Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo Vanderbilt Commodores at Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -2.5 (46.5) (-130)  Open: -1.5 | 47.5
Vanderbilt 44 - Virginia Tech: 20

 
Commodores (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 40 - 10 (38 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 4.1 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: Vanderbilt -20.5   (SP+ VAN -17)
Projected Score: VAN: 36 - VT: 16 (52)
VT Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
VAN Travel: 362 miles, 1 hrs behind
Hokies (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Philip Montgomery (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 38 (23 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-37.549.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.546.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+3.048.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-26.553.5
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-33.5
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU+2.5
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+3.5
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+8.5
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-12
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+7

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Virginia Tech vs South Carolina+8.548.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/6 Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt-2.546.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-5.550.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/20 Virginia Tech vs Wofford-18.5
Sat 9/27 Virginia Tech at NC State+16
Sat 10/4 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest+4.5
Sat 10/11 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech+20
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24 Virginia Tech vs California+11
Sat 11/1 Virginia Tech vs Louisville+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Virginia Tech at Florida State+27
Sat 11/22 Virginia Tech vs Miami+28.5
Sat 11/29 Virginia Tech at Virginia+16

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#4 (.57)61% (4)4059% (7)3.71 (16)20364% (2)2285.63 (7)#49 (.06)36% (47)1041% (83)32% (31)2.5 (34)5912
VT#113 (.07)43% (72)1955% (21)2.97 (70)13232% (123)2073.86 (77)#134 (.45)52% (131)37.749% (115)58% (133)5.81 (134)6120.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense34037.560.5%5.631234312032285.855%44%59%64%11%.57
VT Defense337.744.551.6%5.810.7 - - - - - 62%37%49%58%14%.45
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense31013.536.4%2.52 - - - - - 49%50%41%32%22%.06
VT Offense3192343.2%3.862203391322073.950%50%55%32%19%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt333:2123.361%100%7.359127.32.7035.6
Virginia Tech330:4219.744%25%6.36120.74.71.7025.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense355% (42)59% (7)352035.88 (26).38 (13)3.71 (16)100% (1)7% (36)0.89 (89)
VT Defense362% (128)49% (115) - - - - .26 (120)3.03 (95)89% (119)10% (61)1.11 (101)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense349% (60)41% (83) - - - - .05 (63)2.69 (60)55% (24)16% (11)0.84 (44)
VT Offense350% (73)55% (21)341323.92 (109).15 (64)2.97 (70)65% (95)11% (107)0.79 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense344% (94)64% (2)17.724.7228.39.312.98 (18)2 (60).84 (4)1.8 (17)24% (19)55% (1)1.08 (2)4% (42)2.3 (21)
VT Defense337% (8)58% (133) - - - - - - 1 (87).86 (135)2 (125)32% (77)46% (132).82 (133)4% (115)2.3 (116)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense350% (74)32% (31) - - - - - - 2 (56).13 (49)1.3 (30)33% (62)21% (32).18 (53)7% (53)1.7 (41)
VT Offense350% (60)32% (123)19.334.3207610.74 (72)3 (92) (128)1.5 (85)29% (53)27% (102).11 (115)7% (115)1.5 (123)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 24.27 #17
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 26.54 #15
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 2.28 #37
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #31
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 24.27   Virginia Tech: -2.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 12.5   Virginia Tech: -4.4




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: -2.335 #93
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.5
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.5

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 36
Virginia Tech 16


Total Points: 52

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.5

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Virginia Tech20Vanderbilt44VanderbiltVirginia Tech -2.5Vanderbilt46.5Over
202408/31Vanderbilt34Virginia Tech27VanderbiltVirginia Tech -13.5Vanderbilt53.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech002 Overs
Vanderbilt220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#17) Vanderbilt Info
Power Rating: 24.27 #17
Offense Rating: 26.54 #15
Defense Rating: 2.28 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #33
Talent Rating: 822.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 61%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.63 PPO
Great Run Success 59%
Great Pass Success 64%
Poor OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 2.5 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Vanderbilt has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Vanderbilt Notes
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/26) Goal is to get back to bowl game TY
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
(5/15) WR Tre Richardson productive & KR @ Washburn
(5/11) 76% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/4) QB Pavia returns. Tough runner, decent passer
(4/4) TE Stowers #1 via PFF, WR returns options
(3/18) RB's bad LY, no portals. Any improvement?

Vanderbilt Highlights
Vanderbilt is Undefeated vs Spread
Vanderbilt in Undefeated

Vanderbilt offense is efficent (#4)
Vanderbilt has a top Offensive Line (#16)
Vanderbilt offense is good in red zone (#7)
Vanderbilt offense is good on 3rd downs
Vanderbilt does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#10)

Vanderbilt defense does not give up big plays (#21)
Vanderbilt Front 7 is disruptive (#11)

Vanderbilt Deficiencies
Vanderbilt Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatVTVAN
OverallOver#90#21
OffenseOff#87#25
DefenseDef#96#16
Special TeamsST#106#44
PassingPass#78#13
RushingRush#35#39
Run BlockRBLK#104#67
Pass BlockPBLK#106#112
Route RunningWR Rt#75#1
TacklingTkl#76#83
Run DefenseR Def#71#59
Pass Rush DefPRush#32#30
Coverage DefCov#116#7

Rematch from Week 2
Virginia Tech -2.5 (46.5)
Vanderbilt won at Virginia Tech this year (44-20)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Virginia Tech last year (34-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: VAN | VT
Depth Chart: VAN | VT
Rosters: VAN | VT
(#93) Virginia Tech Info
Power Rating: -2.335 #93
Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92
Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.86 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.81 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 58%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Virginia Tech has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia Tech Notes
(9/14) Team has quit. Drones is bad but has zero help
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
(7/5) WR lost top 3, 2 meh portal adds, some talent

Virginia Tech Highlights

Virginia Tech Deficiencies
Virginia Tech has a really bad Offense
Virginia Tech has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Virginia Tech Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Virginia Tech offense is not Explosive (#123)
Virginia Tech pass game is really bad (#123)
Virginia Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Virginia Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Virginia Tech has a bad defense (#131)
Virginia Tech gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#116)
Virginia Tech Does Not Stuff Runs (#103)
Virginia Tech has a bad red zone defense (#134)


  
Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia506874%645729.5
Blaze Berlowitz3650%40106.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sedrick Alexander3519735.621
Diego Pavia3012904.315
Makhilyn Young1412328.862
Jamezell Lassiter279239.544
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)12162113.526
Eli Stowers11160114.541
Junior Sherrill87929.921
Martel Hight76409.118

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Steve Gregory
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard (Tr)171130
Nicholas Rinaldi135210
Bryan Longwell114002
Bryce Cowan101120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi135210
C.J. Heard (Tr)171130
Hayden Bray21100
Zaylin Wood32121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell114002
Vanzale Hinton00001
Kolbey Taylor40001

Virginia Tech's OC Philip Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones5810356%621436.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyron Drones4312723.032
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)2710804.011
Terion Stewart (Tr)116505.931
Jeremiah Coney64106.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donavon Greene (Tr)9193221.437
Ayden Greene8148018.567
Isaiah Spencer (Tr)565013.028
Tucker Holloway348016.033

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster
Virginia Tech's DC Sam Siefkes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Woodson242010
Michael Short (Tr)173001
Quentin Reddish150000
Isaiah Cash (Tr)110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elhadj Fall (Tr)41100
Emmett Laws51100
Kelvin Gilliam81100
Kemari Copeland111100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Short (Tr)173001
Caleb Brown (Tr)20001
Krystian Williams20001