Missouri at Vanderbilt - 2025 Matchup Preview
Missouri logo Missouri Tigers at Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Vanderbilt Stadium - Nashville, TN  (SEC)

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
MIZ 2nd straight Road Game
VAN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Missouri -5   (SP+ MIZ -11)
Projected Score: MIZ: 28 - VAN: 23 (50)
MIZ Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
MIZ Travel: 359 miles
Commodores (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-36.5
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-11.5
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-22
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina+0.5
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-37.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+14.5
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn+6.5
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt-5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M+6.5
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-14
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+8.5
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-1

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-29
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-24.5
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-23.5
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU+18
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+5
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+25.5
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-3
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+14.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)28.947% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)20.442% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)27.342% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)23.446% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense1328.924.844%3.910.7193611592024.353%47%47%41%11%.19
VAN Defense1323.423.946.9%4.221.1 - - - - - 49%51%46%48%16%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense1320.426.440.6%3.381.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%18%.11
VAN Offense1327.329.642.2%4.250.5172951291663.958%42%42%43%15%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri1330:2819.547%53%5.2460.71.251.9231
Vanderbilt1328:3916.644%54%548.30.51.14.81.7431.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense1353% (48)47% (28)37.1158.74.325 (41).12 (73)3.04 (67)79% (26)8% (31)0.9 (100)
VAN Defense1349% (47)46% (96) - - - - .12 (70)2.98 (62)77% (88)10% (76)0.89 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense1353% (91)42% (57) - - - - .01 (18)2.75 (29)73% (64)12% (22)0.92 (43)
VAN Offense1358% (18)42% (93)33.1129.23.916 (90).06 (104)2.8 (105)83% (10)8% (41)0.87 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense1347% (85)41% (80)17.828.5202.27.111.412 (118)5 (6).26 (66)1.6 (69)30% (49)33% (52).39 (44)4% (10)2.1 (49)
VAN Defense1351% (90)48% (125) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (120)1.5 (33)29% (111)36% (122).45 (117)7% (48)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense1347% (47)39% (56) - - - - - - 6 (109).23 (65)1.6 (70)32% (61)27% (20).2 (27)6% (54)2 (65)
VAN Offense1342% (115)43% (53)12.821.8166.37.61318 (68)4 (1).33 (33)1.7 (37)33% (108)31% (74).32 (75)7% (96)2.1 (64)

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 13.14 #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 17.13 #47
Missouri's Defense Rating: 3.99 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 858.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #21
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #22

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 954.75
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 13.14   Vanderbilt: 7.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 12.5   Vanderbilt: 1.7




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 7.845 #40
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 20.94 #30
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 11.95 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 768.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #47
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #50

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 954.75
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 28
Vanderbilt 23

Projected Total Points: 50
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Missouri30Vanderbilt27MissouriMissouri -17.5Vanderbilt52.0Over
202309/30Vanderbilt21Missouri38MissouriMissouri -14Missouri53.5Over
202210/22Missouri17Vanderbilt14MissouriMissouri -14Vanderbilt49.0Under
202110/30Vanderbilt28Missouri37MissouriMissouri -16Vanderbilt62.5Over
202011/28Missouri41Vanderbilt0MissouriVanderbilt -2Missouri52.5Under
201910/19Vanderbilt21Missouri14VanderbiltMissouri -21Vanderbilt56.5Under
201811/10Missouri33Vanderbilt28MissouriMissouri -13.5Vanderbilt65.0Under
201711/18Vanderbilt17Missouri45MissouriMissouri -8.5Missouri65.0Under
201611/12Missouri26Vanderbilt17MissouriMissouri -1Missouri53.0Under
201510/24Vanderbilt10Missouri3VanderbiltMissouri -2Vanderbilt34.0Under
201410/25Missouri24Vanderbilt14MissouriMissouri -24Vanderbilt0
201310/05Vanderbilt28Missouri51MissouriVanderbilt -2.5Missouri0
201210/06Missouri15Vanderbilt19Vanderbilt
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt373 Overs
Missouri1057 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 55 - 71 - 54 - 2
Road Teams5 - 87 - 52 - 45 - 1

(#26) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.14 #26
Offense Rating: 17.13 #47
Defense Rating: 3.99 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #22
Talent Rating: 858.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 31% #21
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Missouri Notes
(6/3) QB1 B. Pribula (PSU) mobile, #2 Horn staff high
(6/3) Off portals @ QB, RB, WR, 2-3 OL proj starters
(6/3) OL 2/5 back. Looks decent w/ 6 portal adds.
(5/23) Mizzu was 6-1 in 1 score games LY (4-0 in '23)
(4/4) OG Cayden Green a top G via PFF
(3/18) RB, Hardy (ULM) 1,300 yds as Fr LY
(3/18) WRs rebuild. Coleman (MSU) great pickup
(3/18) Def v good LY and loaded TY. DL could be ?
(3/18) Should improve TY w/ better QB, great Def
(3/18) Drinkwitz underrated HC. Team always tough
Missouri     Ratings Matchup     Vanderbilt
Power #26
#40
Off #47
#30
Def #15
#53
Talent #28
#54
SP+ #21
#55
SP+ Off #41
#63
SP+ Def #22
#50

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Vanderbilt last year (30-27)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-21)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (17-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MIZ | VAN
Depth Chart: MIZ | VAN
Rosters: MIZ | VAN
(#40) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.845 #40
Offense Rating: 20.94 #30
Defense Rating: 11.95 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #50
Talent Rating: 768.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #47
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Vanderbilt Notes
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/26) Goal is to get back to bowl game TY
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
(5/15) WR Tre Richardson productive & KR @ Washburn
(5/11) 76% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/4) QB Pavia returns. Tough runner, decent passer
(4/4) TE Stowers #1 via PFF, WR returns options
(3/18) RB's bad LY, no portals. Any improvement?


  
Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)263574%275517.9
Connor Weselman (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)2371352135.780
Beau Pribula (Tr)3824246.449
Jamal Roberts5321634.114
Tavorus Jones135504.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)69844512.280
Marquis Johnson25352114.149
Vince Brown II (Tr)24256310.730
Brett Norfleet2623529.036

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)934152
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Triston Newson727241
Marvin Burks Jr.662002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.226340
Nate Johnson (Tr)293311
Zion Young416353
Chris McClellan396332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylan Carnell515006
Nicholas Deloach Jr.231004
Santana Banner (Tr)542014

Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia17729859%22932047.7
Eli Stowers1250%17108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Chase Gillespie155103.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338
AJ Newberry7134219.153

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Steve Gregory
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
C.J. Heard (Tr)741001
Randon Fontenette728307
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor147422
Mason Nelson (Tr)319311
Randon Fontenette728307
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014