Ole Miss at Vanderbilt - 2022 Matchup Preview

(#4)Ole Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt Commodores(#16)

Saturday, October 8th 2022 (4:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -17 (59.5)
Ole Miss 52 - Vanderbilt: 28 (SEC)

Rebels (8 - 5) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (15 - 8)
Avg Score : 34 - 26 (34 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VAN coming off BYE
MISS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ MISS -21)
Projected Score: MISS: 38 - VAN: 22 (60)
MISS Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
MISS Travel: 197 miles

Commodores (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 25 - 36 (26 - 41 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
VAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Ole Miss vs Troy	-21.5	56.5	W 28 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	Ole Miss vs Central Arkansas	-36.5	61.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Ole Miss at Georgia Tech	-17.0	63.0	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Ole Miss vs Tulsa	-21.0	66.5	W 35 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Ole Miss vs Kentucky	-6.5	55.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/8	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	-17.0	59.5	W 52 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Ole Miss vs Auburn	-15.5	55.5	W 48 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/22	Ole Miss at LSU	+0.0	64.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/29	Ole Miss at Texas A&M	-3.0	55.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	Ole Miss vs Alabama	+11.0	65.5	L 24 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Ole Miss at Arkansas	+0.0	67.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Thu 11/24	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-2.5	63.0	L 22 - 24	U	N
Wed 12/28	Ole Miss vs Texas Tech	-4.5	73.0	L 25 - 42	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Vanderbilt's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Vanderbilt at Hawai'i	-9.5	54.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/3	Vanderbilt vs Elon	-18.5	51.5	W 42 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Vanderbilt vs Wake Forest	+13.5	65.5	L 25 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Vanderbilt at Northern Illinois	+2.5	58.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Vanderbilt at Alabama	+40.5	61.0	L 3 - 55	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss	+17.0	59.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/15	Vanderbilt at Georgia	+37.5	56.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 10/22	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+14.0	49.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+6.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/12	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+17.0	45.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Vanderbilt vs Florida	+14.0	58.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+14.0	63.5	L 0 - 56	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	.27	48%	33.5	49%	3.11	257	45%	240	4.04	.16	44%	25.5	44%	44%	3.72	63.2	1.5	2.3
VAN	.16	40%	24.6	40%	2.98	160	42%	187	3.73	.31	45%	36	42%	49%	4.14	46.1	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)		42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)		46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	13	33.5	34.4	47.5%	4.04	1.5	25	496	257	240	5.4	60%	40%	49%	45%	16%	.27
VAN Defense	12	36	41	45.5%	4.14	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	42%	49%	15%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	13	25.5	28.6	43.9%	3.72	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	44%	44%	16%	.16
VAN Offense	12	24.6	25.5	40.3%	3.73	1.3	18	347	160	187	4.3	56%	43%	40%	42%	18%	.16

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	13	26:23	25.2	47%	49%	6.8	63.2	1.5	2.3	5.7	2.5	0	27.3
Vanderbilt	12	31:36	17.5	37%	38%	5.3	46.1	1.3	1.8	4.7	1.4	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	13	60%	49%	47.2	256.5	5.4	33	.27	3.11	74%	10%	1.1
VAN Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.24	54%	9%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.22	74%	10%	0.86
VAN Offense	12	56%	40%	37.1	159.9	4.3	13	.1	2.98	73%	10%	1

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	13	40%	45%	18.4	29.7	239.8	8.1	13.1	22	11	.3	1.6	29%	36%	.33	5%	1.9
VAN Defense	12	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.55	1.7	29%	33%	.49	5%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.24	1.5	29%	30%	.22	6%	1.8
VAN Offense	12	43%	42%	16.7	28.8	187.3	6.5	11.2	22	6	.29	1.7	33%	27%	.32	8%	2.3

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.8 #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #45

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: Vanderbilt: 0.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 16.2 Vanderbilt: -4.7

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 0.15 NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Vanderbilt's 2022 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.7 #87
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #58
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #97

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.4
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.6

Ole Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 38
Vanderbilt 22

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 40
Vanderbilt 18

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 36
Vanderbilt 26

Total Points: 62

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.5
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense at Home: 41

Vanderbilt's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Ole Miss	33	Vanderbilt	7	Ole Miss -24	Ole Miss	62.0	Under
2022	10/08	Vanderbilt	28	Ole Miss	52	Ole Miss -17	Ole Miss	59.5	Over
2021	11/20	Ole Miss	31	Vanderbilt	17	Ole Miss -35.5	Vanderbilt	66.5	Under
2020	10/31	Vanderbilt	21	Ole Miss	54	Ole Miss -18.0	Ole Miss	0
2019	10/05	Ole Miss	31	Vanderbilt	6	Ole Miss -6.5	Ole Miss	63.5	Under
2018	11/17	Vanderbilt	36	Ole Miss	29	Vanderbilt -3	Vanderbilt	72.5	Under
2017	10/14	Ole Miss	57	Vanderbilt	35	Ole Miss -3.5	Ole Miss	56.5	Over
2016	11/19	Vanderbilt	38	Ole Miss	17	Ole Miss -9.5	Vanderbilt	50.0	Over
2015	09/26	Ole Miss	27	Vanderbilt	16	Ole Miss -28	Vanderbilt	53.5	Under
2014	09/06	Vanderbilt	3	Ole Miss	41	Ole Miss -14	Ole Miss	0
2013	08/29	Vanderbilt	35	Ole Miss	39	Vanderbilt -1.5	Ole Miss	0
2012	11/10	Ole Miss	26	Vanderbilt	27
2011	09/17	Vanderbilt	30	Ole Miss	7
2010	09/18	Ole Miss	14	Vanderbilt	28
2009	10/03	Vanderbilt	7	Ole Miss	23
2008	09/20	Ole Miss	17	Vanderbilt	23
2007	09/15	Vanderbilt	31	Ole Miss	17
2006	10/07	Ole Miss	17	Vanderbilt	10
2005	09/17	Vanderbilt	31	Ole Miss	23
2004	09/18	Ole Miss	26	Vanderbilt	23
2003	08/30	Vanderbilt	21	Ole Miss	24
2002	09/21	Ole Miss	45	Vanderbilt	38
2001	12/01	Ole Miss	38	Vanderbilt	27
2000	09/15	Vanderbilt	7	Ole Miss	12

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Vanderbilt	8	4	3 Overs
Ole Miss	16	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	5 - 6	4 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 14	6 - 5	3 - 1	3 - 4

(#) MISS at (#) VAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	VAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#14	#87
Perf GradeGrade	#48	#131
OffenseOff	#56	#118
DefenseDef	#45	#131
Spec TeamsST	#39	#91
TalentTal	#23	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ole Miss Injury Report

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	VAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#56	#131
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#97
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#27	#121
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#92	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#126

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#120
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#71	#136
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#45
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#79	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#124	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#122	#34
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#96	#32
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Average G5

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 64° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Ole Miss 17.0 (59.5)
Ole Miss won at Vanderbilt this year (52-28)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (33-7)
Ole Miss beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (52-28)

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

VAN's OC Joey Lynch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Nick Howell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD