Missouri at Vanderbilt Game Matchup

Missouri Tigers at Vanderbilt Commodores

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -14 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Missouri 38 - Vanderbilt: 21 (SEC)

Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VAN 2nd straight Home Game
VAN is playing their 5th straight game
MIZ is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -25 (SP+ MIZ -31.5)
Projected Score: MIZ: 39 - VAN: 14 (50)
MIZ Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
MIZ Travel: 359 miles

Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIZ Players
VAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Missouri vs South Dakota	-27.0	44.5	W 35 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/9	Missouri vs Middle Tennessee	-21.0	47.5	W 23 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/16	Missouri vs Kansas State	+3.5	48.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Missouri vs Memphis	-6.5	52.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Missouri at Vanderbilt	-14.0	53.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Missouri vs LSU	+6.0	63.5	L 39 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/14	Missouri at Kentucky	+1.5	50.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Missouri vs South Carolina	-7.5	57.5	W 34 - 12	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Missouri at Georgia	+15.0	56.5	L 21 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Missouri vs Tennessee	+1.0	58.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Missouri vs Florida	-12.5	56.5	W 33 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/24	Missouri at Arkansas	-9.5	53.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Missouri vs Ohio State	+4.0	51.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i	-17.0	54.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/2	Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M	-35.0	53.5	W 47 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/9	Vanderbilt at Wake Forest	+9.5	55.0	L 20 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/16	Vanderbilt at UNLV	-4.5	56.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Vanderbilt vs Kentucky	+13.5	50.0	L 28 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Vanderbilt vs Missouri	+14.0	53.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/7	Vanderbilt at Florida	+18.0	51.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/14	Vanderbilt vs Georgia	+32.5	55.0	L 20 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Vanderbilt at Ole Miss	+24.0	62.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/4	Vanderbilt vs Auburn	+12.5	50.0	L 15 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Vanderbilt at South Carolina	+13.5	53.5	L 6 - 47	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25	Vanderbilt at Tennessee	+27.0	58.0	L 24 - 48	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	.16	41%	28.9	41%	2.89	156	41%	213	4.26	.15	38%	20.4	37%	39%	3.8	63.7	1.5	1.8
VAN	.16	40%	27.3	40%	2.98	160	42%	187	3.73	.31	45%	23.4	42%	49%	4.14	46.1	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	13	28.9	24.8	40.6%	4.26	1.5	19	370	156	213	4.1	51%	48%	41%	41%	17%	.16
VAN Defense	12	23.4	23.9	45.5%	4.14	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	42%	49%	15%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	13	20.4	26.4	37.7%	3.8	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	37%	39%	21%	.15
VAN Offense	12	27.3	29.6	40.3%	3.73	1.3	18	347	160	187	4.3	56%	43%	40%	42%	18%	.16

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	13	31:05	18.5	40%	50%	7.8	63.7	1.5	1.8	7	2.7	3	28.9
Vanderbilt	12	31:36	17.5	37%	38%	5.3	46.1	1.3	1.8	4.7	1.4	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	13	51%	41%	37.9	156.5	4.1	21	.11	2.89	70%	13%	1
VAN Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.24	54%	9%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	13	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.72	67%	14%	1.14
VAN Offense	12	56%	40%	37.1	159.9	4.3	13	.1	2.98	73%	10%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	13	48%	41%	19	30.1	213.2	7.1	11.2	13	9	.25	1.6	34%	33%	.34	4%	2
VAN Defense	12	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.55	1.7	29%	33%	.49	5%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	13	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.22	1.6	34%	28%	.22	8%	2
VAN Offense	12	43%	42%	16.7	28.8	187.3	6.5	11.2	22	6	.29	1.7	33%	27%	.32	8%	2.3

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 12.43 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23% #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 12.43 Vanderbilt: -10.105

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 17.8 Vanderbilt: -13.7

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -10.105 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 39
Vanderbilt 14

Projected Total Points: 50

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Missouri	30	Vanderbilt	27	Missouri	Missouri -17.5	Vanderbilt	52.0	Over
2023	09/30	Vanderbilt	21	Missouri	38	Missouri	Missouri -14	Missouri	53.5	Over
2022	10/22	Missouri	17	Vanderbilt	14	Missouri	Missouri -14	Vanderbilt	49.0	Under
2021	10/30	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri	37	Missouri	Missouri -16	Vanderbilt	62.5	Over
2020	11/28	Missouri	41	Vanderbilt	0	Missouri	Vanderbilt -2	Missouri	52.5	Under
2019	10/19	Vanderbilt	21	Missouri	14	Vanderbilt	Missouri -21	Vanderbilt	56.5	Under
2018	11/10	Missouri	33	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri	Missouri -13.5	Vanderbilt	65.0	Under
2017	11/18	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri	45	Missouri	Missouri -8.5	Missouri	65.0	Under
2016	11/12	Missouri	26	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri	Missouri -1	Missouri	53.0	Under
2015	10/24	Vanderbilt	10	Missouri	3	Vanderbilt	Missouri -2	Vanderbilt	34.0	Under
2014	10/25	Missouri	24	Vanderbilt	14	Missouri	Missouri -24	Vanderbilt	0
2013	10/05	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri	51	Missouri	Vanderbilt -2.5	Missouri	0
2012	10/06	Missouri	15	Vanderbilt	19	Vanderbilt

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Vanderbilt	3	7	3 Overs
Missouri	10	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 5	5 - 7	1 - 5	4 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 8	7 - 5	2 - 4	5 - 1

(#14) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.43 #14
Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23% #30
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile

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Missouri Ratings Matchup Vanderbilt

Power #14

#122

Off #15

#122

Def #38

#124

Talent #37

#19

SP+ #12

#113

SP+ Off #11

#84

SP+ Def #23

#125

Rematch from Week 5
Missouri 14.0 (53.5)
Missouri won at Vanderbilt this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Vanderbilt last year (30-27)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-21)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (17-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 86° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MIZ | VAN
Depth Chart: MIZ | VAN
Rosters: MIZ | VAN

(#122) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.105 #122
Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20

Team Profile

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Missouri's OC Kirby Moore

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brady Cook	200	320	63%	2525	11	2	7.9
Jake Garcia (Tr)	109	181	60%	1426	8	12	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brady Cook	87	223	5	2.6	31
Luther Burden III	10	125	2	12.5	61
Gabarri Johnson	26	106	1	4.1	23
Jake Garcia (Tr)	40	46	2	1.2	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Theo Wease	60	884	4	14.7	70
Luther Burden III	60	666	6	11.1	44
Mookie Cooper	12	235	0	19.6	78
Dannis Jackson	11	210	0	19.1	47

View Missouri's Full Roster

Missouri's DC Blake Baker

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carmycah Glass	75	4	1	3	0
Joseph Charleston	44	2	0	0	4
Johnny Walker	43	13	10	4	1
Charles Hicks	33	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Walker	43	13	10	4	1
Charles Hicks	33	5	2	0	1
Serigne Tounkara	5	2	2	2	0
Kristian Williams	30	2	1	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Joseph Charleston	44	2	0	4
Dameon Wilson	25	3	1	2
Sidney Williams (Tr)	30	1	0	2

Vanderbilt's OC Joey Lynch

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ken Seals	10	13	77%	97	1	0	7.5
AJ Swann	2	4	50%	10	0	0	2.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Quincy Skinner Jr.	1	22	22.0	22
Jayden McGowan	2	13	6.5	7
Ken Seals	4	12	3.0	7
Landon Wells	1	-2	-2.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Sheppard	48	621	6	12.9	47
Quincy Skinner Jr.	29	367	3	12.7	63
London Humphreys	15	244	2	16.3	40
Logan Kyle	11	132	1	12.0	30

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

Vanderbilt's DC Nick Howell

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Barr	72	3	0	2	2
CJ Taylor	64	3	0	1	3
John Howse IV	51	4	1	0	1
De'Rickey Wright	47	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)	23	3	2	1	2
John Howse IV	51	4	1	0	1
Nate Clifton	21	2	1	0	2
Ethan Barr	72	3	0	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
CJ Taylor	64	3	1	3
Ethan Barr	72	3	2	2
De'Rickey Wright	47	1	0	2