Missouri at Vanderbilt - 2025 Matchup Preview
Missouri logo (#23)Missouri Tigers at Vanderbilt Commodores(#20)Vanderbilt logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Vanderbilt Stadium - Nashville, TN  (SEC)

 
Tigers (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 52 - 16 (52 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MIZ 2nd straight Road Game
VAN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Missouri -3.5   (SP+ MIZ -7)

Projected Score: MIZ: 31 - VAN: 27 (58)
MIZ Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MIZ Travel: 359 miles
Commodores (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 40 - 10 (45 - 3 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 4.1 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-13.546.5
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-50.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+2.5
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn+2.5
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M-3.5
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-12
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+5
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-6

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-37.549.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.546.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+3.048.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-26.553.5
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-33.5
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU+2.5
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+3.5
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+8.5
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-12
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+7

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#15 (.45)56% (11)51.760% (6)3.91 (6)30253% (24)2855.52 (12)#29 ()31% (15)15.732% (18)31% (26)3.86 (84)58.30.71
VAN#4 (.57)61% (4)4059% (7)3.71 (16)20364% (2)2285.63 (7)#49 (.06)36% (47)1041% (83)32% (31)2.5 (34)5912
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense351.751.756.5%5.520.7285873022856.252%48%60%53%10%.45
VAN Defense310336.4%2.52 - - - - - 49%50%41%32%22%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense315.715.731.2%3.861 - - - - - 44%55%32%31%26%
VAN Offense3404560.5%5.631234312032285.855%44%59%64%11%.57

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri337:4928.362%86%658.30.717.32.3129.3
Vanderbilt333:2123.361%100%7.359127.32.7035.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense352% (62)60% (6)49302.36.211 (8).42 (8)3.91 (6)88% (19)7% (40)1.08 (46)
VAN Defense349% (60)41% (83) - - - - .05 (63)2.69 (60)55% (24)16% (11)0.84 (44)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense344% (31)32% (18) - - - - .07 (70)2.35 (34)38% (4)17% (4)1.21 (113)
VAN Offense355% (42)59% (7)352035.88 (26).38 (13)3.71 (16)100% (1)7% (36)0.89 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense348% (71)53% (24)24.331.3284.79.111.78 (18)1 (23).48 (28)1.5 (73)22% (12)47% (10).77 (13)3% (24)2.1 (57)
VAN Defense350% (74)32% (31) - - - - - - 2 (56).13 (49)1.3 (30)33% (62)21% (32).18 (53)7% (53)1.7 (41)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense355% (104)31% (26) - - - - - - 2 (56).01 (23)1.6 (81)31% (86)21% (28).23 (60)8% (22)2.2 (108)
VAN Offense344% (94)64% (2)17.724.7228.39.312.98 (18)2 (60).84 (4)1.8 (17)24% (19)55% (1)1.08 (2)4% (42)2.3 (21)

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 29.01 #13
Missouri's Offense Rating: 26.82 #13
Missouri's Defense Rating: -2.19 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32% #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5 #11
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #17
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 29.01   Vanderbilt: 20.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 19.5   Vanderbilt: 12.5




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 20.885 #17
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 26.54 #15
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 2.28 #37
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #31
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 51.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 51.7
Defense: 15.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.7

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 31
Vanderbilt 27


Total Points: 58

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 3

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Missouri30Vanderbilt27MissouriMissouri -17.5Vanderbilt52.0Over
202309/30Vanderbilt21Missouri38MissouriMissouri -14Missouri53.5Over
202210/22Missouri17Vanderbilt14MissouriMissouri -14Vanderbilt49.0Under
202110/30Vanderbilt28Missouri37MissouriMissouri -16Vanderbilt62.5Over
202011/28Missouri41Vanderbilt0MissouriVanderbilt -2Missouri52.5Under
201910/19Vanderbilt21Missouri14VanderbiltMissouri -21Vanderbilt56.5Under
201811/10Missouri33Vanderbilt28MissouriMissouri -13.5Vanderbilt65.0Under
201711/18Vanderbilt17Missouri45MissouriMissouri -8.5Missouri65.0Under
201611/12Missouri26Vanderbilt17MissouriMissouri -1Missouri53.0Under
201510/24Vanderbilt10Missouri3VanderbiltMissouri -2Vanderbilt34.0Under
201410/25Missouri24Vanderbilt14MissouriMissouri -24Vanderbilt0
201310/05Vanderbilt28Missouri51MissouriVanderbilt -2.5Missouri0
201210/06Missouri15Vanderbilt19Vanderbilt
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt373 Overs
Missouri1057 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 55 - 71 - 54 - 2
Road Teams5 - 87 - 52 - 45 - 1

(#13) Missouri Info
Power Rating: 29.01 #13
Offense Rating: 26.82 #13
Defense Rating: -2.19 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #18
Talent Rating: 856.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32% #21
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 56%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.52 PPO
Great Run Success 60%
Good Pass Success 53%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 31%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.86 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Missouri has lost 4 straight
Missouri has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Missouri Notes
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
(6/3) Off portals @ QB, RB, WR, 2-3 OL proj starters
(6/3) OL 2/5 back. Looks decent w/ 6 portal adds.
(5/23) Mizzu was 6-1 in 1 score games LY (4-0 in '23)
(4/4) OG Cayden Green a top G via PFF
(3/18) RB, Hardy (ULM) 1,300 yds as Fr LY
(3/18) WRs rebuild. Coleman (MSU) great pickup
(3/18) Def v good LY and loaded TY. DL could be ?

Missouri Highlights
Missouri is Undefeated vs Spread
Missouri in Undefeated

Missouri has Really Good Running Game (#3)
Missouri offense is efficent (#11)
Missouri has a top Offensive Line (#6)
Missouri offense is good in red zone (#12)
Missouri offense is good on 3rd downs
Missouri does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#27)

Missouri has a really good defense (#15)
Missouri has a good run defense (#18)
Missouri has a good pass defense (#26)
Missouri Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#20)
Missouri Front 7 is disruptive (#4)
Missouri Secondary is very good (#22)
Missouri has a great TO Margin (#28)

Missouri Deficiencies
Missouri gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#110)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatVANMIZ
OverallOver#21#3
OffenseOff#25#3
DefenseDef#16#9
Special TeamsST#44#76
PassingPass#13#3
RushingRush#39#9
Run BlockRBLK#67#18
Pass BlockPBLK#112#7
Route RunningWR Rt#1#5
TacklingTkl#83#23
Run DefenseR Def#59#10
Pass Rush DefPRush#30#17
Coverage DefCov#7#22

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Vanderbilt last year (30-27)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-21)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (17-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MIZ | VAN
Depth Chart: MIZ | VAN
Rosters: MIZ | VAN
(#17) Vanderbilt Info
Power Rating: 20.885 #17
Offense Rating: 26.54 #15
Defense Rating: 2.28 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #33
Talent Rating: 822.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 61%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.63 PPO
Great Run Success 59%
Great Pass Success 64%
Poor OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 2.5 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Vanderbilt has lost 4 straight
Vanderbilt has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Vanderbilt Notes
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/26) Goal is to get back to bowl game TY
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
(5/15) WR Tre Richardson productive & KR @ Washburn
(5/11) 76% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/4) QB Pavia returns. Tough runner, decent passer
(4/4) TE Stowers #1 via PFF, WR returns options
(3/18) RB's bad LY, no portals. Any improvement?

Vanderbilt Highlights
Vanderbilt is Undefeated vs Spread
Vanderbilt in Undefeated
Vanderbilt is Undefeated at Home
Vanderbilt is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Vanderbilt offense is efficent (#4)
Vanderbilt has a top Offensive Line (#16)
Vanderbilt offense is good in red zone (#7)
Vanderbilt offense is good on 3rd downs
Vanderbilt does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#10)

Vanderbilt defense does not give up big plays (#21)
Vanderbilt Front 7 is disruptive (#11)

Vanderbilt Deficiencies
Vanderbilt Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)


  
Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)688976%791718.9
Matt Zollers55100%631012.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)5746258.171
Jamal Roberts2922217.763
Marquise Davis2512324.917
Beau Pribula (Tr)257633.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)24258110.850
Marquis Johnson9173219.249
Brett Norfleet118737.927
Joshua Manning881010.117

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)155000
Jalen Catalon (Tr)100000
Jeremiah Beasley90000
Nicholas Rodriguez82000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.63320
Zion Young73110
Darris Smith31130
Khalil Jacobs51110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dreyden Norwood61004
Caleb Flagg30002
Nicholas Deloach Jr.20001

Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia506874%645729.5
Blaze Berlowitz3650%40106.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sedrick Alexander3519735.621
Diego Pavia3012904.315
Makhilyn Young1412328.862
Jamezell Lassiter279239.544
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)12162113.526
Eli Stowers11160114.541
Junior Sherrill87929.921
Martel Hight76409.118

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Steve Gregory
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard (Tr)171130
Nicholas Rinaldi135210
Bryan Longwell114002
Bryce Cowan101120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi135210
C.J. Heard (Tr)171130
Hayden Bray21100
Zaylin Wood32121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell114002
Vanzale Hinton00001
Kolbey Taylor40001