Florida State Team Profile
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Florida State Seminoles (@FSUFootball)
Mike Norvell (6th year) (38-34)
Record: 5 - 7 (2 - 6)  |  Proj: 5 - 7 (#86)  |  SOS: (#45)
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Florida State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida State vs Alabama+13.550.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Florida State vs East Texas A&M-43.556.5W 77 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Florida State vs Kent State-44.556.5W 66 - 10OY
Fri 9/26 Florida State at Virginia-7.059.5L 38 - 46ON
Sat 10/4 Florida State vs Miami+3.554.5L 22 - 28UN
Sat 10/11 Florida State vs Pittsburgh-10.556.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/18 Florida State at Stanford-17.555.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida State vs Wake Forest-12.550.5W 42 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 Florida State at Clemson+1.556.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/15 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-13.553.5W 34 - 14UY
Fri 11/21 Florida State at NC State-7.058.5L 11 - 21UN
Sat 11/29 Florida State at Florida-1.548.5L 21 - 40ON

Record Prediction: 5.0 - 7.0  #86
Schedule Rating:  #45
Record: 5 - 7( ACC: 2 - 6)
Spread Record 5 - 7 - 0 | O/U 5 - 7
Future 2026 Schedule

Florida State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-10.054.5L 21 - 24UN
Mon 9/2 Florida State vs Boston College-16.550.0L 13 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Florida State vs Memphis-7.052.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 9/21 Florida State vs California-3.044.0W 14 - 9UY
Sat 9/28 Florida State at SMU+6.046.0L 16 - 42ON
Sat 10/5 Florida State vs Clemson+16.547.0L 13 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Florida State at Duke+2.543.0L 16 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 Florida State at Miami+22.555.0L 14 - 36UY
Sat 11/2 Florida State vs North Carolina+2.550.5L 11 - 35UN
Sat 11/9 Florida State at Notre Dame+25.544.5L 3 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Florida State vs Charleston Southern-33.044.5W 41 - 7OY
Sat 11/30 Florida State vs Florida+17.545.5L 11 - 31UN

2024 Schedule Rating:  #14
2024 Record: 2 - 10 (ACC: 1 - 7)
Spread Record 4 - 8 - 0 | O/U 3 - 9


Opponents: 2 Elite, 4 Good, 2 Avg, 1 Bad, 2 Poor
Played: 2 Elite, 4 Good, 2 Avg, 1 Bad, 2 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 255 points   #14
2025 class: 244 points   #19
2024 class: 272 points   #12
2023 class: 237 points   #19
2022 class: 229 points   #20

Average Class Ranking:   #17
Average Recruiting Points: 247

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent CFP Contenders
4 Year Class:  #17 - Best:  #12 Worst:  #20



CFB Crootin Averages
ACC Class: 211  #42
Power 4 Class: 225  #42
FBS Class: 179  #69


2021 class: 215 points   #22
2020 class: 238 points   #22
2019 class: 244 points   #19
2018 class: 265 points   #11
2017 class: 293 points   #6

Average Class Ranking:   #16
Average Recruiting Points: 251
 

2025 Portal Class  #6 - 18 players, 89 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #4 - 15 players, 90 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #6 - 12 players, 91 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #10 - 14 players, 87 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Gus Malzahn (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)18030958%27601598.9
Kevin Sperry121771%1942011.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)13755794.126
Gavin Sawchuk (Tr)10948684.540
Ousmane Kromah7240805.723
Samuel Singleton5136047.153
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duce Robinson (Tr)561074619.282
Micahi Danzy27571321.166
Lawayne McCoy27403314.934
Randy Pittman (Tr)2320829.035
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Tony White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Earl Little II762002
Ashlynd Barker485412
Darrell Jackson442110
Justin Cryer435130
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mandrell Desir308711
Ashlynd Barker485412
Stefon Thompson (Tr)374410
Daniel Lyons264240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edwin Joseph374005
Earl Little II762002
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)421002
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 61%  #41
Offense Returning Production: 62%  #51
Defense Returning Production: 59%  #48

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #6
18 Commits, 88.5 Avg Rating
29% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 27% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00  #17
Offense Talent  #11 | Defense Talent  #38
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #18 | 2021  #20


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 5 - 7
2025 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7

2024 Record: 2 - 10
2024 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 9

2023 Record: 13 - 1
2023 Conf Record: 9 - 0
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 7

2022 Record: 10 - 3
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

Four Year Record: 30 - 21
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 25 - 25 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 17 - 16
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 5 - 7
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8

2020 Record: 3 - 6
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 3 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 3

2019 Record: 6 - 7
2019 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 4 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 7

2018 Record: 5 - 7
2018 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4

Eight Year Record: 49 - 48
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 42 - 53 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 35 - 36

Florida State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023Orange Bowl Florida State vs Georgia+23.547.0L 3 - 63
2022It Bowl Florida State vs Oklahoma-10.567.0W 35 - 32
2019N/A Florida State vs Arizona State+3.551.5L 14 - 20
2017Independence Bowl Florida State vs Southern Miss-12.548.0W 42 - 13
2016Orange Bowl Florida State vs Michigan+6.551.0W 33 - 32
2015N/A Florida State vs Houston-6.5L 24 - 38
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.27 (22)1.35 (20)46% (32)3.95 (46)29 (68)51%57%.16 (68)1.16 (14)42% (76)4.12 (110)30.3 (102)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.06 (125)1.29 (58)35% (128)2.88 (131)26.3 (127)29%63%.25 (112)1.38 (114)41% (56)3.62 (46)30.5 (110)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251228:4524.151%57%5.445.31.61.26.12.60
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241227:1115.229%63%5.647.91.80.55.821



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense123343.318.645.9% (32)3.95 (46)1.6244722192535.255% (32)44% (104)50% (10)41% (81)15% (54).27 (22)
2025 Defense122216.130.242.1% (76)4.12 (110)1.2 - - - - - 55% (123)44% (16)42% (66)43% (79)16% (72).16 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1215.416.412.335.4% (128)2.88 (131)1.815271911802.946% (101)54% (35)40% (103)31% (130)21% (129).06 (125)
2024 Defense122822.738.340.8% (56)3.62 (46)0.5 - - - - - 56% (119)44% (15)42% (62)39% (52)14% (98).25 (112)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1255% (32)50% (10)42.1218.85.231 (4).25 (12)3.4 (7)75% (47)9% (59)1.03 (45)
2025 Defense1255% (123)42% (66) - - - - .11 (74)3.12 (106)76% (105)11% (28)0.86 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1246% (101)40% (103)31.490.82.98 (130).07 (101)2.9 (92)68% (103)15% (130)0.87 (118)
2024 Defense1256% (119)42% (62) - - - - .2 (109)3.06 (81)80% (111)10% (77)1.1 (114)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1244% (104)41% (81)16.728.3253.4915.220 (33)9 (60).32 (46)1.9 (5)31% (67)38% (10).5 (11)6% (49)2.1 (30)
2025 Defense1244% (16)43% (79) - - - - - - 12 (12).25 (69)1.5 (58)30% (104)30% (75).34 (92)5% (122)2 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1254% (35)31% (130)14.929.6180.36.112.111 (122)13 (103).04 (130)1.8 (20)39% (133)26% (113).24 (102)6% (62)2.1 (28)
2024 Defense1244% (15)39% (52) - - - - - - 4 (125).34 (110)1.8 (120)33% (45)34% (110).52 (127)5% (116)2.3 (121)




 
Overall
Power Rating  #49 | SP+ Rating  #43
Performance Grade  #28
Special Teams Grade  #41
Record Prediction 5.0 - 7.0  #86
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7

5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Offense
Power  #30 | SP+  #54 | Grade  #21
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Off Success  #32 | Explosivness  #20
Rush Grade  #28 | Pass Grade  #9
Rush Success  #10 | Explosiveness  #45
Pass Success  #81 | Explosiveness  #5
Run Block  #36 | Pass Block  #14
OL YDS  #7 | Stuff Rate  #5
Scoring Zone Off:  #46

Defense
Power  #58 | SP+  #38 | Grade  #65
Def Success  #76 | Explosivness  #14
Rush Success  #66 | Explosiveness  #19
Tackling  #44 | Run Def  #29
Pass Success  #79 | Explosiveness  #58
Pass Rush  #93 | Coverage  #106
F7 Havoc  #28 | DB Havoc  #122
DL YDS  #106 | Def Stuff Rate  #120
Scoring Zone Def  #110


Roster
Team Talent  #17 Blue Chips: 45%  #17
Offense Talent  #11 Defense Talent  #38
Crootin: '25 Class  #14 - 4 YR Class:  #17
Profile: Consistent CFP Contenders
Portal Class  #6 - 18 players, 89 Avg
29% of Roster from Portal, 27% TY
71 New Players, 76% of '25 Roster  #109

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 33 - 22 | Scoring Margin: (11)
Home: 43 - 16 (27.2) | Road: 19 - 30 (-11.6)
OC: Gus Malzahn - in his first season
DC: Tony White - in his first season

2025 Record: 5 - 7 (5 - 7 - 0) (ACC: 2 - 6)
2024 Record: 2 - 10 (4 - 8 - 0) (ACC: 1 - 7)
2023 Record: 13 - 1 (8 - 5 - 0) (ACC: 9 - 0)
4 Yr Record: (30 - 21) | 8 Yr Record: (49 - 48)


Notes
FSU looks like they aren't serious about 2026
Norvell will return in '26. Fund road slate now
A straight 0-8 in road ACC games past 2 years
Rumors sound toxic, player leadership void
Norvell lost 4 straight, 4 times now. 1-11 ACC run
OG'd Stanford by 150, still lost for the 4th straight time
Castellanos knocked out of Stanford game, dirty hit
Norvell w/o Jordan Travis is 7-21.
LBs lack speed and huge liability in coverage
Noles have lost their last 8 ACC conference games
 
'25 Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.95 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 69%
Great when off Schedule 38%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad at Forcing Turnovers
Avg Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 70%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 30%

Returning Prod
'24 QB Brock Glenn returns
Returning Production: 61%  #41
Offense: 62%  #51 | Defense: 59%  #48
OL Prod: 63%  #48, 0 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3648  #36 | From Portal: 3075  #4
Rush Prod: 78%  #31 | Rec Prod: 57%  #55
Def Front Seven: 66% - Secondary: 68%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 7.5 - 4.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #43 - Power Rating:  #49
2024 SP+ Overall:  #83 - Power Rating:  #83
2023 SP+ Overall:  #7 - Power Rating:  #10
2022 SP+ Overall:  #23

#23 #9 #83 #46

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #54 - Power Rating:  #30
2024 SP+ Offense:  #114 - Power Rating:  #120
2023 SP+ Offense:  #16 - Power Rating:  #37
2022 SP+ Offense:  #34

#34 #27 #117 #42

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #38 - Power Rating:  #58
2024 SP+ Defense:  #58 - Power Rating:  #87
2023 SP+ Defense:  #7 - Power Rating:  #7
2022 SP+ Defense:  #34

#34 #7 #73 #48