Georgia Tech at Vanderbilt - 2024 Matchup Preview

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Friday, December 27th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Georgia Tech -3 (49.0) (-142) Open: 0.0
Vanderbilt 35 - Georgia Tech: 27 (Birmingham Bowl)

Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (31 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Georgia Tech -0.5 (SP+ VAN -3)
Projected Score: GT: 28 - VAN: 27 (55)
GT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
GT Travel: 140 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
GT Players
VAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/24	Georgia Tech vs Florida State	+10.0	54.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 8/31	Georgia Tech vs Georgia State	-20.5	57.0	W 35 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia Tech at Syracuse	-2.5	60.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia Tech vs VMI	-42.5	53.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Georgia Tech at Louisville	+9.5	56.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Georgia Tech vs Duke	-10.0	52.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/12	Georgia Tech at North Carolina	-3.5	60.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame	+14.0	49.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/26	Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech	+11.0	52.0	L 6 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Georgia Tech vs Miami	+9.5	64.5	W 28 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21	Georgia Tech vs NC State	-7.5	51.5	W 30 - 29	O	N
Fri 11/29	Georgia Tech at Georgia	+17.5	48.5	L 42 - 44	O	Y
Fri 12/27	Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt	-3.0	49.0	L 27 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	53.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State	-32.5	47.5	W 55 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Vanderbilt at Georgia State	-8.5	45.5	L 32 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/21	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+17.5	52.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Vanderbilt vs Alabama	+23.5	53.5	W 40 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+12.5	44.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Vanderbilt vs Ball State	-27.5	57.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/26	Vanderbilt vs Texas	+17.0	50.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Vanderbilt at Auburn	+7.5	48.0	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+6.0	44.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Vanderbilt at LSU	+10.0	53.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+9.5	45.5	L 23 - 36	O	N
Fri 12/27	Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT	#32 (.28)	45% (36)	32.2	49% (19)	3.53 (6)	204	42% (62)	221	4.27 (31)	#100 (.23)	46% (119)	25	48% (120)	44% (100)	3.83 (72)	44.8	1.6	1.9
VAN	#127 (.05)	36% (123)	38.5	37% (124)	2.92 (103)	95	37% (109)	223	4.09 (50)	#131 (.33)	45% (106)	22.8	42% (59)	48% (131)	4.11 (98)	42.5	1.7	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Offense	13	32.2	31.2	45.1%	4.27	1.6	22	425	204	221	5.4	55%	43%	49%	42%	17%	.28
VAN Defense	12	22.8	21.1	44.8%	4.11	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	42%	48%	15%	.33

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Defense	13	25	29.8	45.7%	3.83	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	48%	44%	18%	.23
VAN Offense	12	38.5	44	36.4%	4.09	1.7	17	319	95	223	3.3	42%	56%	37%	37%	22%	.05

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Tech	13	28:39	22.2	43%	52%	5.2	44.8	1.6	1.9	4.4	1.7	0	31.2
Vanderbilt	12	28:46	17	33%	30%	4.9	42.5	1.7	1.3	5.4	1.8	3	29.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Offense	13	55% (30)	49% (19)	37.8	203.8	5.4	24 (41)	.27 (12)	3.53 (6)	75% (52)	11% (78)	1.03 (49)
VAN Defense	12	47% (28)	42% (59)	-	-	-	-	.25 (119)	3.08 (61)	72% (60)	9% (90)	1.17 (122)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Defense	13	57% (128)	48% (120)	-	-	-	-	.24 (116)	3.49 (128)	87% (129)	10% (81)	0.97 (52)
VAN Offense	12	42% (116)	37% (124)	29.2	95.3	3.3	10 (124)	-.01 (128)	2.92 (103)	74% (63)	12% (102)	0.96 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Offense	13	43% (107)	42% (62)	17.8	29.2	220.8	7.6	12.4	27 (25)	17 (127)	.37 (31)	1.8 (10)	30% (40)	32% (58)	.43 (36)	7% (102)	2.3 (8)
VAN Defense	12	52% (100)	48% (131)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.43 (126)	1.6 (56)	31% (88)	37% (126)	.46 (123)	5% (96)	1.9 (25)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Defense	13	42% (5)	44% (100)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.29 (86)	1.5 (41)	29% (124)	31% (88)	.32 (73)	8% (8)	2 (65)
VAN Offense	12	56% (21)	37% (109)	18.1	32.5	223.3	6.9	12.4	23 (51)	13 (97)	.14 (113)	1.7 (30)	37% (130)	25% (113)	.1 (129)	10% (133)	2 (91)

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 6.96 #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
2024 Talent Rating: 367.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 6.96 Vanderbilt: 3.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 1.9 Vanderbilt: 4.9

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 3.945 #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
2024 Talent Rating: 387.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Tech 28
Vanderbilt 27

Projected Total Points: 55

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	12/27	Vanderbilt	35	Georgia Tech	27	Georgia Tech -3	Vanderbilt	49.0	Over
2016	09/17	Georgia Tech	38	Vanderbilt	7	Georgia Tech -7.5	Georgia Tech	45.0	Push
2009	10/31	Vanderbilt	31	Georgia Tech	56
2003	09/27	Vanderbilt	17	Georgia Tech	24
2002	08/31	Georgia Tech	45	Vanderbilt	3

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Vanderbilt	1	1	1 Overs
Georgia Tech	4	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

Georgia Tech Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Birmingham Bowl	Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt	-3.0	49.0	L 27 - 35
2023	Gasparilla Bowl	Georgia Tech vs UCF	+6.0	66.5	W 30 - 17
2018	Lane Bowl	Georgia Tech vs Minnesota	-5.5	57.0	L 10 - 34

Vanderbilt Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Birmingham Bowl	Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 35 - 27
2018	Texas Bowl	Vanderbilt vs Baylor	-4.0	56.5	L 38 - 45

(#38) GT at (#49) VAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GT	VAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#38	#49
SP+SP+	#66	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#61	#81
OffenseOff	#48	#77
DefenseDef	#93	#100
Spec TeamsST	#7	#59
TalentTal	#52	#39
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#65

Georgia Tech Notes(11/30) 563 yds @ UGA. King was heroic, DB's hurt/bad
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing
(8/24) DL much better than expected vs FSU
(8/19) Huge gap between Off & Def, new DC TY
(8/19) Over bet watch. Faulkner's Off good, Def bad
(8/19) 4/5 OL return, RB Haynes great, Run game v good
Georgia Tech Injury Report

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Georgia Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	GT Off	VAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#48	#100
SuccessSuc	#36	#106
ExplosiveExp	#29	#113
PPAPPA	#32	#131
PowerPwr	#14	#91
SP+SP+	#42	#59
Pts POPPO	#31	#98
HavocHav	#92	#101

Georgia Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	GT Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#84	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	#19	#59
Run ExplRExp	#49	#122
PPAExp	#12	#119
Run BlockR Blk	#82	-
OL YdsOLY	#6	#61
Stuff RateStuff	#20	#49
TackleTak	-	#105

Georgia Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	GT Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	#62	#131
Pass ExplPExl	#10	#56
PPAExp	#31	#126
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#25	#107
F7 HavocF7	#78	#90
DB HavocDB	#102	#96

Vanderbilt on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	GT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#77	#93
SuccessSuc	#123	#119
ExplosiveExp	#13	#18
PPAPPA	#127	#100
PowerPwr	#75	#79
SP+SP+	#60	#79
Pts POPPO	#50	#72
HavocHav	#132	#34

Vanderbilt Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	GT Def
Run GameRun	#81	#67
Run SuccessRSuc	#124	#120
Run ExplRExp	#91	#52
PPAExp	#128	#116
Run BlockR Blk	#107	-
OL YdsOLY	#103	#128
Stuff RateStuff	#95	#106
TackleTak	-	#124

Vanderbilt Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	GT Def
Pass GamePass	#16	#100
Pass SuccessPSuc	#109	#100
Pass ExplPExl	#30	#41
PPAExp	#113	#86
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#127	#115
F7 HavocF7	#102	#81
DB HavocDB	#133	#8

Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Georgia Tech 3.0 (49.0)
Vanderbilt won vs Georgia Tech this year (35-27)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Georgia Tech in 2024 (35-27)

GT's OC Buster Faulkner (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Haynes King	196	269	73%	2114	14	2	7.9
Aaron Philo	38	74	51%	565	1	2	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamal Haynes	168	944	9	5.6	68
Haynes King	126	577	11	4.6	30
Chad Alexander	58	280	1	4.8	28
Eric Singleton Jr.	21	131	1	6.2	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr.	56	754	3	13.5	57
Malik Rutherford	62	702	3	11.3	52
Avery Boyd	25	316	2	12.6	33
Chase Lane	24	283	3	11.8	32

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Tyler Santucci (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Ahmari Harvey	62	3	0	0	2
Trenilyas Tatum	55	6	2	0	2
Clayton Powell-Lee	53	2	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Sylvain Yondjouen	24	6	3	7	5
Romello Height (Tr)	34	7	3	4	0
Trenilyas Tatum	55	6	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sylvain Yondjouen	24	6	3	7	5
Warren Burrell (Tr)	27	0	0	0	4
Rodney Shelley	19	5	0	1	4

VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)	177	298	59%	2293	20	4	7.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)	1	3	33%	12	0	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)	193	800	8	4.1	36
Sedrick Alexander	164	586	6	3.6	31
AJ Newberry	41	185	3	4.5	20
Nate Johnson (Tr)	11	114	1	10.4	56

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)	49	638	5	13.0	41
Junior Sherrill	29	411	3	14.2	43
Quincy Skinner Jr.	29	367	3	12.7	63
Sedrick Alexander	23	238	1	10.3	38

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Clark Lea (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Longwell	88	8	2	2	4
Langston Patterson	78	5	0	0	2
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
CJ Taylor	64	3	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nicholas Rinaldi	52	6	6	0	0
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)	14	7	4	2	2
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
Miles Capers	45	8	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
Bryan Longwell	88	8	2	2	4
Martel Hight	33	2	0	1	4