Vanderbilt at Texas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo (#20)Vanderbilt Commodores at Texas Longhorns(#8)Texas logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium - Austin, TX  (SEC)

 
Commodores (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 40 - 10 (38 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 4.1 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
TEX is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas -8.5   (SP+ TEX -6)

Projected Score: VAN: 18 - TEX: 26 (44)
TEX Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
VAN Travel: 749 miles
Longhorns (2 - 1) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 10 (33 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-37.549.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.546.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+3.048.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-26.553.5
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-33.5
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU+2.5
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+3.5
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+8.5
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-12
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+7

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas at Ohio State+1.546.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-37.052.5W 38 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-39.552.5W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/20 Texas vs Sam Houston-40.551.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-4
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma+0
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-12.5
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-7
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+5
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-11
Sat 11/29 Texas vs Texas A&M-3.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#4 (.57)61% (4)4059% (7)3.71 (16)20364% (2)2285.63 (7)#49 (.06)36% (47)1041% (83)32% (31)2.5 (34)5912
TEX#130 (-.01)42% (86)2449% (44)3.25 (40)18232% (122)2003.25 (107)#11 (-.09)33% (25)10.335% (38)31% (24)2.58 (38)811.32
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense34037.560.5%5.631234312032285.855%44%59%64%11%.57
TEX Defense310.38.533.1%2.582 - - - - - 47%53%35%31%15%-.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense31013.536.4%2.52 - - - - - 49%50%41%32%22%.06
TEX Offense32432.541.6%3.251.3193831822004.458%41%49%32%10%-.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt333:2123.361%100%7.359127.32.7035.6
Texas331:391929%42%8.3811.323.31.3035.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense355% (42)59% (7)352035.88 (26).38 (13)3.71 (16)100% (1)7% (36)0.89 (89)
TEX Defense347% (49)35% (38) - - - - -.19 (8)2.11 (16)45% (17)7% (110)0.44 (2)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense349% (60)41% (83) - - - - .05 (63)2.69 (60)55% (24)16% (11)0.84 (44)
TEX Offense358% (23)49% (44)41.7182.34.43 (95).1 (86)3.25 (40)68% (84)6% (16)0.72 (125)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense344% (94)64% (2)17.724.7228.39.312.98 (18)2 (60).84 (4)1.8 (17)24% (19)55% (1)1.08 (2)4% (42)2.3 (21)
TEX Defense353% (90)31% (24) - - - - - - 3 (28)- (21)1.2 (14)31% (88)13% (7)-.13 (7)8% (26)1.2 (1)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense350% (74)32% (31) - - - - - - 2 (56).13 (49)1.3 (30)33% (62)21% (32).18 (53)7% (53)1.7 (41)
TEX Offense341% (114)32% (122)16.329.3200.36.812.36 (34)3 (92)-.11 (132)1.5 (78)27% (38)21% (121).13 (111)5% (57)1.8 (100)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 24.27 #17
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 26.54 #15
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 2.28 #37
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #31
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 24.27   Texas: 26.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 12.5   Texas: 18.8




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 26.725 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Texas's Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.5
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.5

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 26
Vanderbilt 18


Total Points: 44

Texas Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.5
Defense: 10.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Vanderbilt24Texas27TexasTexas -17.0Vanderbilt50.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas101 Overs
Vanderbilt010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#17) Vanderbilt Info
Power Rating: 24.27 #17
Offense Rating: 26.54 #15
Defense Rating: 2.28 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #33
Talent Rating: 822.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 61%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.63 PPO
Great Run Success 59%
Great Pass Success 64%
Poor OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 2.5 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Vanderbilt has lost 5 straight
Vanderbilt has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Vanderbilt Notes
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/26) Goal is to get back to bowl game TY
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
(5/15) WR Tre Richardson productive & KR @ Washburn
(5/11) 76% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/4) QB Pavia returns. Tough runner, decent passer
(4/4) TE Stowers #1 via PFF, WR returns options
(3/18) RB's bad LY, no portals. Any improvement?

Vanderbilt Highlights
Vanderbilt is Undefeated vs Spread
Vanderbilt in Undefeated

Vanderbilt offense is efficent (#4)
Vanderbilt has a top Offensive Line (#16)
Vanderbilt offense is good in red zone (#7)
Vanderbilt offense is good on 3rd downs
Vanderbilt does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#10)

Vanderbilt defense does not give up big plays (#21)
Vanderbilt Front 7 is disruptive (#11)

Vanderbilt Deficiencies
Vanderbilt Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTEXVAN
OverallOver#29#21
OffenseOff#66#25
DefenseDef#6#16
Special TeamsST#58#44
PassingPass#56#13
RushingRush#45#39
Run BlockRBLK#59#67
Pass BlockPBLK#54#112
Route RunningWR Rt#74#1
TacklingTkl#24#83
Run DefenseR Def#8#59
Pass Rush DefPRush#5#30
Coverage DefCov#18#7

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Vanderbilt last year (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: VAN | TEX
Depth Chart: VAN | TEX
Rosters: VAN | TEX
(#11) Texas Info
Power Rating: 26.725 #11
Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1
Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.25 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.58 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Texas has lost 5 straight
Texas has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas Notes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, lots of talent. Top 10 via PFF?
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(5/19) Added QB Caldwell (Troy) post spring
(5/19) DL added 5 via portal, TE Endries (Cal) big add
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in SEC, only 1/5 starters back
(5/2) CB Muhammad, S Taaffe both top 10 via PFF

Texas Highlights
Texas is Undefeated at Home

Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas defense does not give up big plays (#2)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Defensive Line is very good (#16)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Texas Deficiencies
Texas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas offense is not Explosive (#132)
Texas offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#107)
Texas pass game is really bad (#122)
Texas offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia506874%645729.5
Blaze Berlowitz3650%40106.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sedrick Alexander3519735.621
Diego Pavia3012904.315
Makhilyn Young1412328.862
Jamezell Lassiter279239.544
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)12162113.526
Eli Stowers11160114.541
Junior Sherrill87929.921
Martel Hight76409.118

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Steve Gregory
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard (Tr)171130
Nicholas Rinaldi135210
Bryan Longwell114002
Bryce Cowan101120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi135210
C.J. Heard (Tr)171130
Hayden Bray21100
Zaylin Wood32121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell114002
Vanzale Hinton00001
Kolbey Taylor40001

Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning478555%579636.8
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)2367%22007.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Arch Manning2311234.920
CJ Baxter Jr.2411004.618
Jerrick Gibson2510204.114
Tre Wisner168005.013
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Livingstone8198324.883
Jack Endries (Tr)7106215.136
Ryan Wingo997110.828
DeAndre Moore Jr.63606.017

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Pete Kwiatkowski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Taaffe230000
Liona Lefau202001
Anthony Hill Jr.150000
Ty'Anthony Smith121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maraad Watson (Tr)92200
Zina Umeozulu31110
Hero Kanu (Tr)72131
Colin Simmons51120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malik Muhammad80002
Xavier Filsaime00001
Liona Lefau202001