Vanderbilt at Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo   Vanderbilt Commodores at Tennessee Volunteers  Tennessee logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Tennessee -27.0 (58.0) (-5000)  Open: -25.5 | 56.5
Tennessee 48 - Vanderbilt: 24  (SEC)

 
Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 19)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN 2nd straight Home Game
VAN coming off BYE
TENN is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -26.5  (SP+ TENN -27)
Projected Score: VAN: 18 - TENN: 44 (62)
TENN Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
VAN Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i-17.054.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 9/2 Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M-35.053.5W 47 - 13ON
Sat 9/9 Vanderbilt at Wake Forest+9.555.0L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/16 Vanderbilt at UNLV-4.556.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky+13.550.0L 28 - 45ON
Sat 9/30 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+14.053.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/7 Vanderbilt at Florida+18.051.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 10/14 Vanderbilt vs Georgia+32.555.0L 20 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Vanderbilt at Ole Miss+24.062.0L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/4 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+12.550.0L 15 - 31UN
Sat 11/11 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13.553.5L 6 - 47UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+27.058.0L 24 - 48OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN.1640%38.540%2.9816042%1873.73.3145%22.842%49%4.1446.11.31.8
TENN.3751%39.851%3.319951%3264.81.1841%28.839%43%3.1669.50.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1238.53340.3%3.731.3183471601874.356%43%40%42%18%.16
TENN Defense1328.82941.2%3.161.8 - - - - - 44%56%39%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1222.82345.5%4.141.8 - - - - - 48%52%42%49%15%.31
TENN Offense1339.842.351.1%4.810.825526199326550%50%51%51%10%.37

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1231:3617.537%38%5.346.11.31.84.71.4028.8
Tennessee1325:1425.441%68%8.169.50.81.872.4130.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1256%40%37.1159.94.313.12.9873%10%1
TENN Defense1344%39% - - - - .042.6570%11%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1248%42% - - - - .083.2454%9%1.07
TENN Offense1350%51%40.2199.5540.293.380%7%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1243%42%16.728.8187.36.511.2226.291.733%27%.328%2.3
TENN Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 11.291.632%32%.335%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1252%49% - - - - - - 6.551.729%33%.495%2.3
TENN Offense1350%51%22.332.5326.110.114.6383.451.625%32%.43%2.2

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -11.51  #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08  #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21  #124
2023 Talent Rating: 639.88  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7  #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -11.51   Tennessee: 13.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -13.7   Tennessee: 13.0




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 13.855  #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15  #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94  #31
2023 Talent Rating: 821.07  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 48  #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0  #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 44
Vanderbilt 18

Projected Total Points: 62
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Tennessee24Vanderbilt45Tennessee -2.0Vanderbilt66.5Over
202411/30Vanderbilt23Tennessee36Tennessee -9.5Tennessee45.5Over
202311/25Tennessee48Vanderbilt24Tennessee -27.0Vanderbilt58.0Over
202211/26Vanderbilt0Tennessee56Tennessee -14Tennessee63.5Under
202111/27Tennessee45Vanderbilt21Tennessee -33Vanderbilt65.0Over
202012/12Vanderbilt17Tennessee42Tennessee -15Tennessee51.0Over
201911/30Tennessee28Vanderbilt10Tennessee -23Vanderbilt48.0Under
201811/24Vanderbilt38Tennessee13Vanderbilt -3.5Vanderbilt51.5Under
201711/25Tennessee24Vanderbilt42Tennessee -2.5Vanderbilt45.5Over
201611/26Vanderbilt45Tennessee34Tennessee -10Vanderbilt50.0Over
201511/28Tennessee53Vanderbilt28Tennessee -17.5Tennessee41.0Over
201411/29Vanderbilt17Tennessee24Tennessee -14.5Vanderbilt0
201311/23Tennessee10Vanderbilt14Tennessee -2.5Vanderbilt0
201211/17Vanderbilt41Tennessee18
201111/19Tennessee27Vanderbilt21
201011/20Vanderbilt10Tennessee24
200911/21Tennessee31Vanderbilt16
200811/22Vanderbilt10Tennessee20
200711/17Tennessee25Vanderbilt24
200611/18Vanderbilt10Tennessee39
200511/19Tennessee24Vanderbilt28
200411/20Vanderbilt33Tennessee38
200311/22Tennessee48Vanderbilt0
200111/24Tennessee38Vanderbilt0
200011/24Vanderbilt26Tennessee28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee1848 Overs
Vanderbilt793 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 134 - 92 - 62 - 3
Road Teams13 - 129 - 43 - 26 - 2

(#122) VAN at (#24) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVANTENN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #122 #24
SP+SP+ #113 #19
Perf GradeGrade #129 #37
OffenseOff #116 #59
DefenseDef #126 #33
Spec TeamsST #115 #13
TalentTal #58 #16
Blue ChipsBC% #57 #17
Vanderbilt on Offense
CategoryCat
VAN OffTENN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #116 #33
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #122 #31
SP+SP+ #84 #31
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Vanderbilt Run Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #104 #68
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #112 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #44
Vanderbilt Pass Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #103 #25
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #122 #11
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatTENN OffVAN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #36 #124
SP+SP+ #28 #125
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #22 #105
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatTENN OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #53 #121
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #73 #124
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

VAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Tennessee -27.0 (58.0)
Tennessee won vs Vanderbilt this year (48-24)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Tennessee last year (45-24)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2024 (36-23)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (48-24)

  
VAN's OC Joey Lynch (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann10619654%14181277.2
Ken Seals10617959%12181146.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sedrick Alexander9637043.927
Patrick Smith7932724.140
Jayden McGowan1910805.718
Walter Taylor3010213.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Sheppard47684814.685
London Humphreys22439420.056
Jayden McGowan36383010.650
Junior Sherrill20293314.752

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Nick Howell (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Langston Patterson748120
Jaylen Mahoney591006
CJ Taylor558313
Ethan Barr543111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Clifton308641
CJ Taylor558313
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)336330
Kane Patterson436201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Mahoney591006
Trudell Berry211004
BJ Anderson80003

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Milton23035565%28142057.9
Nico Iamaleava284562%314207.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Wright137101347.482
Dylan Sampson10660375.744
Jabari Small9547525.040
Joe Milton7829973.881
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Squirrel White68804211.883
Ramel Keyton35642618.360
McCallan Castles (Tr)22283512.943
Dont'E Thornton13224117.247

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Herring795111
Aaron Beasley6912313
Jaylen McCollough583014
Wesley Walker534112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.271410150
Tyler Baron2811652
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)266610
Aaron Beasley6912313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamal Hadden190017
Tamarion McDonald404114
Jaylen McCollough583014