo21Akron
200309/27Buffalo21Akron38Akron
200111/17Buffalo14Akron41Akron
200011/10Akron49Buffalo14Akron
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo1383 Overs
Akron937 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 86 - 53 - 33 - 2
Road Teams8 - 145 - 62 - 33 - 3

(#122) Akron Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.44 #122
Offense Rating: 5.11 #122
Defense Rating: 24.55 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.3 #132
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #119
Talent Rating: 432.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Expected Record: 4.7 - 7.3

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Akron Notes
(5/29) Roster is rough, W's will be bottom feeders
(5/29) QB Finley & WRs + DBs are only real assets
(5/29) RB awful LY. Limited options, 1 FCS portal add?
(5/29) WR complete rebuild, 4 portals. TE Newell good
(5/29) OL poor LY, 2/5 back. 4 meh portals (2 FCS).
(5/29) Def improved LY but lost most. Only 6 portals?
(5/6) Ineligible for bowl due to APR below 914
(3/26) QB Finley back, JAG. Depth looks v light
(3/26) HC Moorhead tough job, jumped to 4 W's LY
Akron     Ratings Matchup     Buffalo
Power #122
#87
Off #122
#101
Def #117
#77
Talent #121
#95
SP+ #132
#91
SP+ Off #131
#104
SP+ Def #119
#78

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Akron last year (41-30)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2023 (13-10)
Akron beat Buffalo in 2022 (0-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AKR | BUFF
Depth Chart: AKR | BUFF
Rosters: AKR | BUFF
(#87) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.975 #87
Offense Rating: 8.44 #101
Defense Rating: 16.29 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #104
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #78
Talent Rating: 552.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Buffalo Notes
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) OL bad LY, 4/5 back, confident w/ no portals?
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though


  
Akron's OC Taylor Housewright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley21138755%25811696.7
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)2367%310010.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Taven Curry (Tr)3215304.815
Ben Finley805100.633
Marquese Williams61302.27
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)4-80-2.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Newell3525427.329
Israel Polk2420108.419
Connor Cravaack13147011.330
Tim Grear Jr. (Tr)446011.518

View Akron's Full Roster
Akron's DC Tim Tibesar
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Anderson423100
Gage Summers350000
Elijah Reed322014
Aman Greenwood201113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Anderson423100
Dimitri Madden42100
Bruno Dall92121
Aman Greenwood201113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Reed322014
Aman Greenwood201113
Catrell White70003

Buffalo's OC Dave Patenaude
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunnar Gray41136%41013.7
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al-Jay Henderson204107895.368
Messiah Burch2915325.331
Lamar Sperling3915013.822
Terrance Shelton Jr.238803.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Snow55651611.846
Al-Jay Henderson19238112.575
Messiah Burch999011.030
Nik McMillan576115.231

View Buffalo's Full Roster
Buffalo's DC Joe Bowen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock15617241
Solomon Brown662006
Dion Crawford5815942
Marquis Cooper553018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Stewart40121032
Dion Crawford5815942
Khalil Murdock15617241
Malin White213240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marquis Cooper553018
Solomon Brown662006
Eddie Pleasant III110005