Vanderbilt at Alabama Game Matchup
Vanderbilt logo Vanderbilt Commodores at Alabama Crimson TideAlabama logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Bryant Denny Stadium - Tuscaloosa, AL  (SEC)

 
Commodores (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (23 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#91)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
VAN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -27   (SP+ ALA -26)
Projected Score: VAN: 12 - ALA: 39 (51)
ALA Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
VAN Travel: 207 miles
Crimson Tide (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 1.7 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-29
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-24.5
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-23.5
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU+18
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+5
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+25.5
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-2.5
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+14.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Alabama at Florida State-11.550.5
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-47.5
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-24.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+0
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-27
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-14.5
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-15
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-6.5
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-13.5
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-53.5
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-10.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)27.342% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)23.446% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)33.845% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)17.438% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1327.322.642.2%4.250.5172951291663.958%42%42%43%15%.17
ALA Defense1317.413.737.2%2.852.1 - - - - - 52%48%38%37%18%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1323.42246.9%4.221.1 - - - - - 49%51%46%48%16%.25
ALA Offense1333.84145.2%4.711.4203901692224.853%47%45%45%16%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1328:3916.644%54%548.30.51.14.81.7431.3
Alabama1327:3919.749%62%7.166.31.42.14.81.8029.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1358% (18)42% (93)33.1129.23.916 (90).06 (104)2.8 (105)83% (10)8% (41)0.87 (116)
ALA Defense1352% (87)38% (15) - - - - -.02 (8)2.81 (38)76% (86)10% (61)0.87 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1349% (47)46% (96) - - - - .12 (70)2.98 (62)77% (88)10% (76)0.89 (30)
ALA Offense1353% (49)45% (52)35.2168.84.841 (5).21 (28)2.75 (112)76% (44)11% (102)1.12 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1342% (115)43% (53)12.821.8166.37.61318 (68)4 (1).33 (33)1.7 (37)33% (108)31% (74).32 (75)7% (96)2.1 (64)
ALA Defense1348% (49)37% (19) - - - - - - 16 (10).12 (22)1.6 (86)35% (21)29% (38).25 (44)8% (15)2 (56)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1351% (90)48% (125) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (120)1.5 (33)29% (111)36% (122).45 (117)7% (48)2.1 (72)
ALA Offense1347% (84)45% (31)16.224.7221.6913.716 (87)10 (63).27 (59)1.5 (78)28% (21)31% (77).3 (83)4% (20)2.3 (4)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 8.99 #41
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 20.94 #32
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 11.95 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 768.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #48
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #50

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 8.99   Alabama: 32.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 1.7   Alabama: 27.9




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 32.32 #2
Alabama's Offense Rating: 28.64 #7
Alabama's Defense Rating: -3.10 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 62 #4
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #5
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 39
Vanderbilt 12

Projected Total Points: 51
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Vanderbilt40Alabama35VanderbiltAlabama -23.5Vanderbilt53.5Over
202209/24Alabama55Vanderbilt3AlabamaAlabama -40.5Alabama61.0Under
201709/23Vanderbilt0Alabama59AlabamaAlabama -20Alabama42.5Over
201110/08Alabama34Vanderbilt0Alabama
200709/08Vanderbilt10Alabama24Alabama
200609/09Alabama13Vanderbilt10Alabama
200211/02Vanderbilt8Alabama30Alabama
200109/08Vanderbilt9Alabama12Alabama
200009/08Alabama28Vanderbilt10Alabama
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama822 Overs
Vanderbilt111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 42 - 11 - 01 - 1
Road Teams4 - 51 - 21 - 10 - 1

(#41) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.99 #41
Offense Rating: 20.94 #32
Defense Rating: 11.95 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #50
Talent Rating: 768.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #48
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Vanderbilt Notes
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/26) Goal is to get back to bowl game TY
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
(5/15) WR Tre Richardson productive & KR @ Washburn
(5/11) 76% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/4) QB Pavia returns. Tough runner, decent passer
(4/4) TE Stowers #1 via PFF, WR returns options
(3/18) RB's bad LY, no portals. Any improvement?
Vanderbilt     Ratings Matchup     Alabama
Power #41
#2
Off #32
#7
Def #53
#3
Talent #55
#7
SP+ #55
#2
SP+ Off #63
#5
SP+ Def #50
#5

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Alabama last year (40-35)
Alabama beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (55-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: VAN | ALA
Depth Chart: VAN | ALA
Rosters: VAN | ALA
(#2) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 32.32 #2
Offense Rating: 28.64 #7
Defense Rating: -3.10 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 62 #4
Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Alabama Notes
(5/23) OL returns 3/5 + portals = top 15 unit in CFB
(5/7) Fr WR Lotzeir Brooks flashed in spring will play
(5/2) CB Calhoun, LB Lawson, S Hubbard top 10 via PFF
(4/13) QB Simpson will start, Fr. Russell the future
(4/4) DE LT Overton/DT Keenan III top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL Brailsford (C), Proctor/Roberts (T) top 10 PFF
(3/22) DE Overton a huge DT/DE pass rush threat
(3/20) OC Ryan Grubb back w/ DeBoer a huge add
(3/18) RBs Avg LY. Miller OK, any RB1's in depth?
(3/18) WRs deep and talented. A top CFB unit


  
Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia17729859%22932047.7
Eli Stowers1250%17108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Chase Gillespie155103.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338
AJ Newberry7134219.153

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Steve Gregory
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
C.J. Heard (Tr)741001
Randon Fontenette728307
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor147422
Mason Nelson (Tr)319311
Randon Fontenette728307
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014

Alabama's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson142556%167006.7
Austin Mack2367%391013.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller14566874.656
Dre'Lyn Washington (Tr)7347856.564
Richard Young2714625.462
Daniel Hill216112.911
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams48865818.084
Germie Bernard50794215.947
Isaiah Horton (Tr)56616511.030
Josh Cuevas16218113.643

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Deontae Lawson766204
Justin Jefferson617201
Brayson Hubbard571002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tim Keenan III408321
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Justin Jefferson617201
Lebbeus Overton423291
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)211009
Domani Jackson512017
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224