Vanderbilt at Auburn Game Matchup
Vanderbilt logo Vanderbilt Commodores at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:45 PM EDT)
Auburn -7.5 (48.0) (-278)  Open: -5.0
Vanderbilt 17 - Auburn: 7  (SEC)

 
Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (23 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
VAN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Auburn -9   (SP+ AUB -5)

Projected Score: VAN: 20 - AUB: 29 (50)
AUB Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
VAN Travel: 256 miles
Tigers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech+13.553.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/7 Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State-32.547.5W 55 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Vanderbilt at Georgia State-8.545.5L 32 - 36ON
Sat 9/21 Vanderbilt at Missouri+17.552.0L 27 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Vanderbilt vs Alabama+23.553.5W 40 - 35OY
Sat 10/12 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+12.544.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/19 Vanderbilt vs Ball State-27.557.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 Vanderbilt vs Texas+17.050.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 11/2 Vanderbilt at Auburn+7.548.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/9 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+6.044.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Vanderbilt at LSU+10.053.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/30 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee+9.545.5L 23 - 36ON
Fri 12/27 Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech+3.049.0W 35 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Auburn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Auburn vs Alabama A&M-48.558.5W 73 - 3OY
Sat 9/7 Auburn vs California-11.552.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Auburn vs New Mexico-25.558.5W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/21 Auburn vs Arkansas-2.553.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 9/28 Auburn vs Oklahoma-2.043.0L 21 - 27ON
Sat 10/5 Auburn at Georgia+21.050.0L 13 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Auburn at Missouri+3.549.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Auburn at Kentucky+2.043.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/2 Auburn vs Vanderbilt-7.548.0L 7 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Auburn vs UL Monroe-24.546.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Auburn vs Texas A&M+2.547.0W 43 - 41OY
Sat 11/30 Auburn at Alabama+10.550.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#127 (.05)36% (123)27.337% (124)2.92 (103)9537% (109)2234.09 (50)#131 (.33)45% (106)23.442% (59)48% (131)4.11 (98)42.51.71.3
AUB#93 (.14)41% (80)27.845% (44)3.01 (86)18937% (110)1623.99 (58)#48 (.15)40% (42)21.343% (72)37% (20)3.65 (56)43.81.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1227.322.636.4%4.091.717319952233.342%56%37%37%22%.05
AUB Defense1321.320.840%3.651.4 - - - - - 52%47%43%37%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1223.42244.8%4.111.3 - - - - - 47%52%42%48%15%.33
AUB Offense1327.833.141.3%3.991.5193511891624.856%43%45%37%16%.14

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1228:461733%30%4.942.51.71.35.41.8329.5
Auburn1329:0318.533%50%5.543.81.51.45.52.1229.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1242% (116)37% (124)29.295.33.310 (124)-.01 (128)2.92 (103)74% (63)12% (102)0.96 (91)
AUB Defense1352% (103)43% (72) - - - - .13 (63)2.95 (40)86% (126)10% (57)0.94 (39)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1247% (28)42% (59) - - - - .25 (119)3.08 (61)72% (60)9% (90)1.17 (122)
AUB Offense1356% (20)45% (44)39.51894.822 (51).19 (47)3.01 (86)74% (69)11% (85)1.02 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1256% (21)37% (109)18.132.5223.36.912.423 (51)13 (97).14 (113)1.7 (30)37% (130)25% (113).1 (129)10% (133)2 (91)
AUB Defense1347% (30)37% (20) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (33)1.8 (125)35% (22)31% (79).29 (57)7% (49)2.2 (97)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1252% (100)48% (131) - - - - - - 12 (37).43 (126)1.6 (56)31% (88)37% (126).46 (123)5% (96)1.9 (25)
AUB Offense1343% (114)37% (110)14.524.4162.26.711.218 (81)13 (97).12 (120)1.6 (74)32% (76)25% (117).14 (121)5% (41)1.9 (112)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 2.99 #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
2024 Talent Rating: 770.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 2.99   Auburn: 12.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 4.9   Auburn: 9.5




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 12.735 #27
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Auburn's Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
2024 Talent Rating: 792.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Auburn's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 29
Vanderbilt 20


Projected Total Points: 50
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Auburn's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Auburn7Vanderbilt17VanderbiltAuburn -7.5Vanderbilt48.0Under
202311/04Vanderbilt15Auburn31AuburnAuburn -12.5Auburn50.0Under
201611/05Auburn23Vanderbilt16AuburnAuburn -26Vanderbilt47.0Under
201210/20Vanderbilt17Auburn13Vanderbilt
200810/04Vanderbilt14Auburn13Vanderbilt
200710/06Auburn35Vanderbilt7Auburn
200309/13Vanderbilt7Auburn45Auburn
200209/14Auburn31Vanderbilt6Auburn
200109/29Vanderbilt21Auburn24Auburn
200009/29Auburn33Vanderbilt0Auburn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn710 Overs
Vanderbilt323 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 40 - 30 - 20 - 1
Road Teams4 - 63 - 01 - 02 - 0

(#49) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.99 #49
Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59
Talent Rating: 770.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Vanderbilt     Ratings Matchup     Auburn
Power #49
#27
Off #75
#40
Def #91
#32
Talent #35
#33
SP+ #50
#33
SP+ Off #60
#63
SP+ Def #59
#17

Rematch from Week 10
Auburn -7.5 (48.0)
Vanderbilt won at Auburn this year (17-7)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Auburn last year (17-7)
Auburn beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (31-15)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: VAN | AUB
Depth Chart: VAN | AUB
Rosters: VAN | AUB
(#27) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.735 #27
Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17
Talent Rating: 792.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.42 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position



  
Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)17729859%22932047.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)1333%12004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Nate Johnson (Tr)11114110.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338
Loic Fouonji (Tr)12187015.640

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Clark Lea
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)147422
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Miles Capers458313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014

Auburn's OC Derrick Nix
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Brown274363%403639.4
Walker White2540%18003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damari Alston5227635.336
Jeremiah Cobb2914204.927
Walker White41804.58
Malcolm Simmons41303.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keandre Lambert50981819.667
Cam Coleman37598816.263
Malcolm Simmons40451311.357
Robert Lewis (Tr)1615509.718

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)819312
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)652105
Keldric Faulk4511771
Kaleb Harris441003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk4511771
Demarcus Riddick275321
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)819312
Malik Blocton154210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Crawford150007
Kayin Lee320007
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)652105