Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo   Vanderbilt Commodores at Virginia Tech Hokies  Virginia Tech logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -2.5 (46.5) (-130)  Open: -1.5 | 47.5
Vanderbilt 44 - Virginia Tech: 20

 
Commodores (10 - 3) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 2.4 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: Vanderbilt -21  (SP+ VAN -30.5)
Projected Score: VAN: 36 - VT: 15 (51)
VT Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
VAN Travel: 362 miles, 1 hrs behind
Hokies (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-37.549.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.546.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+3.048.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-27.553.5W 70 - 21OY
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-23.557.5W 55 - 35ON
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+13.558.5L 14 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU-1.548.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri-3.052.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+3.548.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn-6.046.5W 45 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-7.053.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+2.066.5W 45 - 24OY
Wed 12/31 Vanderbilt vs Iowa-3.047.5L 27 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Virginia Tech vs South Carolina+8.548.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/6 Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt-2.546.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-5.550.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/20 Virginia Tech vs Wofford-35.551.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/27 Virginia Tech at NC State+10.057.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest-4.551.5L 23 - 30ON
Sat 10/11 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech+14.055.5L 20 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24 Virginia Tech vs California-6.550.5W 42 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Virginia Tech vs Louisville+10.552.5L 16 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Virginia Tech at Florida State+13.553.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/22 Virginia Tech vs Miami+18.549.0L 17 - 34OY
Sat 11/29 Virginia Tech at Virginia+9.553.5L 7 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)38.542% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)22.846% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)21.444% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)30.242% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1338.53342.2%4.250.5172951291663.958%42%42%43%15%.17
VT Defense1330.231.638.9%2.971.8 - - - - - 52%47%42%36%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1322.82346.9%4.221.1 - - - - - 49%51%46%48%16%.25
VT Offense1321.42641.6%4.221.2183511731784.955%44%44%39%18%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1328:3916.644%54%548.30.51.14.81.7431.3
Virginia Tech1327:1817.937%42%5.546.31.21.85.92.7130.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1358% (18)42% (93)33.1129.23.916 (90).06 (104)2.8 (105)83% (10)8% (41)0.87 (116)
VT Defense1352% (88)42% (56) - - - - .05 (32)2.86 (45)71% (55)12% (17)0.85 (14)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1349% (47)46% (96) - - - - .12 (70)2.98 (62)77% (88)10% (76)0.89 (30)
VT Offense1355% (32)44% (66)35.2173.24.927 (30).21 (31)3.01 (76)77% (38)13% (124)1.1 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1342% (115)43% (53)12.821.8166.37.61318 (68)4 (1).33 (33)1.7 (37)33% (108)31% (74).32 (75)7% (96)2.1 (64)
VT Defense1347% (44)36% (15) - - - - - - 14 (23).18 (41)1.8 (116)34% (41)25% (6).26 (47)8% (14)2.3 (127)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1351% (90)48% (125) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (120)1.5 (33)29% (111)36% (122).45 (117)7% (48)2.1 (72)
VT Offense1344% (105)39% (102)14.624.7177.97.212.215 (98)8 (40).17 (100)1.5 (87)34% (109)27% (112).27 (94)5% (49)2.2 (26)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 18.41  #12
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 27.73  #2
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 9.32  #41
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 2.4
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.3  #11
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9  #5
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #39

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 18.41   Virginia Tech: -1.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 20.3   Virginia Tech: -10.1




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: -1.615  #58
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 15.55  #53
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 13.68  #68
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5  #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1  #105
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #109
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #96

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 36
Virginia Tech 15


Projected Total Points: 51
Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Virginia Tech20Vanderbilt44Virginia Tech -2.5Vanderbilt46.5Over
202408/31Vanderbilt34Virginia Tech27Virginia Tech -13.5Vanderbilt53.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech002 Overs
Vanderbilt220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#12) VAN at (#58) VT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVANVT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #12 #58
SP+SP+ #11 #105
Perf GradeGrade #27 #115
OffenseOff #24 #119
DefenseDef #59 #98
Spec TeamsST #16 #127
TalentTal #47 #33
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #54
Vanderbilt Notes
(11/30) Outrushed Tenn 314-83. Incredible season, CFP worthy
(11/28) HC Lea extended w/ new 6 year deal
(10/18) Ran all over LUS (239, 5.3 pyc). Pavia a dawg
(10/7) Hoping books sleep on Vandy after Bama L, good team
(9/30) Off Success is #1 in CFB into Bama game (5 games)
(9/21) Pavia incredible, Dores hot start. Run Off great
(9/21) Vandy is serious. Killing teams, mauling Rush Off
(5/26) Off should improve w/ better OL, more exp
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
Vanderbilt Injury Report
Virginia Tech Notes
(11/1) Playing hard, but Run def mauled by Louisville
(9/30) Ran all over NC St, 229 yds vs 59 allowed, huge W
(9/26) LB Michael Short opting out after Pry fired, redshirt
(9/14) HC Pry fired, OC Philip Montgomery interim
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
Virginia Tech Injury Report
Vanderbilt on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffVT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #24 #98
SuccessSuc #75 #34
ExplosiveExp #108 #56
PPAPPA #76 #18
PowerPwr #2 #68
SP+SP+ #5 #96
Pts POPPO #34 #7
HavocHav #52 #10
Vanderbilt Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffVT Def
Run GameRun #17 #56
Run SuccessRSuc #93 #56
Run ExplRExp #116 #14
PPAExp #104 #32
Run BlockR Blk #89 -
OL YdsOLY #105 #45
Stuff RateStuff #117 #45
TackleTak -  #95
Vanderbilt Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #5 #125
Pass SuccessPSuc #53 #15
Pass ExplPExl #37 #116
PPAExp #33 #41
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #129 #51
F7 HavocF7 #41 #17
DB HavocDB #96 #14
Virginia Tech on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatVT OffVAN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #59
SuccessSuc #87 #121
ExplosiveExp #67 #38
PPAPPA #75 #111
PowerPwr #53 #41
SP+SP+ #109 #39
Pts POPPO #40 #109
HavocHav #111 #65
Virginia Tech Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
VT OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #43 #61
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #96
Run ExplRExp #23 #30
PPAExp #31 #70
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLY #76 #62
Stuff RateStuff #90 #39
TackleTak -  #106
Virginia Tech Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatVT OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #100 #58
Pass SuccessPSuc #102 #125
Pass ExplPExl #87 #33
PPAExp #100 #120
Pass Block/RushP Blk #130 #63
F7 HavocF7 #124 #76
DB HavocDB #49 #48
Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 82° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Virginia Tech -2.5 (46.5)
Vanderbilt won at Virginia Tech this year (44-20)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Virginia Tech last year (44-20)
Vanderbilt beat Virginia Tech in 2024 (34-27)

  
VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia26737871%35392989.4
Blaze Berlowitz91753%131107.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia167862105.241
Sedrick Alexander106570115.465
Makhilyn Young4541169.180
Jamezell Lassiter9143215.948
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)47810717.275
Junior Sherrill54784714.546
Eli Stowers61765412.567
Richie Hoskins28321311.553

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Steve Gregory (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard (Tr)714253
Bryan Longwell709142
Langston Patterson692030
Marlen Sewell522112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Miles Capers379531
Zaylin Wood285471
Khordae Sydnor309493
Nicholas Rinaldi477491
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette517056
Mark Davis233004
C.J. Heard (Tr)714253

VT's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones17831557%19191796.1
William Watson III2450%770019.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)11874916.340
Kyron Drones17064493.833
Terion Stewart (Tr)8246905.785
Jeffrey Overton Jr.2514615.838
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayden Greene31516316.667
Donavon Greene (Tr)16267216.737
Takye Heath2220039.144
Isaiah Spencer (Tr)14194013.938

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Sam Siefkes (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Spencer679101
Caleb Woodson573011
Jaden Keller503101
Tyson Flowers (Tr)480022
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kemari Copeland488510
Ben Bell (Tr)406360
Elhadj Fall (Tr)254320
Jason Abbey172200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Williams321006
Isaiah Brown-Murray (Tr)392005
Christian Ellis (Tr)71003