LSU at Vanderbilt - 2025 Matchup Preview
LSU logo   LSU Tigers at Vanderbilt Commodores  Vanderbilt logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Vanderbilt -1.5 (48.5) (-122)  Open: -3.5
Vanderbilt 31 - LSU: 24  (SEC)

 
Tigers (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 5.3 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
VAN coming off BYE
Our Line: Vanderbilt -9  (SP+ VAN -10)

Projected Score: LSU: 21 - VAN: 30 (50)
VAN Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
LSU Travel: 470 miles
Commodores (10 - 3) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 2.4 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 LSU at Clemson+3.557.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-36.549.5W 23 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 LSU vs Florida-5.547.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 9/20 LSU vs SE Louisiana-49.060.0W 56 - 10ON
Sat 9/27 LSU at Ole Miss+2.557.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 LSU vs South Carolina-8.544.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 LSU at Vanderbilt+1.548.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 10/25 LSU vs Texas A&M+1.550.5L 25 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 LSU at Alabama+10.549.5L 9 - 20UN
Sat 11/15 LSU vs Arkansas-4.058.5W 23 - 22UN
Sat 11/22 LSU vs Western Kentucky-24.552.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/29 LSU at Oklahoma+11.536.5L 13 - 17UY
Sat 12/27 LSU vs Houston+1.543.5L 35 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-37.549.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.546.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+3.048.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-27.553.5W 70 - 21OY
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-23.557.5W 55 - 35ON
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+13.558.5L 14 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU-1.548.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri-3.052.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+3.548.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn-6.046.5W 45 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-7.053.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+2.066.5W 45 - 24OY
Wed 12/31 Vanderbilt vs Iowa-3.047.5L 27 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)22.842% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)19.841% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)38.542% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)22.846% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1322.816.444.9%3.991.2223991082914.139%61%42%47%13%.25
VAN Defense1322.821.146.9%4.221.1 - - - - - 49%51%46%48%16%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1319.820.441.1%3.441 - - - - - 51%49%41%41%18%.21
VAN Offense1338.54442.2%4.250.5172951291663.958%42%42%43%15%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1329:4722.150%50%5.845.71.215.12.5127.9
Vanderbilt1328:3916.644%54%548.30.51.14.81.7431.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1339% (128)42% (89)26.4108.24.114 (98).12 (79)2.92 (90)82% (13)6% (5)0.89 (103)
VAN Defense1349% (47)46% (96) - - - - .12 (70)2.98 (62)77% (88)10% (76)0.89 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1351% (67)41% (54) - - - - .18 (97)2.94 (55)84% (125)12% (29)1.23 (132)
VAN Offense1358% (18)42% (93)33.1129.23.916 (90).06 (104)2.8 (105)83% (10)8% (41)0.87 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1361% (7)47% (24)24.538.4290.87.611.926 (26)11 (72).33 (37)1.5 (96)33% (89)37% (16).42 (28)7% (97)2 (84)
VAN Defense1351% (90)48% (125) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (120)1.5 (33)29% (111)36% (122).45 (117)7% (48)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1349% (69)41% (73) - - - - - - 5 (117).25 (75)1.6 (68)35% (28)31% (76).36 (93)7% (41)2.2 (104)
VAN Offense1342% (115)43% (53)12.821.8166.37.61318 (68)4 (1).33 (33)1.7 (37)33% (108)31% (74).32 (75)7% (96)2.1 (64)

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 15.48  #20
LSU's Offense Rating: 14.53  #60
LSU's Defense Rating: -0.95  #8
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71%  #4
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 5.3
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #32
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #75
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 15.48   Vanderbilt: 21.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 10.3   Vanderbilt: 20.3




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 21.855  #12
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 27.73  #2
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 9.32  #41
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #49
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 2.4
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.3  #11
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9  #5
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #39

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.4

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 30
LSU 21


Projected Total Points: 50
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Vanderbilt31LSU24Vanderbilt -1.5Vanderbilt48.5Over
202411/23LSU24Vanderbilt17LSU -10Vanderbilt53.0Under
202010/03Vanderbilt7LSU41LSU -21LSU49.5Under
201909/21Vanderbilt38LSU66LSU -24LSU62.5Over
201009/11Vanderbilt3LSU27
200909/12LSU23Vanderbilt9
200510/08Vanderbilt6LSU34
200410/30LSU24Vanderbilt7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt122 Overs
LSU722 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 41 - 31 - 10 - 2
Road Teams4 - 43 - 12 - 01 - 1

(#20) LSU at (#12) VAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLSUVAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #20 #12
SP+SP+ #32 #11
Perf GradeGrade #63 #27
OffenseOff #96 #24
DefenseDef #30 #59
Spec TeamsST #65 #16
TalentTal #8 #47
Blue ChipsBC% #4 #49
LSU Notes
(12/6) DC Blake Baker will stay on under Kiffin
(12/1) Hired Lane Kiffin, Weis will be OC, more to come
(11/26) Nussmeier doubtful vs OU, Van Buren gets 3rd start
(10/27) OC Joe Sloan fired, Alex Atkins (TE/RGC) int.
(10/26) Brian Kelly fired, AHS Frank Wilson interim
(10/25) OTs exposed vs A&M. 2 straight L's, Off sucks
(10/24) Have real issues at LT. May play BU C Chester, woof
(10/22) LB Whit Weeks out for A&M game (ankle)
(10/20) LT Tyree Adams out multiple games (A&M/Bama)
(10/18) Def was bad vs Vandy, Run Off bad, Nuss had no time
(10/18) Kelly now 11-11 on the road after Vandy loss.
(10/12) Cannot score +20 pts vs FBS teams, Def really good
LSU Injury Report
Vanderbilt Notes
(11/30) Outrushed Tenn 314-83. Incredible season, CFP worthy
(11/28) HC Lea extended w/ new 6 year deal
(10/18) Ran all over LUS (239, 5.3 pyc). Pavia a dawg
(10/7) Hoping books sleep on Vandy after Bama L, good team
(9/30) Off Success is #1 in CFB into Bama game (5 games)
(9/21) Pavia incredible, Dores hot start. Run Off great
(9/21) Vandy is serious. Killing teams, mauling Rush Off
(5/26) Off should improve w/ better OL, more exp
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
Vanderbilt Injury Report
LSU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffVAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #96 #59
SuccessSuc #38 #121
ExplosiveExp #57 #38
PPAPPA #30 #111
PowerPwr #60 #41
SP+SP+ #75 #39
Pts POPPO #60 #109
HavocHav #26 #65
LSU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #118 #61
Run SuccessRSuc #89 #96
Run ExplRExp #103 #30
PPAExp #79 #70
Run BlockR Blk #131 -
OL YdsOLY #90 #62
Stuff RateStuff #52 #39
TackleTak -  #106
LSU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #30 #58
Pass SuccessPSuc #24 #125
Pass ExplPExl #96 #33
PPAExp #37 #120
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #71 #63
F7 HavocF7 #5 #76
DB HavocDB #97 #48
Vanderbilt on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatVAN OffLSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #24 #30
SuccessSuc #75 #60
ExplosiveExp #108 #118
PPAPPA #76 #92
PowerPwr #2 #8
SP+SP+ #5 #11
Pts POPPO #34 #30
HavocHav #52 #30
Vanderbilt Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #17 #39
Run SuccessRSuc #93 #54
Run ExplRExp #116 #132
PPAExp #104 #97
Run BlockR Blk #89 -
OL YdsOLY #105 #55
Stuff RateStuff #117 #50
TackleTak -  #72
Vanderbilt Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatVAN OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #5 #21
Pass SuccessPSuc #53 #73
Pass ExplPExl #37 #68
PPAExp #33 #75
Pass Block/RushP Blk #129 #78
F7 HavocF7 #41 #29
DB HavocDB #96 #41
Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Vanderbilt -1.5 (48.5)
Vanderbilt won vs LSU this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat LSU last year (31-24)
LSU beat Vanderbilt in 2024 (24-17)

  
LSU's OC Joe Sloan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier19428867%19271256.7
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)9415162%1010826.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham11150534.551
Harlem Berry10449124.743
Ju'Juan Johnson4115523.856
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)4812912.735
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Barion Brown (Tr)53532110.041
Zavion Thomas41488411.962
Trey'Dez Green33433713.142
Aaron Anderson33398012.139

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davhon Keys894162
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)881004
West Weeks768311
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)702012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harold Perkins558462
West Weeks768311
DJ Pickett353203
Damien Shanklin22200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mansoor Delane (Tr)4500111
P.J. Woodland382128
Patrick Payton (Tr)335126

VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia26737871%35392989.4
Blaze Berlowitz91753%131107.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia167862105.241
Sedrick Alexander106570115.465
Makhilyn Young4541169.180
Jamezell Lassiter9143215.948
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)47810717.275
Junior Sherrill54784714.546
Eli Stowers61765412.567
Richie Hoskins28321311.553

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Steve Gregory (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard (Tr)714253
Bryan Longwell709142
Langston Patterson692030
Marlen Sewell522112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Miles Capers379531
Zaylin Wood285471
Khordae Sydnor309493
Nicholas Rinaldi477491
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette517056
Mark Davis233004
C.J. Heard (Tr)714253