Missouri at Vanderbilt - 2025 Matchup Preview
Missouri logo (#15)Missouri Tigers at Vanderbilt Commodores(#10)Vanderbilt logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Vanderbilt -3 (52.5) (-162)  Open: -1.5
Vanderbilt 17 - Missouri: 10  (SEC)

 
Tigers (8 - 4) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (18 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#36)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
MIZ 2nd straight Road Game
VAN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Vanderbilt -8.5  (SP+ VAN -5)

Projected Score: MIZ: 23 - VAN: 31 (54)
VAN Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MIZ Travel: 359 miles
Commodores (10 - 2) (10 - 2 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 39 - 22 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#12)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-10.048.5W 29 - 20ON
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-44.557.5W 42 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+3.550.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn-1.543.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt+3.052.5L 10 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M+7.048.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-7.550.5W 49 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+4.542.5L 6 - 17UN
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-4.554.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 12/27 Missouri vs Virginia-7.048.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-37.549.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.546.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+3.048.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-27.553.5W 70 - 21OY
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-23.557.5W 55 - 35ON
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+13.558.5L 14 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU-1.548.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri-3.052.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+3.548.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn-6.046.5W 45 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-7.053.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+2.066.5W 45 - 24OY
Wed 12/31 Vanderbilt vs Iowa-4.049.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#39 (.22)46% (31)32.249% (15)3.11 (38)23442% (61)1964.01 (42)#13 (.04)35% (10)19.436% (11)35% (12)3.58 (65)52.11.30.9
VAN#1 (.46)53% (1)39.451% (10)3.35 (12)18657% (2)2825.06 (1)#94 (.2)41% (62)21.940% (47)43% (77)3.8 (78)60.311.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense1232.217.545.9%4.011.3244302341965.455%44%49%42%13%.22
VAN Defense1221.921.141.3%3.81.2 - - - - - 43%55%40%43%17%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense1219.41735%3.580.9 - - - - - 47%51%36%35%21%.04
VAN Offense1239.44453.5%5.061244691862825.948%50%51%57%13%.46

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri1232:4223.946%68%5.552.11.30.97.23427.8
Vanderbilt1231:3624.353%59%6.660.311.26.32.4130.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense1255% (33)49% (15)43.7234.35.430 (4).25 (15)3.11 (38)91% (1)9% (63)1.08 (24)
VAN Defense1243% (6)40% (47) - - - - .04 (31)2.74 (42)73% (82)11% (21)0.89 (34)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense1247% (36)36% (11) - - - - .03 (26)2.67 (25)67% (33)13% (6)0.95 (64)
VAN Offense1248% (78)51% (10)31.7186.35.934 (4).36 (1)3.35 (12)76% (39)8% (29)1.21 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense1244% (104)42% (61)18.128.2195.7710.815 (50)10 (108).2 (99)1.4 (112)29% (26)33% (37).33 (59)4% (13)2.1 (24)
VAN Defense1255% (131)43% (77) - - - - - - 7 (75).33 (103)1.5 (62)34% (24)30% (73).34 (94)6% (67)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense1251% (102)35% (12) - - - - - - 7 (75).1 (15)1.5 (69)34% (30)26% (19).22 (41)8% (12)2.1 (102)
VAN Offense1250% (57)57% (2)21.230.2282.39.413.328 (22)8 (34).58 (2)1.5 (82)26% (10)51% (1).8 (1)5% (28)2 (77)

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 16.38  #29
Missouri's Offense Rating: 11.48  #56
Missouri's Defense Rating: -4.90  #15
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32%  #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1  #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #32
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.6  #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 16.38   Vanderbilt: 24.68

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 16.1   Vanderbilt: 20.9




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 24.68  #12
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 30.58  #2
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 7.12  #62
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #49
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.9  #11
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #4
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #32

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 31
Missouri 23


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Vanderbilt 32
Missouri 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Vanderbilt 30
Missouri 23

Total Points: 53
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Vanderbilt17Missouri10Vanderbilt -3Vanderbilt52.5Under
202409/21Missouri30Vanderbilt27Missouri -17.5Vanderbilt52.0Over
202309/30Vanderbilt21Missouri38Missouri -14Missouri53.5Over
202210/22Missouri17Vanderbilt14Missouri -14Vanderbilt49.0Under
202110/30Vanderbilt28Missouri37Missouri -16Vanderbilt62.5Over
202011/28Missouri41Vanderbilt0Vanderbilt -2Missouri52.5Under
201910/19Vanderbilt21Missouri14Missouri -21Vanderbilt56.5Under
201811/10Missouri33Vanderbilt28Missouri -13.5Vanderbilt65.0Under
201711/18Vanderbilt17Missouri45Missouri -8.5Missouri65.0Under
201611/12Missouri26Vanderbilt17Missouri -1Missouri53.0Under
201510/24Vanderbilt10Missouri3Missouri -2Vanderbilt34.0Under
201410/25Missouri24Vanderbilt14Missouri -24Vanderbilt0
201310/05Vanderbilt28Missouri51Vanderbilt -2.5Missouri0
201210/06Missouri15Vanderbilt19
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt483 Overs
Missouri1058 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 56 - 72 - 54 - 2
Road Teams5 - 97 - 62 - 45 - 2

(#29) MIZ at (#12) VAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIZVAN
Power RatePwr #29 #12
SP+SP+ #19 #11
Perf GradeGrade #10 #27
OffenseOff #11 #25
DefenseDef #9 #56
Spec TeamsST #12 #19
TalentTal #38 #47
Blue ChipsBC% #21 #49
Missouri Notes
(11/27) HC Drinkwitz extended, makes almost 11 mil per
(11/21) QB Pribula will start vs OU
(11/16) Killed MSU, but QB3 Zollers ain't ready. Run Off++
(10/22) Starting Kicker inj, Fr R Meyer replacement
(10/10) OT Cayden Green returns for Bama game, big add
(9/21) Big W over SCar, Run Off good, Run Def great
(9/8) QB Pribula a good passer, a dynamic weapon
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
(6/3) Off portals @ QB, RB, WR, 2-3 OL proj starters
(6/3) OL 2/5 back. Looks decent w/ 6 portal adds.
Missouri Injury Report
Vanderbilt Notes
(11/30) Outrushed Tenn 314-83. Incredible season, CFP worthy
(11/28) HC Lea extended w/ new 6 year deal
(10/18) Ran all over LUS (239, 5.3 pyc). Pavia a dawg
(10/7) Hoping books sleep on Vandy after Bama L, good team
(9/30) Off Success is #1 in CFB into Bama game (5 games)
(9/21) Pavia incredible, Dores hot start. Run Off great
(9/21) Vandy is serious. Killing teams, mauling Rush Off
(5/26) Off should improve w/ better OL, more exp
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
Vanderbilt Injury Report
Missouri on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffVAN Def
Perf GradePerf #11 #56
SuccessSuc #31 #62
ExplosiveExp #85 #89
PPAPPA #39 #94
PowerPwr #56 #62
SP+SP+ #32 #32
Pts POPPO #42 #78
HavocHav #31 #33
Missouri Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #6 #66
Run SuccessRSuc #15 #47
Run ExplRExp #24 #34
PPAExp #15 #31
Run BlockR Blk #14 -
OL YdsOLY #38 #42
Stuff RateStuff #51 #43
TackleTak -  #104
Missouri Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #73 #56
Pass SuccessPSuc #61 #77
Pass ExplPExl #112 #62
PPAExp #99 #103
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #12 #62
F7 HavocF7 #63 #21
DB HavocDB #13 #67
Vanderbilt on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatVAN OffMIZ Def
Perf GradePerf #25 #9
SuccessSuc #1 #10
ExplosiveExp #13 #65
PPAPPA #1 #13
PowerPwr #2 #15
SP+SP+ #4 #13
Pts POPPO #1 #65
HavocHav #23 #5
Vanderbilt Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #15 #8
Run SuccessRSuc #10 #11
Run ExplRExp #2 #64
PPAExp #1 #26
Run BlockR Blk #90 -
OL YdsOLY #12 #25
Stuff RateStuff #32 #37
TackleTak -  #11
Vanderbilt Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatVAN OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #4 #28
Pass SuccessPSuc #2 #12
Pass ExplPExl #82 #69
PPAExp #2 #15
Pass Block/RushP Blk #129 #4
F7 HavocF7 #29 #6
DB HavocDB #28 #12
Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Vanderbilt -3.0 (52.5)
Vanderbilt won vs Missouri this year (17-10)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Vanderbilt last year (30-27)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-21)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (17-14)

  
MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)18227067%19461197.2
Matt Zollers356653%402416.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)2411560166.572
Jamal Roberts11369756.263
Beau Pribula (Tr)9529763.149
Marquise Davis3420025.923
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)63715111.350
Donovan Olugbode25352214.134
Marquis Johnson28345212.349
Joshua Manning29318211.034

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)8413271
Santana Banner (Tr)511003
Marvin Burks Jr.462001
Nicholas Rodriguez464206
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.1999122
Zion Young38147122
Darris Smith1465112
Chris McClellan427562
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rodriguez464206
Dreyden Norwood202005
Daylan Carnell356014

VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia24234071%31922789.4
Blaze Berlowitz91753%131107.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia15282695.441
Sedrick Alexander103563115.565
Makhilyn Young4440769.380
Jamezell Lassiter9143215.948
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers61765412.567
Tre Richardson (Tr)41683616.771
Junior Sherrill46661714.440
Richie Hoskins26305311.753

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Steve Gregory (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell679142
C.J. Heard (Tr)644253
Langston Patterson611030
Randon Fontenette487056
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Miles Capers359531
Zaylin Wood265461
Nicholas Rinaldi427491
Khordae Sydnor299483
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette487056
Khordae Sydnor299483
C.J. Heard (Tr)644253