Vanderbilt at UNLV Game Matchup
Vanderbilt logo Vanderbilt Commodores at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Vanderbilt -4.5 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
UNLV 40 - Vanderbilt: 37

 
Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (23 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VAN 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: UNLV -15   (SP+ UNLV -16)
Projected Score: VAN: 20 - UNLV: 35 (53)
VAN Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
VAN Travel: 1575 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (46 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i-17.054.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 9/2 Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M-35.053.5W 47 - 13ON
Sat 9/9 Vanderbilt at Wake Forest+9.555.0L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/16 Vanderbilt at UNLV-4.556.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky+13.550.0L 28 - 45ON
Sat 9/30 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+14.053.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/7 Vanderbilt at Florida+18.051.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 10/14 Vanderbilt vs Georgia+32.555.0L 20 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Vanderbilt at Ole Miss+24.062.0L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/4 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+12.550.0L 15 - 31UN
Sat 11/11 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13.553.5L 6 - 47UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+27.058.0L 24 - 48OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
UNLV's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UNLV vs Bryant-16.566.0W 44 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 UNLV at Michigan+38.057.5L 7 - 35UY
Sat 9/16 UNLV vs Vanderbilt+4.556.5W 40 - 37OY
Sat 9/23 UNLV at UTEP+1.049.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 9/30 UNLV vs Hawai'i-10.558.5W 44 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 UNLV at Nevada-7.551.5W 45 - 27OY
Sat 10/21 UNLV vs Colorado State-6.560.0W 25 - 23UN
Sat 10/28 UNLV at Fresno State+10.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/4 UNLV at New Mexico-10.061.0W 56 - 14OY
Fri 11/10 UNLV vs Wyoming-2.548.5W 34 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 UNLV at Air Force+2.546.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/25 UNLV vs San José State-3.558.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 12/2 UNLV vs Boise State+2.558.0L 20 - 44ON
Tue 12/26 UNLV vs Kansas+8.064.5L 36 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN.1640%27.340%2.9816042%1873.73.3145%23.442%49%4.1446.11.31.8
UNLV.1840%35.445%3.3413737%2153.57.246%21.351%41%3.6257.31.32.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1227.322.640.3%3.731.3183471601874.356%43%40%42%18%.16
UNLV Defense1221.322.546%3.622.1 - - - - - 53%46%51%41%16%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1223.42245.5%4.141.8 - - - - - 48%52%42%49%15%.31
UNLV Offense1235.445.840.4%3.571.3183521372154.147%51%45%37%20%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1231:3617.537%38%5.346.11.31.84.71.4028.8
UNLV1228:4917.633%53%5.857.31.32.14.62.3227.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1256%40%37.1159.94.313.12.9873%10%1
UNLV Defense1253%51% - - - - .173.5577%10%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1248%42% - - - - .083.2454%9%1.07
UNLV Offense1247%45%33.6137.34.118.273.3484%14%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1243%42%16.728.8187.36.511.2226.291.733%27%.328%2.3
UNLV Defense1246%41% - - - - - - 15.331.728%34%.376%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1252%49% - - - - - - 6.551.729%33%.495%2.3
UNLV Offense1251%37%18.930.12157.211.4157.171.533%26%.256%2.1

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -11.51   UNLV: 2.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -13.7   UNLV: 2.0




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 2.545 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 35
Vanderbilt 20

Projected Total Points: 53
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16UNLV40Vanderbilt37UNLVVanderbilt -4.5UNLV56.5Over
201910/12Vanderbilt10UNLV34UNLVVanderbilt -16.5UNLV57.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV221 Overs
Vanderbilt001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#122) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20

Team Profile






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Vanderbilt     Ratings Matchup     UNLV
Power #122
#76
Off #122
#52
Def #124
#73
Talent #19
#106
SP+ #113
#60
SP+ Off #84
#35
SP+ Def #125
#98

Rematch from Week 3
Vanderbilt 4.5 (56.5)
UNLV won vs Vanderbilt this year (40-37)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (40-37)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: VAN | UNLV
Depth Chart: VAN | UNLV
Rosters: VAN | UNLV
(#76) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.545 #76
Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98
Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30

Team Profile






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Vanderbilt's OC Joey Lynch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
AJ Swann2450%10002.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quincy Skinner Jr.122022.022
Jayden McGowan21306.57
Ken Seals41203.07
Landon Wells1-20-2.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Sheppard48621612.947
Quincy Skinner Jr.29367312.763
London Humphreys15244216.340
Logan Kyle11132112.030

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Barr723022
CJ Taylor643013
John Howse IV514101
De'Rickey Wright471002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)233212
John Howse IV514101
Nate Clifton212102
Ethan Barr723022
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Taylor643013
Ethan Barr723022
De'Rickey Wright471002

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava10116960%12011167.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Maiava204542.313
Ricky White1101.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ricky White7910411113.255
Senika McKie24319413.341
Zyell Griffin6151125.289
Cameron Oliver152052.052

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Cameron Oliver3311010
Naki Fahina291020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Keith Conley Jr.133210
Tatuo Martinson242212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Cameron Oliver3311010