Buffalo Bulls at Minnesota Golden Gophers
Thursday, August 28th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota -16.5 (45.5) (-900) Open: -16.5 | 45.5
Minnesota 23 - Buffalo: 10
Bulls (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
Our Line: Minnesota -20.5 (SP+ MINN -14)
Projected Score: BUFF: 13 - MINN: 34 (47)
MINN Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
BUFF Travel: 730 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Projected Score: BUFF: 13 - MINN: 34 (47)
MINN Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
BUFF Travel: 730 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 34 - 12 (45 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 34 - 12 (45 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
| Buffalo's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Buffalo at Minnesota | +16.5 | 45.5 | L 10 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA) | -37.0 | 48.0 | W 45 - 6 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Buffalo at Kent State | -23.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Buffalo vs Troy | -6.0 | 42.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Buffalo vs UConn | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan | -16 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Buffalo at Massachusetts | -16.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Buffalo vs Akron | -17 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Buffalo at Bowling Green | -4 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/12 | Buffalo at Central Michigan | -14.5 | |||||
| Wed 11/19 | Buffalo vs Miami (OH) | -10 | |||||
| Fri 11/28 | Buffalo vs Ohio | -3.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Minnesota's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Minnesota vs Buffalo | -16.5 | 45.5 | W 23 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Minnesota vs Northwestern State | -43.0 | 50.5 | W 66 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Minnesota at California | -3.0 | 41.5 | L 14 - 27 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Minnesota vs Rutgers | -6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Minnesota at Ohio State | +19 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Minnesota vs Purdue | -20 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Minnesota vs Nebraska | +2 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Minnesota at Iowa | +3 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Minnesota vs Michigan State | -7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Minnesota at Oregon | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Minnesota vs Northwestern | -11 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Minnesota vs Wisconsin | -6.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | #73 (.19) | 41% (91) | 28.7 | 45% (62) | 3.02 (67) | 186 | 35% (113) | 186 | 4.58 (43) | #79 (.15) | 40% (74) | 19 | 34% (32) | 46% (105) | 2.3 (27) | 38.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| MINN | #57 (.23) | 46% (50) | 34.3 | 42% (84) | 3.24 (44) | 180 | 51% (31) | 240 | 3.57 (93) | #26 (-) | 33% (28) | 12.3 | 24% (6) | 39% (65) | 3.78 (77) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 | ||
| MINN | #64 (.2) | 45% (39) | 44% (65) | 2.7 (119) | 103 | 46% (29) | 204 | 4.38 (27) | #16 (.08) | 39% (35) | 36% (8) | 42% (80) | 3.32 (23) | 35.6 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 28.7 | 20.5 | 40.8% | 4.58 | 1.3 | 21 | 372 | 186 | 186 | 4.8 | 60% | 39% | 45% | 35% | 11% | .19 |
| MINN Defense | 3 | 12.3 | 5 | 33.3% | 3.78 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 40% | 60% | 24% | 39% | 21% | - |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 19 | 25.5 | 40.2% | 2.3 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 34% | 46% | 12% | .15 |
| MINN Offense | 3 | 34.3 | 44.5 | 46.2% | 3.57 | 1.3 | 24 | 421 | 180 | 240 | 4.3 | 52% | 48% | 42% | 51% | 12% | .23 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 3 | 27:09 | 21.3 | 43% | 50% | 3.7 | 38.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 6.7 | 3 | 0 | 32.3 |
| Minnesota | 3 | 35:12 | 23.7 | 49% | 33% | 4.7 | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 35.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 60% (18) | 45% (62) | 38.7 | 185.7 | 4.8 | 6 (49) | .17 (55) | 3.02 (67) | 83% (28) | 6% (23) | 0.97 (65) |
| MINN Defense | 3 | 40% (11) | 24% (6) | - | - | - | - | -.17 (11) | 1.94 (9) | 80% (107) | 16% (10) | 0.81 (37) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 47% (53) | 34% (32) | - | - | - | - | -.1 (20) | 2.93 (84) | 75% (80) | 7% (117) | 0.65 (9) |
| MINN Offense | 3 | 52% (60) | 42% (84) | 42.3 | 180.3 | 4.3 | 6 (49) | .06 (94) | 3.24 (44) | 80% (36) | 6% (16) | 0.78 (115) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 39% (120) | 35% (113) | 17 | 27.3 | 186 | 6.8 | 10.9 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .28 (72) | 1.6 (48) | 29% (56) | 30% (81) | .25 (87) | 5% (63) | 1.4 (126) |
| MINN Defense | 3 | 60% (130) | 39% (65) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .11 (38) | 1.5 (61) | 37% (25) | 24% (38) | .24 (61) | 6% (76) | 2.2 (97) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 53% (87) | 46% (105) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .38 (113) | 1.6 (90) | 34% (57) | 32% (85) | .27 (71) | 6% (76) | 1.6 (23) |
| MINN Offense | 3 | 48% (73) | 51% (31) | 17 | 28 | 240.3 | 8.6 | 14.1 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .42 (41) | 1.7 (35) | 31% (75) | 35% (44) | .34 (65) | 7% (104) | 1.8 (96) |
Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -4.16 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Buffalo's Power Rating: -4.16 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -4.16 Minnesota: 15.72
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -5.5 Minnesota: 8.4
Buffalo: -4.16 Minnesota: 15.72
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -5.5 Minnesota: 8.4
Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 15.72 #35
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Minnesota's Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Minnesota's Power Rating: 15.72 #35
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Minnesota's Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5
Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5
Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 34
Buffalo 13
Total Points: 47
Minnesota 34
Buffalo 13
Total Points: 47
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.5
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 5
Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.5
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 5
Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 08/28 | Minnesota | 23 | Buffalo | 10 | Minnesota | Minnesota -16.5 | Buffalo | 45.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 08/31 | Minnesota | 17 | Buffalo | 7 | Minnesota | Minnesota -23 | Buffalo | 51.0 | Under |
| 2002 | 09/21 | Minnesota | 41 | Buffalo | 17 | Minnesota |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 3 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Buffalo | 0 | 2 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 0 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 3 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 2 - 0 |
(#89) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -4.16 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)
Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
Power Rating: -4.16 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)
Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MINN | BUFF |
| OverallOver | #8 | #44 |
| OffenseOff | #8 | #43 |
| DefenseDef | #17 | #60 |
| Special TeamsST | #4 | #32 |
| PassingPass | #13 | #67 |
| RushingRush | #13 | #71 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #11 | #19 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #44 | #30 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #35 | #69 |
| TacklingTkl | #25 | #33 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #34 | #41 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #63 | #38 |
| Coverage DefCov | #10 | #88 |
(#35) Minnesota Info
Power Rating: 15.72 #35
Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 51%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Minnesota Notes
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
(5/2) S Koi Perch #2 via PFF, only a Soph, 5 Ints
(4/17) QB RFr Drake Lindsey starter? Pryon in portal
(4/7) OL 2/5 back, bad LY. 3 exp'd P4 portals added
(3/31) RB Taylor back, add Turner (Marsh). Looks great
(3/19) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. Improved, how much?
(3/19) Def v good and return a lot. New DE/CB needs
Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota is Undefeated at Home
Minnesota offense is good on 3rd downs
Minnesota does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#18)
Minnesota has a really good defense (#28)
Minnesota has a good run defense (#6)
Minnesota Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#24)
Minnesota Defensive Line is very good (#9)
Minnesota Front 7 is disruptive (#10)
Minnesota Deficiencies
Power Rating: 15.72 #35
Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 51%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Minnesota Notes
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
(5/2) S Koi Perch #2 via PFF, only a Soph, 5 Ints
(4/17) QB RFr Drake Lindsey starter? Pryon in portal
(4/7) OL 2/5 back, bad LY. 3 exp'd P4 portals added
(3/31) RB Taylor back, add Turner (Marsh). Looks great
(3/19) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. Improved, how much?
(3/19) Def v good and return a lot. New DE/CB needs
Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota is Undefeated at Home
Minnesota offense is good on 3rd downs
Minnesota does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#18)
Minnesota has a really good defense (#28)
Minnesota has a good run defense (#6)
Minnesota Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#24)
Minnesota Defensive Line is very good (#9)
Minnesota Front 7 is disruptive (#10)
Minnesota Deficiencies
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr) | 50 | 80 | 63% | 558 | 5 | 2 | 7.0 |
| Gunnar Gray | 1 | 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jay Henderson | 50 | 198 | 3 | 4.0 | 38 |
| Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr) | 28 | 158 | 2 | 5.6 | 40 |
| James McNeil Jr. | 10 | 66 | 1 | 6.6 | 26 |
| Lamar Sperling | 13 | 50 | 0 | 3.8 | 7 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Snow | 11 | 168 | 3 | 15.3 | 40 |
| Nik McMillan | 10 | 148 | 1 | 14.8 | 38 |
| Chance Morrow | 6 | 99 | 1 | 16.5 | 26 |
| Al-Jay Henderson | 10 | 80 | 0 | 8.0 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Murdock | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Miles Greer (Tr) | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dion Crawford | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Solomon Brown | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saveon Brown | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Khalil Murdock | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobe Stewart | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Junior Poyser | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saveon Brown | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Solomon Brown | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jalen McNair | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lindsey | 46 | 76 | 61% | 634 | 4 | 2 | 8.3 |
| Max Shikenjanski | 4 | 5 | 80% | 80 | 1 | 0 | 16.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Taylor | 33 | 161 | 0 | 4.9 | 18 |
| Fame Ijeboi | 23 | 136 | 0 | 5.9 | 27 |
| Grant Washington | 20 | 126 | 0 | 6.3 | 16 |
| Cameron Davis (Tr) | 21 | 69 | 2 | 3.3 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Tracy (Tr) | 6 | 150 | 1 | 25.0 | 45 |
| Lemeke Brockington | 10 | 136 | 0 | 13.6 | 23 |
| Jalen Smith | 2 | 76 | 1 | 38.0 | 60 |
| Kenric Lanier II | 2 | 59 | 0 | 29.5 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maverick Baranowski | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devon Williams | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Koi Perich | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aidan Gousby | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Devon Williams | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Emmanuel Karmo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Logan-Redding | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Nestor (Tr) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Devon Williams | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Smith | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |