Tennessee at Vanderbilt - 2024 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo (#19)Tennessee Volunteers at Vanderbilt Commodores(#14)Vanderbilt logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Tennessee -9.5 (45.5) (-425)  Open: -10.5 | 48.5
Tennessee 36 - Vanderbilt: 23  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (27 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (22 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -12  (SP+ TENN -17)

Projected Score: TENN: 29 - VAN: 17 (46)
TENN Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TENN Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Tennessee vs Chattanooga-38.556.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/7 Tennessee vs NC State-10.060.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 9/14 Tennessee vs Kent State-49.561.5W 71 - 0OY
Sat 9/21 Tennessee at Oklahoma-6.057.0W 25 - 15UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Tennessee at Arkansas-14.057.5L 14 - 19UN
Sat 10/12 Tennessee vs Florida-13.554.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Tennessee vs Alabama+3.557.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Tennessee vs Kentucky-17.545.5W 28 - 18ON
Sat 11/9 Tennessee vs Mississippi State-26.561.5W 33 - 14UN
Sat 11/16 Tennessee at Georgia+8.547.0L 17 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 Tennessee vs UTEP-41.554.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 11/30 Tennessee at Vanderbilt-9.545.5W 36 - 23OY
Sat 12/21 Tennessee at Ohio State+7.547.0L 17 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech+13.553.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/7 Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State-32.547.5W 55 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Vanderbilt at Georgia State-8.545.5L 32 - 36ON
Sat 9/21 Vanderbilt at Missouri+17.552.0L 27 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Vanderbilt vs Alabama+23.553.5W 40 - 35OY
Sat 10/12 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+12.544.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/19 Vanderbilt vs Ball State-27.557.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 Vanderbilt vs Texas+17.050.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 11/2 Vanderbilt at Auburn+7.548.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/9 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+6.044.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Vanderbilt at LSU+10.053.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/30 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee+9.545.5L 23 - 36ON
Fri 12/27 Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech+3.049.0W 35 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)35.748% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)16.136% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)27.342% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)23.446% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1335.721.847.4%4.021.2234482272215.157%43%48%47%12%.23
VAN Defense1323.423.946.9%4.221.1 - - - - - 49%51%46%48%16%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1316.12637.6%3.031.6 - - - - - 48%51%36%39%21%.07
VAN Offense1327.329.642.2%4.250.5172951291663.958%42%42%43%15%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1329:3523.347%61%8.166.81.21.67.22.2231.6
Vanderbilt1328:3916.644%54%548.30.51.14.81.7431.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1357% (23)48% (23)44.7226.85.134 (10).18 (39)3.4 (13)86% (2)8% (33)0.87 (115)
VAN Defense1349% (47)46% (96) - - - - .12 (70)2.98 (62)77% (88)10% (76)0.89 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1348% (42)36% (9) - - - - .01 (17)2.61 (17)62% (15)14% (5)0.98 (65)
VAN Offense1358% (18)42% (93)33.1129.23.916 (90).06 (104)2.8 (105)83% (10)8% (41)0.87 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1343% (111)47% (19)18.228.7221.27.712.221 (51)7 (26).29 (51)1.5 (113)29% (25)34% (41).38 (50)4% (13)1.9 (114)
VAN Defense1351% (90)48% (125) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (120)1.5 (33)29% (111)36% (122).45 (117)7% (48)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1351% (87)39% (48) - - - - - - 12 (39).16 (32)1.5 (38)33% (46)31% (74).33 (80)7% (39)2 (44)
VAN Offense1342% (115)43% (53)12.821.8166.37.61318 (68)4 (1).33 (33)1.7 (37)33% (108)31% (74).32 (75)7% (96)2.1 (64)

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 15.13  #14
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.60  #61
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.79  #16
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44%  #12
Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.0  #9
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7  #23
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5  #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 15.13   Vanderbilt: 6.445

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 22.0   Vanderbilt: 4.9




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 6.445  #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12  #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18  #91
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9  #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 29
Vanderbilt 17


Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Tennessee 25
Vanderbilt 20

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 26
Vanderbilt 25

Total Points: 51
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Tennessee24Vanderbilt45Tennessee -2.0Vanderbilt66.5Over
202411/30Vanderbilt23Tennessee36Tennessee -9.5Tennessee45.5Over
202311/25Tennessee48Vanderbilt24Tennessee -27.0Vanderbilt58.0Over
202211/26Vanderbilt0Tennessee56Tennessee -14Tennessee63.5Under
202111/27Tennessee45Vanderbilt21Tennessee -33Vanderbilt65.0Over
202012/12Vanderbilt17Tennessee42Tennessee -15Tennessee51.0Over
201911/30Tennessee28Vanderbilt10Tennessee -23Vanderbilt48.0Under
201811/24Vanderbilt38Tennessee13Vanderbilt -3.5Vanderbilt51.5Under
201711/25Tennessee24Vanderbilt42Tennessee -2.5Vanderbilt45.5Over
201611/26Vanderbilt45Tennessee34Tennessee -10Vanderbilt50.0Over
201511/28Tennessee53Vanderbilt28Tennessee -17.5Tennessee41.0Over
201411/29Vanderbilt17Tennessee24Tennessee -14.5Vanderbilt0
201311/23Tennessee10Vanderbilt14Tennessee -2.5Vanderbilt0
201211/17Vanderbilt41Tennessee18
201111/19Tennessee27Vanderbilt21
201011/20Vanderbilt10Tennessee24
200911/21Tennessee31Vanderbilt16
200811/22Vanderbilt10Tennessee20
200711/17Tennessee25Vanderbilt24
200611/18Vanderbilt10Tennessee39
200511/19Tennessee24Vanderbilt28
200411/20Vanderbilt33Tennessee38
200311/22Tennessee48Vanderbilt0
200111/24Tennessee38Vanderbilt0
200011/24Vanderbilt26Tennessee28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt798 Overs
Tennessee1843 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 134 - 92 - 62 - 3
Road Teams13 - 129 - 43 - 26 - 2

(#14) TENN at (#49) VAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTENNVAN
Power RatePwr #14 #49
SP+SP+ #9 #50
Perf GradeGrade #21 #81
OffenseOff #57 #77
DefenseDef #19 #100
Spec TeamsST #42 #59
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #12 #65
Tennessee on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
TENN OffVAN Def
Perf GradePerf #57 #100
SuccessSuc #18 #121
ExplosiveExp #128 #38
PPAPPA #46 #111
PowerPwr #61 #91
SP+SP+ #23 #59
Pts POPPO #55 #109
HavocHav #15 #65
Tennessee Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
TENN OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #25 #65
Run SuccessRSuc #23 #96
Run ExplRExp #115 #30
PPAExp #39 #70
Run BlockR Blk #89 -
OL YdsOLY #13 #62
Stuff RateStuff #4 #39
TackleTak -  #105
Tennessee Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
TENN OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #21 #106
Pass SuccessPSuc #19 #125
Pass ExplPExl #113 #33
PPAExp #51 #120
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #75 #107
F7 HavocF7 #33 #76
DB HavocDB #13 #48
Vanderbilt on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatVAN OffTENN Def
Perf GradePerf #77 #19
SuccessSuc #75 #17
ExplosiveExp #108 #58
PPAPPA #76 #13
PowerPwr #75 #16
SP+SP+ #60 #6
Pts POPPO #34 #10
HavocHav #52 #5
Vanderbilt Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
VAN OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #81 #14
Run SuccessRSuc #93 #9
Run ExplRExp #116 #65
PPAExp #104 #17
Run BlockR Blk #107 -
OL YdsOLY #105 #17
Stuff RateStuff #117 #15
TackleTak -  #29
Vanderbilt Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatVAN OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #16 #27
Pass SuccessPSuc #53 #48
Pass ExplPExl #37 #38
PPAExp #33 #32
Pass Block/RushP Blk #127 #13
F7 HavocF7 #41 #5
DB HavocDB #96 #39
Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 38°
Rematch from Week 14
Tennessee 9.5 (45.5)
Tennessee won at Vanderbilt this year (36-23)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt last year (36-23)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (48-24)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (56-0)

  
TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava21333464%26161957.8
Gaston Moore162759%201227.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Sampson2581491225.856
DeSean Bishop7445536.153
Nico Iamaleava10936433.331
Peyton Lewis6433935.335
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dont'E Thornton26661625.486
Bru McCoy39472212.142
Squirrel White34381211.245
Chris Brazzell II (Tr)29333211.553

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter687036
Will Brooks594115
Jermod McCoy (Tr)441007
Jeremiah Telander434111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.38138101
Omarr Norman-Lott184430
Jaxson Moi (Tr)165201
Tyre West165220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermod McCoy (Tr)441007
Arion Carter687036
Will Brooks594115

VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)17729859%22932047.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)1333%12004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Nate Johnson (Tr)11114110.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Quincy Skinner Jr.29367312.763
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Clark Lea (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
CJ Taylor643013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)147422
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Miles Capers458313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014