Vanderbilt at LSU - 2024 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo   Vanderbilt Commodores at LSU Tigers  LSU logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (7:45 PM EST)
LSU -10 (53.0) (-375)  Open: -11.0
LSU 24 - Vanderbilt: 17  (SEC)

 
Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VAN coming off BYE
Our Line: LSU -14  (SP+ LSU -11)
Projected Score: VAN: 19 - LSU: 33 (52)
LSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
VAN Travel: 470 miles
Tigers (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech+13.553.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/7 Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State-32.547.5W 55 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Vanderbilt at Georgia State-8.545.5L 32 - 36ON
Sat 9/21 Vanderbilt at Missouri+17.552.0L 27 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Vanderbilt vs Alabama+23.553.5W 40 - 35OY
Sat 10/12 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+12.544.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/19 Vanderbilt vs Ball State-27.557.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 Vanderbilt vs Texas+17.050.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 11/2 Vanderbilt at Auburn+7.548.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/9 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+6.044.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Vanderbilt at LSU+10.053.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/30 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee+9.545.5L 23 - 36ON
Fri 12/27 Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech+3.049.0W 35 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
LSU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/1 LSU vs USC-4.066.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/7 LSU vs Nicholls-50.562.0W 44 - 21ON
Sat 9/14 LSU at South Carolina-7.050.0W 36 - 33ON
Sat 9/21 LSU vs UCLA-21.556.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/28 LSU vs South Alabama-21.064.5W 42 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 LSU vs Ole Miss+3.564.5W 29 - 26UY
Sat 10/19 LSU at Arkansas-3.057.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 LSU at Texas A&M+2.054.5L 23 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 LSU vs Alabama+2.557.5L 13 - 42UN
Sat 11/16 LSU at Florida-3.057.0L 16 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 LSU vs Vanderbilt-10.053.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/30 LSU vs Oklahoma-4.547.5W 37 - 17OY
Tue 12/31 LSU vs Baylor+3.062.5W 44 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#127 (.05)36% (123)38.537% (124)2.92 (103)9537% (109)2234.09 (50)#131 (.33)45% (106)22.842% (59)48% (131)4.11 (98)42.51.71.3
LSU#1 (.52)56% (2)22.858% (1)3.9 (1)19754% (3)3094.86 (8)#126 (.32)45% (105)19.845% (92)45% (113)4.55 (126)48.20.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1238.53336.4%4.091.717319952233.342%56%37%37%22%.05
LSU Defense1319.816.944.8%4.551 - - - - - 49%51%45%45%16%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1222.82344.8%4.111.3 - - - - - 47%52%42%48%15%.33
LSU Offense1322.825.756.1%4.860.5245061973096.347%53%58%54%11%.52

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1228:461733%30%4.942.51.71.35.41.8329.5
LSU1326:3723.756%43%5.748.20.515.12129.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1242% (116)37% (124)29.295.33.310 (124)-.01 (128)2.92 (103)74% (63)12% (102)0.96 (91)
LSU Defense1349% (51)45% (92) - - - - .24 (113)3.22 (97)91% (132)10% (79)1.07 (99)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1247% (28)42% (59) - - - - .25 (119)3.08 (61)72% (60)9% (90)1.17 (122)
LSU Offense1347% (95)58% (1)31.21976.332 (10).45 (1)3.9 (1)69% (103)6% (2)1.08 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1256% (21)37% (109)18.132.5223.36.912.423 (51)13 (97).14 (113)1.7 (30)37% (130)25% (113).1 (129)10% (133)2 (91)
LSU Defense1351% (86)45% (113) - - - - - - 10 (67).41 (123)1.7 (112)32% (64)34% (118).56 (132)6% (54)2.5 (132)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1252% (100)48% (131) - - - - - - 12 (37).43 (126)1.6 (56)31% (88)37% (126).46 (123)5% (96)1.9 (25)
LSU Offense1353% (38)54% (3)19.628.2308.61115.741 (2)4 (2).59 (4)1.7 (33)24% (4)45% (1).74 (1)5% (29)2.1 (40)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 2.99  #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12  #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18  #91
2024 Talent Rating: 387.00  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9  #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 2.99   LSU: 17.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 4.9   LSU: 15.9




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.92  #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07  #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72  #59
2024 Talent Rating: 539.00  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 56  #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9  #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 33
Vanderbilt 19

Projected Total Points: 52
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Vanderbilt31LSU24Vanderbilt -1.5Vanderbilt48.5Over
202411/23LSU24Vanderbilt17LSU -10Vanderbilt53.0Under
202010/03Vanderbilt7LSU41LSU -21LSU49.5Under
201909/21Vanderbilt38LSU66LSU -24LSU62.5Over
201009/11Vanderbilt3LSU27
200909/12LSU23Vanderbilt9
200510/08Vanderbilt6LSU34
200410/30LSU24Vanderbilt7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU722 Overs
Vanderbilt122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 41 - 31 - 10 - 2
Road Teams4 - 43 - 12 - 01 - 1

(#49) VAN at (#15) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVANLSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #49 #15
SP+SP+ #50 #15
Perf GradeGrade #81 #55
OffenseOff #77 #62
DefenseDef #100 #53
Spec TeamsST #59 #103
TalentTal #39 #10
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #7
Vanderbilt on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
VAN OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #77 #53
SuccessSuc #123 #105
ExplosiveExp #13 #116
PPAPPA #127 #126
PowerPwr #75 #59
SP+SP+ #60 #33
Pts POPPO #50 #126
HavocHav #132 #69
Vanderbilt Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
VAN OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #81 #96
Run SuccessRSuc #124 #92
Run ExplRExp #91 #99
PPAExp #128 #113
Run BlockR Blk #107 -
OL YdsOLY #103 #97
Stuff RateStuff #95 #103
TackleTak -  #38
Vanderbilt Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
VAN OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #16 #78
Pass SuccessPSuc #109 #113
Pass ExplPExl #30 #112
PPAExp #113 #123
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #127 #6
F7 HavocF7 #102 #79
DB HavocDB #133 #54
LSU on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCatLSU OffVAN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #62 #100
SuccessSuc #2 #106
ExplosiveExp #11 #113
PPAPPA #1 #131
PowerPwr #38 #91
SP+SP+ #11 #59
Pts POPPO #8 #98
HavocHav #5 #101
LSU Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat
LSU OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #89 #65
Run SuccessRSuc #1 #59
Run ExplRExp #27 #122
PPAExp #1 #119
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLY #1 #61
Stuff RateStuff #4 #49
TackleTak -  #105
LSU Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCatLSU OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #29 #106
Pass SuccessPSuc #3 #131
Pass ExplPExl #33 #56
PPAExp #4 #126
Pass Block/RushP Blk #46 #107
F7 HavocF7 #2 #90
DB HavocDB #29 #96
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
LSU -10.0 (53.0)
LSU won vs Vanderbilt this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat LSU last year (31-24)
LSU beat Vanderbilt in 2024 (24-17)

  
VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)17729859%22932047.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)1333%12004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Nate Johnson (Tr)11114110.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Quincy Skinner Jr.29367312.763
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Clark Lea (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
CJ Taylor643013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)147422
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Miles Capers458313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014

LSU's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier33652464%403929127.7
Rickie Collins55100%35007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham13875465.586
Josh Williams11748264.123
Kaleb Jackson4714903.219
Zavion Thomas (Tr)97608.426
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson61875514.376
Kyren Lacy58866914.935
Mason Taylor5554629.933
C.J. Daniels (Tr)42480011.434

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Whit Weeks1118344
Greg Penn III835280
Bradyn Swinson5713983
Jardin Gilbert (Tr)522102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradyn Swinson5713983
Savion Jones407482
Whit Weeks1118344
Dominick McKinley73310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Stamps5000211
Whit Weeks1118344
Zy Alexander333104