Vanderbilt at Northern Illinois - 2022 Matchup Preview

Vanderbilt Commodores at Northern Illinois Huskies

Saturday, September 17th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -2.5 (58.5)
Vanderbilt 38 - Northern Illinois: 28

Commodores (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ VAN -14)
Projected Score: VAN: 29 - NIU: 20 (49)
NIU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
VAN Travel: 414 miles

Huskies (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (14 - 18)
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (18 - 21 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
NIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Vanderbilt at Hawai'i	-9.5	54.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/3	Vanderbilt vs Elon	-18.5	51.5	W 42 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Vanderbilt vs Wake Forest	+13.5	65.5	L 25 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Vanderbilt at Northern Illinois	+2.5	58.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Vanderbilt at Alabama	+40.5	61.0	L 3 - 55	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss	+17.0	59.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/15	Vanderbilt at Georgia	+37.5	56.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 10/22	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+14.0	49.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+6.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/12	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+17.0	45.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Vanderbilt vs Florida	+14.0	58.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+14.0	63.5	L 0 - 56	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Northern Illinois's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Northern Illinois vs Eastern Illinois	-35.0	55.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/10	Northern Illinois at Tulsa	+6.5	63.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Northern Illinois vs Vanderbilt	-2.5	58.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/24	Northern Illinois at Kentucky	+27.0	52.5	L 23 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Northern Illinois at Ball State	-3.5	58.5	L 38 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/8	Northern Illinois vs Toledo	+6.5	59.0	L 32 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/15	Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	64.5	W 39 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Northern Illinois at Ohio	-2.5	65.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan	-4.5	54.0	L 22 - 35	O	N
Wed 11/9	Northern Illinois at Western Michigan	-1.0	49.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Wed 11/16	Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)	-1.0	44.0	L 23 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/26	Northern Illinois vs Akron	-9.5	51.5	L 12 - 44	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	.1	34%	38.5	35%	2.69	124	33%	189	3.31	.34	49%	22.8	49%	49%	4.37	42.3	1.6	1.3
NIU	.31	47%	17.1	49%	3.44	242	44%	187	4.18	.35	49%	24.3	53%	45%	4.37	45.3	1.3	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	12	38.5	33	33.7%	3.31	1.6	18	313	124	189	3.5	49%	51%	35%	33%	18%	.1
NIU Defense	14	24.3	20.8	49%	4.37	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	53%	45%	13%	.35

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	12	22.8	23	48.7%	4.37	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	49%	49%	15%	.34
NIU Offense	14	17.1	17.8	46.7%	4.18	1.3	23	429	242	187	5.2	63%	36%	49%	44%	14%	.31

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	12	30:53	17.6	32%	63%	5.5	42.3	1.6	1.3	4.3	0.8	0	24.6
Northern Illinois	14	33:30	22.9	37%	84%	5	45.3	1.3	0.9	4.4	1.4	3	29.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	12	49%	35%	35.3	123.5	3.5	8	.06	2.69	70%	10%	1.07
NIU Defense	14	52%	53%	-	-	-	-	.37	3.65	78%	9%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	12	48%	49%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.5	68%	8%	1.06
NIU Offense	14	63%	49%	46.4	241.5	5.2	36	.29	3.44	77%	10%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	12	51%	33%	18.8	34	189.3	5.6	10.1	13	14	.15	1.7	36%	28%	.36	8%	2.1
NIU Defense	14	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.34	1.7	30%	37%	.49	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	12	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.41	1.5	30%	37%	.5	7%	2.1
NIU Offense	14	36%	44%	14.6	25.4	187.4	7.4	12.8	15	8	.38	1.6	31%	34%	.44	4%	2

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2022 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.7 #87
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #58
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #97

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: Northern Illinois: -6.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -4.7 Northern Illinois: -18.8

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -6.9 NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northern Illinois's 2022 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 #124
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #77
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #130

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Vanderbilt 29
Northern Illinois 20

Projected Total Points: 49

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Northern Illinois's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/17	Northern Illinois	28	Vanderbilt	38	Northern Illinois -2.5	Vanderbilt	58.5	Over
2019	09/28	Vanderbilt	24	Northern Illinois	18	Vanderbilt -7.5	Northern Illinois	51.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northern Illinois	0	1	1 Overs
Vanderbilt	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#) VAN at (#) NIU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VAN	NIU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#124
Perf GradeGrade	#131	#73
OffenseOff	#118	#71
DefenseDef	#131	#65
Spec TeamsST	#91	#103
TalentTal	#57	#110
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Northern Illinois Injury Report

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	NIU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#65
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#130
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	NIU Def
Run GameRun	#79	#23
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#124	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#87

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	NIU Def
Pass GamePass	#122	#121
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#96	#51
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Northern Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	NIU Off	VAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#71	#131
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#77	#97
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northern Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#101	#121
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#79	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#126

Northern Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#81	#120
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#68	#136
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Northern Illinois -2.5 (58.5)
Vanderbilt won at Northern Illinois this year (38-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

VAN's OC Joey Lynch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Nick Howell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NIU's OC Eric Eidsness (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD