Alabama at Vanderbilt - 2024 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo   Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores  Vanderbilt logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (4:15 PM EDT)
Alabama -23.5 (53.5) (-2400)  Open: -24.0
Vanderbilt 40 - Alabama: 35  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VAN coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -15.5  (SP+ ALA -20)
Projected Score: ALA: 35 - VAN: 20 (55)
ALA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
ALA Travel: 207 miles
Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-31.060.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Alabama vs South Florida-33.565.5W 42 - 16UN
Sat 9/14 Alabama at Wisconsin-15.551.0W 42 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Alabama vs Georgia+2.050.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/5 Alabama at Vanderbilt-23.553.5L 35 - 40ON
Sat 10/12 Alabama vs South Carolina-21.050.0W 27 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Alabama at Tennessee-3.557.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/26 Alabama vs Missouri-16.051.5W 34 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Alabama at LSU-2.557.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 Alabama vs Mercer-42.058.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 11/23 Alabama at Oklahoma-14.047.0L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 Alabama vs Auburn-10.550.5W 28 - 14UY
Tue 12/31 Alabama vs Michigan-16.545.5L 13 - 19UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech+13.553.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/7 Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State-32.547.5W 55 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Vanderbilt at Georgia State-8.545.5L 32 - 36ON
Sat 9/21 Vanderbilt at Missouri+17.552.0L 27 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Vanderbilt vs Alabama+23.553.5W 40 - 35OY
Sat 10/12 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+12.544.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/19 Vanderbilt vs Ball State-27.557.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 Vanderbilt vs Texas+17.050.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 11/2 Vanderbilt at Auburn+7.548.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/9 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+6.044.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Vanderbilt at LSU+10.053.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/30 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee+9.545.5L 23 - 36ON
Fri 12/27 Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech+3.049.0W 35 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#20 (.29)45% (39)29.545% (43)3.23 (45)16045% (34)2124.59 (17)#26 (.11)36% (12)19.238% (28)34% (6)3.86 (73)45.70.71.3
VAN#127 (.05)36% (123)38.537% (124)2.92 (103)9537% (109)2234.09 (50)#131 (.33)45% (106)22.842% (59)48% (131)4.11 (98)42.51.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1429.526.345%4.590.7193731602124.357%43%45%45%15%.29
VAN Defense1222.821.144.8%4.111.3 - - - - - 47%52%42%48%15%.33
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1419.223.735.8%3.861.3 - - - - - 48%52%38%34%19%.11
VAN Offense1238.54436.4%4.091.717319952233.342%56%37%37%22%.05

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1428:2518.647%83%5.445.70.71.35.92.8230.6
Vanderbilt1228:461733%30%4.942.51.71.35.41.8329.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1457% (18)45% (43)37160.44.330 (21).21 (39)3.23 (45)81% (13)11% (91)0.98 (79)
VAN Defense1247% (28)42% (59) - - - - .25 (119)3.08 (61)72% (60)9% (90)1.17 (122)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1448% (40)38% (28) - - - - .15 (71)3.13 (74)67% (36)12% (21)1.12 (114)
VAN Offense1242% (116)37% (124)29.295.33.310 (124)-.01 (128)2.92 (103)74% (63)12% (102)0.96 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1443% (115)45% (34)13.721.6212.19.815.523 (51)6 (14).44 (20)1.9 (8)31% (50)34% (39).55 (11)4% (6)2.6 (1)
VAN Defense1252% (100)48% (131) - - - - - - 12 (37).43 (126)1.6 (56)31% (88)37% (126).46 (123)5% (96)1.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1452% (98)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (37).11 (9)1.5 (42)35% (29)26% (18).23 (25)7% (37)2.1 (71)
VAN Offense1256% (21)37% (109)18.132.5223.36.912.423 (51)13 (97).14 (113)1.7 (30)37% (130)25% (113).1 (129)10% (133)2 (91)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.87  #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39  #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21  #20
2024 Talent Rating: 690.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 82%  #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0  #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9  #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 18.87   Vanderbilt: 6.445

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 25.0   Vanderbilt: 4.9




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 6.445  #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12  #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18  #91
2024 Talent Rating: 387.00  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9  #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 35
Vanderbilt 20

Projected Total Points: 55
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Alabama30Vanderbilt14Alabama -13.5Alabama58.5Under
202410/05Vanderbilt40Alabama35Alabama -23.5Vanderbilt53.5Over
202209/24Alabama55Vanderbilt3Alabama -40.5Alabama61.0Under
201709/23Vanderbilt0Alabama59Alabama -20Alabama42.5Over
201110/08Alabama34Vanderbilt0
200709/08Vanderbilt10Alabama24
200609/09Alabama13Vanderbilt10
200211/02Vanderbilt8Alabama30
200109/08Vanderbilt9Alabama12
200009/08Alabama28Vanderbilt10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt112 Overs
Alabama932 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 43 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams4 - 61 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#9) ALA at (#49) VAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAVAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #9 #49
SP+SP+ #4 #50
Perf GradeGrade #12 #81
OffenseOff #24 #77
DefenseDef #9 #100
Spec TeamsST #58 #59
TalentTal #2 #39
Blue ChipsBC% #1 #65
Alabama on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ALA OffVAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #24 #100
SuccessSuc #39 #106
ExplosiveExp #23 #113
PPAPPA #20 #131
PowerPwr #33 #91
SP+SP+ #6 #59
Pts POPPO #17 #98
HavocHav #51 #101
Alabama Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ALA OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #14 #65
Run SuccessRSuc #43 #59
Run ExplRExp #79 #122
PPAExp #39 #119
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLY #45 #61
Stuff RateStuff #37 #49
TackleTak -  #105
Alabama Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ALA OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #21 #106
Pass SuccessPSuc #34 #131
Pass ExplPExl #8 #56
PPAExp #20 #126
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #66 #107
F7 HavocF7 #91 #90
DB HavocDB #6 #96
Vanderbilt on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatVAN OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #77 #9
SuccessSuc #123 #12
ExplosiveExp #13 #87
PPAPPA #127 #26
PowerPwr #75 #20
SP+SP+ #60 #8
Pts POPPO #50 #73
HavocHav #132 #16
Vanderbilt Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
VAN OffALA Def
Run GameRun #81 #8
Run SuccessRSuc #124 #28
Run ExplRExp #91 #114
PPAExp #128 #71
Run BlockR Blk #107 -
OL YdsOLY #103 #74
Stuff RateStuff #95 #108
TackleTak -  #5
Vanderbilt Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatVAN OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #16 #10
Pass SuccessPSuc #109 #6
Pass ExplPExl #30 #42
PPAExp #113 #9
Pass Block/RushP Blk #127 #49
F7 HavocF7 #102 #21
DB HavocDB #133 #37
Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'24 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Alabama 23.5 (53.5)
Vanderbilt won vs Alabama this year (40-35)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Vanderbilt last year (30-14)
Vanderbilt beat Alabama in 2024 (40-35)

  
ALA's OC Nick Sheridan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Milroe20531964%284416118.9
Ty Simpson142556%167006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Milroe168726204.372
Jamarion Miller14566874.656
Justice Haynes7944875.785
Richard Young2714625.462
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams48865818.084
Germie Bernard (Tr)50794215.947
C.J. Dippre21256012.246
Josh Cuevas (Tr)16218113.643

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jihaad Campbell11912532
Deontae Lawson766204
Malachi Moore703138
Justin Jefferson617201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jihaad Campbell11912532
Quandarrius Robinson237450
Tim Keenan III408321
Tim Smith354250
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Moore703138
Domani Jackson (Tr)512017
DeVonta Smith301015

VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)17729859%22932047.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)1333%12004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Nate Johnson (Tr)11114110.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Quincy Skinner Jr.29367312.763
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Clark Lea (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
CJ Taylor643013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)147422
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Miles Capers458313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014