Buffalo Bulls at Akron Zips
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Akron -1 (49.0) (-110) Open: -2.5
Buffalo 41 - Akron: 30 (Mid-American)
Bulls (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
BUFF 2nd straight Road Game
AKR 2nd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -7.5 (SP+ BUFF -14)
Projected Score: BUFF: 29 - AKR: 22 (51)
AKR Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
BUFF Travel: 193 miles
AKR 2nd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -7.5 (SP+ BUFF -14)
Projected Score: BUFF: 29 - AKR: 22 (51)
AKR Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
BUFF Travel: 193 miles
Zips (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Joe Moorhead (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
| Buffalo's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Buffalo vs Lafayette | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 30 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Buffalo at Missouri | +34.5 | 53.5 | L 0 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Buffalo vs Massachusetts | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 34 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Buffalo at Northern Illinois | +13.0 | 42.5 | W 23 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Buffalo at UConn | +6.0 | 44.5 | L 3 - 47 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Buffalo vs Toledo | +10.5 | 44.5 | W 30 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Buffalo vs Western Michigan | +1.0 | 49.5 | L 41 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Buffalo at Ohio | +4.0 | 46.5 | L 16 - 47 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Buffalo at Akron | +1.0 | 49.0 | W 41 - 30 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/12 | Buffalo vs Ball State | -3.5 | 55.5 | W 51 - 48 | O | N | |
| Wed 11/20 | Buffalo at Eastern Michigan | +1.0 | 53.5 | W 37 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Tue 11/26 | Buffalo vs Kent State | -23.5 | 50.5 | W 43 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 1/4 | Buffalo vs Liberty | -4.5 | 50.5 | W 26 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
| Akron's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Akron at Ohio State | +50.5 | 58.5 | L 6 - 52 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Akron at Rutgers | +24.5 | 41.5 | L 17 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Akron vs Colgate | -13.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Akron at South Carolina | +25.0 | 42.0 | L 7 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Akron at Ohio | +8.5 | 46.0 | L 10 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Akron vs Bowling Green | +17.0 | 48.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Akron at Western Michigan | +9.5 | 48.5 | L 24 - 34 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | Akron vs Eastern Michigan | +2.5 | 50.5 | W 25 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Akron vs Buffalo | -1.0 | 49.0 | L 30 - 41 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/13 | Akron at Northern Illinois | +14.0 | 43.5 | L 16 - 29 | O | Y | |
| Tue 11/19 | Akron at Kent State | -10.5 | 49.0 | W 38 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Tue 11/26 | Akron vs Toledo | +9.5 | 50.5 | W 21 - 14 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 28.8 | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 26.4 | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 |
| AKR | #122 (.07) | 39% (114) | 20.4 | 44% (64) | 2.82 (103) | 101 | 36% (118) | 233 | 3.26 (120) | #91 (.21) | 45% (101) | 32 | 41% (55) | 49% (126) | 4.19 (108) | 48.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 | ||
| AKR | #122 (.07) | 39% (114) | 44% (64) | 2.82 (103) | 101 | 36% (118) | 233 | 3.26 (120) | #91 (.21) | 45% (101) | 41% (55) | 49% (126) | 4.19 (108) | 48.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 13 | 28.8 | 20 | 39.6% | 4.22 | 1 | 17 | 329 | 153 | 176 | 4.2 | 55% | 45% | 38% | 42% | 17% | .17 |
| AKR Defense | 12 | 32 | 24.6 | 44.6% | 4.19 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 45% | 41% | 49% | 14% | .21 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 13 | 26.4 | 33.7 | 42.8% | 3.84 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 43% | 43% | 18% | .17 |
| AKR Offense | 12 | 20.4 | 25.4 | 38.8% | 3.26 | 1.7 | 18 | 333 | 101 | 233 | 3.5 | 40% | 59% | 44% | 36% | 17% | .07 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 13 | 26:20 | 17.2 | 34% | 52% | 4 | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 2 | 31.2 |
| Akron | 12 | 28:33 | 17.9 | 36% | 31% | 6.3 | 48.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 1.5 | 2 | 26.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 13 | 55% (36) | 38% (115) | 36.2 | 153.3 | 4.2 | 23 (52) | .08 (96) | 2.7 (117) | 61% (122) | 10% (84) | 1.11 (17) |
| AKR Defense | 12 | 54% (111) | 41% (55) | - | - | - | - | .1 (57) | 2.95 (58) | 65% (24) | 9% (95) | 0.98 (66) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 13 | 46% (21) | 43% (71) | - | - | - | - | .08 (47) | 3.01 (68) | 63% (16) | 12% (35) | 0.94 (45) |
| AKR Offense | 12 | 40% (124) | 44% (64) | 28.5 | 100.5 | 3.5 | 11 (116) | .03 (114) | 2.82 (103) | 78% (34) | 10% (77) | 0.91 (93) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 13 | 45% (99) | 42% (70) | 14.2 | 25.2 | 175.8 | 7 | 12.4 | 19 (65) | 6 (10) | .29 (47) | 1.5 (80) | 33% (97) | 31% (75) | .34 (66) | 6% (89) | 1.9 (106) |
| AKR Defense | 12 | 45% (23) | 49% (126) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (132) | .37 (122) | 1.5 (45) | 28% (120) | 36% (121) | .45 (114) | 5% (90) | 2.1 (71) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 13 | 53% (109) | 43% (97) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .28 (91) | 1.7 (97) | 32% (58) | 29% (40) | .18 (18) | 7% (38) | 2.2 (100) |
| AKR Offense | 12 | 59% (13) | 36% (118) | 19.5 | 35 | 232.5 | 6.6 | 11.9 | 16 (87) | 10 (63) | .12 (118) | 1.6 (54) | 35% (121) | 25% (120) | .07 (133) | 7% (91) | 2.1 (36) |
Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Buffalo's Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -12.53 Akron: -15.965
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -4.0 Akron: -17.9
Buffalo: -12.53 Akron: -15.965
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -4.0 Akron: -17.9
Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -15.965 #121
Akron's Offense Rating: 12.44 #118
Akron's Defense Rating: 12.15 #90
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Akron's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Akron's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #129
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #117
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Akron's Power Rating: -15.965 #121
Akron's Offense Rating: 12.44 #118
Akron's Defense Rating: 12.15 #90
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Akron's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Akron's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #129
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #117
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7
Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7
Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 29
Akron 22
Total Points: 51
Buffalo 29
Akron 22
Total Points: 51
Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.4
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.6
Akron's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.4
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.6
Akron's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Akron | 30 | Buffalo | 41 | Buffalo | Akron -1 | Buffalo | 49.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/30 | Akron | 10 | Buffalo | 13 | Buffalo | Akron -3 | Buffalo | 53.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 12/02 | Buffalo | 23 | Akron | 22 | Buffalo | Buffalo -12.0 | Akron | 55.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/23 | Akron | 10 | Buffalo | 45 | Buffalo | Buffalo -13.5 | Buffalo | 58.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 12/12 | Buffalo | 56 | Akron | 7 | Buffalo | Buffalo -33.5 | Buffalo | 58.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/19 | Akron | 0 | Buffalo | 21 | Buffalo | Buffalo -17.5 | Buffalo | 48.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/13 | Buffalo | 24 | Akron | 6 | Buffalo | Buffalo -12 | Buffalo | 55.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/28 | Akron | 21 | Buffalo | 20 | Akron | Buffalo -3 | Akron | 49.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/27 | Buffalo | 41 | Akron | 20 | Buffalo | Akron -14.5 | Buffalo | 63.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/21 | Akron | 42 | Buffalo | 21 | Akron | Akron -2.5 | Akron | 45.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/11 | Buffalo | 55 | Akron | 24 | Buffalo | Akron -2.5 | Buffalo | 0 | |
| 2011 | 11/19 | Buffalo | 51 | Akron | 10 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2010 | 11/26 | Akron | 22 | Buffalo | 14 | Akron | ||||
| 2009 | 10/17 | Buffalo | 21 | Akron | 17 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2008 | 11/13 | Akron | 40 | Buffalo | 43 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2007 | 10/27 | Buffalo | 26 | Akron | 10 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2006 | 11/09 | Akron | 31 | Buffalo | 16 | Akron | ||||
| 2005 | 10/08 | Buffalo | 7 | Akron | 13 | Akron | ||||
| 2004 | 10/09 | Akron | 44 | Buffalo | 21 | Akron | ||||
| 2003 | 09/27 | Buffalo | 21 | Akron | 38 | Akron | ||||
| 2001 | 11/17 | Buffalo | 14 | Akron | 41 | Akron | ||||
| 2000 | 11/10 | Akron | 49 | Buffalo | 14 | Akron |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | 9 | 3 | 3 Overs |
| Buffalo | 13 | 8 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 14 - 8 | 6 - 5 | 3 - 3 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 14 | 5 - 6 | 2 - 3 | 3 - 3 |
(#106) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has lost 2 straight
Buffalo has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Buffalo Notes
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success
(10/4) OG'd 537-198 (UConn), Rgame awful/QBs worse
(9/23) Beat N Ill despite outgained 2-1. Off awful
(9/13) QB Ogbonna has not shown he can throw at all
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo has a great TO Margin (#82)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo offense is really bad (#91)
Buffalo run game is really bad (#62)
Buffalo offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has lost 2 straight
Buffalo has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Buffalo Notes
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success
(10/4) OG'd 537-198 (UConn), Rgame awful/QBs worse
(9/23) Beat N Ill despite outgained 2-1. Off awful
(9/13) QB Ogbonna has not shown he can throw at all
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo has a great TO Margin (#82)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo offense is really bad (#91)
Buffalo run game is really bad (#62)
Buffalo offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | AKR | BUFF |
| OverallOver | #100 | #56 |
| OffenseOff | #108 | #77 |
| DefenseDef | #106 | #31 |
| Special TeamsST | #101 | #90 |
| PassingPass | #83 | #85 |
| RushingRush | #81 | #84 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #104 | #52 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #111 | #85 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #98 | #60 |
| TacklingTkl | #120 | #16 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #92 | #44 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #104 | #77 |
| Coverage DefCov | #107 | #21 |
Rematch from Week 10
Akron -1.0 (49.0)
Buffalo won at Akron this year (41-30)
Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Akron last year (41-30)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2023 (13-10)
Akron beat Buffalo in 2022 (0-0)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | AKR
Depth Chart: BUFF | AKR
Rosters: BUFF | AKR
(#121) Akron Info
Power Rating: -15.965 #121
Offense Rating: 12.44 #118
Defense Rating: 12.15 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #117
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Akron has won 1 straight
Akron has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Akron Notes
(11/27) Won 3 of last 5, competitive team most of season
(11/18) Run game awful vs N Ill, 50 rush, 19/52 pass
(10/27) Run game great vs EMU in W, 220 yds, 7.1 ypc
(10/13) Finley great, Rgame awful, 4 TO's in L WMU
(10/4) Pass heavy Off is awful but Run game is worse
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Zips may be CFB #2 worst
(8/16) Ohio St, Rutgers and SC? Why?
(8/16) Off was dead last LY. Not much TY
(7/30) Def has some pieces, DB's need rebuild
(7/30) HC Moorhead has 4 wins in 2 yrs. Hot Seat?
Akron Highlights
Akron Deficiencies
Akron has a really bad Offense
Akron Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Akron Can Not Run the Ball (#105)
Akron offense is really bad (#135)
Akron Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#111)
Akron offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#136)
Akron pass game is really bad (#136)
Akron Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Akron does not Sack the QB (#122)
Akron has a bad defense (#88)
Akron has a bad red zone defense (#37)
Power Rating: -15.965 #121
Offense Rating: 12.44 #118
Defense Rating: 12.15 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #117
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Akron has won 1 straight
Akron has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Akron Notes
(11/27) Won 3 of last 5, competitive team most of season
(11/18) Run game awful vs N Ill, 50 rush, 19/52 pass
(10/27) Run game great vs EMU in W, 220 yds, 7.1 ypc
(10/13) Finley great, Rgame awful, 4 TO's in L WMU
(10/4) Pass heavy Off is awful but Run game is worse
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Zips may be CFB #2 worst
(8/16) Ohio St, Rutgers and SC? Why?
(8/16) Off was dead last LY. Not much TY
(7/30) Def has some pieces, DB's need rebuild
(7/30) HC Moorhead has 4 wins in 2 yrs. Hot Seat?
Akron Highlights
Akron Deficiencies
Akron has a really bad Offense
Akron Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Akron Can Not Run the Ball (#105)
Akron offense is really bad (#135)
Akron Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#111)
Akron offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#136)
Akron pass game is really bad (#136)
Akron Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Akron does not Sack the QB (#122)
Akron has a bad defense (#88)
Akron has a bad red zone defense (#37)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Ogbonna | 190 | 336 | 57% | 2381 | 19 | 5 | 7.1 |
| Gunnar Gray | 4 | 11 | 36% | 41 | 0 | 1 | 3.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jay Henderson | 204 | 1078 | 9 | 5.3 | 68 |
| CJ Ogbonna | 122 | 346 | 8 | 2.8 | 26 |
| Jacqez Barksdale | 82 | 306 | 2 | 3.7 | 19 |
| Messiah Burch | 29 | 153 | 2 | 5.3 | 31 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Snow | 55 | 651 | 6 | 11.8 | 46 |
| JJ Jenkins (Tr) | 36 | 536 | 4 | 14.9 | 90 |
| Al-Jay Henderson | 19 | 238 | 1 | 12.5 | 75 |
| Taji Johnson (Tr) | 19 | 215 | 2 | 11.3 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Dolac (Tr) | 168 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Khalil Murdock | 156 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Solomon Brown | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Dion Crawford | 58 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Stewart (Tr) | 40 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 |
| Dion Crawford | 58 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Shaun Dolac (Tr) | 168 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Antonio Colclough (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Cooper | 55 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Solomon Brown | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Shaun Dolac (Tr) | 168 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Finley (Tr) | 211 | 387 | 55% | 2581 | 16 | 9 | 6.7 |
| Tahj Bullock | 22 | 30 | 73% | 200 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Simmons | 110 | 664 | 2 | 6.0 | 73 |
| Charles Kellom | 85 | 358 | 1 | 4.2 | 43 |
| Tahj Bullock | 53 | 138 | 8 | 2.6 | 15 |
| Ben Finley (Tr) | 80 | 51 | 0 | 0.6 | 33 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Norton | 43 | 832 | 7 | 19.3 | 60 |
| Bobby Golden | 31 | 446 | 1 | 14.4 | 56 |
| Ahmarian Granger | 17 | 308 | 2 | 18.1 | 72 |
| Jacob Newell | 35 | 254 | 2 | 7.3 | 29 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan McCoy | 120 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Paul Lewis III (Tr) | 76 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Darrian Lewis | 72 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Antavious Fish | 67 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Nunnally | 55 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| Bennett Adler | 34 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Kabbash Richards | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Dimitri Madden (Tr) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte Nelson | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Darrian Lewis | 72 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Paul Lewis III (Tr) | 76 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 |