Vanderbilt at Colorado State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo   Vanderbilt Commodores at Colorado State Rams  Colorado State logo
Saturday, September 11th 2021 (10:00 PM EDT)
Colorado State -6.5 (52.5)
Vanderbilt 24 - Colorado State: 21

 
Commodores (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ CSU -17)

Projected Score: VAN: 33 - CSU: 21 (54)
CSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
VAN Travel: 1034 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rams (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Addazio (2 - 5)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Vanderbilt vs East Tennessee State-21.045.0L 3 - 23UN
Sat 9/11 Vanderbilt at Colorado State+6.552.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 9/18 Vanderbilt vs Stanford+13.049.0L 23 - 41ON
Sat 9/25 Vanderbilt vs Georgia+36.054.5L 0 - 62ON
Sat 10/2 Vanderbilt vs UConn-14.551.5W 30 - 28ON
Sat 10/9 Vanderbilt at Florida+39.060.5L 0 - 42UN
Sat 10/16 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+19.050.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 10/23 Vanderbilt vs Mississippi State+21.053.0L 6 - 45UN
Sat 10/30 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+16.062.5L 28 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky+21.552.5L 17 - 34UY
Sat 11/20 Vanderbilt at Ole Miss+35.566.5L 17 - 31UY
Sat 11/27 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+33.065.0L 21 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Colorado State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 Colorado State vs South Dakota State-2.550.5L 23 - 42ON
Sat 9/11 Colorado State vs Vanderbilt-6.552.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 9/18 Colorado State at Toledo+14.559.0W 22 - 6UY
Sat 9/25 Colorado State at Iowa+24.043.5L 14 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 Colorado State vs San José State-3.544.0W 32 - 14OY
Sat 10/16 Colorado State at New Mexico-13.044.5W 36 - 7UY
Fri 10/22 Colorado State at Utah State-3.058.5L 24 - 26UN
Sat 10/30 Colorado State vs Boise State+2.051.5L 19 - 28UN
Sat 11/6 Colorado State at Wyoming-3.041.5L 17 - 31ON
Sat 11/13 Colorado State vs Air Force+3.045.0L 21 - 35ON
Sat 11/20 Colorado State at Hawai'i-3.054.0L 45 - 50ON
Sat 11/27 Colorado State vs Nevada+3.057.5L 10 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN.0739%38.536%2.610941%2202.43.3954%22.851%56%4.0538.11.91.1
CSU.0433%18.533%2.2412433%1953.3.1738%30.833%44%4.0449.811.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense938.53338.7%2.431.920329109220350%50%36%41%18%.07
CSU Defense430.827.138.3%4.041.3 - - - - - 53%47%33%44%19%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense922.82353.9%4.051.1 - - - - - 43%57%51%56%12%.39
CSU Offense418.519.933.2%3.31173191241953.253%47%33%33%21%.04

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt929:402040%60%4.738.11.91.13.71.4025.6
Colorado State424:331720%38%649.811.310.54131.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense950%36%36.7108.934-.032.673%12%0.77
CSU Defense453%33% - - - - .012.165%16%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense943%51% - - - - .243.2374%7%1
CSU Offense453%33%38.81243.26-.022.2462%15%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense950%41%21.333.3219.96.610.31311.181.533%27%.216%1.8
CSU Defense447%44% - - - - - - 1.351.737%32%.373%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense957%56% - - - - - - 2.511.427%36%.445%2
CSU Offense447%33%14.829.5194.86.613.243.111.937%22%.056%2.2

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2021 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.4  #123
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #125
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #116

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt:    Colorado State: 1.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -19.4   Colorado State: -2.4




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: 1.3 NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4  #87
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #98
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9  #59

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 33
Colorado State 21


Projected Total Points: 54
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/11Colorado State21Vanderbilt24Colorado State -6.5Vanderbilt52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State000 Overs
Vanderbilt111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) VAN at (#) CSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVANCSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #123 #87
Perf GradeGrade #131 #67
OffenseOff #127 #79
DefenseDef #121 #47
Spec TeamsST #125 #117
TalentTal #57 #93
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Vanderbilt on Offense
CategoryCat
VAN OffCSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127 #47
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #125 #59
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Vanderbilt Run Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffCSU Def
Run GameRun #97 #60
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #106 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #46
Vanderbilt Pass Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffCSU Def
Pass GamePass #129 #69
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #121 #12
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Colorado State on Offense
CategoryCatCSU OffVAN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #79 #121
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #116
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado State Run Game
CategoryCat
CSU OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #123 #116
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #94 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #118
Colorado State Pass Game
CategoryCatCSU OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #38 #111
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #105 #133
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

VAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Colorado State -6.5 (52.5)
Vanderbilt won at Colorado State this year (24-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
VAN's OC David Raih (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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VAN's DC Jesse Minter (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CSU's OC Jon Budmayr (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CSU's DC Chuck Heater (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD