Alabama at Vanderbilt Game Matchup
Alabama logo Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (4:15 PM EDT)
Alabama -23.5 (53.5) (-2400)  Open: -24.0
Vanderbilt 40 - Alabama: 35  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
VAN coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -15.5   (SP+ ALA -20)
Projected Score: ALA: 34 - VAN: 18 (51)
ALA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
ALA Travel: 207 miles
Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Alabama's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-31.060.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Alabama vs South Florida-33.565.5W 42 - 16UN
Sat 9/14 Alabama at Wisconsin-15.551.0W 42 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Alabama vs Georgia+2.050.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/5 Alabama at Vanderbilt-23.553.5L 35 - 40ON
Sat 10/12 Alabama vs South Carolina-21.050.0W 27 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Alabama at Tennessee-3.557.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/26 Alabama vs Missouri-16.051.5W 34 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Alabama at LSU-2.557.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 Alabama vs Mercer-42.058.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 11/23 Alabama at Oklahoma-14.047.0L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 Alabama vs Auburn-10.550.5W 28 - 14UY
Tue 12/31 Alabama vs Michigan-16.545.5L 13 - 19UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech+13.553.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/7 Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State-32.547.5W 55 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Vanderbilt at Georgia State-8.545.5L 32 - 36ON
Sat 9/21 Vanderbilt at Missouri+17.552.0L 27 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Vanderbilt vs Alabama+23.553.5W 40 - 35OY
Sat 10/12 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+12.544.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/19 Vanderbilt vs Ball State-27.557.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 Vanderbilt vs Texas+17.050.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 11/2 Vanderbilt at Auburn+7.548.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/9 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+6.044.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Vanderbilt at LSU+10.053.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/30 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee+9.545.5L 23 - 36ON
Fri 12/27 Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech+3.049.0W 35 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#20 (.29)45% (39)33.845% (43)3.23 (45)16045% (34)2124.59 (17)#26 (.11)36% (12)17.438% (28)34% (6)3.86 (73)45.70.71.3
VAN#127 (.05)36% (123)27.337% (124)2.92 (103)9537% (109)2234.09 (50)#131 (.33)45% (106)23.442% (59)48% (131)4.11 (98)42.51.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1433.827.845%4.590.7193731602124.357%43%45%45%15%.29
VAN Defense1223.423.944.8%4.111.3 - - - - - 47%52%42%48%15%.33
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1417.422.235.8%3.861.3 - - - - - 48%52%38%34%19%.11
VAN Offense1227.329.636.4%4.091.717319952233.342%56%37%37%22%.05

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1428:2518.647%83%5.445.70.71.35.92.8230.6
Vanderbilt1228:461733%30%4.942.51.71.35.41.8329.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1457% (18)45% (43)37160.44.330 (21).21 (39)3.23 (45)81% (13)11% (91)0.98 (79)
VAN Defense1247% (28)42% (59) - - - - .25 (119)3.08 (61)72% (60)9% (90)1.17 (122)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1448% (40)38% (28) - - - - .15 (71)3.13 (74)67% (36)12% (21)1.12 (114)
VAN Offense1242% (116)37% (124)29.295.33.310 (124)-.01 (128)2.92 (103)74% (63)12% (102)0.96 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1443% (115)45% (34)13.721.6212.19.815.523 (51)6 (14).44 (20)1.9 (8)31% (50)34% (39).55 (11)4% (6)2.6 (1)
VAN Defense1252% (100)48% (131) - - - - - - 12 (37).43 (126)1.6 (56)31% (88)37% (126).46 (123)5% (96)1.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1452% (98)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (37).11 (9)1.5 (42)35% (29)26% (18).23 (25)7% (37)2.1 (71)
VAN Offense1256% (21)37% (109)18.132.5223.36.912.423 (51)13 (97).14 (113)1.7 (30)37% (130)25% (113).1 (129)10% (133)2 (91)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
2024 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 18.87   Vanderbilt: 6.445

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 25.0   Vanderbilt: 4.9




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 6.445 #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
2024 Talent Rating: 770.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 34
Vanderbilt 18

Projected Total Points: 51
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Vanderbilt40Alabama35VanderbiltAlabama -23.5Vanderbilt53.5Over
202209/24Alabama55Vanderbilt3AlabamaAlabama -40.5Alabama61.0Under
201709/23Vanderbilt0Alabama59AlabamaAlabama -20Alabama42.5Over
201110/08Alabama34Vanderbilt0Alabama
200709/08Vanderbilt10Alabama24Alabama
200609/09Alabama13Vanderbilt10Alabama
200211/02Vanderbilt8Alabama30Alabama
200109/08Vanderbilt9Alabama12Alabama
200009/08Alabama28Vanderbilt10Alabama
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt112 Overs
Alabama821 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 42 - 11 - 01 - 1
Road Teams4 - 51 - 21 - 10 - 1

(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 1078.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Alabama     Ratings Matchup     Vanderbilt
Power #9
#49
Off #33
#75
Def #20
#91
Talent #3
#35
SP+ #4
#50
SP+ Off #6
#60
SP+ Def #8
#59

Rematch from Week 6
Alabama 23.5 (53.5)
Vanderbilt won vs Alabama this year (40-35)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Alabama last year (40-35)
Alabama beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (55-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 88° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ALA | VAN
Depth Chart: ALA | VAN
Rosters: ALA | VAN
(#49) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.445 #49
Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59
Talent Rating: 770.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position



  
Alabama's OC Nick Sheridan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson142556%167006.7
Dylan Lonergan5683%23003.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller14566874.656
Justice Haynes7944875.785
Richard Young2714625.462
Daniel Hill216112.911
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams48865818.084
Germie Bernard (Tr)50794215.947
Josh Cuevas (Tr)16218113.643
Jamarion Miller1615519.725

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deontae Lawson766204
Justin Jefferson617201
Brayson Hubbard571002
Domani Jackson (Tr)512017
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quandarrius Robinson237450
Tim Keenan III408321
Deontae Lawson766204
Lebbeus Overton423291
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Domani Jackson (Tr)512017
DeVonta Smith301015
Deontae Lawson766204

Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)17729859%22932047.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)1333%12004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Nate Johnson (Tr)11114110.456
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338
Loic Fouonji (Tr)12187015.640

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Clark Lea
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)147422
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Miles Capers458313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014