Vanderbilt at Tennessee Game Matchup
Vanderbilt logo Vanderbilt Commodores at Tennessee VolunteersTennessee logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Tennessee -27.0 (58.0) (-5000)  Open: -25.5 | 56.5
Tennessee 48 - Vanderbilt: 24  (SEC)

 
Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (23 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN 2nd straight Home Game
VAN coming off BYE
TENN is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -26.5   (SP+ TENN -27)

Projected Score: VAN: 14 - TENN: 40 (52)
TENN Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
VAN Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (43 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i-17.054.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 9/2 Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M-35.053.5W 47 - 13ON
Sat 9/9 Vanderbilt at Wake Forest+9.555.0L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/16 Vanderbilt at UNLV-4.556.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky+13.550.0L 28 - 45ON
Sat 9/30 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+14.053.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/7 Vanderbilt at Florida+18.051.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 10/14 Vanderbilt vs Georgia+32.555.0L 20 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Vanderbilt at Ole Miss+24.062.0L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/4 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+12.550.0L 15 - 31UN
Sat 11/11 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13.553.5L 6 - 47UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+27.058.0L 24 - 48OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN.1640%27.340%2.9816042%1873.73.3145%23.442%49%4.1446.11.31.8
TENN.3751%35.751%3.319951%3264.81.1841%16.139%43%3.1669.50.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1227.322.640.3%3.731.3183471601874.356%43%40%42%18%.16
TENN Defense1316.19.941.2%3.161.8 - - - - - 44%56%39%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1223.42245.5%4.141.8 - - - - - 48%52%42%49%15%.31
TENN Offense1335.743.451.1%4.810.825526199326550%50%51%51%10%.37

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1231:3617.537%38%5.346.11.31.84.71.4028.8
Tennessee1325:1425.441%68%8.169.50.81.872.4130.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1256%40%37.1159.94.313.12.9873%10%1
TENN Defense1344%39% - - - - .042.6570%11%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1248%42% - - - - .083.2454%9%1.07
TENN Offense1350%51%40.2199.5540.293.380%7%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1243%42%16.728.8187.36.511.2226.291.733%27%.328%2.3
TENN Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 11.291.632%32%.335%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1252%49% - - - - - - 6.551.729%33%.495%2.3
TENN Offense1350%51%22.332.5326.110.114.6383.451.625%32%.43%2.2

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -11.51   Tennessee: 13.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -13.7   Tennessee: 13.0




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 13.855 #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
2023 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 40
Vanderbilt 14


Projected Total Points: 52
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.4
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Vanderbilt23Tennessee36TennesseeTennessee -9.5Tennessee45.5Over
202311/25Tennessee48Vanderbilt24TennesseeTennessee -27.0Vanderbilt58.0Over
202211/26Vanderbilt0Tennessee56TennesseeTennessee -14Tennessee63.5Under
202111/27Tennessee45Vanderbilt21TennesseeTennessee -33Vanderbilt65.0Over
202012/12Vanderbilt17Tennessee42TennesseeTennessee -15Tennessee51.0Over
201911/30Tennessee28Vanderbilt10TennesseeTennessee -23Vanderbilt48.0Under
201811/24Vanderbilt38Tennessee13VanderbiltVanderbilt -3.5Vanderbilt51.5Under
201711/25Tennessee24Vanderbilt42VanderbiltTennessee -2.5Vanderbilt45.5Over
201611/26Vanderbilt45Tennessee34VanderbiltTennessee -10Vanderbilt50.0Over
201511/28Tennessee53Vanderbilt28TennesseeTennessee -17.5Tennessee41.0Over
201411/29Vanderbilt17Tennessee24TennesseeTennessee -14.5Vanderbilt0
201311/23Tennessee10Vanderbilt14VanderbiltTennessee -2.5Vanderbilt0
201211/17Vanderbilt41Tennessee18Vanderbilt
201111/19Tennessee27Vanderbilt21Tennessee
201011/20Vanderbilt10Tennessee24Tennessee
200911/21Tennessee31Vanderbilt16Tennessee
200811/22Vanderbilt10Tennessee20Tennessee
200711/17Tennessee25Vanderbilt24Tennessee
200611/18Vanderbilt10Tennessee39Tennessee
200511/19Tennessee24Vanderbilt28Vanderbilt
200411/20Vanderbilt33Tennessee38Tennessee
200311/22Tennessee48Vanderbilt0Tennessee
200111/24Tennessee38Vanderbilt0Tennessee
200011/24Vanderbilt26Tennessee28Tennessee
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee1847 Overs
Vanderbilt683 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 124 - 82 - 52 - 3
Road Teams12 - 128 - 43 - 25 - 2

(#122) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20

Team Profile






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Vanderbilt     Ratings Matchup     Tennessee
Power #122
#24
Off #122
#36
Def #124
#31
Talent #19
#12
SP+ #113
#19
SP+ Off #84
#28
SP+ Def #125
#31

Rematch from Week 13
Tennessee -27.0 (58.0)
Tennessee won vs Vanderbilt this year (48-24)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt last year (36-23)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (48-24)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (56-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 57°

Team Information
Injuries: VAN | TENN
Depth Chart: VAN | TENN
Rosters: VAN | TENN
(#24) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.855 #24
Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #17
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile






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Vanderbilt's OC Joey Lynch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
AJ Swann2450%10002.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quincy Skinner Jr.122022.022
Jayden McGowan21306.57
Ken Seals41203.07
Landon Wells1-20-2.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Sheppard48621612.947
Quincy Skinner Jr.29367312.763
London Humphreys15244216.340
Logan Kyle11132112.030

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Barr723022
CJ Taylor643013
John Howse IV514101
De'Rickey Wright471002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)233212
John Howse IV514101
Nate Clifton212102
Ethan Barr723022
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Taylor643013
Ethan Barr723022
De'Rickey Wright471002

Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Navy Shuler1333%10003.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Sampson2581491225.856
Bru McCoy21507.59
Patrick Wilk31204.09
Navy Shuler2502.56
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dont'E Thornton26661625.486
Bru McCoy39472212.142
Dylan Sampson2014307.221

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Doneiko Slaughter783106
Elijah Herring598434
Will Brooks594115
Tamarion McDonald584201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.38138101
Tyler Baron3811660
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)184430
Elijah Herring598434
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Doneiko Slaughter783106
Will Brooks594115