Georgia State at Vanderbilt Game Matchup
Georgia State logo Georgia State Panthers at Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Vanderbilt Stadium - Nashville, TN

 
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.2 - 8.8 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 8)
VAN is playing their 4th straight game
GAST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Vanderbilt -24.5   (SP+ VAN -16)
Projected Score: GAST: 16 - VAN: 40 (55)
VAN Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
GAST Travel: 216 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Commodores (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#91)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Georgia State at Ole Miss+36.50.0
Sat 9/6 Georgia State vs Memphis+16
Sat 9/13 Georgia State vs Murray State-7
Sat 9/20 Georgia State at Vanderbilt+24.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+16
Sat 10/11 Georgia State vs App State-0
Sat 10/18 Georgia State at Georgia Southern+15.5
Thu 10/23 Georgia State vs South Alabama+11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+8
Sat 11/15 Georgia State vs Marshall-3
Sat 11/22 Georgia State at Troy+14.5
Sat 11/29 Georgia State at Old Dominion+9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-29
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-24.5
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-23.5
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU+18
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+5
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+25.5
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-2.5
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+14.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)23.842% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)33.849% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)27.342% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)23.446% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1223.82441.2%3.851.6213901342564.542%58%42%41%18%.15
VAN Defense1323.423.946.9%4.221.1 - - - - - 49%51%46%48%16%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1233.836.547.6%4.421.4 - - - - - 58%42%49%46%14%.28
VAN Offense1327.329.642.2%4.250.5172951291663.958%42%42%43%15%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1229:5820.736%37%5.149.11.61.441.5030.6
Vanderbilt1328:3916.644%54%548.30.51.14.81.7431.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1242% (118)42% (92)301344.513 (105).06 (105)2.94 (86)67% (108)10% (83)0.95 (74)
VAN Defense1349% (47)46% (96) - - - - .12 (70)2.98 (62)77% (88)10% (76)0.89 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1258% (130)49% (119) - - - - .22 (115)3.36 (117)79% (104)8% (124)0.95 (51)
VAN Offense1358% (18)42% (93)33.1129.23.916 (90).06 (104)2.8 (105)83% (10)8% (41)0.87 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1258% (15)41% (79)22.637.4255.86.811.321 (51)13 (103).24 (78)1.6 (66)33% (98)32% (59).37 (54)7% (114)2.1 (53)
VAN Defense1351% (90)48% (125) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (120)1.5 (33)29% (111)36% (122).45 (117)7% (48)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1242% (5)46% (118) - - - - - - 9 (76).38 (124)1.6 (80)29% (108)38% (125).46 (123)6% (60)1.8 (11)
VAN Offense1342% (115)43% (53)12.821.8166.37.61318 (68)4 (1).33 (33)1.7 (37)33% (108)31% (74).32 (75)7% (96)2.1 (64)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -18.87 #119
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 6.96 #112
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 25.83 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 544.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #114
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #129

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -18.87   Vanderbilt: 7.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -14.3   Vanderbilt: 1.7




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 7.845 #41
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 20.94 #32
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 11.95 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 768.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #48
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #50

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 40
Georgia State 16

Projected Total Points: 55
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Georgia State36Vanderbilt32Georgia StateVanderbilt -8.5Georgia State45.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt001 Overs
Georgia State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#119) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.87 #119
Offense Rating: 6.96 #112
Defense Rating: 25.83 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #129
Talent Rating: 544.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Georgia State Notes
(5/2) WR 3 portals, retaining Ted Hurst a huge win
(3/24) QB Veilleux back, JAG. 2 portals added.
(3/24) RB Brock back, need new depth. Some options
(3/24) OL poor LY, 1/5 back. 7 portals, 4 P4. Jump?
(3/24) Def poor LY, only 3 portals? Need #2 CB/S
(3/24) HC McGee adding talent, using Atlanta.
(3/24) New OC Jackson former Browns HC (NFL)
(3/24) New DC Pearson 1st time FBS DC.
Georgia State     Ratings Matchup     Vanderbilt
Power #119
#41
Off #112
#32
Def #123
#53
Talent #99
#55
SP+ #114
#55
SP+ Off #91
#63
SP+ Def #129
#50

Previous Matchups
Georgia State beat Vanderbilt last year (36-32)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GAST | VAN
Depth Chart: GAST | VAN
Rosters: GAST | VAN
(#41) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.845 #41
Offense Rating: 20.94 #32
Defense Rating: 11.95 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #50
Talent Rating: 768.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #48
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Vanderbilt Notes
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/26) Goal is to get back to bowl game TY
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
(5/15) WR Tre Richardson productive & KR @ Washburn
(5/11) 76% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/4) QB Pavia returns. Tough runner, decent passer
(4/4) TE Stowers #1 via PFF, WR returns options
(3/18) RB's bad LY, no portals. Any improvement?


  
Georgia State's OC Hue Jackson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux16629157%204713117.0
Cameran Brown (Tr)4944%11011.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Simmons11066426.073
Cameran Brown (Tr)883010.422
Rashad Amos (Tr)97508.342
Christian Veilleux287412.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst56961917.276
Jordan Simmons2118308.752
DJ Riles2017208.627
Jordan Ford662110.319

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Travis Pearson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson627423
Damaine Wilson391000
Henry Bryant306421
Ian Mathews260042
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Henry Bryant306421
Josiah Robinson627423
Marlin Dean (Tr)62240
Jordan Simmons20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson627423
D-Icey Hopkins230003
Ian Mathews260042

Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia17729859%22932047.7
Eli Stowers1250%17108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Chase Gillespie155103.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338
AJ Newberry7134219.153

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Steve Gregory
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
C.J. Heard (Tr)741001
Randon Fontenette728307
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor147422
Mason Nelson (Tr)319311
Randon Fontenette728307
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014