Georgia Tech at Vanderbilt - 2024 Matchup Preview
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Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Vanderbilt Commodores

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Friday, December 27th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Georgia Tech -3 (49.0) (-142)  Open: 0.0
Vanderbilt 35 - Georgia Tech: 27  (Birmingham Bowl)

 
Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (31 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Georgia Tech -0.5  (SP+ VAN -3)

Projected Score: GT: 28 - VAN: 27 (55)
GT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
GT Travel: 140 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24Georgia Tech vs Florida State+10.0W24–2154.5W24–21UY
Sat 8/31Georgia Tech vs Georgia State-20.5W35–1257.0W35–12UY
Sat 9/7Georgia Tech at Syracuse-2.5L28–3160.5L28–31UN
Sat 9/14Georgia Tech vs VMI-42.5W59–753.5W59–7OY
Sat 9/21Georgia Tech at Louisville+9.5L19–3156.0L19–31UN
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/5Georgia Tech vs Duke-10.0W24–1452.5W24–14UN
Sat 10/12Georgia Tech at North Carolina-3.5W41–3460.5W41–34OY
Sat 10/19Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame+14.0L13–3149.5L13–31UN
Sat 10/26Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech+11.0L6–2152.0L6–21UN
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/9Georgia Tech vs Miami+9.5W28–2364.5W28–23UY
— Bye Week —
Thu 11/21Georgia Tech vs NC State-7.5W30–2951.5W30–29ON
Fri 11/29Georgia Tech at Georgia+17.5L42–4448.5L42–44OY
Fri 12/27Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt-3.0L27–3549.0L27–35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech+13.5W34–2753.5W34–27OY
Sat 9/7Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State-32.5W55–047.5W55–0OY
Sat 9/14Vanderbilt at Georgia State-8.5L32–3645.5L32–36ON
Sat 9/21Vanderbilt at Missouri+17.5L27–3052.0L27–30OY
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/5Vanderbilt vs Alabama+23.5W40–3553.5W40–35OY
Sat 10/12Vanderbilt at Kentucky+12.5W20–1344.5W20–13UY
Sat 10/19Vanderbilt vs Ball State-27.5W24–1457.5W24–14UN
Sat 10/26Vanderbilt vs Texas+17.0L24–2750.5L24–27OY
Sat 11/2Vanderbilt at Auburn+7.5W17–748.0W17–7UY
Sat 11/9Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+6.0L7–2844.5L7–28UN
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/23Vanderbilt at LSU+10.0L17–2453.0L17–24UY
Sat 11/30Vanderbilt vs Tennessee+9.5L23–3645.5L23–36ON
Fri 12/27Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech+3.0W35–2749.0W35–27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GT#32 (.28)45% (36)32.249% (19)3.53 (6)20442% (62)2214.27 (31)#100 (.23)46% (119)2548% (120)44% (100)3.83 (72)44.81.61.9
VAN#127 (.05)36% (123)38.537% (124)2.92 (103)9537% (109)2234.09 (50)#131 (.33)45% (106)22.842% (59)48% (131)4.11 (98)42.51.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GT Offense1332.231.245.1%4.271.6224252042215.455%43%49%42%17%.28
VAN Defense1222.821.144.8%4.111.3 - - - - - 47%52%42%48%15%.33
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GT Defense132529.845.7%3.831.9 - - - - - 57%42%48%44%18%.23
VAN Offense1238.54436.4%4.091.717319952233.342%56%37%37%22%.05

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Tech1328:3922.243%52%5.244.81.61.94.41.7031.2
Vanderbilt1228:461733%30%4.942.51.71.35.41.8329.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GT Offense1355% (30)49% (19)37.8203.85.424 (41).27 (12)3.53 (6)75% (52)11% (78)1.03 (49)
VAN Defense1247% (28)42% (59) - - - - .25 (119)3.08 (61)72% (60)9% (90)1.17 (122)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GT Defense1357% (128)48% (120) - - - - .24 (116)3.49 (128)87% (129)10% (81)0.97 (52)
VAN Offense1242% (116)37% (124)29.295.33.310 (124)-.01 (128)2.92 (103)74% (63)12% (102)0.96 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GT Offense1343% (107)42% (62)17.829.2220.87.612.427 (25)17 (127).37 (31)1.8 (10)30% (40)32% (58).43 (36)7% (102)2.3 (8)
VAN Defense1252% (100)48% (131) - - - - - - 12 (37).43 (126)1.6 (56)31% (88)37% (126).46 (123)5% (96)1.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GT Defense1342% (5)44% (100) - - - - - - 15 (15).29 (86)1.5 (41)29% (124)31% (88).32 (73)8% (8)2 (65)
VAN Offense1256% (21)37% (109)18.132.5223.36.912.423 (51)13 (97).14 (113)1.7 (30)37% (130)25% (113).1 (129)10% (133)2 (91)

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 6.96  #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04  #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07  #79
2024 Talent Rating: 728.00  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9  #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 6.96   Vanderbilt: 3.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 1.9   Vanderbilt: 4.9




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 3.945  #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12  #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18  #91
2024 Talent Rating: 770.00  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9  #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Tech 28
Vanderbilt 27


Projected Total Points: 55
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/27Vanderbilt35Georgia Tech27Georgia Tech -3Vanderbilt49.0Over
201609/17Georgia Tech38Vanderbilt7Georgia Tech -7.5Georgia Tech45.0Push
200910/31Vanderbilt31Georgia Tech56
200309/27Vanderbilt17Georgia Tech24
200208/31Georgia Tech45Vanderbilt3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt111 Overs
Georgia Tech410 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 22 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams2 - 30 - 20 - 10 - 1

Georgia Tech Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Birmingham Bowl Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt-3.049.0L 27 - 35
2023Gasparilla Bowl Georgia Tech vs UCF+6.066.5W 30 - 17
2018Lane Bowl Georgia Tech vs Minnesota-5.557.0L 10 - 34
Vanderbilt Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Birmingham Bowl Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech+3.049.0W 35 - 27
2018Texas Bowl Vanderbilt vs Baylor-4.056.5L 38 - 45
  
(#38) GT at (#49) VAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatGTVAN
Game ControlGC #87 #135
Momentum ControlMC #47 #110
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #38 #49
SP+SP+ #66 #50
Perf GradeGrade #61 #81
OffenseOff #48 #77
DefenseDef #93 #100
Spec TeamsST #7 #59
TalentTal #52 #35
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #65
Georgia Tech Notes
(11/30) 563 yds @ UGA. King was heroic, DB's hurt/bad
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing
(8/24) DL much better than expected vs FSU
(8/19) Huge gap between Off & Def, new DC TY
(8/19) Over bet watch. Faulkner's Off good, Def bad
(8/19) 4/5 OL return, RB Haynes great, Run game v good
Georgia Tech Injury Report
Georgia Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
GT OffVAN Def
Game ControlGC #85 #134
Momentum ControlMC #16 #114
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #48 #100
SuccessSuc #36 #106
ExplosiveExp #29 #113
PPAPPA #32 #131
PowerPwr #14 #91
SP+SP+ #42 #59
Pts POPPO #31 #98
HavocHav #92 #101
Georgia Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
GT OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #84 #65
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #59
Run ExplRExp #49 #122
PPAExp #12 #119
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLY #6 #61
Stuff RateStuff #20 #49
TackleTak -  #105
Georgia Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
GT OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #15 #106
Pass SuccessPSuc #62 #131
Pass ExplPExl #10 #56
PPAExp #31 #126
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #25 #107
F7 HavocF7 #78 #90
DB HavocDB #102 #96
Vanderbilt on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatVAN OffGT Def
Game ControlGC #135 #81
Momentum ControlMC #86 #88
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #77 #93
SuccessSuc #123 #119
ExplosiveExp #13 #18
PPAPPA #127 #100
PowerPwr #75 #79
SP+SP+ #60 #79
Pts POPPO #50 #72
HavocHav #132 #34
Vanderbilt Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
VAN OffGT Def
Run GameRun #81 #67
Run SuccessRSuc #124 #120
Run ExplRExp #91 #52
PPAExp #128 #116
Run BlockR Blk #107 -
OL YdsOLY #103 #128
Stuff RateStuff #95 #106
TackleTak -  #124
Vanderbilt Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatVAN OffGT Def
Pass GamePass #16 #100
Pass SuccessPSuc #109 #100
Pass ExplPExl #30 #41
PPAExp #113 #86
Pass Block/RushP Blk #127 #115
F7 HavocF7 #102 #81
DB HavocDB #133 #8
Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Georgia Tech 3.0 (49.0)
Vanderbilt won vs Georgia Tech this year (35-27)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Georgia Tech in 2024 (35-27)

  
GT's OC Buster Faulkner (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King19626973%21141427.9
Aaron Philo387451%565127.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamal Haynes16894495.668
Haynes King126577114.630
Chad Alexander5828014.828
Eric Singleton Jr.2113116.235
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr.56754313.557
Malik Rutherford62702311.352
Avery Boyd25316212.633
Chase Lane24283311.832

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Tyler Santucci (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Ahmari Harvey623002
Trenilyas Tatum556202
Clayton Powell-Lee532113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Sylvain Yondjouen246375
Romello Height (Tr)347340
Trenilyas Tatum556202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sylvain Yondjouen246375
Warren Burrell (Tr)270004
Rodney Shelley195014

VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)17729859%22932047.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)1333%12004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Nate Johnson (Tr)11114110.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Quincy Skinner Jr.29367312.763
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Clark Lea (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
CJ Taylor643013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)147422
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Miles Capers458313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014