Eastern Michigan at Buffalo - 2023 Matchup Preview

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Buffalo Bulls

Tuesday, November 21st 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Buffalo -6.5 (38.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Eastern Michigan 24 - Buffalo: 11 (Mid-American)

Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (15 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
BUFF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Eastern Michigan -1.5 (SP+ EMU -5.5)
Projected Score: EMU: 22 - BUFF: 20 (42)
BUFF Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
EMU Travel: 253 miles

Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 21 - 27 (23 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
EMU Players
BUFF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Eastern Michigan vs Howard	-20.0	55.5	W 33 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/9	Eastern Michigan at Minnesota	+19.5	48.0	L 6 - 25	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts	-7.0	50.0	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State	+6.5	51.0	L 0 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/30	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+9.5	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Eastern Michigan vs Kent State	-7.0	40.0	W 28 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+11.5	43.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+3.0	50.0	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+19.5	45.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Tue 11/14	Eastern Michigan vs Akron	-3.5	39.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Tue 11/21	Eastern Michigan at Buffalo	+6.5	38.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama	+18.0	43.0	L 10 - 59	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Buffalo at Wisconsin	+29.0	52.5	L 17 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Buffalo vs Fordham	-23.5	55.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/16	Buffalo vs Liberty	+2.5	54.0	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/23	Buffalo at Louisiana	+10.5	57.5	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Buffalo at Akron	+3.0	53.0	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Buffalo vs Central Michigan	+2.5	51.5	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-3.0	44.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/21	Buffalo at Kent State	-6.5	44.0	W 24 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Buffalo at Toledo	+14.0	47.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 11/7	Buffalo vs Ohio	+9.5	45.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Wed 11/15	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+7.5	36.5	L 10 - 23	U	N
Tue 11/21	Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	38.5	L 11 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	#123 (.07)	36% (127)	19.5	39% (115)	2.94 (101)	112	34% (122)	152	3.85 (74)	#73 (.19)	42% (74)	26.7	47% (106)	38% (24)	3.68 (58)	58.6	1.4	1.4
BUFF	#130 (.03)	37% (116)	20.9	43% (67)	2.93 (102)	134	32% (129)	185	3.54 (95)	#41 (.14)	39% (33)	27.4	37% (25)	42% (68)	3.55 (48)	41.6	1.6	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	#117 (.09)	42% (74)		43% (87)	2.98 (82)	142	42% (66)	235	3.47 (105)	#83 (.19)	45% (105)		45% (84)	46% (116)	3.49 (38)	62.4	1.4	1.3
BUFF	#77 (.17)	40% (104)		38% (115)	2.7 (117)	153	42% (70)	176	4.22 (41)	#72 (.17)	43% (82)		43% (71)	43% (97)	3.84 (74)	39.3	1	1.5

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Offense	13	19.5	14.8	35.8%	3.85	1.4	16	264	112	152	3.4	50%	48%	39%	34%	19%	.07
BUFF Defense	12	27.4	29.3	38.7%	3.55	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	37%	42%	18%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Defense	13	26.7	25.3	42.4%	3.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	38%	15%	.19
BUFF Offense	12	20.9	22.7	37.4%	3.54	1.6	17	319	134	185	3.7	51%	48%	43%	32%	16%	.03

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan	13	28:59	15.9	35%	53%	6.2	58.6	1.4	1.4	4.5	1.6	3	28.1
Buffalo	12	30:32	17.2	34%	37%	4.8	41.6	1.6	1.6	5.7	1.4	2	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Offense	13	50% (67)	39% (115)	32.9	112.1	3.4	18 (77)	.07 (109)	2.94 (101)	76% (48)	11% (97)	0.92 (104)
BUFF Defense	12	56% (119)	37% (25)	-	-	-	-	.15 (76)	2.82 (24)	65% (25)	12% (19)	1.25 (131)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Defense	13	54% (117)	47% (106)	-	-	-	-	.16 (82)	3.43 (121)	64% (22)	9% (102)	0.93 (33)
BUFF Offense	12	51% (61)	43% (67)	36.3	133.6	3.7	15 (100)	.09 (102)	2.93 (102)	65% (119)	9% (40)	0.92 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Offense	13	48% (78)	34% (122)	15.2	27.5	152	5.5	10	10 (120)	12 (85)	.1 (122)	1.4 (129)	34% (108)	21% (130)	.09 (130)	8% (115)	1.8 (124)
BUFF Defense	12	43% (13)	42% (68)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.2 (29)	1.4 (18)	35% (32)	28% (39)	.23 (30)	5% (95)	2 (54)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Defense	13	45% (18)	38% (24)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.26 (62)	1.7 (108)	31% (92)	32% (101)	.43 (118)	6% (76)	2.2 (117)
BUFF Offense	12	48% (77)	32% (129)	17.7	32.8	185.3	5.6	10.5	14 (106)	11 (68)	.04 (130)	1.5 (99)	32% (68)	26% (108)	.16 (116)	8% (119)	1.9 (109)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -7.52 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -7.52 Buffalo: -10.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -9.6 Buffalo: -15.1

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.165 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 22
Buffalo 20

Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 24
Eastern Michigan 20

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Buffalo 24
Eastern Michigan 23

Total Points: 47

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Buffalo	31	Eastern Michigan	30	Buffalo -9.5	Eastern Michigan	53.5	Over
2024	11/20	Eastern Michigan	20	Buffalo	37	Eastern Michigan -1	Buffalo	53.5	Over
2023	11/21	Buffalo	11	Eastern Michigan	24	Buffalo -6.5	Eastern Michigan	38.5	Under
2022	09/24	Eastern Michigan	31	Buffalo	50	Eastern Michigan -6.5	Buffalo	57.5	Over
2019	11/02	Eastern Michigan	14	Buffalo	43	Buffalo -1	Buffalo	50.5	Over
2018	09/15	Buffalo	35	Eastern Michigan	28	Buffalo -3	Buffalo	54.0	Over
2014	10/11	Eastern Michigan	37	Buffalo	27	Buffalo -14	Eastern Michigan	0
2013	10/05	Buffalo	42	Eastern Michigan	14	Buffalo -13	Buffalo	0
2011	11/12	Eastern Michigan	30	Buffalo	17
2010	11/20	Buffalo	17	Eastern Michigan	21
2005	11/19	Buffalo	14	Eastern Michigan	38
2004	09/02	Eastern Michigan	37	Buffalo	34
2001	10/27	Eastern Michigan	24	Buffalo	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Buffalo	6	5	5 Overs
Eastern Michigan	7	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	3 - 5	2 - 4	1 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 7	5 - 3	1 - 1	4 - 2

(#105) EMU at (#120) BUFF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	EMU	BUFF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#105	#120
SP+SP+	#103	#117
Perf GradeGrade	#95	#114
OffenseOff	#117	#130
DefenseDef	#48	#52
Spec TeamsST	#23	#22
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Buffalo Injury Report

Eastern Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	EMU Off	BUFF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#117	#52
SuccessSuc	#127	#33
ExplosiveExp	#127	#99
PPAPPA	#123	#41
PowerPwr	#110	#50
SP+SP+	#130	#87
Pts POPPO	#74	#48
HavocHav	#112	#39

Eastern Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#120	#44
Run SuccessRSuc	#115	#25
Run ExplRExp	#104	#131
PPAExp	#109	#76
Run BlockR Blk	#38	-
OL YdsOLY	#101	#24
Stuff RateStuff	#49	#32
TackleTak	-	#121

Eastern Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#68
Pass ExplPExl	#129	#18
PPAExp	#122	#29
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#82	#84
F7 HavocF7	#97	#19
DB HavocDB	#115	#95

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	EMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#130	#48
SuccessSuc	#116	#74
ExplosiveExp	#121	#48
PPAPPA	#130	#73
PowerPwr	#125	#53
SP+SP+	#125	#53
Pts POPPO	#95	#58
HavocHav	#79	#99

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#90	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	#67	#106
Run ExplRExp	#103	#33
PPAExp	#102	#82
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	#102	#121
Stuff RateStuff	#76	#116
TackleTak	-	#55

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#118	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	#129	#24
Pass ExplPExl	#99	#108
PPAExp	#130	#62
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#89	#61
F7 HavocF7	#40	#102
DB HavocDB	#119	#76

Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 43° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.039

Rematch from Week 13
Buffalo -6.5 (38.5)
Eastern Michigan won at Buffalo this year (24-11)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan last year (37-20)
Eastern Michigan beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-11)
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan in 2022 (50-31)

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Smith	171	298	57%	1775	9	7	6.0
Ike Udengwu III	13	31	42%	100	0	2	3.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Samson Evans	142	635	12	4.5	61
Jaylon Jackson	136	576	2	4.2	55
Austin Smith	101	134	2	1.3	41
Cam'Ron McCoy	15	63	1	4.2	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tanner Knue	50	479	3	9.6	39
J.B. Mitchell	35	398	1	11.4	50
Hamze Elzayat	27	360	2	13.3	50
Jaylon Jackson	24	234	2	9.8	68

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Taver Johnson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sparacio	139	9	3	5	3
Chase Kline	124	4	2	9	3
Quentavius Scandrett	58	0	0	0	1
Kempton Shine	57	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mikah Coleman	39	7	4	8	1
Peyton Price	48	5	4	7	0
Joseph Sparacio	139	9	3	5	3
Justin Jefferson	48	7	3	9	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Daiquan White	19	1	12
Kempton Shine	57	3	8
Bennett Walker	25	0	4

BUFF's OC DJ Mangas (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cole Snyder	203	372	55%	2109	13	9	5.7
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)	8	21	38%	87	1	2	4.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ron Cook Jr.	148	609	6	4.1	36
Michael Washington	90	362	2	4.0	49
Jacqez Barksdale	52	248	2	4.8	39
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)	51	214	3	4.2	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marlyn Johnson	40	495	4	12.4	80
Darrell Harding Jr.	23	451	3	19.6	52
Boobie Curry	29	303	1	10.4	48
Cole Harrity	35	294	3	8.4	29

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Robert Wright (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joe Andreessen (Tr)	82	11	1	2	2
Devin Grant	78	2	0	0	3
Khalil Murdock	55	8	2	2	0
Marcus Fuqua	51	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Max Michel	45	10	4	1	4
George Wolo	23	6	4	3	1
Khalil Murdock	55	8	2	2	0
Jaylon Bass	12	2	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Oliver	17	1	0	0	5
Max Michel	45	10	4	1	4
Devin Grant	78	2	0	0	3