Vanderbilt Team Profile
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(#14) Vanderbilt Commodores (@VandyFootball)
Clark Lea (5th year) (26-36)
Record: 10 - 3 (6 - 2)  |  Proj: 11 - 2 (#15)  |  SOS: (#29)
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Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-37.549.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.546.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+3.048.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-27.553.5W 70 - 21OY
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-23.557.5W 55 - 35ON
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+13.558.5L 14 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU-1.548.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri-3.052.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+3.548.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn-6.046.5W 45 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-7.053.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+2.066.5W 45 - 24OY
Wed 12/31 Vanderbilt vs Iowa-3.047.5L 27 - 34ON

Record Prediction: 10.6 - 2.4  #15
Schedule Rating:  #29
Record: 10 - 3( SEC: 6 - 2)
Spread Record 10 - 3 - 0 | O/U 9 - 4
Future 2026 Schedule

Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech+13.553.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/7 Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State-32.547.5W 55 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Vanderbilt at Georgia State-8.545.5L 32 - 36ON
Sat 9/21 Vanderbilt at Missouri+17.552.0L 27 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Vanderbilt vs Alabama+23.553.5W 40 - 35OY
Sat 10/12 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+12.544.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/19 Vanderbilt vs Ball State-27.557.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 Vanderbilt vs Texas+17.050.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 11/2 Vanderbilt at Auburn+7.548.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/9 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+6.044.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Vanderbilt at LSU+10.053.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/30 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee+9.545.5L 23 - 36ON
Fri 12/27 Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech+3.049.0W 35 - 27OY

2024 Schedule Rating:  #20
2024 Record: 7 - 6 (SEC: 3 - 5)
Spread Record 9 - 4 - 0 | O/U 8 - 5


Opponents: 4 Elite, 4 Good, 1 Avg, 2 Bad, 1 Poor
Played: 3 Elite, 4 Good, 1 Avg, 2 Bad, 1 Poor
Future: 1 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 221 points   #30
2025 class: 173 points   #75
2024 class: 208 points   #40
2023 class: 195 points   #52
2022 class: 212 points   #32

Average Class Ranking:   #46
Average Recruiting Points: 202

Four Year Crootin Profile
Declining Average P4
4 Year Class:  #53 - Best:  #32 Worst:  #75



CFB Crootin Averages
SEC Class: 260  #18
Power 4 Class: 225  #18
FBS Class: 179  #69


2021 class: 184 points   #49
2020 class: 182 points   #52
2019 class: 182 points   #56
2018 class: 202 points   #41
2017 class: 167 points   #65

Average Class Ranking:   #53
Average Recruiting Points: 184
 

2025 Portal Class  #34 - 18 players, 87 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #38 - 12 players, 87 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #87 - 3 players, 85 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #66 - 6 players, 85 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Tim Beck (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia26737871%35392989.4
Blaze Berlowitz91753%131107.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia167862105.241
Sedrick Alexander106570115.465
Makhilyn Young4541169.180
Jamezell Lassiter9143215.948
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)47810717.275
Junior Sherrill54784714.546
Eli Stowers61765412.567
Richie Hoskins28321311.553
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Steve Gregory (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard (Tr)714253
Bryan Longwell709142
Langston Patterson692030
Marlen Sewell522112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Miles Capers379531
Zaylin Wood285471
Khordae Sydnor309493
Nicholas Rinaldi477491
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette517056
Mark Davis233004
C.J. Heard (Tr)714253
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 70%  #8
Offense Returning Production: 68%  #25
Defense Returning Production: 73%  #9

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #34
18 Commits, 86.8 Avg Rating
34% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 21% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00  #47
Offense Talent  #42 | Defense Talent  #48
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #57 | 2021  #57


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 10 - 3
2025 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 10 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 4

2024 Record: 7 - 6
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

2023 Record: 2 - 10
2023 Conf Record: 0 - 8
Spread: 2 - 10 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 3

2022 Record: 5 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

Four Year Record: 24 - 26
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 26 - 24 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 11 - 21
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 2 - 10
2021 Conf Record: 0 - 8
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7

2020 Record: 0 - 9
2020 Conf Record: 0 - 9
Spread: 4 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 6

2019 Record: 3 - 9
2019 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 3 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8

2018 Record: 6 - 7
2018 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 8 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 10

Eight Year Record: 35 - 61
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 47 - 48 - 0
Eight Year Conference Record: 17 - 50

Vanderbilt Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Reliaquest Bowl Vanderbilt vs Iowa-3.047.5L 27 - 34
2024Birmingham Bowl Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech+3.049.0W 35 - 27
2018Texas Bowl Vanderbilt vs Baylor-4.056.5L 38 - 45
2016Independence Bowl Vanderbilt vs NC State+4.047.0L 17 - 41
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.44 (1)1.39 (9)52% (2)5 (3)29.5 (54)51%56%.2 (99)1.31 (103)42% (68)3.9 (90)28.5 (58)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.17 (76)1.2 (108)42% (75)4.25 (34)31.3 (22)44%54%.25 (111)1.2 (38)47% (121)4.22 (109)25.3 (5)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251331:1824.151%56%6.859.70.91.26.22.41
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241328:3916.644%54%548.30.51.14.81.74



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense1338.5443351.9% (2)5 (3)0.9244631762875.747% (92)52% (44)50% (8)54% (3)13% (25).44 (1)
2025 Defense1322.821.12341.7% (68)3.9 (90)1.2 - - - - - 44% (11)54% (124)40% (46)43% (91)17% (39).2 (99)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1327.329.622.642.2% (75)4.25 (34)0.5172951291663.958% (18)42% (115)42% (93)43% (53)15% (52).17 (76)
2024 Defense1323.423.92246.9% (121)4.22 (109)1.1 - - - - - 49% (47)51% (90)46% (96)48% (125)16% (65).25 (111)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1347% (92)50% (8)30.9175.95.735 (4).35 (1)3.37 (9)76% (38)8% (30)1.21 (2)
2025 Defense1344% (11)40% (46) - - - - .04 (31)2.66 (24)72% (76)11% (20)0.93 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1358% (18)42% (93)33.1129.23.916 (90).06 (104)2.8 (105)83% (10)8% (41)0.87 (116)
2024 Defense1349% (47)46% (96) - - - - .12 (70)2.98 (62)77% (88)10% (76)0.89 (30)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1352% (44)54% (3)21.530.8287.39.313.430 (22)8 (34).55 (1)1.5 (74)26% (13)49% (1).78 (1)5% (28)2 (78)
2025 Defense1354% (124)43% (91) - - - - - - 8 (75).35 (115)1.6 (75)34% (25)30% (78).38 (109)6% (69)2 (78)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1342% (115)43% (53)12.821.8166.37.61318 (68)4 (1).33 (33)1.7 (37)33% (108)31% (74).32 (75)7% (96)2.1 (64)
2024 Defense1351% (90)48% (125) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (120)1.5 (33)29% (111)36% (122).45 (117)7% (48)2.1 (72)




Overall
Power Rating  #12 | SP+ Rating  #11
Performance Grade  #27
Special Teams Grade  #16
Record Prediction 10.6 - 2.4  #15
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4

5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Offense
Power  #2 | SP+  #4 | Grade  #24
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
Off Success  #2 | Explosivness  #9
Rush Grade  #17 | Pass Grade  #5
Rush Success  #8 | Explosiveness  #2
Pass Success  #3 | Explosiveness  #74
Run Block  #89 | Pass Block  #129
OL YDS  #9 | Stuff Rate  #25
Scoring Zone Off:  #3

Defense
Power  #40 | SP+  #32 | Grade  #59
Def Success  #68 | Explosivness  #103
Rush Success  #46 | Explosiveness  #54
Tackling  #106 | Run Def  #61
Pass Success  #91 | Explosiveness  #75
Pass Rush  #63 | Coverage  #58
F7 Havoc  #20 | DB Havoc  #69
DL YDS  #24 | Def Stuff Rate  #31
Scoring Zone Def  #90


Roster
Team Talent  #47 Blue Chips: 6%  #49
Offense Talent  #42 Defense Talent  #48
Crootin: '25 Class  #30 - 4 YR Class:  #53
Profile: Declining Average P4
Portal Class  #34 - 18 players, 87 Avg
34% of Roster from Portal, 21% TY
38 New Players, 40% of '25 Roster  #4

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 38.5 - 22.8 | Scoring Margin: (15.7)
Home: 44 - 21 (22.9) | Road: 33 - 23 (10)
OC: Tim Beck - in his second season
DC: Steve Gregory - in his first season

2025 Record: 10 - 3 (10 - 3 - 0) (SEC: 6 - 2)
2024 Record: 7 - 6 (9 - 4 - 0) (SEC: 3 - 5)
2023 Record: 2 - 10 (2 - 10 - 0) (SEC: 0 - 8)
4 Yr Record: (24 - 26) | 8 Yr Record: (35 - 61)


Notes
Outrushed Tenn 314-83. Incredible season, CFP worthy
HC Lea extended w/ new 6 year deal
Ran all over LUS (239, 5.3 pyc). Pavia a dawg
Hoping books sleep on Vandy after Bama L, good team
Off Success is #1 in CFB into Bama game (5 games)
Pavia incredible, Dores hot start. Run Off great
Vandy is serious. Killing teams, mauling Rush Off
Off should improve w/ better OL, more exp
HC Lea's new building plan working
OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.06 PPO
Great Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 57%
Good Offensive Turnovers
Poor OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 74%
Great when off Schedule 51%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 40%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good at Forcing Turnovers
Poor Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Good 1st/2nd Down Success 66%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 30%

Returning Prod
HC Lea, OC Beck & QB all back
'24 QB Diego Pavia returns
Returning Production: 70%  #8
Offense: 68%  #25 | Defense: 73%  #9
OL Prod: 57%  #64, 1 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3972  #21 | From Portal: 2721  #7
Rush Prod: 90%  #16 | Rec Prod: 75%  #25
Def Front Seven: 91% - Secondary: 56%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 4.5 - 7.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #11 - Power Rating:  #12
2024 SP+ Overall:  #50 - Power Rating:  #49
2023 SP+ Overall:  #113 - Power Rating:  #122
2022 SP+ Overall:  #87

#87 #118 #50 #12

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #4 - Power Rating:  #2
2024 SP+ Offense:  #60 - Power Rating:  #75
2023 SP+ Offense:  #84 - Power Rating:  #122
2022 SP+ Offense:  #58

#58 #103 #68 #3

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #32 - Power Rating:  #40
2024 SP+ Defense:  #59 - Power Rating:  #91
2023 SP+ Defense:  #125 - Power Rating:  #124
2022 SP+ Defense:  #97

#97 #125 #75 #36