Vanderbilt at Missouri - 2022 Matchup Preview

Vanderbilt Commodores at Missouri Tigers

Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (4:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -14 (49.0)
Missouri 17 - Vanderbilt: 14 (SEC)

Commodores (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VAN 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ coming off BYE
Our Line: -9 (SP+ MIZ -13)
Projected Score: VAN: 28 - MIZ: 29 (57)
MIZ Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
VAN Travel: 359 miles

Tigers (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (11 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Vanderbilt at Hawai'i	-9.5	54.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/3	Vanderbilt vs Elon	-18.5	51.5	W 42 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Vanderbilt vs Wake Forest	+13.5	65.5	L 25 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Vanderbilt at Northern Illinois	+2.5	58.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Vanderbilt at Alabama	+40.5	61.0	L 3 - 55	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss	+17.0	59.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/15	Vanderbilt at Georgia	+37.5	56.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 10/22	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+14.0	49.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+6.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/12	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+17.0	45.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Vanderbilt vs Florida	+14.0	58.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+14.0	63.5	L 0 - 56	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Missouri's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Missouri vs Louisiana Tech	-20.0	62.5	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Missouri at Kansas State	+7.0	52.5	L 12 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/17	Missouri vs Abilene Christian	-31.5	56.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/24	Missouri at Auburn	+7.5	51.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Missouri vs Georgia	+30.5	54.0	L 22 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Missouri at Florida	+11.0	53.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Missouri vs Vanderbilt	-14.0	49.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/29	Missouri at South Carolina	+3.5	45.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Missouri vs Kentucky	-1.0	40.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/12	Missouri at Tennessee	+18.5	57.5	L 24 - 66	O	N
Sat 11/19	Missouri vs New Mexico State	-29.0	46.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Missouri vs Arkansas	+3.0	55.5	W 29 - 27	O	Y
Fri 12/23	Missouri vs Wake Forest	+3.0	59.0	L 17 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	.1	34%	38.5	35%	2.69	124	33%	189	3.31	.34	49%	22.8	49%	49%	4.37	42.3	1.6	1.3
MIZ	.22	44%	30.2	45%	3.13	180	43%	234	3.88	.29	45%	18.9	46%	43%	4.56	59.2	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	12	38.5	33	33.7%	3.31	1.6	18	313	124	189	3.5	49%	51%	35%	33%	18%	.1
MIZ Defense	13	18.9	20.6	44.6%	4.56	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	46%	43%	17%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	12	22.8	23	48.7%	4.37	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	49%	49%	15%	.34
MIZ Offense	13	30.2	39.5	44.2%	3.88	1	22	414	180	234	5.1	48%	52%	45%	43%	15%	.22

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	12	30:53	17.6	32%	63%	5.5	42.3	1.6	1.3	4.3	0.8	0	24.6
Missouri	13	30:18	21.7	44%	58%	6.4	59.2	1	1.2	6.4	2.2	2	27.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	12	49%	35%	35.3	123.5	3.5	8	.06	2.69	70%	10%	1.07
MIZ Defense	13	58%	46%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.11	75%	12%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	12	48%	49%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.5	68%	8%	1.06
MIZ Offense	13	48%	45%	35.7	180.2	5.1	22	.15	3.13	82%	10%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	12	51%	33%	18.8	34	189.3	5.6	10.1	13	14	.15	1.7	36%	28%	.36	8%	2.1
MIZ Defense	13	42%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.39	1.7	30%	32%	.39	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	12	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.41	1.5	30%	37%	.5	7%	2.1
MIZ Offense	13	52%	43%	23.2	35	233.5	6.7	10.1	19	11	.28	1.5	32%	27%	.24	6%	1.9

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2022 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.7 #87
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #58
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #97

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: Missouri: 6.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -4.7 Missouri: 8.1

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 6.55 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2022 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #44
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #67
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #25

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 29
Vanderbilt 28

Projected Total Points: 57

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri	10	Vanderbilt -3	Vanderbilt	52.5	Under
2024	09/21	Missouri	30	Vanderbilt	27	Missouri -17.5	Vanderbilt	52.0	Over
2023	09/30	Vanderbilt	21	Missouri	38	Missouri -14	Missouri	53.5	Over
2022	10/22	Missouri	17	Vanderbilt	14	Missouri -14	Vanderbilt	49.0	Under
2021	10/30	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri	37	Missouri -16	Vanderbilt	62.5	Over
2020	11/28	Missouri	41	Vanderbilt	0	Vanderbilt -2	Missouri	52.5	Under
2019	10/19	Vanderbilt	21	Missouri	14	Missouri -21	Vanderbilt	56.5	Under
2018	11/10	Missouri	33	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri -13.5	Vanderbilt	65.0	Under
2017	11/18	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri	45	Missouri -8.5	Missouri	65.0	Under
2016	11/12	Missouri	26	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri -1	Missouri	53.0	Under
2015	10/24	Vanderbilt	10	Missouri	3	Missouri -2	Vanderbilt	34.0	Under
2014	10/25	Missouri	24	Vanderbilt	14	Missouri -24	Vanderbilt	0
2013	10/05	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri	51	Vanderbilt -2.5	Missouri	0
2012	10/06	Missouri	15	Vanderbilt	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	10	5	3 Overs
Vanderbilt	4	8	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	6 - 7	2 - 5	4 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 9	7 - 6	2 - 4	5 - 2

(#) VAN at (#) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VAN	MIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#44
Perf GradeGrade	#131	#63
OffenseOff	#118	#84
DefenseDef	#131	#30
Spec TeamsST	#91	#44
TalentTal	#57	#31
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Missouri Injury Report

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#25
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	#79	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#124	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#53

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#122	#45
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#96	#23
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	VAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#84	#131
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#97
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#72	#121
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#86	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#126

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#120
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	#136
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Missouri -14.0 (49.0)
Missouri won vs Vanderbilt this year (17-14)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Missouri last year (17-10)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2024 (30-27)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-21)

VAN's OC Joey Lynch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Nick Howell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MIZ's OC Curtis Luper (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Blake Baker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD