Georgia at Vanderbilt - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#10)Georgia Bulldogs at Vanderbilt Commodores(#20)

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Georgia -32.5 (55.0) (-20000) Open: -32.0 | 57.0
Georgia 37 - Vanderbilt: 20 (SEC)

Bulldogs (13 - 1) (5 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kirby Smart (84 - 15)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (33 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.8 - 2.2 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.2 MPH
VAN is playing their 7th straight game
UGA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Georgia -36 (SP+ UGA -43)
Projected Score: UGA: 46 - VAN: 10 (56)
UGA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%
UGA Travel: 246 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 19)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (28 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UGA Players
VAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia vs UT Martin	-50.0	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia vs Ball State	-42.0	52.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia vs South Carolina	-27.0	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia vs UAB	-40.0	56.0	W 49 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/30	Georgia at Auburn	-14.0	44.5	W 27 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia vs Kentucky	-14.5	47.0	W 51 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Georgia at Vanderbilt	-32.5	55.0	W 37 - 20	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Georgia vs Florida	-14.0	50.0	W 43 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia vs Missouri	-15.0	56.5	W 30 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia vs Ole Miss	-11.0	59.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Georgia at Tennessee	-9.0	59.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia at Georgia Tech	-23.0	59.5	W 31 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/2	Georgia vs Alabama	-5.0	56.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/30	Georgia vs Florida State	-23.5	47.0	W 63 - 3	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i	-17.0	54.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/2	Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M	-35.0	53.5	W 47 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/9	Vanderbilt at Wake Forest	+9.5	55.0	L 20 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/16	Vanderbilt at UNLV	-4.5	56.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Vanderbilt vs Kentucky	+13.5	50.0	L 28 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Vanderbilt vs Missouri	+14.0	53.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/7	Vanderbilt at Florida	+18.0	51.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/14	Vanderbilt vs Georgia	+32.5	55.0	L 20 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Vanderbilt at Ole Miss	+24.0	62.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/4	Vanderbilt vs Auburn	+12.5	50.0	L 15 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Vanderbilt at South Carolina	+13.5	53.5	L 6 - 47	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25	Vanderbilt at Tennessee	+27.0	58.0	L 24 - 48	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#4 (.4)	53% (5)	40.1	51% (8)	3.34 (25)	191	54% (4)	305	5.02 (3)	#25 (.11)	38% (28)	15.6	45% (86)	34% (5)	3.45 (41)	42.9	1	1.2
VAN	#127 (.05)	36% (123)	22.8	37% (124)	2.92 (103)	95	37% (109)	223	4.09 (50)	#131 (.33)	45% (106)	36.2	42% (59)	48% (131)	4.11 (98)	42.5	1.7	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)		46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)		39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)		42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)		46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Offense	14	40.1	33.3	52.5%	5.02	1	26	496	191	305	5.3	49%	51%	51%	54%	12%	.4
VAN Defense	12	36.2	32	44.8%	4.11	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	42%	48%	15%	.33

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Defense	14	15.6	18.3	38.2%	3.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	45%	34%	16%	.11
VAN Offense	12	22.8	27.7	36.4%	4.09	1.7	17	319	95	223	3.3	42%	56%	37%	37%	22%	.05

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia	14	33:27	26	55%	73%	4.4	42.9	1	1.2	4.9	2	2	29.2
Vanderbilt	12	28:46	17	33%	30%	4.9	42.5	1.7	1.3	5.4	1.8	3	29.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Offense	14	49% (74)	51% (8)	35.8	191.1	5.3	40 (1)	.31 (5)	3.34 (25)	75% (58)	7% (19)	1.04 (46)
VAN Defense	12	47% (28)	42% (59)	-	-	-	-	.25 (119)	3.08 (61)	72% (60)	9% (90)	1.17 (122)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Defense	14	45% (12)	45% (86)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.02 (51)	66% (26)	9% (94)	1.03 (86)
VAN Offense	12	42% (116)	37% (124)	29.2	95.3	3.3	10 (124)	-.01 (128)	2.92 (103)	74% (63)	12% (102)	0.96 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Offense	14	51% (52)	54% (4)	23.4	32.6	305.3	9.4	13	29 (18)	7 (21)	.52 (7)	1.4 (120)	25% (5)	45% (2)	.7 (3)	5% (17)	2 (93)
VAN Defense	12	52% (100)	48% (131)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.43 (126)	1.6 (56)	31% (88)	37% (126)	.46 (123)	5% (96)	1.9 (25)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Defense	14	54% (119)	34% (5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.08 (6)	1.5 (37)	35% (35)	24% (7)	.14 (5)	7% (35)	2 (49)
VAN Offense	12	56% (21)	37% (109)	18.1	32.5	223.3	6.9	12.4	23 (51)	13 (97)	.14 (113)	1.7 (30)	37% (130)	25% (113)	.1 (129)	10% (133)	2 (91)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 22.16 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 78% #3
Georgia's 2023 Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20
Georgia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 22.16 Vanderbilt: -10.105

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 29.5 Vanderbilt: -13.7

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -10.105 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 40.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.3
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

Georgia's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 46
Vanderbilt 10

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 37
Vanderbilt 22

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 35
Vanderbilt 21

Total Points: 56

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Vanderbilt	20	Georgia	37	Georgia -32.5	Vanderbilt	55.0	Over
2022	10/15	Georgia	55	Vanderbilt	0	Georgia -37.5	Georgia	56.5	Under
2021	09/25	Vanderbilt	0	Georgia	62	Georgia -36	Georgia	54.5	Over
2019	08/31	Vanderbilt	6	Georgia	30	Georgia -22	Georgia	56.5	Under
2018	10/06	Georgia	41	Vanderbilt	13
2017	10/07	Vanderbilt	14	Georgia	45	Georgia -17	Georgia	40.5	Over
2016	10/15	Georgia	16	Vanderbilt	17	Georgia -14.5	Vanderbilt	42.5	Under
2015	09/12	Vanderbilt	14	Georgia	31	Georgia -17	NA	48.5	Under
2014	10/04	Georgia	44	Vanderbilt	17	Georgia -32.5	Vanderbilt	0
2013	10/19	Vanderbilt	31	Georgia	27	Georgia -9.5	Vanderbilt	0
2012	09/22	Georgia	48	Vanderbilt	3
2011	10/15	Vanderbilt	28	Georgia	33
2010	10/16	Georgia	43	Vanderbilt	0
2009	10/17	Vanderbilt	10	Georgia	34
2008	10/18	Georgia	24	Vanderbilt	14
2007	10/13	Vanderbilt	17	Georgia	20
2006	10/14	Georgia	22	Vanderbilt	24
2005	10/15	Vanderbilt	17	Georgia	34
2004	10/16	Georgia	33	Vanderbilt	3
2003	10/18	Vanderbilt	8	Georgia	27
2002	10/19	Georgia	48	Vanderbilt	17
2001	10/13	Vanderbilt	14	Georgia	30
2000	10/13	Georgia	29	Vanderbilt	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Vanderbilt	3	4	3 Overs
Georgia	20	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 13	3 - 5	1 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 10	5 - 3	3 - 2	2 - 1

(#4) UGA at (#122) VAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UGA	VAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#4	#122
SP+SP+	#2	#113
Perf GradeGrade	#3	#129
OffenseOff	#3	#116
DefenseDef	#14	#126
Spec TeamsST	#6	#115
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#3	#57

Georgia Injury Report

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Georgia on Offense


CategoryCat	UGA Off	VAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#3	#126
SuccessSuc	#5	#106
ExplosiveExp	#91	#113
PPAPPA	#4	#131
PowerPwr	#4	#124
SP+SP+	#5	#125
Pts POPPO	#3	#98
HavocHav	#12	#101

Georgia Run Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#13	#105
Run SuccessRSuc	#8	#59
Run ExplRExp	#46	#122
PPAExp	#5	#119
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#25	#61
Stuff RateStuff	#53	#49
TackleTak	-	#103

Georgia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#4	#121
Pass SuccessPSuc	#4	#131
Pass ExplPExl	#120	#56
PPAExp	#7	#126
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#10	#124
F7 HavocF7	#19	#90
DB HavocDB	#17	#96

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	UGA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#14
SuccessSuc	#123	#28
ExplosiveExp	#13	#49
PPAPPA	#127	#25
PowerPwr	#122	#27
SP+SP+	#84	#5
Pts POPPO	#50	#41
HavocHav	#132	#67

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#104	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#124	#86
Run ExplRExp	#91	#86
PPAExp	#128	#85
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	#103	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#95	#29
TackleTak	-	#1

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#103	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	#109	#5
Pass ExplPExl	#30	#37
PPAExp	#113	#6
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#122	#44
F7 HavocF7	#102	#94
DB HavocDB	#133	#35

Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'23 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 62° - Wind: 16 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Georgia 32.5 (55.0)
Georgia won at Vanderbilt this year (37-20)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (37-20)
Georgia beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (55-0)

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	302	417	72%	3941	24	6	9.5
Gunner Stockton	12	19	63%	148	2	1	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daijun Edwards	164	881	13	5.4	62
Kendall Milton	121	790	14	6.5	51
Roderick Robinson II	24	196	2	8.2	36
Cash Jones	22	161	1	7.3	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brock Bowers	56	714	6	12.8	49
Dominic Lovett (Tr)	54	613	4	11.4	55
Marcus Rosemy	34	535	4	15.7	50
Ladd McConkey	30	478	2	15.9	54

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Will Muschamp (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tykee Smith	70	9	2	2	2
Smael Mondon Jr.	68	5	2	2	1
Javon Bullard	56	1	0	0	5
Malaki Starks	52	0	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalon Walker	20	6	5	1	0
Mykel Williams	16	7	5	0	2
Jamon Dumas-Johnson	34	6	4	1	2
Tykee Smith	70	9	2	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kamari Lassiter	37	4	1	8
Malaki Starks	52	0	0	7
Javon Bullard	56	1	0	5

VAN's OC Joey Lynch (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
AJ Swann	106	196	54%	1418	12	7	7.2
Ken Seals	106	179	59%	1218	11	4	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sedrick Alexander	96	370	4	3.9	27
Patrick Smith	79	327	2	4.1	40
Jayden McGowan	19	108	0	5.7	18
Walter Taylor	30	102	1	3.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Sheppard	47	684	8	14.6	85
London Humphreys	22	439	4	20.0	56
Jayden McGowan	36	383	0	10.6	50
Junior Sherrill	20	293	3	14.7	52

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Nick Howell (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Langston Patterson	74	8	1	2	0
Jaylen Mahoney	59	1	0	0	6
CJ Taylor	55	8	3	1	3
Ethan Barr	54	3	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nate Clifton	30	8	6	4	1
CJ Taylor	55	8	3	1	3
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)	33	6	3	3	0
Kane Patterson	43	6	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaylen Mahoney	59	1	6
Trudell Berry	21	1	4
BJ Anderson	8	0	3