Tennessee at Vanderbilt - 2024 Matchup Preview

Tennessee Volunteers at Vanderbilt Commodores

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Tennessee -9.5 (45.5) (-425) Open: -10.5 | 48.5
Tennessee 36 - Vanderbilt: 23 (SEC)

Volunteers (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (27 - 12)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TENN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -12 (SP+ TENN -17)
Projected Score: TENN: 34 - VAN: 22 (55)
TENN Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TENN Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TENN Players
VAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Tennessee vs Chattanooga	-38.5	56.5	W 69 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Tennessee vs NC State	-10.0	60.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Tennessee vs Kent State	-49.5	61.5	W 71 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Tennessee at Oklahoma	-6.0	57.0	W 25 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Tennessee at Arkansas	-14.0	57.5	L 14 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/12	Tennessee vs Florida	-13.5	54.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/19	Tennessee vs Alabama	+3.5	57.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Tennessee vs Kentucky	-17.5	45.5	W 28 - 18	O	N
Sat 11/9	Tennessee vs Mississippi State	-26.5	61.5	W 33 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/16	Tennessee at Georgia	+8.5	47.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/23	Tennessee vs UTEP	-41.5	54.0	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Tennessee at Vanderbilt	-9.5	45.5	W 36 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/21	Tennessee at Ohio State	+7.5	47.0	L 17 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	53.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State	-32.5	47.5	W 55 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Vanderbilt at Georgia State	-8.5	45.5	L 32 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/21	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+17.5	52.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Vanderbilt vs Alabama	+23.5	53.5	W 40 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+12.5	44.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Vanderbilt vs Ball State	-27.5	57.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/26	Vanderbilt vs Texas	+17.0	50.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Vanderbilt at Auburn	+7.5	48.0	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+6.0	44.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Vanderbilt at LSU	+10.0	53.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+9.5	45.5	L 23 - 36	O	N
Fri 12/27	Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TENN	#36 (.27)	46% (24)	39.8	46% (39)	3.31 (30)	187	47% (25)	232	3.56 (94)	#54 (.16)	39% (35)	28.8	37% (19)	41% (65)	3.41 (34)	65.6	0.9	1.2
VAN	#127 (.05)	36% (123)	38.5	37% (124)	2.92 (103)	95	37% (109)	223	4.09 (50)	#131 (.33)	45% (106)	22.8	42% (59)	48% (131)	4.11 (98)	42.5	1.7	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TENN Offense	13	39.8	37	46.3%	3.56	0.9	20	419	187	232	5.6	51%	49%	46%	47%	13%	.27
VAN Defense	12	22.8	21.1	44.8%	4.11	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	42%	48%	15%	.33

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TENN Defense	13	28.8	29	38.9%	3.41	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	37%	41%	18%	.16
VAN Offense	12	38.5	44	36.4%	4.09	1.7	17	319	95	223	3.3	42%	56%	37%	37%	22%	.05

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tennessee	13	22:32	19.9	43%	31%	7.5	65.6	0.9	1.2	7.2	2.8	4	30.3
Vanderbilt	12	28:46	17	33%	30%	4.9	42.5	1.7	1.3	5.4	1.8	3	29.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TENN Offense	13	51% (60)	46% (39)	33.5	186.9	5.6	20 (61)	.22 (28)	3.31 (30)	72% (80)	7% (16)	1.05 (39)
VAN Defense	12	47% (28)	42% (59)	-	-	-	-	.25 (119)	3.08 (61)	72% (60)	9% (90)	1.17 (122)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TENN Defense	13	48% (41)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	.05 (21)	2.71 (15)	65% (24)	13% (11)	1.03 (85)
VAN Offense	12	42% (116)	37% (124)	29.2	95.3	3.3	10 (124)	-.01 (128)	2.92 (103)	74% (63)	12% (102)	0.96 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TENN Offense	13	49% (69)	47% (25)	19.3	30.1	231.7	7.7	12	21 (65)	5 (6)	.35 (39)	1.5 (110)	30% (39)	32% (64)	.38 (54)	6% (68)	2.1 (63)
VAN Defense	12	52% (100)	48% (131)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.43 (126)	1.6 (56)	31% (88)	37% (126)	.46 (123)	5% (96)	1.9 (25)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TENN Defense	13	52% (96)	41% (65)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.29 (85)	1.6 (85)	35% (27)	31% (82)	.36 (93)	5% (100)	2 (41)
VAN Offense	12	56% (21)	37% (109)	18.1	32.5	223.3	6.9	12.4	23 (51)	13 (97)	.14 (113)	1.7 (30)	37% (130)	25% (113)	.1 (129)	10% (133)	2 (91)

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 15.13 #14
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.60 #61
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.79 #16
2024 Talent Rating: 521.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #12
Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.0 #9
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 15.13 Vanderbilt: 6.445

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 22.0 Vanderbilt: 4.9

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 6.445 #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
2024 Talent Rating: 387.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 34
Vanderbilt 22

Projected Total Points: 55

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Tennessee	24	Vanderbilt	45	Tennessee -2.0	Vanderbilt	66.5	Over
2024	11/30	Vanderbilt	23	Tennessee	36	Tennessee -9.5	Tennessee	45.5	Over
2023	11/25	Tennessee	48	Vanderbilt	24	Tennessee -27.0	Vanderbilt	58.0	Over
2022	11/26	Vanderbilt	0	Tennessee	56	Tennessee -14	Tennessee	63.5	Under
2021	11/27	Tennessee	45	Vanderbilt	21	Tennessee -33	Vanderbilt	65.0	Over
2020	12/12	Vanderbilt	17	Tennessee	42	Tennessee -15	Tennessee	51.0	Over
2019	11/30	Tennessee	28	Vanderbilt	10	Tennessee -23	Vanderbilt	48.0	Under
2018	11/24	Vanderbilt	38	Tennessee	13	Vanderbilt -3.5	Vanderbilt	51.5	Under
2017	11/25	Tennessee	24	Vanderbilt	42	Tennessee -2.5	Vanderbilt	45.5	Over
2016	11/26	Vanderbilt	45	Tennessee	34	Tennessee -10	Vanderbilt	50.0	Over
2015	11/28	Tennessee	53	Vanderbilt	28	Tennessee -17.5	Tennessee	41.0	Over
2014	11/29	Vanderbilt	17	Tennessee	24	Tennessee -14.5	Vanderbilt	0
2013	11/23	Tennessee	10	Vanderbilt	14	Tennessee -2.5	Vanderbilt	0
2012	11/17	Vanderbilt	41	Tennessee	18
2011	11/19	Tennessee	27	Vanderbilt	21
2010	11/20	Vanderbilt	10	Tennessee	24
2009	11/21	Tennessee	31	Vanderbilt	16
2008	11/22	Vanderbilt	10	Tennessee	20
2007	11/17	Tennessee	25	Vanderbilt	24
2006	11/18	Vanderbilt	10	Tennessee	39
2005	11/19	Tennessee	24	Vanderbilt	28
2004	11/20	Vanderbilt	33	Tennessee	38
2003	11/22	Tennessee	48	Vanderbilt	0
2001	11/24	Tennessee	38	Vanderbilt	0
2000	11/24	Vanderbilt	26	Tennessee	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Vanderbilt	7	9	8 Overs
Tennessee	18	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 13	4 - 9	2 - 6	2 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 12	9 - 4	3 - 2	6 - 2

(#14) TENN at (#49) VAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TENN	VAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#14	#49
SP+SP+	#9	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#21	#81
OffenseOff	#57	#77
DefenseDef	#19	#100
Spec TeamsST	#42	#59
TalentTal	#15	#39
Blue ChipsBC%	#12	#65

Tennessee Injury Report

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Tennessee on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	VAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#57	#100
SuccessSuc	#24	#106
ExplosiveExp	#86	#113
PPAPPA	#36	#131
PowerPwr	#61	#91
SP+SP+	#23	#59
Pts POPPO	#94	#98
HavocHav	#21	#101

Tennessee Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#25	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	#39	#59
Run ExplRExp	#39	#122
PPAExp	#28	#119
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#30	#61
Stuff RateStuff	#10	#49
TackleTak	-	#105

Tennessee Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#21	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	#25	#131
Pass ExplPExl	#110	#56
PPAExp	#39	#126
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#107
F7 HavocF7	#16	#90
DB HavocDB	#68	#96

Vanderbilt on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	TENN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#77	#19
SuccessSuc	#123	#35
ExplosiveExp	#13	#104
PPAPPA	#127	#54
PowerPwr	#75	#16
SP+SP+	#60	#6
Pts POPPO	#50	#34
HavocHav	#132	#35

Vanderbilt Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#81	#14
Run SuccessRSuc	#124	#19
Run ExplRExp	#91	#85
PPAExp	#128	#21
Run BlockR Blk	#107	-
OL YdsOLY	#103	#15
Stuff RateStuff	#95	#28
TackleTak	-	#29

Vanderbilt Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#16	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	#109	#65
Pass ExplPExl	#30	#85
PPAExp	#113	#85
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#127	#13
F7 HavocF7	#102	#11
DB HavocDB	#133	#100

Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Tennessee 9.5 (45.5)
Tennessee won at Vanderbilt this year (36-23)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Tennessee last year (45-24)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2024 (36-23)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (48-24)

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nico Iamaleava	213	334	64%	2616	19	5	7.8
Gaston Moore	16	27	59%	201	2	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Sampson	258	1491	22	5.8	56
DeSean Bishop	74	455	3	6.1	53
Nico Iamaleava	109	364	3	3.3	31
Peyton Lewis	64	339	3	5.3	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dont'E Thornton	26	661	6	25.4	86
Bru McCoy	39	472	2	12.1	42
Squirrel White	34	381	2	11.2	45
Chris Brazzell II (Tr)	29	333	2	11.5	53

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Arion Carter	68	7	0	3	6
Will Brooks	59	4	1	1	5
Jermod McCoy (Tr)	44	1	0	0	7
Jeremiah Telander	43	4	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Pearce Jr.	38	13	8	10	1
Omarr Norman-Lott	18	4	4	3	0
Jaxson Moi (Tr)	16	5	2	0	1
Tyre West	16	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jermod McCoy (Tr)	44	1	0	0	7
Arion Carter	68	7	0	3	6
Will Brooks	59	4	1	1	5

VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)	177	298	59%	2293	20	4	7.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)	1	3	33%	12	0	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)	193	800	8	4.1	36
Sedrick Alexander	164	586	6	3.6	31
AJ Newberry	41	185	3	4.5	20
Nate Johnson (Tr)	11	114	1	10.4	56

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)	49	638	5	13.0	41
Junior Sherrill	29	411	3	14.2	43
Quincy Skinner Jr.	29	367	3	12.7	63
Sedrick Alexander	23	238	1	10.3	38

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Clark Lea (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Longwell	88	8	2	2	4
Langston Patterson	78	5	0	0	2
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
CJ Taylor	64	3	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nicholas Rinaldi	52	6	6	0	0
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)	14	7	4	2	2
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
Miles Capers	45	8	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
Bryan Longwell	88	8	2	2	4
Martel Hight	33	2	0	1	4