Iowa at Vanderbilt - 2025 Matchup Preview

Wednesday, December 31st 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Vanderbilt -3 (47.5) (-170) Open: -4.0 | 49.5
Iowa 34 - Vanderbilt: 27 (ReliaQuest Bowl)

Hawkeyes (9 - 4) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#50)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Vanderbilt -2 (SP+ VAN -1)
Projected Score: IOWA: 25 - VAN: 27 (51)
VAN Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
IOWA Travel: 1074 miles, 1 hrs behind

Commodores (10 - 3) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 2.4 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
IOWA Players
VAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Iowa vs UAlbany	-39.5	48.5	W 34 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/6	Iowa at Iowa State	+3.0	43.0	L 13 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Iowa vs Massachusetts	-35.5	44.5	W 47 - 7	O	Y
Fri 9/19	Iowa at Rutgers	-2.5	46.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Iowa vs Indiana	+9.5	47.5	L 15 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Iowa at Wisconsin	-5.5	37.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Iowa vs Penn State	-3.5	41.5	W 25 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/25	Iowa vs Minnesota	-7.5	39.5	W 41 - 3	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Iowa vs Oregon	+4.5	41.5	L 16 - 18	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Iowa at USC	+6.5	48.5	L 21 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Iowa vs Michigan State	-17.5	43.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
Fri 11/28	Iowa at Nebraska	-5.5	38.5	W 40 - 16	O	Y
Wed 12/31	Iowa vs Vanderbilt	+3.0	47.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern	-37.5	49.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech	+2.5	46.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Vanderbilt at South Carolina	+3.0	48.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Vanderbilt vs Georgia State	-27.5	53.5	W 70 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Vanderbilt vs Utah State	-23.5	57.5	W 55 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/4	Vanderbilt at Alabama	+13.5	58.5	L 14 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Vanderbilt vs LSU	-1.5	48.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Vanderbilt vs Missouri	-3.0	52.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/1	Vanderbilt at Texas	+3.5	48.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Vanderbilt vs Auburn	-6.0	46.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Vanderbilt vs Kentucky	-7.0	53.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Vanderbilt at Tennessee	+2.0	66.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Wed 12/31	Vanderbilt vs Iowa	-3.0	47.5	L 27 - 34	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA	#100 (.14)	42% (72)	29.3	44% (63)	2.92 (89)	185	40% (94)	121	3.77 (84)	#30 (.11)	42% (72)	16.1	46% (97)	39% (51)	3.37 (27)	26.3	0.8	1.8
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)	38.5	42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)	22.8	46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Offense	13	29.3	29.8	42.3%	3.77	0.8	15	306	185	121	5.2	62%	37%	44%	40%	13%	.14
VAN Defense	13	22.8	21.1	46.9%	4.22	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	46%	48%	16%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Defense	13	16.1	17.2	42%	3.37	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	46%	39%	17%	.11
VAN Offense	13	38.5	44	42.2%	4.25	0.5	17	295	129	166	3.9	58%	42%	42%	43%	15%	.17

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa	13	27:05	15.4	41%	50%	2.8	26.3	0.8	1.8	4.5	2.1	2	33.6
Vanderbilt	13	28:39	16.6	44%	54%	5	48.3	0.5	1.1	4.8	1.7	4	31.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense	13	62% (7)	44% (63)	35.5	185	5.2	29 (18)	.13 (71)	2.92 (89)	62% (120)	10% (76)	1.02 (47)
VAN Defense	13	49% (47)	46% (96)	-	-	-	-	.12 (70)	2.98 (62)	77% (88)	10% (76)	0.89 (30)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense	13	46% (17)	46% (97)	-	-	-	-	.07 (38)	3.07 (84)	84% (126)	10% (68)	0.68 (1)
VAN Offense	13	58% (18)	42% (93)	33.1	129.2	3.9	16 (90)	.06 (104)	2.8 (105)	83% (10)	8% (41)	0.87 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense	13	37% (129)	40% (94)	11.5	18.6	121.5	6.5	10.6	9 (128)	7 (26)	.21 (93)	1.5 (93)	26% (4)	28% (99)	.2 (108)	3% (7)	2 (72)
VAN Defense	13	51% (90)	48% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.37 (120)	1.5 (33)	29% (111)	36% (122)	.45 (117)	7% (48)	2.1 (72)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense	13	54% (118)	39% (51)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.18 (39)	1.5 (36)	32% (76)	28% (36)	.24 (39)	7% (27)	1.8 (7)
VAN Offense	13	42% (115)	43% (53)	12.8	21.8	166.3	7.6	13	18 (68)	4 (1)	.33 (33)	1.7 (37)	33% (108)	31% (74)	.32 (75)	7% (96)	2.1 (64)

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 15.10 #22
Iowa's Offense Rating: 19.71 #29
Iowa's Defense Rating: 4.61 #23
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 4.6
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.7 #12
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #37
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 15.10 Vanderbilt: 19.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 19.7 Vanderbilt: 20.3

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 19.355 #12
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 27.73 #2
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 9.32 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 2.4
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.3 #11
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #5
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #39

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Vanderbilt 27
Iowa 25

Projected Total Points: 51

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	12/31	Vanderbilt	27	Iowa	34	Vanderbilt -3	Iowa	47.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Vanderbilt	0	0	1 Overs
Iowa	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

Iowa Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	Reliaquest Bowl	Iowa vs Vanderbilt	+3.0	47.5	W 34 - 27
2024	City Bowl	Iowa vs Missouri	+1.0	41.0	L 24 - 27
2023	Citrus Bowl	Iowa vs Tennessee	+4.5	37.0	L 0 - 35
2022	City Bowl	Iowa vs Kentucky	-3.0	31.5	W 21 - 0
2021	Citrus Bowl	Iowa vs Kentucky	+3.0	43.5	L 17 - 20
2019	Holiday Bowl	Iowa vs USC	+1.5	54.5	W 49 - 24

Vanderbilt Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	Reliaquest Bowl	Vanderbilt vs Iowa	-3.0	47.5	L 27 - 34
2024	Birmingham Bowl	Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 35 - 27

(#22) IOWA at (#12) VAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IOWA	VAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#22	#12
SP+SP+	#12	#11
Perf GradeGrade	#8	#27
OffenseOff	#9	#24
DefenseDef	#21	#59
Spec TeamsST	#8	#16
TalentTal	#41	#47
Blue ChipsBC%	#33	#49

Iowa Notes(11/28) Killed Neb to finish 8-4, 6-3 in B1G. Good season
(11/22) Stop L streak with comeback vs MSU. Found a way
(11/16) 2 hard L's to Ducks/USC. 6-4 feels crossroad-ish
(10/27) 41 pts on < 300 yds vs Minn. Def was incredible
(10/22) Least penalized team in CFB, both for & against
(10/19) Tired Off, beat PSU by 1 w/ backup QB. Def good
(10/8) QB Gronowski trending towards playing vs Wisc
(9/29) Off awful vs IU, sub 300 yds. Run Def great, Off bad
(9/29) Lost 11 straight vs ranked opps thru IU game
(9/19) QB Gronowski limited but improving. WR suck
(9/19) If refs call Def holding these CB's are cooked
(9/10) Starting TE Ostrenga out for the season
Iowa Injury Report

Vanderbilt Notes(11/30) Outrushed Tenn 314-83. Incredible season, CFP worthy
(11/28) HC Lea extended w/ new 6 year deal
(10/18) Ran all over LUS (239, 5.3 pyc). Pavia a dawg
(10/7) Hoping books sleep on Vandy after Bama L, good team
(9/30) Off Success is #1 in CFB into Bama game (5 games)
(9/21) Pavia incredible, Dores hot start. Run Off great
(9/21) Vandy is serious. Killing teams, mauling Rush Off
(5/26) Off should improve w/ better OL, more exp
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
Vanderbilt Injury Report

Iowa on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat	IOWA Off	VAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#9	#59
SuccessSuc	#72	#121
ExplosiveExp	#110	#38
PPAPPA	#100	#111
PowerPwr	#29	#41
SP+SP+	#37	#39
Pts POPPO	#84	#109
HavocHav	#31	#65

Iowa Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat	IOWA Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#26	#61
Run SuccessRSuc	#63	#96
Run ExplRExp	#47	#30
PPAExp	#71	#70
Run BlockR Blk	#2	-
OL YdsOLY	#89	#62
Stuff RateStuff	#110	#39
TackleTak	-	#106

Iowa Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat	IOWA Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	#94	#125
Pass ExplPExl	#93	#33
PPAExp	#93	#120
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#3	#63
F7 HavocF7	#76	#76
DB HavocDB	#7	#48

Vanderbilt on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	IOWA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#24	#21
SuccessSuc	#75	#72
ExplosiveExp	#108	#4
PPAPPA	#76	#30
PowerPwr	#2	#23
SP+SP+	#5	#6
Pts POPPO	#34	#27
HavocHav	#52	#51

Vanderbilt Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#17	#63
Run SuccessRSuc	#93	#97
Run ExplRExp	#116	#1
PPAExp	#104	#38
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#105	#84
Stuff RateStuff	#117	#115
TackleTak	-	#84

Vanderbilt Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#5	#30
Pass SuccessPSuc	#53	#51
Pass ExplPExl	#37	#36
PPAExp	#33	#39
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#129	#5
F7 HavocF7	#41	#68
DB HavocDB	#96	#27

Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Vanderbilt -3.0 (47.5)
Iowa won at Vanderbilt this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Vanderbilt last year (34-27)

IOWA's OC Tim Lester (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)	166	262	63%	1741	10	7	6.6
Hank Brown (Tr)	11	21	52%	107	1	1	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamari Moulton	170	878	5	5.2	34
Mark Gronowski (Tr)	130	545	16	4.2	67
Jaziun Patterson	60	296	0	4.9	17
Xavier Williams	49	285	3	5.8	43

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DJ Vonnahme	29	434	3	15.0	51
Jacob Gill	24	278	1	11.6	44
Sam Phillips (Tr)	16	261	0	16.3	45
Reece Vander Zee	15	219	2	14.6	29

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Karson Sharar	83	12	4	6	1
Xavier Nwankpa	76	1	0	1	0
Koen Entringer	73	4	0	1	3
Zach Lutmer	71	6	1	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Hurkett	35	10	8	2	0
Max Llewellyn	25	9	6	8	5
Aaron Graves	37	7	5	3	1
Karson Sharar	83	12	4	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
TJ Hall	47	0	0	10
Zach Lutmer	71	6	1	7
Deshaun Lee	34	1	0	6

VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Diego Pavia	267	378	71%	3539	29	8	9.4
Blaze Berlowitz	9	17	53%	131	1	0	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Diego Pavia	167	862	10	5.2	41
Sedrick Alexander	106	570	11	5.4	65
Makhilyn Young	45	411	6	9.1	80
Jamezell Lassiter	9	143	2	15.9	48

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)	47	810	7	17.2	75
Junior Sherrill	54	784	7	14.5	46
Eli Stowers	61	765	4	12.5	67
Richie Hoskins	28	321	3	11.5	53

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Steve Gregory (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Heard (Tr)	71	4	2	5	3
Bryan Longwell	70	9	1	4	2
Langston Patterson	69	2	0	3	0
Marlen Sewell	52	2	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Miles Capers	37	9	5	3	1
Zaylin Wood	28	5	4	7	1
Khordae Sydnor	30	9	4	9	3
Nicholas Rinaldi	47	7	4	9	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Randon Fontenette	51	7	0	5	6
Mark Davis	23	3	0	0	4
C.J. Heard (Tr)	71	4	2	5	3