Vanderbilt at Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo (#20)Vanderbilt Commodores at Tennessee Volunteers(#15)Tennessee logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Tennessee -27.0 (58.0) (-5000)  Open: -25.5 | 56.5
Tennessee 48 - Vanderbilt: 24  (SEC)

 
Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN 2nd straight Home Game
VAN coming off BYE
TENN is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -26.5   (SP+ TENN -27)
Projected Score: VAN: 15 - TENN: 42 (57)
TENN Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
VAN Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i-17.054.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 9/2 Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M-35.053.5W 47 - 13ON
Sat 9/9 Vanderbilt at Wake Forest+9.555.0L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/16 Vanderbilt at UNLV-4.556.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky+13.550.0L 28 - 45ON
Sat 9/30 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+14.053.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/7 Vanderbilt at Florida+18.051.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 10/14 Vanderbilt vs Georgia+32.555.0L 20 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Vanderbilt at Ole Miss+24.062.0L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/4 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+12.550.0L 15 - 31UN
Sat 11/11 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13.553.5L 6 - 47UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+27.058.0L 24 - 48OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#127 (.05)36% (123)22.837% (124)2.92 (103)9537% (109)2234.09 (50)#131 (.33)45% (106)36.242% (59)48% (131)4.11 (98)42.51.71.3
TENN#36 (.27)46% (24)31.846% (39)3.31 (30)18747% (25)2323.56 (94)#54 (.16)39% (35)20.337% (19)41% (65)3.41 (34)65.60.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1222.81836.4%4.091.717319952233.342%56%37%37%22%.05
TENN Defense1320.317.938.9%3.411.2 - - - - - 48%52%37%41%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1236.240.344.8%4.111.3 - - - - - 47%52%42%48%15%.33
TENN Offense1331.836.146.3%3.560.9204191872325.651%49%46%47%13%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1228:461733%30%4.942.51.71.35.41.8329.5
Tennessee1322:3219.943%31%7.565.60.91.27.22.8430.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1242% (116)37% (124)29.295.33.310 (124)-.01 (128)2.92 (103)74% (63)12% (102)0.96 (91)
TENN Defense1348% (41)37% (19) - - - - .05 (21)2.71 (15)65% (24)13% (11)1.03 (85)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1247% (28)42% (59) - - - - .25 (119)3.08 (61)72% (60)9% (90)1.17 (122)
TENN Offense1351% (60)46% (39)33.5186.95.620 (61).22 (28)3.31 (30)72% (80)7% (16)1.05 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1256% (21)37% (109)18.132.5223.36.912.423 (51)13 (97).14 (113)1.7 (30)37% (130)25% (113).1 (129)10% (133)2 (91)
TENN Defense1352% (96)41% (65) - - - - - - 10 (67).29 (85)1.6 (85)35% (27)31% (82).36 (93)5% (100)2 (41)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1252% (100)48% (131) - - - - - - 12 (37).43 (126)1.6 (56)31% (88)37% (126).46 (123)5% (96)1.9 (25)
TENN Offense1349% (69)47% (25)19.330.1231.77.71221 (65)5 (6).35 (39)1.5 (110)30% (39)32% (64).38 (54)6% (68)2.1 (63)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -11.51   Tennessee: 13.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -13.7   Tennessee: 13.0




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 13.855 #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 42
Vanderbilt 15

Total Points: 57

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Vanderbilt23Tennessee36TennesseeTennessee -9.5Tennessee45.5Over
202311/25Tennessee48Vanderbilt24TennesseeTennessee -27.0Vanderbilt58.0Over
202211/26Vanderbilt0Tennessee56TennesseeTennessee -14Tennessee63.5Under
202111/27Tennessee45Vanderbilt21TennesseeTennessee -33Vanderbilt65.0Over
202012/12Vanderbilt17Tennessee42TennesseeTennessee -15Tennessee51.0Over
201911/30Tennessee28Vanderbilt10TennesseeTennessee -23Vanderbilt48.0Under
201811/24Vanderbilt38Tennessee13VanderbiltVanderbilt -3.5Vanderbilt51.5Under
201711/25Tennessee24Vanderbilt42VanderbiltTennessee -2.5Vanderbilt45.5Over
201611/26Vanderbilt45Tennessee34VanderbiltTennessee -10Vanderbilt50.0Over
201511/28Tennessee53Vanderbilt28TennesseeTennessee -17.5Tennessee41.0Over
201411/29Vanderbilt17Tennessee24TennesseeTennessee -14.5Vanderbilt0
201311/23Tennessee10Vanderbilt14VanderbiltTennessee -2.5Vanderbilt0
201211/17Vanderbilt41Tennessee18Vanderbilt
201111/19Tennessee27Vanderbilt21Tennessee
201011/20Vanderbilt10Tennessee24Tennessee
200911/21Tennessee31Vanderbilt16Tennessee
200811/22Vanderbilt10Tennessee20Tennessee
200711/17Tennessee25Vanderbilt24Tennessee
200611/18Vanderbilt10Tennessee39Tennessee
200511/19Tennessee24Vanderbilt28Vanderbilt
200411/20Vanderbilt33Tennessee38Tennessee
200311/22Tennessee48Vanderbilt0Tennessee
200111/24Tennessee38Vanderbilt0Tennessee
200011/24Vanderbilt26Tennessee28Tennessee
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee1847 Overs
Vanderbilt683 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 124 - 82 - 52 - 3
Road Teams12 - 128 - 43 - 25 - 2

(#122) Vanderbilt Info
Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20


Vanderbilt has lost 9 straight
Vanderbilt has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Vanderbilt Highlights
Vanderbilt offense is explosive (#51)
Vanderbilt commits very few Penalties (#103)

Vanderbilt Deficiencies
Vanderbilt Can Not Run the Ball (#31)
Vanderbilt offense is really bad (#4)
Vanderbilt run game is really bad (#7)
Vanderbilt pass game is really bad (#2)
Vanderbilt offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Vanderbilt Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Vanderbilt has a bad defense (#47)
Vanderbilt gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#21)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTENNVAN
OverallOver#30#108
OffenseOff#55#99
DefenseDef#27#99
Special TeamsST#13#93
PassingPass#41#88
RushingRush#15#73
Run BlockRBLK#65#85
Pass BlockPBLK#63#106
Route RunningWR Rt#61#65
TacklingTkl#39#89
Run DefenseR Def#59#89
Pass Rush DefPRush#10#91
Coverage DefCov#21#100

Rematch from Week 13
Tennessee -27.0 (58.0)
Tennessee won vs Vanderbilt this year (48-24)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt last year (36-23)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (48-24)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (56-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: VAN | TENN
Depth Chart: VAN | TENN
Rosters: VAN | TENN
(#24) Tennessee Info
Power Rating: 13.855 #24
Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #17
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60


Tennessee has lost 2 straight
Tennessee has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Tennessee Highlights
Tennessee has Really Good Running Game (#21)
Tennessee offense is efficent (#22)
Tennessee has a top Offensive Line (#61)
Tennessee does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#36)

Tennessee Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tennessee has a good run defense (#102)
Tennessee Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#111)
Tennessee Defensive Line is very good (#58)
Tennessee Front 7 is disruptive (#76)
Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#54)

Tennessee Deficiencies
Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#18)


  
Vanderbilt's OC Joey Lynch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann10619654%14181277.2
Ken Seals10617959%12181146.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sedrick Alexander9637043.927
Patrick Smith7932724.140
Jayden McGowan1910805.718
Walter Taylor3010213.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Sheppard47684814.685
London Humphreys22439420.056
Jayden McGowan36383010.650
Junior Sherrill20293314.752

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Langston Patterson748120
Jaylen Mahoney591006
CJ Taylor558313
Ethan Barr543111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Clifton308641
CJ Taylor558313
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)336330
Kane Patterson436201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Mahoney591006
Trudell Berry211004
BJ Anderson80003

Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Milton23035565%28142057.9
Nico Iamaleava284562%314207.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Wright137101347.482
Dylan Sampson10660375.744
Jabari Small9547525.040
Joe Milton7829973.881
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Squirrel White68804211.883
Ramel Keyton35642618.360
McCallan Castles (Tr)22283512.943
Dont'E Thornton13224117.247

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Herring795111
Aaron Beasley6912313
Jaylen McCollough583014
Wesley Walker534112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.271410150
Tyler Baron2811652
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)266610
Aaron Beasley6912313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamal Hadden190017
Tamarion McDonald404114
Jaylen McCollough583014