Eastern Michigan at Buffalo - 2023 Matchup Preview
Eastern Michigan logo Eastern Michigan Eagles at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Tuesday, November 21st 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Buffalo -6.5 (38.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Eastern Michigan 24 - Buffalo: 11  (Mid-American)

 
Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (15 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Eastern Michigan -1.5   (SP+ EMU -5.5)

Projected Score: EMU: 22 - BUFF: 21 (43)
BUFF Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
EMU Travel: 253 miles
Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 21 - 27 (23 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Eastern Michigan vs Howard-20.055.5W 33 - 23ON
Sat 9/9 Eastern Michigan at Minnesota+19.548.0L 6 - 25UY
Sat 9/16 Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts-7.050.0W 19 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State+6.551.0L 0 - 21UN
Sat 9/30 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan+9.545.0L 23 - 26OY
Sat 10/7 Eastern Michigan vs Ball State-2.543.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/14 Eastern Michigan vs Kent State-7.040.0W 28 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois+11.543.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 10/28 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan+3.050.0L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Eastern Michigan at Toledo+19.545.5L 23 - 49ON
Tue 11/14 Eastern Michigan vs Akron-3.539.5W 30 - 27ON
Tue 11/21 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+6.538.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 12/23 Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama+18.043.0L 10 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38OY
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45OY
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10UY
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23UN
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#123 (.07)36% (127)19.539% (115)2.94 (101)11234% (122)1523.85 (74)#73 (.19)42% (74)26.747% (106)38% (24)3.68 (58)58.61.41.4
BUFF#130 (.03)37% (116)20.943% (67)2.93 (102)13432% (129)1853.54 (95)#41 (.14)39% (33)27.437% (25)42% (68)3.55 (48)41.61.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)43% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)45% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Offense1319.514.835.8%3.851.4162641121523.450%48%39%34%19%.07
BUFF Defense1227.429.338.7%3.551.6 - - - - - 56%43%37%42%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Defense1326.725.342.4%3.681.4 - - - - - 54%45%47%38%15%.19
BUFF Offense1220.922.737.4%3.541.6173191341853.751%48%43%32%16%.03

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan1328:5915.935%53%6.258.61.41.44.51.6328.1
Buffalo1230:3217.234%37%4.841.61.61.65.71.4229.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Offense1350% (67)39% (115)32.9112.13.418 (77).07 (109)2.94 (101)76% (48)11% (97)0.92 (104)
BUFF Defense1256% (119)37% (25) - - - - .15 (76)2.82 (24)65% (25)12% (19)1.25 (131)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Defense1354% (117)47% (106) - - - - .16 (82)3.43 (121)64% (22)9% (102)0.93 (33)
BUFF Offense1251% (61)43% (67)36.3133.63.715 (100).09 (102)2.93 (102)65% (119)9% (40)0.92 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Offense1348% (78)34% (122)15.227.51525.51010 (120)12 (85).1 (122)1.4 (129)34% (108)21% (130).09 (130)8% (115)1.8 (124)
BUFF Defense1243% (13)42% (68) - - - - - - 11 (53).2 (29)1.4 (18)35% (32)28% (39).23 (30)5% (95)2 (54)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Defense1345% (18)38% (24) - - - - - - 7 (111).26 (62)1.7 (108)31% (92)32% (101).43 (118)6% (76)2.2 (117)
BUFF Offense1248% (77)32% (129)17.732.8185.35.610.514 (106)11 (68).04 (130)1.5 (99)32% (68)26% (108).16 (116)8% (119)1.9 (109)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -7.52 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -7.52   Buffalo: -10.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -9.6   Buffalo: -15.1




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.165 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 22
Buffalo 21


Total Points: 43

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/20Eastern Michigan20Buffalo37BuffaloEastern Michigan -1Buffalo53.5Over
202311/21Buffalo11Eastern Michigan24Eastern MichiganBuffalo -6.5Eastern Michigan38.5Under
202209/24Eastern Michigan31Buffalo50BuffaloEastern Michigan -6.5Buffalo57.5Over
201911/02Eastern Michigan14Buffalo43BuffaloBuffalo -1Buffalo50.5Over
201809/15Buffalo35Eastern Michigan28BuffaloBuffalo -3Buffalo54.0Over
201410/11Eastern Michigan37Buffalo27Eastern MichiganBuffalo -14Eastern Michigan0
201310/05Buffalo42Eastern Michigan14BuffaloBuffalo -13Buffalo0
201111/12Eastern Michigan30Buffalo17Eastern Michigan
201011/20Buffalo17Eastern Michigan21Eastern Michigan
200511/19Buffalo14Eastern Michigan38Eastern Michigan
200409/02Eastern Michigan37Buffalo34Eastern Michigan
200110/27Eastern Michigan24Buffalo20Eastern Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo554 Overs
Eastern Michigan721 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 63 - 42 - 31 - 1
Road Teams6 - 64 - 31 - 13 - 2

(#105) Eastern Michigan Info
Power Rating: -7.52 #105
Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20


Eastern Michigan has won 1 straight
Eastern Michigan has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Eastern Michigan Highlights
Eastern Michigan has a good pass defense (#126)

Eastern Michigan Deficiencies
Eastern Michigan has a really bad Offense
Eastern Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#90)
Eastern Michigan offense is really bad (#94)
Eastern Michigan offense is not Explosive (#48)
Eastern Michigan run game is really bad (#96)
Eastern Michigan pass game is really bad (#87)
Eastern Michigan Does Not Stuff Runs (#52)
Eastern Michigan has a bad defensive line (#114)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBUFFEMU
OverallOver#95#79
OffenseOff#111#100
DefenseDef#44#40
Special TeamsST#22#23
PassingPass#99#111
RushingRush#63#86
Run BlockRBLK#97#31
Pass BlockPBLK#77#70
Route RunningWR Rt#101#104
TacklingTkl#103#48
Run DefenseR Def#38#27
Pass Rush DefPRush#66#49
Coverage DefCov#70#68

Rematch from Week 13
Buffalo -6.5 (38.5)
Eastern Michigan won at Buffalo this year (24-11)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan last year (37-20)
Eastern Michigan beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-11)
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan in 2022 (50-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: EMU | BUFF
Depth Chart: EMU | BUFF
Rosters: EMU | BUFF
(#120) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -10.165 #120
Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40


Buffalo has lost 3 straight
Buffalo has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 5 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo has a good run defense (#32)
Buffalo Defensive Line is very good (#84)
Buffalo Front 7 is disruptive (#117)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)

Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo has a really bad Offense
Buffalo offense is really bad (#91)
Buffalo offense is not Explosive (#89)
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Buffalo does not Sack the QB (#13)


  
Eastern Michigan's OC Chris Creighton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Smith17129857%1775976.0
Ike Udengwu III133142%100023.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samson Evans142635124.561
Jaylon Jackson13657624.255
Austin Smith10113421.341
Cam'Ron McCoy156314.216
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanner Knue5047939.639
J.B. Mitchell35398111.450
Hamze Elzayat27360213.350
Jaylon Jackson2423429.868

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster
Eastern Michigan's DC Taver Johnson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sparacio1399353
Chase Kline1244293
Quentavius Scandrett580001
Kempton Shine573008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mikah Coleman397481
Peyton Price485470
Joseph Sparacio1399353
Justin Jefferson487391
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daiquan White1910012
Kempton Shine573008
Bennett Walker250004

Buffalo's OC DJ Mangas
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Snyder20337255%21091395.7
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)82138%87124.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ron Cook Jr.14860964.136
Michael Washington9036224.049
Jacqez Barksdale5224824.839
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)5121434.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marlyn Johnson40495412.480
Darrell Harding Jr.23451319.652
Boobie Curry29303110.448
Cole Harrity3529438.429

View Buffalo's Full Roster
Buffalo's DC Robert Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joe Andreessen (Tr)8211122
Devin Grant782003
Khalil Murdock558220
Marcus Fuqua513011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Michel4510414
George Wolo236431
Khalil Murdock558220
Jaylon Bass122211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Oliver171005
Max Michel4510414
Devin Grant782003