Vanderbilt at LSU - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#14)Vanderbilt Commodores at LSU Tigers

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (7:45 PM EST)
LSU -10 (53.0) (-375) Open: -11.0
LSU 24 - Vanderbilt: 17 (SEC)

Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (23 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VAN coming off BYE
Our Line: LSU -14 (SP+ LSU -11)
Projected Score: VAN: 18 - LSU: 32 (50)
LSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
VAN Travel: 470 miles

Tigers (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
LSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	53.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State	-32.5	47.5	W 55 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Vanderbilt at Georgia State	-8.5	45.5	L 32 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/21	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+17.5	52.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Vanderbilt vs Alabama	+23.5	53.5	W 40 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+12.5	44.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Vanderbilt vs Ball State	-27.5	57.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/26	Vanderbilt vs Texas	+17.0	50.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Vanderbilt at Auburn	+7.5	48.0	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+6.0	44.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Vanderbilt at LSU	+10.0	53.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+9.5	45.5	L 23 - 36	O	N
Fri 12/27	Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

LSU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/1	LSU vs USC	-4.0	66.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/7	LSU vs Nicholls	-50.5	62.0	W 44 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/14	LSU at South Carolina	-7.0	50.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 9/21	LSU vs UCLA	-21.5	56.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/28	LSU vs South Alabama	-21.0	64.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	LSU vs Ole Miss	+3.5	64.5	W 29 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/19	LSU at Arkansas	-3.0	57.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	LSU at Texas A&M	+2.0	54.5	L 23 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	LSU vs Alabama	+2.5	57.5	L 13 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/16	LSU at Florida	-3.0	57.0	L 16 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	LSU vs Vanderbilt	-10.0	53.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/30	LSU vs Oklahoma	-4.5	47.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Tue 12/31	LSU vs Baylor	+3.0	62.5	W 44 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)	27.3	42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)	23.4	46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)	30.5	42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)	24.3	41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)		42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)		46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)		42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)		41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	13	27.3	22.6	42.2%	4.25	0.5	17	295	129	166	3.9	58%	42%	42%	43%	15%	.17
LSU Defense	13	24.3	21.4	41.1%	3.44	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	41%	18%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	13	23.4	22	46.9%	4.22	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	46%	48%	16%	.25
LSU Offense	13	30.5	31.9	44.9%	3.99	1.2	22	399	108	291	4.1	39%	61%	42%	47%	13%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	13	28:39	16.6	44%	54%	5	48.3	0.5	1.1	4.8	1.7	4	31.3
LSU	13	29:47	22.1	50%	50%	5.8	45.7	1.2	1	5.1	2.5	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	13	58% (18)	42% (93)	33.1	129.2	3.9	16 (90)	.06 (104)	2.8 (105)	83% (10)	8% (41)	0.87 (116)
LSU Defense	13	51% (67)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	.18 (97)	2.94 (55)	84% (125)	12% (29)	1.23 (132)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	13	49% (47)	46% (96)	-	-	-	-	.12 (70)	2.98 (62)	77% (88)	10% (76)	0.89 (30)
LSU Offense	13	39% (128)	42% (89)	26.4	108.2	4.1	14 (98)	.12 (79)	2.92 (90)	82% (13)	6% (5)	0.89 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	13	42% (115)	43% (53)	12.8	21.8	166.3	7.6	13	18 (68)	4 (1)	.33 (33)	1.7 (37)	33% (108)	31% (74)	.32 (75)	7% (96)	2.1 (64)
LSU Defense	13	49% (69)	41% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.25 (75)	1.6 (68)	35% (28)	31% (76)	.36 (93)	7% (41)	2.2 (104)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	13	51% (90)	48% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.37 (120)	1.5 (33)	29% (111)	36% (122)	.45 (117)	7% (48)	2.1 (72)
LSU Offense	13	61% (7)	47% (24)	24.5	38.4	290.8	7.6	11.9	26 (26)	11 (72)	.33 (37)	1.5 (96)	33% (89)	37% (16)	.42 (28)	7% (97)	2 (84)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 2.99 #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 2.99 LSU: 17.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 4.9 LSU: 15.9

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.92 #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56 #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 32
Vanderbilt 18

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Vanderbilt 27
LSU 15

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
LSU 27
Vanderbilt 24

Total Points: 51

LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Vanderbilt	31	LSU	24	Vanderbilt -1.5	Vanderbilt	48.5	Over
2024	11/23	LSU	24	Vanderbilt	17	LSU -10	Vanderbilt	53.0	Under
2020	10/03	Vanderbilt	7	LSU	41	LSU -21	LSU	49.5	Under
2019	09/21	Vanderbilt	38	LSU	66	LSU -24	LSU	62.5	Over
2010	09/11	Vanderbilt	3	LSU	27
2009	09/12	LSU	23	Vanderbilt	9
2005	10/08	Vanderbilt	6	LSU	34
2004	10/30	LSU	24	Vanderbilt	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	7	2	2 Overs
Vanderbilt	1	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 4	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 4	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1

(#49) VAN at (#15) LSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VAN	LSU
Power RatePwr	#49	#15
SP+SP+	#50	#15
Perf GradeGrade	#81	#55
OffenseOff	#77	#62
DefenseDef	#100	#53
Spec TeamsST	#59	#103
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#7

Vanderbilt Injury Report

LSU Injury Report

Vanderbilt on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	LSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#77	#53
SuccessSuc	#75	#60
ExplosiveExp	#108	#118
PPAPPA	#76	#92
PowerPwr	#75	#59
SP+SP+	#60	#33
Pts POPPO	#34	#30
HavocHav	#52	#30

Vanderbilt Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	#81	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	#93	#54
Run ExplRExp	#116	#132
PPAExp	#104	#97
Run BlockR Blk	#107	-
OL YdsOLY	#105	#55
Stuff RateStuff	#117	#50
TackleTak	-	#38

Vanderbilt Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	#16	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	#53	#73
Pass ExplPExl	#37	#68
PPAExp	#33	#75
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#127	#6
F7 HavocF7	#41	#29
DB HavocDB	#96	#41

LSU on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	VAN Def
Perf GradePerf	#62	#100
SuccessSuc	#38	#121
ExplosiveExp	#57	#38
PPAPPA	#30	#111
PowerPwr	#38	#91
SP+SP+	#11	#59
Pts POPPO	#60	#109
HavocHav	#26	#65

LSU Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#89	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	#89	#96
Run ExplRExp	#103	#30
PPAExp	#79	#70
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	#90	#62
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#39
TackleTak	-	#105

LSU Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#29	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	#24	#125
Pass ExplPExl	#96	#33
PPAExp	#37	#120
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#46	#107
F7 HavocF7	#5	#76
DB HavocDB	#97	#48

Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 50°

Rematch from Week 13
LSU -10.0 (53.0)
LSU won vs Vanderbilt this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Vanderbilt last year (24-17)

VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)	177	298	59%	2293	20	4	7.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)	1	3	33%	12	0	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)	193	800	8	4.1	36
Sedrick Alexander	164	586	6	3.6	31
AJ Newberry	41	185	3	4.5	20
Nate Johnson (Tr)	11	114	1	10.4	56

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)	49	638	5	13.0	41
Junior Sherrill	29	411	3	14.2	43
Quincy Skinner Jr.	29	367	3	12.7	63
Sedrick Alexander	23	238	1	10.3	38

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Clark Lea (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Longwell	88	8	2	2	4
Langston Patterson	78	5	0	0	2
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
CJ Taylor	64	3	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nicholas Rinaldi	52	6	6	0	0
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)	14	7	4	2	2
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
Miles Capers	45	8	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
Bryan Longwell	88	8	2	2	4
Martel Hight	33	2	0	1	4

LSU's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Nussmeier	336	524	64%	4039	29	12	7.7
Rickie Collins	5	5	100%	35	0	0	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caden Durham	138	754	6	5.5	86
Josh Williams	117	482	6	4.1	23
Kaleb Jackson	47	149	0	3.2	19
Zavion Thomas (Tr)	9	76	0	8.4	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aaron Anderson	61	875	5	14.3	76
Kyren Lacy	58	866	9	14.9	35
Mason Taylor	55	546	2	9.9	33
C.J. Daniels (Tr)	42	480	0	11.4	34

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Greg Penn III	83	5	2	8	0
Bradyn Swinson	57	13	9	8	3
Jardin Gilbert (Tr)	52	2	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradyn Swinson	57	13	9	8	3
Savion Jones	40	7	4	8	2
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Dominick McKinley	7	3	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ashton Stamps	50	0	0	2	11
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Zy Alexander	33	3	1	0	4