Auburn at Vanderbilt - 2025 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo (#22)Auburn Tigers at Vanderbilt Commodores(#20)Vanderbilt logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Vanderbilt Stadium - Nashville, TN  (SEC)

 
Tigers (3 - 0) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 37 - 14 (38 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
VAN is playing their 4th straight game
AUB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Auburn -3.5   (SP+ AUB -4.5)

Projected Score: AUB: 28 - VAN: 25 (53)
AUB Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
AUB Travel: 256 miles
Commodores (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 40 - 10 (45 - 3 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 4.1 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-1.557.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-43.052.5W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-26.556.5W 31 - 15UN
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+6.548.5
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia-0
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri-2.5
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas-6
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-18
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-48
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+2

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-37.549.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.546.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+3.048.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-26.553.5
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-33.5
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU+2.5
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+3.5
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+8.5
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-12
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+7

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#33 (.33)55% (14)3757% (14)3.61 (21)24252% (25)1745.63 (8)#58 (.11)31% (16)1423% (3)39% (64)3.38 (63)63.70.31
VAN#4 (.57)61% (4)4059% (7)3.71 (16)20364% (2)2285.63 (7)#49 (.06)36% (47)1041% (83)32% (31)2.5 (34)5912
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense3373855.3%5.630.3244162421745.861%39%57%52%12%.33
VAN Defense310336.4%2.52 - - - - - 49%50%41%32%22%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense3142431.3%3.381 - - - - - 47%53%23%39%19%.11
VAN Offense3404560.5%5.631234312032285.855%44%59%64%11%.57

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn330:3223.753%100%763.70.318.73.7128.6
Vanderbilt333:2123.361%100%7.359127.32.7035.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense361% (14)57% (14)41.72425.810 (10).35 (23)3.61 (21)96% (12)9% (69)0.94 (75)
VAN Defense349% (60)41% (83) - - - - .05 (63)2.69 (60)55% (24)16% (11)0.84 (44)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense347% (48)23% (3) - - - - -.1 (19)1.89 (6)88% (118)15% (14)1.14 (104)
VAN Offense355% (42)59% (7)352035.88 (26).38 (13)3.71 (16)100% (1)7% (36)0.89 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense339% (123)52% (25)16.724.7173.7710.44 (72)0 (1).3 (66)1.2 (128)18% (2)30% (77).16 (108)4% (35)1.5 (121)
VAN Defense350% (74)32% (31) - - - - - - 2 (56).13 (49)1.3 (30)33% (62)21% (32).18 (53)7% (53)1.7 (41)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense353% (91)39% (64) - - - - - - 1 (87).3 (101)1.9 (120)39% (11)27% (55).3 (79)3% (120)2.3 (112)
VAN Offense344% (94)64% (2)17.724.7228.39.312.98 (18)2 (60).84 (4)1.8 (17)24% (19)55% (1)1.08 (2)4% (42)2.3 (21)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 32.06 #6
Auburn's Offense Rating: 28.70 #8
Auburn's Defense Rating: -5.55 #8
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 32.06   Vanderbilt: 20.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 16.9   Vanderbilt: 12.5




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 20.885 #17
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 26.54 #15
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 2.28 #37
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #31
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 14 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 28
Vanderbilt 25


Total Points: 53

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 3

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Auburn7Vanderbilt17VanderbiltAuburn -7.5Vanderbilt48.0Under
202311/04Vanderbilt15Auburn31AuburnAuburn -12.5Auburn50.0Under
201611/05Auburn23Vanderbilt16AuburnAuburn -26Vanderbilt47.0Under
201210/20Vanderbilt17Auburn13Vanderbilt
200810/04Vanderbilt14Auburn13Vanderbilt
200710/06Auburn35Vanderbilt7Auburn
200309/13Vanderbilt7Auburn45Auburn
200209/14Auburn31Vanderbilt6Auburn
200109/29Vanderbilt21Auburn24Auburn
200009/29Auburn33Vanderbilt0Auburn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt320 Overs
Auburn713 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 40 - 30 - 20 - 1
Road Teams4 - 63 - 01 - 02 - 0

(#6) Auburn Info
Power Rating: 32.06 #6
Offense Rating: 28.70 #8
Defense Rating: -5.55 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #13
Talent Rating: 988.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.63 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Good Pass Success 52%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 31%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Great Run Def Success 23%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Auburn has lost 6 straight
Auburn has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Auburn Notes
(8/29) Arnold much better, run off great, pass D awful
(8/16) WTF is calling plays? Hate what I'm hearing
(7/16) WR2 (LY) Simmons arrested on serious charges
(7/8) Freeze is 2-6 at home in SEC games
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, plus portal adds. PFF top 10 unit
(5/23) DE Faulk a star, duo w/ Crawford top unit
(5/23) Aub was 1-3 in 1 score games LY (1-3 in '23)
(5/23) Safeties Harris & Smith a top duo in CFB
(5/11) SEC most exp'd line, 67% returning, 33% portals
(4/4) QB Arnold (OU) likely starter, Daniels/Knight #2?

Auburn Highlights
Auburn in Undefeated

Auburn has Really Good Running Game (#11)
Auburn offense is efficent (#14)
Auburn has a top Offensive Line (#21)
Auburn offense is good in red zone (#8)
Auburn offense is good on 3rd downs
Auburn does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#13)

Auburn Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Auburn has a really good defense (#16)
Auburn has a good run defense (#3)
Auburn Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#9)
Auburn Defensive Line is very good (#6)
Auburn Front 7 is disruptive (#14)
Auburn has a great TO Margin (#11)

Auburn Deficiencies
Auburn offense is not Explosive (#125)
Auburn gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#131)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatVANAUB
OverallOver#21#32
OffenseOff#25#33
DefenseDef#16#50
Special TeamsST#44#83
PassingPass#13#94
RushingRush#39#9
Run BlockRBLK#67#20
Pass BlockPBLK#112#63
Route RunningWR Rt#1#61
TacklingTkl#83#91
Run DefenseR Def#59#6
Pass Rush DefPRush#30#36
Coverage DefCov#7#104

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Auburn last year (17-7)
Auburn beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (31-15)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AUB | VAN
Depth Chart: AUB | VAN
Rosters: AUB | VAN
(#17) Vanderbilt Info
Power Rating: 20.885 #17
Offense Rating: 26.54 #15
Defense Rating: 2.28 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #33
Talent Rating: 822.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 61%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.63 PPO
Great Run Success 59%
Great Pass Success 64%
Poor OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 2.5 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Vanderbilt has lost 6 straight
Vanderbilt has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Vanderbilt Notes
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/26) Goal is to get back to bowl game TY
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
(5/15) WR Tre Richardson productive & KR @ Washburn
(5/11) 76% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/4) QB Pavia returns. Tough runner, decent passer
(4/4) TE Stowers #1 via PFF, WR returns options
(3/18) RB's bad LY, no portals. Any improvement?

Vanderbilt Highlights
Vanderbilt is Undefeated vs Spread
Vanderbilt in Undefeated
Vanderbilt is Undefeated at Home
Vanderbilt is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Vanderbilt offense is efficent (#4)
Vanderbilt has a top Offensive Line (#16)
Vanderbilt offense is good in red zone (#7)
Vanderbilt offense is good on 3rd downs
Vanderbilt does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#10)

Vanderbilt defense does not give up big plays (#21)
Vanderbilt Front 7 is disruptive (#11)

Vanderbilt Deficiencies
Vanderbilt Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)


  
Auburn's OC Derrick Nix
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)486970%501407.3
Deuce Knight2540%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Cobb4631446.846
Jackson Arnold (Tr)3519245.527
Damari Alston168415.311
Durell Robinson (Tr)357119.054
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)13149211.530
Cam Coleman10149114.932
Horatio Fields (Tr)108818.814
Malcolm Simmons563012.626

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyron Crawford165310
Xavier Atkins (Tr)124210
Kaleb Harris121000
Sylvester Smith111000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyron Crawford165310
Xavier Atkins (Tr)124210
Jared Smith33200
Keldric Faulk82112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk82112
Demarcus Riddick61101
Champ Anthony20001

Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia506874%645729.5
Blaze Berlowitz3650%40106.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sedrick Alexander3519735.621
Diego Pavia3012904.315
Makhilyn Young1412328.862
Jamezell Lassiter279239.544
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)12162113.526
Eli Stowers11160114.541
Junior Sherrill87929.921
Martel Hight76409.118

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Steve Gregory
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard (Tr)171130
Nicholas Rinaldi135210
Bryan Longwell114002
Bryce Cowan101120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi135210
C.J. Heard (Tr)171130
Hayden Bray21100
Zaylin Wood32121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell114002
Vanzale Hinton00001
Kolbey Taylor40001