Vanderbilt at Ole Miss Game Matchup

Vanderbilt Commodores at Ole Miss Rebels

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -24 (62.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 33 - Vanderbilt: 7 (SEC)

Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (23 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VAN coming off BYE
Our Line: Ole Miss -28.5 (SP+ MISS -30)
Projected Score: VAN: 14 - MISS: 42 (52)
MISS Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
VAN Travel: 197 miles

Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i	-17.0	54.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/2	Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M	-35.0	53.5	W 47 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/9	Vanderbilt at Wake Forest	+9.5	55.0	L 20 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/16	Vanderbilt at UNLV	-4.5	56.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Vanderbilt vs Kentucky	+13.5	50.0	L 28 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Vanderbilt vs Missouri	+14.0	53.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/7	Vanderbilt at Florida	+18.0	51.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/14	Vanderbilt vs Georgia	+32.5	55.0	L 20 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Vanderbilt at Ole Miss	+24.0	62.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/4	Vanderbilt vs Auburn	+12.5	50.0	L 15 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Vanderbilt at South Carolina	+13.5	53.5	L 6 - 47	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25	Vanderbilt at Tennessee	+27.0	58.0	L 24 - 48	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ole Miss vs Mercer	-35.0	59.5	W 73 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Ole Miss at Tulane	-8.0	64.0	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech	-17.0	61.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ole Miss at Alabama	+7.0	56.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ole Miss vs LSU	+3.0	67.0	W 55 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-13.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Ole Miss at Auburn	-6.5	55.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-24.0	62.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	-3.0	52.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ole Miss at Georgia	+11.0	59.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Ole Miss vs UL Monroe	-35.5	59.5	W 35 - 3	U	N
Thu 11/23	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-11.0	56.0	W 17 - 7	U	N
Sat 12/30	Ole Miss vs Penn State	+5.5	53.0	W 38 - 25	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	.16	40%	27.3	40%	2.98	160	42%	187	3.73	.31	45%	23.4	42%	49%	4.14	46.1	1.3	1.8
MISS	.27	48%	38.6	49%	3.11	257	45%	240	4.04	.16	44%	14.4	44%	44%	3.72	63.2	1.5	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	12	27.3	22.6	40.3%	3.73	1.3	18	347	160	187	4.3	56%	43%	40%	42%	18%	.16
MISS Defense	13	14.4	10.6	43.9%	3.72	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	44%	44%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	12	23.4	22	45.5%	4.14	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	42%	49%	15%	.31
MISS Offense	13	38.6	39.6	47.5%	4.04	1.5	25	496	257	240	5.4	60%	40%	49%	45%	16%	.27

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	12	31:36	17.5	37%	38%	5.3	46.1	1.3	1.8	4.7	1.4	0	28.8
Ole Miss	13	26:23	25.2	47%	49%	6.8	63.2	1.5	2.3	5.7	2.5	0	27.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	12	56%	40%	37.1	159.9	4.3	13	.1	2.98	73%	10%	1
MISS Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.22	74%	10%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.24	54%	9%	1.07
MISS Offense	13	60%	49%	47.2	256.5	5.4	33	.27	3.11	74%	10%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	12	43%	42%	16.7	28.8	187.3	6.5	11.2	22	6	.29	1.7	33%	27%	.32	8%	2.3
MISS Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.24	1.5	29%	30%	.22	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	12	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.55	1.7	29%	33%	.49	5%	2.3
MISS Offense	13	40%	45%	18.4	29.7	239.8	8.1	13.1	22	11	.3	1.6	29%	36%	.33	5%	1.9

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -11.51 Ole Miss: 16.14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -13.7 Ole Miss: 16.0

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 42
Vanderbilt 14

Projected Total Points: 52

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Ole Miss	33	Vanderbilt	7	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -24	Ole Miss	62.0	Under
2022	10/08	Vanderbilt	28	Ole Miss	52	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -17	Ole Miss	59.5	Over
2021	11/20	Ole Miss	31	Vanderbilt	17	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -35.5	Vanderbilt	66.5	Under
2020	10/31	Vanderbilt	21	Ole Miss	54	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -18.0	Ole Miss	0
2019	10/05	Ole Miss	31	Vanderbilt	6	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -6.5	Ole Miss	63.5	Under
2018	11/17	Vanderbilt	36	Ole Miss	29	Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt -3	Vanderbilt	72.5	Under
2017	10/14	Ole Miss	57	Vanderbilt	35	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -3.5	Ole Miss	56.5	Over
2016	11/19	Vanderbilt	38	Ole Miss	17	Vanderbilt	Ole Miss -9.5	Vanderbilt	50.0	Over
2015	09/26	Ole Miss	27	Vanderbilt	16	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -28	Vanderbilt	53.5	Under
2014	09/06	Vanderbilt	3	Ole Miss	41	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -14	Ole Miss	0
2013	08/29	Vanderbilt	35	Ole Miss	39	Ole Miss	Vanderbilt -1.5	Ole Miss	0
2012	11/10	Ole Miss	26	Vanderbilt	27	Vanderbilt
2011	09/17	Vanderbilt	30	Ole Miss	7	Vanderbilt
2010	09/18	Ole Miss	14	Vanderbilt	28	Vanderbilt
2009	10/03	Vanderbilt	7	Ole Miss	23	Ole Miss
2008	09/20	Ole Miss	17	Vanderbilt	23	Vanderbilt
2007	09/15	Vanderbilt	31	Ole Miss	17	Vanderbilt
2006	10/07	Ole Miss	17	Vanderbilt	10	Ole Miss
2005	09/17	Vanderbilt	31	Ole Miss	23	Vanderbilt
2004	09/18	Ole Miss	26	Vanderbilt	23	Ole Miss
2003	08/30	Vanderbilt	21	Ole Miss	24	Ole Miss
2002	09/21	Ole Miss	45	Vanderbilt	38	Ole Miss
2001	12/01	Ole Miss	38	Vanderbilt	27	Ole Miss
2000	09/15	Vanderbilt	7	Ole Miss	12	Ole Miss

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	16	7	3 Overs
Vanderbilt	8	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	5 - 6	4 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 14	6 - 5	3 - 1	3 - 4

(#122) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20

Team Profile

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Vanderbilt Ratings Matchup Ole Miss

Power #122

#18

Off #122

#22

Def #124

#47

Talent #19

#34

SP+ #113

#14

SP+ Off #84

#21

SP+ Def #125

#21

Rematch from Week 9
Ole Miss -24.0 (62.0)
Ole Miss won vs Vanderbilt this year (33-7)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (33-7)
Ole Miss beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (52-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77°

Team Information
Injuries: VAN | MISS
Depth Chart: VAN | MISS
Rosters: VAN | MISS

(#18) Ole Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.14 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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Vanderbilt's OC Joey Lynch

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ken Seals	10	13	77%	97	1	0	7.5
AJ Swann	2	4	50%	10	0	0	2.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Quincy Skinner Jr.	1	22	22.0	22
Jayden McGowan	2	13	6.5	7
Ken Seals	4	12	3.0	7
Landon Wells	1	-2	-2.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Sheppard	48	621	6	12.9	47
Quincy Skinner Jr.	29	367	3	12.7	63
London Humphreys	15	244	2	16.3	40
Logan Kyle	11	132	1	12.0	30

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

Vanderbilt's DC Nick Howell

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Barr	72	3	0	2	2
CJ Taylor	64	3	0	1	3
John Howse IV	51	4	1	0	1
De'Rickey Wright	47	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)	23	3	2	1	2
John Howse IV	51	4	1	0	1
Nate Clifton	21	2	1	0	2
Ethan Barr	72	3	0	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
CJ Taylor	64	3	1	3
Ethan Barr	72	3	2	2
De'Rickey Wright	47	1	0	2

Ole Miss's OC John David Baker

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	276	398	69%	4279	29	6	10.8
Caden Davis (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins	194	1060	14	5.5	86
Jaxson Dart	124	495	3	4.0	35
Jamious Griffin	73	450	4	6.2	33
Ulysses Bentley IV	84	419	5	5.0	89

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris (Tr)	61	1063	7	17.4	70
Jordan Watkins	49	906	9	18.5	75
Zakhari Franklin (Tr)	56	658	4	11.8	44
JJ Henry	42	485	4	11.5	66

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reginald Hughes	83	10	4	6	0
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
John Saunders Jr.	46	2	0	0	5
Khari Coleman	45	1	0	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3
Reginald Hughes	83	10	4	6	0
J.J. Pegues	42	14	4	5	0
Joshua Harris (Tr)	20	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
John Saunders Jr.	46	2	0	0	5
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3