Vanderbilt at Ole Miss - 2023 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo (#20)Vanderbilt Commodores at Ole Miss Rebels(#13)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -24 (62.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 33 - Vanderbilt: 7  (SEC)

 
Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VAN coming off BYE
Our Line: Ole Miss -28.5   (SP+ MISS -30)

Projected Score: VAN: 16 - MISS: 45 (61)
MISS Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
VAN Travel: 197 miles
Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i-17.054.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 9/2 Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M-35.053.5W 47 - 13ON
Sat 9/9 Vanderbilt at Wake Forest+9.555.0L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/16 Vanderbilt at UNLV-4.556.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky+13.550.0L 28 - 45ON
Sat 9/30 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+14.053.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/7 Vanderbilt at Florida+18.051.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 10/14 Vanderbilt vs Georgia+32.555.0L 20 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Vanderbilt at Ole Miss+24.062.0L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/4 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+12.550.0L 15 - 31UN
Sat 11/11 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13.553.5L 6 - 47UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+27.058.0L 24 - 48OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ole Miss vs Mercer-35.059.5W 73 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Ole Miss at Tulane-8.064.0W 37 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech-17.061.5W 48 - 23OY
Sat 9/23 Ole Miss at Alabama+7.056.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Ole Miss vs LSU+3.067.0W 55 - 49OY
Sat 10/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-13.061.5W 27 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Ole Miss at Auburn-6.555.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/28 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-24.062.0W 33 - 7UY
Sat 11/4 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M-3.052.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/11 Ole Miss at Georgia+11.059.0L 17 - 52ON
Sat 11/18 Ole Miss vs UL Monroe-35.559.5W 35 - 3UN
Thu 11/23 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-11.056.0W 17 - 7UN
Sat 12/30 Ole Miss vs Penn State+5.553.0W 38 - 25OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#127 (.05)36% (123)22.837% (124)2.92 (103)9537% (109)2234.09 (50)#131 (.33)45% (106)36.242% (59)48% (131)4.11 (98)42.51.71.3
MISS#30 (.28)44% (44)35.144% (54)2.94 (100)17645% (31)2864.72 (13)#68 (.18)42% (62)22.543% (74)41% (54)3.64 (55)59.10.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1222.81836.4%4.091.717319952233.342%56%37%37%22%.05
MISS Defense1322.520.641.6%3.641.4 - - - - - 50%49%43%41%18%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1236.240.344.8%4.111.3 - - - - - 47%52%42%48%15%.33
MISS Offense1335.144.144.4%4.720.5234621762864.354%45%44%45%15%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1228:461733%30%4.942.51.71.35.41.8329.5
Ole Miss1327:4323.537%69%7.259.10.51.45.92.6129
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1242% (116)37% (124)29.295.33.310 (124)-.01 (128)2.92 (103)74% (63)12% (102)0.96 (91)
MISS Defense1350% (62)43% (74) - - - - .14 (70)3.21 (96)86% (127)11% (30)0.98 (58)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1247% (28)42% (59) - - - - .25 (119)3.08 (61)72% (60)9% (90)1.17 (122)
MISS Offense1354% (37)44% (54)41.1176.54.329 (22).17 (60)2.94 (100)70% (95)11% (80)1.05 (44)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1256% (21)37% (109)18.132.5223.36.912.423 (51)13 (97).14 (113)1.7 (30)37% (130)25% (113).1 (129)10% (133)2 (91)
MISS Defense1349% (70)41% (54) - - - - - - 13 (26).26 (59)1.6 (79)32% (65)27% (26).23 (31)7% (43)2 (35)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1252% (100)48% (131) - - - - - - 12 (37).43 (126)1.6 (56)31% (88)37% (126).46 (123)5% (96)1.9 (25)
MISS Offense1345% (97)45% (31)19.730.4285.69.414.526 (31)6 (14).45 (17)1.7 (21)32% (72)33% (55).43 (39)5% (22)2.2 (28)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -11.51   Ole Miss: 16.14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -13.7   Ole Miss: 16.0




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 45
Vanderbilt 16


Total Points: 61

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.1
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Ole Miss33Vanderbilt7Ole MissOle Miss -24Ole Miss62.0Under
202210/08Vanderbilt28Ole Miss52Ole MissOle Miss -17Ole Miss59.5Over
202111/20Ole Miss31Vanderbilt17Ole MissOle Miss -35.5Vanderbilt66.5Under
202010/31Vanderbilt21Ole Miss54Ole MissOle Miss -18.0Ole Miss0
201910/05Ole Miss31Vanderbilt6Ole MissOle Miss -6.5Ole Miss63.5Under
201811/17Vanderbilt36Ole Miss29VanderbiltVanderbilt -3Vanderbilt72.5Under
201710/14Ole Miss57Vanderbilt35Ole MissOle Miss -3.5Ole Miss56.5Over
201611/19Vanderbilt38Ole Miss17VanderbiltOle Miss -9.5Vanderbilt50.0Over
201509/26Ole Miss27Vanderbilt16Ole MissOle Miss -28Vanderbilt53.5Under
201409/06Vanderbilt3Ole Miss41Ole MissOle Miss -14Ole Miss0
201308/29Vanderbilt35Ole Miss39Ole MissVanderbilt -1.5Ole Miss0
201211/10Ole Miss26Vanderbilt27Vanderbilt
201109/17Vanderbilt30Ole Miss7Vanderbilt
201009/18Ole Miss14Vanderbilt28Vanderbilt
200910/03Vanderbilt7Ole Miss23Ole Miss
200809/20Ole Miss17Vanderbilt23Vanderbilt
200709/15Vanderbilt31Ole Miss17Vanderbilt
200610/07Ole Miss17Vanderbilt10Ole Miss
200509/17Vanderbilt31Ole Miss23Vanderbilt
200409/18Ole Miss26Vanderbilt23Ole Miss
200308/30Vanderbilt21Ole Miss24Ole Miss
200209/21Ole Miss45Vanderbilt38Ole Miss
200112/01Ole Miss38Vanderbilt27Ole Miss
200009/15Vanderbilt7Ole Miss12Ole Miss
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss1673 Overs
Vanderbilt845 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 105 - 64 - 31 - 3
Road Teams10 - 146 - 53 - 13 - 4

(#122) Vanderbilt Info
Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20


Vanderbilt has lost 6 straight
Vanderbilt has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Vanderbilt Highlights
Vanderbilt offense is explosive (#51)
Vanderbilt commits very few Penalties (#103)

Vanderbilt Deficiencies
Vanderbilt Can Not Run the Ball (#31)
Vanderbilt offense is really bad (#4)
Vanderbilt run game is really bad (#7)
Vanderbilt pass game is really bad (#2)
Vanderbilt offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Vanderbilt Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Vanderbilt has a bad defense (#47)
Vanderbilt gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#21)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMISSVAN
OverallOver#19#108
OffenseOff#16#99
DefenseDef#51#99
Special TeamsST#11#93
PassingPass#5#88
RushingRush#7#73
Run BlockRBLK#64#85
Pass BlockPBLK#75#106
Route RunningWR Rt#14#65
TacklingTkl#34#89
Run DefenseR Def#70#89
Pass Rush DefPRush#34#91
Coverage DefCov#59#100

Rematch from Week 9
Ole Miss -24.0 (62.0)
Ole Miss won vs Vanderbilt this year (33-7)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (33-7)
Ole Miss beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (52-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: VAN | MISS
Depth Chart: VAN | MISS
Rosters: VAN | MISS
(#18) Ole Miss Info
Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90


Ole Miss has won 3 straight
Ole Miss has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (4 - 2 - 1 vs Spread)

Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss is Undefeated at Home

Ole Miss offense is explosive (#79)
Ole Miss offense is good in red zone (#24)
Ole Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ole Miss Front 7 is disruptive (#125)
Ole Miss has a great TO Margin (#82)
Ole Miss defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Ole Miss Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#67)
Ole Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#131)


  
Vanderbilt's OC Joey Lynch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann10619654%14181277.2
Ken Seals10617959%12181146.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sedrick Alexander9637043.927
Patrick Smith7932724.140
Jayden McGowan1910805.718
Walter Taylor3010213.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Sheppard47684814.685
London Humphreys22439420.056
Jayden McGowan36383010.650
Junior Sherrill20293314.752

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Langston Patterson748120
Jaylen Mahoney591006
CJ Taylor558313
Ethan Barr543111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Clifton308641
CJ Taylor558313
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)336330
Kane Patterson436201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Mahoney591006
Trudell Berry211004
BJ Anderson80003

Ole Miss's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaxson Dart23335965%33642359.4
Spencer Sanders (Tr)192966%278309.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinshon Judkins2711158154.340
Ulysses Bentley IV9554045.743
Jaxson Dart11939183.368
Matt Jones127926.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Harris (Tr)54985818.256
Dayton Wade55830415.158
Jordan Watkins53741314.068
Caden Prieskorn (Tr)30449415.037

View Ole Miss's Full Roster
Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Washington832002
Ashanti Cistrunk (Tr)715310
John Saunders Jr.652014
Daijahn Anthony613008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Ivey4612642
Cedric Johnson4076123
Suntarine Perkins386411
Isaac Ukwu (Tr)305432
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daijahn Anthony613008
Zamari Walton (Tr)384006
Deantre Prince365105