Auburn at Vanderbilt - 2025 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Vanderbilt Stadium - Nashville, TN  (SEC)

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (17 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#37)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
VAN is playing their 4th straight game
AUB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Auburn -9   (SP+ AUB -10)
Projected Score: AUB: 29 - VAN: 20 (50)
AUB Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
AUB Travel: 256 miles
Commodores (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#92)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-2.556.5
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-42
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-22.5
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+4.5
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia+8
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri-6.5
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas-5
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-14.5
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-40.5
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+10.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-29
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-24.5
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-23.5
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU+18
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+5
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+25.5
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-3
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+14.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)27.848% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)21.338% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)27.342% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)23.446% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1227.81744.9%3.421.821430166264548%52%48%42%17%.24
VAN Defense1323.423.946.9%4.221.1 - - - - - 49%51%46%48%16%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1221.322.537.8%3.351.1 - - - - - 53%47%38%38%15%.09
VAN Offense1327.329.642.2%4.250.5172951291663.958%42%42%43%15%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1227:1320.941%47%5.849.31.81.15.72.3127.9
Vanderbilt1328:3916.644%54%548.30.51.14.81.7431.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1248% (85)48% (21)33.4165.7513 (105).16 (55)3.32 (23)69% (95)10% (67)0.92 (89)
VAN Defense1349% (47)46% (96) - - - - .12 (70)2.98 (62)77% (88)10% (76)0.89 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1253% (98)38% (19) - - - - -.02 (7)2.49 (6)80% (108)10% (81)0.93 (44)
VAN Offense1358% (18)42% (93)33.1129.23.916 (90).06 (104)2.8 (105)83% (10)8% (41)0.87 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1252% (47)42% (67)19.230.8263.98.613.827 (20)13 (103).31 (45)1.6 (39)31% (55)32% (69).41 (34)7% (113)1.9 (101)
VAN Defense1351% (90)48% (125) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (120)1.5 (33)29% (111)36% (122).45 (117)7% (48)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1247% (42)38% (34) - - - - - - 8 (93).22 (63)1.7 (104)35% (19)28% (34).21 (31)6% (77)2.1 (85)
VAN Offense1342% (115)43% (53)12.821.8166.37.61318 (68)4 (1).33 (33)1.7 (37)33% (108)31% (74).32 (75)7% (96)2.1 (64)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 22.23 #11
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.09 #16
Auburn's Defense Rating: 0.86 #10
2025 Talent Rating: 974.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 46% #13
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #25
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #48
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 22.23   Vanderbilt: 7.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 11.8   Vanderbilt: 1.7




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 7.845 #40
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 20.94 #30
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 11.95 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 768.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #47
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #50

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 29
Vanderbilt 20

Projected Total Points: 50
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Auburn7Vanderbilt17VanderbiltAuburn -7.5Vanderbilt48.0Under
202311/04Vanderbilt15Auburn31AuburnAuburn -12.5Auburn50.0Under
201611/05Auburn23Vanderbilt16AuburnAuburn -26Vanderbilt47.0Under
201210/20Vanderbilt17Auburn13Vanderbilt
200810/04Vanderbilt14Auburn13Vanderbilt
200710/06Auburn35Vanderbilt7Auburn
200309/13Vanderbilt7Auburn45Auburn
200209/14Auburn31Vanderbilt6Auburn
200109/29Vanderbilt21Auburn24Auburn
200009/29Auburn33Vanderbilt0Auburn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt320 Overs
Auburn713 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 40 - 30 - 20 - 1
Road Teams4 - 63 - 01 - 02 - 0

(#11) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.23 #11
Offense Rating: 23.09 #16
Defense Rating: 0.86 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #18
Talent Rating: 974.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 46% #13
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.42 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Auburn Notes
(5/23) DE Faulk a star, duo w/ Crawford top unit
(5/23) Aub was 1-3 in 1 score games LY (1-3 in '23)
(5/23) Safeties Harris & Smith a top duo in CFB
(5/11) SEC most exp'd line, 67% returning, 33% portals
(4/4) QB Arnold (OU) likely starter, Daniels/Knight #2?
(4/4) RB rebuild, D. Robinson (UConn) added, talent
(4/4) WR a top CFB Unit, Singleton (GT) big add
(4/4) Connor Lew (C) a top IOL via PFF
(3/28) This is a playoff roster if QB is competent
(3/18) TO's killed AU LY. Too many, little forced
Auburn     Ratings Matchup     Vanderbilt
Power #11
#40
Off #16
#30
Def #10
#53
Talent #15
#53
SP+ #25
#55
SP+ Off #48
#63
SP+ Def #18
#50

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Auburn last year (17-7)
Auburn beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (31-15)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AUB | VAN
Depth Chart: AUB | VAN
Rosters: AUB | VAN
(#40) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.845 #40
Offense Rating: 20.94 #30
Defense Rating: 11.95 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #50
Talent Rating: 768.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #47
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Vanderbilt Notes
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/26) Goal is to get back to bowl game TY
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
(5/15) WR Tre Richardson productive & KR @ Washburn
(5/11) 76% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/4) QB Pavia returns. Tough runner, decent passer
(4/4) TE Stowers #1 via PFF, WR returns options
(3/18) RB's bad LY, no portals. Any improvement?


  
Auburn's OC Derrick Nix
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels (Tr)17027163%170010126.3
Jackson Arnold (Tr)15424663%14211235.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Durell Robinson (Tr)10773186.868
Ashton Daniels (Tr)14866934.567
Jackson Arnold (Tr)15044433.047
Damari Alston5227635.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)56754313.557
Cam Coleman37598816.263
Horatio Fields (Tr)39463411.942
Malcolm Simmons40451311.357

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader (Tr)5300017
Dallas Walker IV (Tr)514010
Keldric Faulk4511771
Taye Seymore (Tr)453002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk4511771
Chris Murray (Tr)3412620
Caleb Wheatland (Tr)427442
Demarcus Riddick275321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader (Tr)5300017
Kayin Lee320007
Jay Crawford150007

Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia17729859%22932047.7
Eli Stowers1250%17108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Chase Gillespie155103.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338
AJ Newberry7134219.153

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Steve Gregory
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
C.J. Heard (Tr)741001
Randon Fontenette728307
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor147422
Mason Nelson (Tr)319311
Randon Fontenette728307
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014