Vanderbilt at Texas Game Matchup
Vanderbilt logo Vanderbilt Commodores at Texas LonghornsTexas logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium - Austin, TX  (SEC)

 
Commodores (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (23 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#91)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
TEX is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Texas -25.5   (SP+ TEX -25)
Projected Score: VAN: 12 - TEX: 38 (49)
TEX Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
VAN Travel: 749 miles
Longhorns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#9)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-29
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-24.5
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-23.5
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU+18
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+5
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+25.5
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-2.5
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+14.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Texas at Ohio State+3.551.5
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-36
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-45
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas vs Sam Houston-48.5
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-6.5
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma-12
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-21
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-24.5
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-25.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+1.5
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-21.5
Sat 11/29 Texas vs Texas A&M-9

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)27.342% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)23.446% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)3349% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)15.342% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1327.322.642.2%4.250.5172951291663.958%42%42%43%15%.17
TEX Defense1615.313.538%2.571.8 - - - - - 50%50%42%34%21%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1323.42246.9%4.221.1 - - - - - 49%51%46%48%16%.25
TEX Offense163340.946.3%4.031.4203931522414.746%54%49%44%16%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1328:3916.644%54%548.30.51.14.81.7431.3
Texas1626:4219.843%54%5.444.31.41.86.22.5131.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1358% (18)42% (93)33.1129.23.916 (90).06 (104)2.8 (105)83% (10)8% (41)0.87 (116)
TEX Defense1650% (59)42% (61) - - - - -.04 (3)2.79 (33)55% (2)14% (8)0.72 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1349% (47)46% (96) - - - - .12 (70)2.98 (62)77% (88)10% (76)0.89 (30)
TEX Offense1646% (98)49% (16)32.6152.24.725 (41).13 (69)2.95 (84)67% (106)11% (97)0.91 (96)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1342% (115)43% (53)12.821.8166.37.61318 (68)4 (1).33 (33)1.7 (37)33% (108)31% (74).32 (75)7% (96)2.1 (64)
TEX Defense1650% (79)34% (7) - - - - - - 20 (2).04 (3)1.4 (14)33% (53)28% (35).14 (7)8% (17)1.6 (3)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1351% (90)48% (125) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (120)1.5 (33)29% (111)36% (122).45 (117)7% (48)2.1 (72)
TEX Offense1654% (34)44% (43)19.629.5240.98.212.335 (3)12 (85).33 (34)1.7 (28)32% (71)38% (9).51 (7)5% (41)2.1 (57)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 8.99 #41
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 20.94 #32
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 11.95 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 768.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #48
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #50

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 8.99   Texas: 31.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 1.7   Texas: 26.4




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 31.065 #3
Texas's Offense Rating: 25.37 #12
Texas's Defense Rating: -5.36 #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1094.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #5
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.0 #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 38
Vanderbilt 12

Projected Total Points: 49
Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.9
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Vanderbilt24Texas27TexasTexas -17.0Vanderbilt50.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas101 Overs
Vanderbilt010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#41) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.99 #41
Offense Rating: 20.94 #32
Defense Rating: 11.95 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #50
Talent Rating: 768.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #48
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Vanderbilt Notes
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/26) Goal is to get back to bowl game TY
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
(5/15) WR Tre Richardson productive & KR @ Washburn
(5/11) 76% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/4) QB Pavia returns. Tough runner, decent passer
(4/4) TE Stowers #1 via PFF, WR returns options
(3/18) RB's bad LY, no portals. Any improvement?
Vanderbilt     Ratings Matchup     Texas
Power #41
#3
Off #32
#12
Def #53
#1
Talent #55
#5
SP+ #55
#5
SP+ Off #63
#16
SP+ Def #50
#1

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Vanderbilt last year (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: VAN | TEX
Depth Chart: VAN | TEX
Rosters: VAN | TEX
(#3) Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 31.065 #3
Offense Rating: 25.37 #12
Defense Rating: -5.36 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.0 #1
Talent Rating: 1094.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #6
Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Texas Notes
(5/19) Added QB Caldwell (Troy) post spring
(5/19) DL added 5 via portal, TE Endries (Cal) big add
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in SEC, only 1/5 starters back
(5/2) CB Muhammad, S Taaffe both top 10 via PFF
(4/30) DE Simmons (PFF #1 DE) dynamic pass rusher
(4/4) LB Anthony Hill #1 LB via PFF
(3/18) RBs Wisner great, Baxter health? Deep
(3/18) WRs lost top 2, lots of talent. Ready?
(3/18) Def great LY, DL rebuild, DB's needed
(1/18) Sark a top coach, ext'd through '31


  
Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia17729859%22932047.7
Eli Stowers1250%17108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Chase Gillespie155103.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338
AJ Newberry7134219.153

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Steve Gregory
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
C.J. Heard (Tr)741001
Randon Fontenette728307
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor147422
Mason Nelson (Tr)319311
Randon Fontenette728307
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014

Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)14122463%16081387.2
Arch Manning619068%9389210.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner226106454.743
Jerrick Gibson7837744.825
Arch Manning2510844.367
Ryan Wingo5100020.055
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Endries (Tr)56623211.157
Emmett Mosley V (Tr)48525610.962
DeAndre Moore Jr.39455711.749
Ryan Wingo27423215.775

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Pete Kwiatkowski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Michael Taaffe7862110
Liona Lefau635202
Jaylon Guilbeau586103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons4814992
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Trey Moore3611761
Brad Spence (Tr)556511
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Taaffe7862110
Malik Muhammad361008
Ethan Burke279214