Tennessee at Vanderbilt Game Matchup
Tennessee logo Tennessee Volunteers at Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Tennessee -9.5 (45.5) (-425)  Open: -10.5 | 48.5
Tennessee 36 - Vanderbilt: 23  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (27 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (22 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
TENN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -12   (SP+ TENN -17)

Projected Score: TENN: 30 - VAN: 18 (52)
TENN Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TENN Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Tennessee vs Chattanooga-38.556.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/7 Tennessee vs NC State-10.060.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 9/14 Tennessee vs Kent State-49.561.5W 71 - 0OY
Sat 9/21 Tennessee at Oklahoma-6.057.0W 25 - 15UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Tennessee at Arkansas-14.057.5L 14 - 19UN
Sat 10/12 Tennessee vs Florida-13.554.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Tennessee vs Alabama+3.557.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Tennessee vs Kentucky-17.545.5W 28 - 18ON
Sat 11/9 Tennessee vs Mississippi State-26.561.5W 33 - 14UN
Sat 11/16 Tennessee at Georgia+8.547.0L 17 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 Tennessee vs UTEP-41.554.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 11/30 Tennessee at Vanderbilt-9.545.5W 36 - 23OY
Sat 12/21 Tennessee at Ohio State+7.547.0L 17 - 42ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech+13.553.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/7 Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State-32.547.5W 55 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Vanderbilt at Georgia State-8.545.5L 32 - 36ON
Sat 9/21 Vanderbilt at Missouri+17.552.0L 27 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Vanderbilt vs Alabama+23.553.5W 40 - 35OY
Sat 10/12 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+12.544.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/19 Vanderbilt vs Ball State-27.557.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 Vanderbilt vs Texas+17.050.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 11/2 Vanderbilt at Auburn+7.548.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/9 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+6.044.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Vanderbilt at LSU+10.053.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/30 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee+9.545.5L 23 - 36ON
Fri 12/27 Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech+3.049.0W 35 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN#36 (.27)46% (24)35.746% (39)3.31 (30)18747% (25)2323.56 (94)#54 (.16)39% (35)16.137% (19)41% (65)3.41 (34)65.60.91.2
VAN#127 (.05)36% (123)27.337% (124)2.92 (103)9537% (109)2234.09 (50)#131 (.33)45% (106)23.442% (59)48% (131)4.11 (98)42.51.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1335.721.846.3%3.560.9204191872325.651%49%46%47%13%.27
VAN Defense1223.423.944.8%4.111.3 - - - - - 47%52%42%48%15%.33
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1316.12638.9%3.411.2 - - - - - 48%52%37%41%18%.16
VAN Offense1227.329.636.4%4.091.717319952233.342%56%37%37%22%.05

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1322:3219.943%31%7.565.60.91.27.22.8430.3
Vanderbilt1228:461733%30%4.942.51.71.35.41.8329.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1351% (60)46% (39)33.5186.95.620 (61).22 (28)3.31 (30)72% (80)7% (16)1.05 (39)
VAN Defense1247% (28)42% (59) - - - - .25 (119)3.08 (61)72% (60)9% (90)1.17 (122)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1348% (41)37% (19) - - - - .05 (21)2.71 (15)65% (24)13% (11)1.03 (85)
VAN Offense1242% (116)37% (124)29.295.33.310 (124)-.01 (128)2.92 (103)74% (63)12% (102)0.96 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1349% (69)47% (25)19.330.1231.77.71221 (65)5 (6).35 (39)1.5 (110)30% (39)32% (64).38 (54)6% (68)2.1 (63)
VAN Defense1252% (100)48% (131) - - - - - - 12 (37).43 (126)1.6 (56)31% (88)37% (126).46 (123)5% (96)1.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1352% (96)41% (65) - - - - - - 10 (67).29 (85)1.6 (85)35% (27)31% (82).36 (93)5% (100)2 (41)
VAN Offense1256% (21)37% (109)18.132.5223.36.912.423 (51)13 (97).14 (113)1.7 (30)37% (130)25% (113).1 (129)10% (133)2 (91)

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 15.13 #14
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.60 #61
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.79 #16
2024 Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #12
Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.0 #9
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 15.13   Vanderbilt: 6.445

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 22.0   Vanderbilt: 4.9




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 6.445 #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
2024 Talent Rating: 770.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 30
Vanderbilt 18


Projected Total Points: 52
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Vanderbilt23Tennessee36TennesseeTennessee -9.5Tennessee45.5Over
202311/25Tennessee48Vanderbilt24TennesseeTennessee -27.0Vanderbilt58.0Over
202211/26Vanderbilt0Tennessee56TennesseeTennessee -14Tennessee63.5Under
202111/27Tennessee45Vanderbilt21TennesseeTennessee -33Vanderbilt65.0Over
202012/12Vanderbilt17Tennessee42TennesseeTennessee -15Tennessee51.0Over
201911/30Tennessee28Vanderbilt10TennesseeTennessee -23Vanderbilt48.0Under
201811/24Vanderbilt38Tennessee13VanderbiltVanderbilt -3.5Vanderbilt51.5Under
201711/25Tennessee24Vanderbilt42VanderbiltTennessee -2.5Vanderbilt45.5Over
201611/26Vanderbilt45Tennessee34VanderbiltTennessee -10Vanderbilt50.0Over
201511/28Tennessee53Vanderbilt28TennesseeTennessee -17.5Tennessee41.0Over
201411/29Vanderbilt17Tennessee24TennesseeTennessee -14.5Vanderbilt0
201311/23Tennessee10Vanderbilt14VanderbiltTennessee -2.5Vanderbilt0
201211/17Vanderbilt41Tennessee18Vanderbilt
201111/19Tennessee27Vanderbilt21Tennessee
201011/20Vanderbilt10Tennessee24Tennessee
200911/21Tennessee31Vanderbilt16Tennessee
200811/22Vanderbilt10Tennessee20Tennessee
200711/17Tennessee25Vanderbilt24Tennessee
200611/18Vanderbilt10Tennessee39Tennessee
200511/19Tennessee24Vanderbilt28Vanderbilt
200411/20Vanderbilt33Tennessee38Tennessee
200311/22Tennessee48Vanderbilt0Tennessee
200111/24Tennessee38Vanderbilt0Tennessee
200011/24Vanderbilt26Tennessee28Tennessee
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt687 Overs
Tennessee1843 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 124 - 82 - 52 - 3
Road Teams12 - 128 - 43 - 25 - 2

(#14) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.13 #14
Offense Rating: 20.60 #61
Defense Rating: 3.79 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.0 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #6
Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #12
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tennessee     Ratings Matchup     Vanderbilt
Power #14
#49
Off #61
#75
Def #16
#91
Talent #12
#35
SP+ #9
#50
SP+ Off #23
#60
SP+ Def #6
#59

Rematch from Week 14
Tennessee 9.5 (45.5)
Tennessee won at Vanderbilt this year (36-23)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt last year (36-23)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (48-24)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (56-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 38°

Team Information
Injuries: TENN | VAN
Depth Chart: TENN | VAN
Rosters: TENN | VAN
(#49) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.445 #49
Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59
Talent Rating: 770.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position



  
Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava21333464%26161957.8
Gaston Moore162759%201227.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeSean Bishop7445536.153
Nico Iamaleava10936433.331
Peyton Lewis6433935.335
Cameron Seldon2311815.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Squirrel White34381211.245
Chris Brazzell II (Tr)29333211.553
Miles Kitselman (Tr)22301413.731
Holden Staes (Tr)1513118.720

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter687036
Jermod McCoy (Tr)441007
Jeremiah Telander434111
Joshua Josephs399283
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Bailey254250
Jayson Jenkins94200
Tyre West165220
Jaxson Moi (Tr)165201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermod McCoy (Tr)441007
Arion Carter687036
Jalen Mcmurray (Tr)140004

Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)17729859%22932047.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)1333%12004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Nate Johnson (Tr)11114110.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338
Loic Fouonji (Tr)12187015.640

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Clark Lea
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)147422
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Miles Capers458313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014