Texas at Vanderbilt - 2024 Matchup Preview
Texas logo (#8)Texas Longhorns at Vanderbilt Commodores(#20)Vanderbilt logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (4:15 PM EDT)
Texas -17.0 (50.5) (-950)  Open: -17.5 | 53.0
Texas 27 - Vanderbilt: 24  (SEC)

 
Longhorns (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (24 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
VAN 2nd straight Home Game
VAN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas -18.5   (SP+ TEX -19)

Projected Score: TEX: 34 - VAN: 15 (49)
TEX Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
TEX Travel: 749 miles
Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas vs Colorado State-35.559.0W 52 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Texas at Michigan-7.042.0W 31 - 12OY
Sat 9/14 Texas vs UTSA-36.556.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Texas vs UL Monroe-43.554.5W 51 - 3UY
Sat 9/28 Texas vs Mississippi State-37.058.5W 35 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Texas vs Oklahoma-16.548.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 10/19 Texas vs Georgia-4.057.0L 15 - 30UN
Sat 10/26 Texas at Vanderbilt-17.050.5W 27 - 24ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Texas vs Florida-24.548.5W 49 - 17OY
Sat 11/16 Texas at Arkansas-13.057.5W 20 - 10UN
Sat 11/23 Texas vs Kentucky-18.547.0W 31 - 14UN
Sat 11/30 Texas at Texas A&M-4.549.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 12/7 Texas vs Georgia-2.550.5L 19 - 22UN
Sat 12/21 Texas vs Clemson-13.549.5W 38 - 24OY
Wed 1/1 Texas vs Arizona State-13.552.5W 39 - 31ON
Fri 1/10 Texas vs Ohio State+6.551.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech+13.553.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/7 Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State-32.547.5W 55 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Vanderbilt at Georgia State-8.545.5L 32 - 36ON
Sat 9/21 Vanderbilt at Missouri+17.552.0L 27 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Vanderbilt vs Alabama+23.553.5W 40 - 35OY
Sat 10/12 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+12.544.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/19 Vanderbilt vs Ball State-27.557.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 Vanderbilt vs Texas+17.050.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 11/2 Vanderbilt at Auburn+7.548.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/9 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+6.044.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Vanderbilt at LSU+10.053.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/30 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee+9.545.5L 23 - 36ON
Fri 12/27 Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech+3.049.0W 35 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)3349% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)15.342% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)27.342% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)23.446% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense163323.846.3%4.031.4203931522414.746%54%49%44%16%.24
VAN Defense1323.423.946.9%4.221.1 - - - - - 49%51%46%48%16%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1615.313.338%2.571.8 - - - - - 50%50%42%34%21%-.01
VAN Offense1327.329.642.2%4.250.5172951291663.958%42%42%43%15%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1626:4219.843%54%5.444.31.41.86.22.5131.4
Vanderbilt1328:3916.644%54%548.30.51.14.81.7431.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1646% (98)49% (16)32.6152.24.725 (41).13 (69)2.95 (84)67% (106)11% (97)0.91 (96)
VAN Defense1349% (47)46% (96) - - - - .12 (70)2.98 (62)77% (88)10% (76)0.89 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1650% (59)42% (61) - - - - -.04 (3)2.79 (33)55% (2)14% (8)0.72 (3)
VAN Offense1358% (18)42% (93)33.1129.23.916 (90).06 (104)2.8 (105)83% (10)8% (41)0.87 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1654% (34)44% (43)19.629.5240.98.212.335 (3)12 (85).33 (34)1.7 (28)32% (71)38% (9).51 (7)5% (41)2.1 (57)
VAN Defense1351% (90)48% (125) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (120)1.5 (33)29% (111)36% (122).45 (117)7% (48)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1650% (79)34% (7) - - - - - - 20 (2).04 (3)1.4 (14)33% (53)28% (35).14 (7)8% (17)1.6 (3)
VAN Offense1342% (115)43% (53)12.821.8166.37.61318 (68)4 (1).33 (33)1.7 (37)33% (108)31% (74).32 (75)7% (96)2.1 (64)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 25.36 #3
Texas's Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Texas's Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 66% #4
Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 25.36   Vanderbilt: 6.445

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 24.1   Vanderbilt: 4.9




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 6.445 #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 34
Vanderbilt 15


Total Points: 49

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Vanderbilt24Texas27TexasTexas -17.0Vanderbilt50.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt011 Overs
Texas100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#3) Texas Info
Power Rating: 25.36 #3
Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 66% #4
Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Texas has lost 1 straight
Texas has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 0 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas Highlights
Texas has Really Good Running Game (#47)
Texas offense is efficent (#86)
Texas Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas defense does not give up big plays (#2)
Texas defense is really good in red zone (#38)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Front 7 is disruptive (#110)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Texas Deficiencies
Texas has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Texas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Texas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#44)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatVANTEX
OverallOver#57#5
OffenseOff#62#17
DefenseDef#80#1
Special TeamsST#50#29
PassingPass#14#48
RushingRush#59#18
Run BlockRBLK#83#27
Pass BlockPBLK#110#1
Route RunningWR Rt#29#18
TacklingTkl#91#32
Run DefenseR Def#50#14
Pass Rush DefPRush#91#5
Coverage DefCov#86#1

Rematch from Week 9
Texas 17.0 (50.5)
Texas won at Vanderbilt this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Vanderbilt last year (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TEX | VAN
Depth Chart: TEX | VAN
Rosters: TEX | VAN
(#49) Vanderbilt Info
Power Rating: 6.445 #49
Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Vanderbilt has won 3 straight
Vanderbilt has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Vanderbilt Highlights
Vanderbilt has a great TO Margin (#54)

Vanderbilt Deficiencies
Vanderbilt offense is not Explosive (#51)
Vanderbilt Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#10)
Vanderbilt has a bad defense (#47)
Vanderbilt has a bad red zone defense (#34)


  
Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Quinn Ewers29344566%347231127.8
Arch Manning619068%9389210.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner226106454.743
Jaydon Blue13473085.477
Jerrick Gibson7837744.825
Arch Manning2510844.367
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matthew Golden (Tr)58987917.054
Gunnar Helm60786713.149
Isaiah Bond (Tr)34540515.956
DeAndre Moore Jr.39455711.749

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Pete Kwiatkowski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Michael Taaffe7862110
Andrew Mukuba (Tr)694016
Jahdae Barron6731210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons4814992
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Trey Moore (Tr)3611761
Barryn Sorrell43116121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahdae Barron6731210
Michael Taaffe7862110
Malik Muhammad361008

Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)17729859%22932047.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)1333%12004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Nate Johnson (Tr)11114110.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Quincy Skinner Jr.29367312.763
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Clark Lea
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
CJ Taylor643013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)147422
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Miles Capers458313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014