Vanderbilt at Florida - 2021 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo   Vanderbilt Commodores at Florida Gators  Florida logo
Saturday, October 9th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida -39 (60.5)
Florida 42 - Vanderbilt: 0  (SEC)

 
Commodores (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA is playing their 6th straight game
VAN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -17.5  (SP+ FLA -30)
Projected Score: VAN: 28 - FLA: 24 (52)
FLA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 61%
VAN Travel: 518 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gators (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (31 - 10)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Vanderbilt vs East Tennessee State-21.045.0L 3 - 23UN
Sat 9/11 Vanderbilt at Colorado State+6.552.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 9/18 Vanderbilt vs Stanford+13.049.0L 23 - 41ON
Sat 9/25 Vanderbilt vs Georgia+36.054.5L 0 - 62ON
Sat 10/2 Vanderbilt vs UConn-14.551.5W 30 - 28ON
Sat 10/9 Vanderbilt at Florida+39.060.5L 0 - 42UN
Sat 10/16 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+19.050.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 10/23 Vanderbilt vs Mississippi State+21.053.0L 6 - 45UN
Sat 10/30 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+16.062.5L 28 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky+21.552.5L 17 - 34UY
Sat 11/20 Vanderbilt at Ole Miss+35.566.5L 17 - 31UY
Sat 11/27 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+33.065.0L 21 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Florida's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Florida vs Florida Atlantic-23.551.5W 35 - 14UN
Sat 9/11 Florida at South Florida-29.057.0W 42 - 20ON
Sat 9/18 Florida vs Alabama+14.059.5L 29 - 31OY
Sat 9/25 Florida vs Tennessee-19.065.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 10/2 Florida at Kentucky-7.556.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 10/9 Florida vs Vanderbilt-39.060.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 10/16 Florida at LSU-12.561.0L 42 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Florida vs Georgia+14.050.0L 7 - 34UN
Sat 11/6 Florida at South Carolina-20.552.0L 17 - 40ON
Sat 11/13 Florida vs Samford-36.068.5W 70 - 52ON
Sat 11/20 Florida at Missouri-9.569.0L 23 - 24UN
Sat 11/27 Florida vs Florida State-4.058.5W 24 - 21UN
Thu 12/23 Florida vs UCF-7.056.0L 17 - 29UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN.0739%38.536%2.610941%2202.43.3954%22.851%56%4.0538.11.91.1
FLA.3250%21.645%3.1913154%3794.51.2446%2448%43%4.0446.41.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense938.53338.7%2.431.920329109220350%50%36%41%18%.07
FLA Defense122418.745.8%4.041.3 - - - - - 49%51%48%43%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense922.82353.9%4.051.1 - - - - - 43%57%51%56%12%.39
FLA Offense1221.62950.3%4.511.6265101313794.341%59%45%54%15%.32

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt929:402040%60%4.738.11.91.13.71.4025.6
Florida1231:0226.350%58%5.546.41.61.362.8128.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense950%36%36.7108.934-.032.673%12%0.77
FLA Defense1249%48% - - - - .23.2175%10%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense943%51% - - - - .243.2374%7%1
FLA Offense1241%45%30.6131.34.312.133.1977%8%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense950%41%21.333.3219.96.610.31311.181.533%27%.216%1.8
FLA Defense1251%43% - - - - - - 9.281.629%35%.396%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense957%56% - - - - - - 2.511.427%36%.445%2
FLA Offense1259%54%26.839.4378.69.614.24610.461.628%42%.518%2

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2021 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.4  #123
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #125
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #116

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt:    Florida: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -19.4   Florida: 11.0




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 8 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #29
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #22
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #39

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 28
Florida 24

Projected Total Points: 52
Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Florida38Vanderbilt14Florida -18Florida51.0Over
202211/19Vanderbilt31Florida24Florida -14Vanderbilt58.0Under
202110/09Florida42Vanderbilt0Florida -39Florida60.5Under
202011/21Vanderbilt17Florida38Florida -31.5Vanderbilt68.5Under
201911/09Florida56Vanderbilt0Florida -26.5Florida50.0Over
201810/13Vanderbilt27Florida37Florida -9.5Florida51.0Over
201709/30Florida38Vanderbilt24Florida -9Florida39.0Over
201610/01Vanderbilt6Florida13Florida -8.5Vanderbilt40.5Under
201511/07Florida9Vanderbilt7Florida -19Vanderbilt38.5Under
201411/08Vanderbilt10Florida34Florida -13.5Florida0
201311/09Florida17Vanderbilt34Florida -10Vanderbilt0
201210/13Vanderbilt17Florida31
201111/05Florida26Vanderbilt21
201011/06Vanderbilt14Florida55
200911/07Florida27Vanderbilt3
200811/08Vanderbilt14Florida42
200711/03Florida49Vanderbilt22
200611/04Vanderbilt19Florida25
200511/05Florida49Vanderbilt42
200411/06Vanderbilt17Florida34
200311/08Florida35Vanderbilt17
200211/09Vanderbilt17Florida21
200111/03Florida71Vanderbilt13
200011/03Vanderbilt20Florida43
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida2264 Overs
Vanderbilt255 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 127 - 44 - 23 - 2
Road Teams12 - 124 - 72 - 32 - 4

(#) VAN at (#) FLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVANFLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #123 #29
Perf GradeGrade #131 #89
OffenseOff #127 #73
DefenseDef #121 #90
Spec TeamsST #125 #84
TalentTal #57 #9
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Vanderbilt on Offense
CategoryCat
VAN OffFLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127 #90
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #125 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Vanderbilt Run Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffFLA Def
Run GameRun #97 #61
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #106 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #62
Vanderbilt Pass Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffFLA Def
Pass GamePass #129 #115
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #121 #29
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCatFLA OffVAN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #73 #121
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #116
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #3 #116
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #127 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #118
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatFLA OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #84 #111
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #52 #133
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

VAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Florida -39.0 (60.5)
Florida won vs Vanderbilt this year (42-0)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-14)

  
VAN's OC David Raih (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Jesse Minter (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FLA's OC Dan Mullen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Todd Grantham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD