Auburn at Vanderbilt Game Matchup

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Auburn -12.5 (50.0) (-500) Open: -12.5 | 49.0
Auburn 31 - Vanderbilt: 15 (SEC)

Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (17 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AUB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Auburn -17.5 (SP+ AUB -22)
Projected Score: AUB: 33 - VAN: 16 (50)
AUB Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
AUB Travel: 256 miles

Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AUB Players
VAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Auburn's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Auburn vs Massachusetts	-35.0	52.0	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Auburn at California	-5.0	55.5	W 14 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Auburn vs Samford	-37.5	62.0	W 45 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/23	Auburn at Texas A&M	+9.5	51.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/30	Auburn vs Georgia	+14.0	44.5	L 20 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Auburn at LSU	+11.0	60.0	L 18 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/21	Auburn vs Ole Miss	+6.5	55.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Auburn vs Mississippi State	-6.5	40.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Auburn at Vanderbilt	-12.5	50.0	W 31 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Auburn at Arkansas	+2.5	46.5	W 48 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Auburn vs New Mexico State	-25.5	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/25	Auburn vs Alabama	+14.0	48.0	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Auburn vs Maryland	-4.0	47.5	L 13 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i	-17.0	54.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/2	Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M	-35.0	53.5	W 47 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/9	Vanderbilt at Wake Forest	+9.5	55.0	L 20 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/16	Vanderbilt at UNLV	-4.5	56.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Vanderbilt vs Kentucky	+13.5	50.0	L 28 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Vanderbilt vs Missouri	+14.0	53.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/7	Vanderbilt at Florida	+18.0	51.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/14	Vanderbilt vs Georgia	+32.5	55.0	L 20 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Vanderbilt at Ole Miss	+24.0	62.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/4	Vanderbilt vs Auburn	+12.5	50.0	L 15 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Vanderbilt at South Carolina	+13.5	53.5	L 6 - 47	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25	Vanderbilt at Tennessee	+27.0	58.0	L 24 - 48	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB	.2	39%	27.8	43%	3.01	206	33%	173	3.74	.18	42%	21.3	49%	36%	4.57	57.3	1.8	1.5
VAN	.16	40%	27.3	40%	2.98	160	42%	187	3.73	.31	45%	23.4	42%	49%	4.14	46.1	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Offense	12	27.8	17	39%	3.74	1.8	18	379	206	173	5.1	59%	40%	43%	33%	19%	.2
VAN Defense	12	23.4	23.9	45.5%	4.14	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	42%	49%	15%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Defense	12	21.3	22.5	42.2%	4.57	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	49%	36%	15%	.18
VAN Offense	12	27.3	29.6	40.3%	3.73	1.3	18	347	160	187	4.3	56%	43%	40%	42%	18%	.16

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Auburn	12	30:13	18.1	36%	59%	7.5	57.3	1.8	1.5	5.2	2.2	1	29.3
Vanderbilt	12	31:36	17.5	37%	38%	5.3	46.1	1.3	1.8	4.7	1.4	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Offense	12	59%	43%	40.7	205.8	5.1	25	.25	3.01	86%	13%	1.24
VAN Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.24	54%	9%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Defense	12	49%	49%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.14	76%	10%	1
VAN Offense	12	56%	40%	37.1	159.9	4.3	13	.1	2.98	73%	10%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Offense	12	40%	33%	13.3	25.7	172.7	6.7	13	9	12	.14	1.8	37%	27%	.25	5%	2.2
VAN Defense	12	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.55	1.7	29%	33%	.49	5%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Defense	12	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.13	1.5	34%	32%	.35	6%	2.1
VAN Offense	12	43%	42%	16.7	28.8	187.3	6.5	11.2	22	6	.29	1.7	33%	27%	.32	8%	2.3

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 6.28 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 6.28 Vanderbilt: -10.105

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 8.1 Vanderbilt: -13.7

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -10.105 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Auburn 33
Vanderbilt 16

Projected Total Points: 50

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Auburn	7	Vanderbilt	17	Vanderbilt	Auburn -7.5	Vanderbilt	48.0	Under
2023	11/04	Vanderbilt	15	Auburn	31	Auburn	Auburn -12.5	Auburn	50.0	Under
2016	11/05	Auburn	23	Vanderbilt	16	Auburn	Auburn -26	Vanderbilt	47.0	Under
2012	10/20	Vanderbilt	17	Auburn	13	Vanderbilt
2008	10/04	Vanderbilt	14	Auburn	13	Vanderbilt
2007	10/06	Auburn	35	Vanderbilt	7	Auburn
2003	09/13	Vanderbilt	7	Auburn	45	Auburn
2002	09/14	Auburn	31	Vanderbilt	6	Auburn
2001	09/29	Vanderbilt	21	Auburn	24	Auburn
2000	09/29	Auburn	33	Vanderbilt	0	Auburn

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Vanderbilt	3	2	0 Overs
Auburn	7	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 6	3 - 0	1 - 0	2 - 0

(#32) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.28 #32
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24
Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #15
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile

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Auburn Ratings Matchup Vanderbilt

Power #32

#122

Off #70

#122

Def #44

#124

Talent #23

#19

SP+ #36

#113

SP+ Off #65

#84

SP+ Def #24

#125

Rematch from Week 10
Auburn 12.5 (50.0)
Auburn won at Vanderbilt this year (31-15)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Auburn last year (17-7)
Auburn beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (31-15)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 73° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: AUB | VAN
Depth Chart: AUB | VAN
Rosters: AUB | VAN

(#122) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.105 #122
Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20

Team Profile

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Auburn's OC Philip Montgomery

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)	199	317	63%	2713	21	9	8.6
Robby Ashford	23	32	72%	324	2	0	10.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jarquez Hunter	187	1201	8	6.4	50
Payton Thorne (Tr)	112	283	2	2.5	31
Robby Ashford	41	227	2	5.5	38
Ja'Varrius Johnson	4	40	0	10.0	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omari Kelly	53	869	4	16.4	71
Malcolm Johnson Jr.	49	573	3	11.7	50
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)	31	372	2	12.0	43
Tyler Fromm	25	249	2	10.0	30

View Auburn's Full Roster

Auburn's DC Ron Roberts

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Kaufman	74	4	1	6	4
Jalen McLeod (Tr)	56	14	8	2	1
Eugene Asante	44	4	2	7	0
Austin Keys (Tr)	39	2	0	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen McLeod (Tr)	56	14	8	2	1
Eugene Asante	44	4	2	7	0
Donovan Kaufman	74	4	1	6	4
Cam Riley	37	4	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colton Hood	23	1	0	0	6
Donovan Kaufman	74	4	1	6	4
Austin Keys (Tr)	39	2	0	4	2

Vanderbilt's OC Joey Lynch

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ken Seals	10	13	77%	97	1	0	7.5
AJ Swann	2	4	50%	10	0	0	2.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Quincy Skinner Jr.	1	22	22.0	22
Jayden McGowan	2	13	6.5	7
Ken Seals	4	12	3.0	7
Landon Wells	1	-2	-2.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Sheppard	48	621	6	12.9	47
Quincy Skinner Jr.	29	367	3	12.7	63
London Humphreys	15	244	2	16.3	40
Logan Kyle	11	132	1	12.0	30

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

Vanderbilt's DC Nick Howell

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Barr	72	3	0	2	2
CJ Taylor	64	3	0	1	3
John Howse IV	51	4	1	0	1
De'Rickey Wright	47	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)	23	3	2	1	2
John Howse IV	51	4	1	0	1
Nate Clifton	21	2	1	0	2
Ethan Barr	72	3	0	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
CJ Taylor	64	3	1	3
Ethan Barr	72	3	2	2
De'Rickey Wright	47	1	0	2