Buffalo at Troy - 2018 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls vs Troy Trojans  Troy logo
Saturday, December 22nd 2018 (7:00 PM EST)
Buffalo -2 (50.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Troy 42 - Buffalo: 32  (DOLLAR GENERAL BOWL)

 
Bulls (10 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -2  (SP+ TROY -4)
Projected Score: BUFF: 24 - TROY: 24 (48)
BUFF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
BUFF Travel: 993 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Buffalo vs Delaware State-23
Sat 9/8 Buffalo at Temple+4.052.5W 36 - 29OY
Sat 9/15 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-3.054.0W 35 - 28OY
Sat 9/22 Buffalo at Rutgers-6.054.0W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/29 Buffalo vs Army-7.554.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 10/6 Buffalo at Central Michigan-6.552.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 10/13 Buffalo vs Akron-12.055.0W 24 - 6UY
Sat 10/20 Buffalo at Toledo+3.063.0W 31 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/30 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-7.053.0W 51 - 42OY
Tue 11/6 Buffalo vs Kent State-17.044.5W 48 - 14OY
Wed 11/14 Buffalo at Ohio+2.566.0L 17 - 52ON
Fri 11/23 Buffalo at Bowling Green-16.062.0W 44 - 14UY
Fri 11/30 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois-3.051.0L 29 - 30ON
Sat 12/22 Buffalo vs Troy-2.050.5L 32 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Troy's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Troy vs Boise State+9.048.5L 20 - 56ON
Sat 9/8 Troy vs Florida A&M-34.559.5W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/15 Troy at Nebraska+13.055.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 9/22 Troy at UL Monroe-4.559.0W 35 - 27OY
Sat 9/29 Troy vs Coastal Carolina-13.557.5W 45 - 21OY
Thu 10/4 Troy vs Georgia State-17.055.5W 37 - 20ON
Sat 10/13 Troy at Liberty-12.062.5L 16 - 22UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/23 Troy at South Alabama-11.052.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/3 Troy vs Louisiana-7.564.5W 26 - 16UY
Sat 11/10 Troy at Georgia Southern-2.044.5W 35 - 21OY
Sat 11/17 Troy vs Texas State-23.047.5W 12 - 7UN
Sat 11/24 Troy at App State+12.045.0L 10 - 21UY
Sat 12/22 Troy vs Buffalo+2.050.5W 42 - 32OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.2143%2439%2.9114144%2913.6.1745%23.547%41%3.2249.81.11.2
TROY.1845%23.544%2.6414944%2703.41.0138%23.936%39%2.4257.11.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense122423.242.6%3.61.121432141291449%49%39%44%14%.21
TROY Defense1323.922.838.3%2.421.9 - - - - - 49%50%36%39%21%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1223.522.645.2%3.221.2 - - - - - 59%39%47%41%13%.17
TROY Offense1323.525.344.5%3.411.5204191492704.744%55%44%44%14%.18

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1229:472141%67%5.649.81.11.24.41.6032.4
Troy1327:3520.343%63%6.957.11.51.98.63.2432.6
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1249%39%35.7141.1418.052.9177%7%0.8
TROY Defense1349%36% - - - - -.082.3565%14%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1259%47% - - - - .153.0982%8%0.89
TROY Offense1344%44%31.71494.730.092.6473%8%1

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1249%44%19.533.3290.88.714.9246.41.732%36%.377%1.7
TROY Defense1350%39% - - - - - - 17.091.637%30%.217%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1239%41% - - - - - - 8.231.528%34%.355%1.8
TROY Offense1355%44%22.535.4269.67.612197.271.532%33%.256%1.9

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1  #82
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #47
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #82

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Troy: 1.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -1.1   Troy: 2.6




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 1.3 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2018 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.6  #62
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #89
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #48

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 24
Troy 24

Projected Total Points: 48
Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Buffalo17Troy21Buffalo -5.5Troy43.5Under
201812/22Troy42Buffalo32Buffalo -2Troy50.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy221 Overs
Buffalo001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

Buffalo Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2018General Bowl Buffalo vs Troy-2.050.5L 32 - 42
2013Potato Bowl Buffalo vs San Diego State-1.049.5L 24 - 49
Troy Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2018General Bowl Troy vs Buffalo+2.050.5W 42 - 32
2017Orleans Bowl Troy vs North Texas-5.561.5W 50 - 30
2016General Bowl Troy vs Ohio-5.050.0W 28 - 23
  
(#) BUFF at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFTROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #62
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #106 #113
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #48
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #89 #82
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ladd Peebles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Buffalo 2.0 (50.5)
Troy won vs Buffalo this year (42-32)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Buffalo last year (21-17)

  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD