Kentucky at Vanderbilt Game Matchup
Kentucky logo Kentucky Wildcats at Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Vanderbilt Stadium - Nashville, TN  (SEC)

 
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#107)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
VAN coming off BYE
UK is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Vanderbilt -2.5   (SP+ UK -3)
Projected Score: UK: 24 - VAN: 26 (47)
VAN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UK Travel: 182 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Commodores (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#91)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Kentucky vs Toledo-11.50.0
Sat 9/6 Kentucky vs Ole Miss+10.5
Sat 9/13 Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kentucky at South Carolina+13.5
Sat 10/4 Kentucky at Georgia+25
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Kentucky vs Texas+21
Sat 10/25 Kentucky vs Tennessee+9.5
Sat 11/1 Kentucky at Auburn+14.5
Sat 11/8 Kentucky vs Florida+12
Sat 11/15 Kentucky vs Tennessee Tech-28.5
Sat 11/22 Kentucky at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 11/29 Kentucky at Louisville+9.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-29
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-24.5
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-23.5
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU+18
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+5
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+25.5
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-2.5
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+14.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)20.647% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)22.149% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)27.342% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)23.446% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense1220.61841.5%3.491.919331146185454%46%47%35%19%.09
VAN Defense1323.423.946.9%4.221.1 - - - - - 49%51%46%48%16%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Defense1222.13146%3.441.3 - - - - - 58%42%49%42%17%.16
VAN Offense1327.329.642.2%4.250.5172951291663.958%42%42%43%15%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1229:3219.434%44%6.352.11.91.35.61.8227
Vanderbilt1328:3916.644%54%548.30.51.14.81.7431.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1254% (37)47% (31)36.7146.4411 (116).05 (107)3.02 (71)73% (71)13% (120)0.73 (133)
VAN Defense1349% (47)46% (96) - - - - .12 (70)2.98 (62)77% (88)10% (76)0.89 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Defense1258% (129)49% (122) - - - - .14 (75)3 (67)78% (101)12% (32)0.88 (24)
VAN Offense1358% (18)42% (93)33.1129.23.916 (90).06 (104)2.8 (105)83% (10)8% (41)0.87 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1246% (97)35% (123)13.926184.87.113.315 (98)17 (127).13 (117)1.9 (10)33% (92)28% (104).18 (114)7% (103)2.1 (46)
VAN Defense1351% (90)48% (125) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (120)1.5 (33)29% (111)36% (122).45 (117)7% (48)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Defense1242% (7)42% (75) - - - - - - 10 (66).19 (46)1.5 (27)29% (109)31% (83).3 (68)5% (95)2 (61)
VAN Offense1342% (115)43% (53)12.821.8166.37.61318 (68)4 (1).33 (33)1.7 (37)33% (108)31% (74).32 (75)7% (96)2.1 (64)

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 5.54 #52
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 16.20 #54
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.66 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #43
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 5.54   Vanderbilt: 7.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 4.7   Vanderbilt: 1.7




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 7.845 #41
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 20.94 #32
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 11.95 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 768.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #48
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #50

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 26
Kentucky 24

Projected Total Points: 47
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Kentucky13Vanderbilt20VanderbiltKentucky -12.5Vanderbilt44.5Under
202309/23Vanderbilt28Kentucky45KentuckyKentucky -13.5Kentucky50.0Over
202211/12Kentucky21Vanderbilt24VanderbiltKentucky -17.0Vanderbilt45.5Under
202111/13Vanderbilt17Kentucky34KentuckyKentucky -21.5Vanderbilt52.5Under
202011/14Kentucky38Vanderbilt35KentuckyKentucky -17.5Vanderbilt41.5Over
201911/16Vanderbilt14Kentucky38KentuckyKentucky -9Kentucky43.0Over
201810/20Kentucky14Vanderbilt7KentuckyKentucky -10.5Vanderbilt45.0Under
201711/11Vanderbilt21Kentucky44KentuckyVanderbilt -2.5Kentucky53.0Over
201610/08Kentucky20Vanderbilt13KentuckyKentucky -2Kentucky48.5Under
201511/14Vanderbilt21Kentucky17VanderbiltVanderbilt -2.5Vanderbilt41.5Under
201409/27Kentucky17Vanderbilt7KentuckyKentucky -14Vanderbilt0
201311/16Vanderbilt22Kentucky6VanderbiltVanderbilt -13.5Vanderbilt0
201211/03Kentucky0Vanderbilt40Vanderbilt
201111/12Vanderbilt38Kentucky8Vanderbilt
201011/13Kentucky38Vanderbilt20Kentucky
200911/14Vanderbilt13Kentucky24Kentucky
200811/15Kentucky24Vanderbilt31Vanderbilt
200711/10Vanderbilt20Kentucky27Kentucky
200611/11Kentucky38Vanderbilt26Kentucky
200511/12Vanderbilt43Kentucky48Kentucky
200411/13Kentucky14Vanderbilt13Kentucky
200311/15Vanderbilt28Kentucky17Vanderbilt
200111/10Vanderbilt30Kentucky56Kentucky
200011/10Kentucky20Vanderbilt24Vanderbilt
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt984 Overs
Kentucky1546 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 61 - 2
Road Teams13 - 118 - 42 - 16 - 3

(#52) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.54 #52
Offense Rating: 16.20 #54
Defense Rating: 10.66 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 876.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Kentucky Notes
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
(4/4) OG Joshua Braun a top G via PFF
(3/24) Portal DL Gusta (WSU)/Grace (S Dak) big
(3/22) Added 13 players that started LY via portal
(3/18) Portal QB Calzada (Inc Word/A&M) can sling
(3/18) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell (Neb) added
(3/18) WR rebuild, bad LY. 4 Portals. Big jump TY?
(3/18) OL rebuild 1/5 back, 5 portal adds. No clue
(3/18) Def good LY, new DE's. DB's OK LY, better TY?
(3/18) Tons of new faces, portals. Awful QB play LY
Kentucky     Ratings Matchup     Vanderbilt
Power #52
#41
Off #54
#32
Def #43
#53
Talent #25
#55
SP+ #43
#55
SP+ Off #79
#63
SP+ Def #31
#50

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Kentucky last year (20-13)
Kentucky beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (45-28)
Vanderbilt beat Kentucky in 2022 (24-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UK | VAN
Depth Chart: UK | VAN
Rosters: UK | VAN
(#41) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.845 #41
Offense Rating: 20.94 #32
Defense Rating: 11.95 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #50
Talent Rating: 768.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #48
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Vanderbilt Notes
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/26) Goal is to get back to bowl game TY
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
(5/15) WR Tre Richardson productive & KR @ Washburn
(5/11) 76% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/4) QB Pavia returns. Tough runner, decent passer
(4/4) TE Stowers #1 via PFF, WR returns options
(3/18) RB's bad LY, no portals. Any improvement?


  
Kentucky's OC Bush Hamdan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zach Calzada (Tr)31247166%34323297.3
Cutter Boley265349%338246.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan (Tr)15381335.338
Dante Dowdell (Tr)143614124.338
Jamarion Wilcox9259026.450
Zach Calzada (Tr)8323052.833
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javian Hester14315122.590
Jay Maclin13313424.183
Seth McGowan (Tr)23277312.043
Troy Stellato (Tr)26266110.234

View Kentucky's Full Roster
Kentucky's DC Brad White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landyn Watson (Tr)664030
Jordan Lovett631001
Alex Afari Jr.6211211
J.Q. Hardaway470003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Olds (Tr)427621
Alex Afari Jr.6211211
Sam Greene (Tr)153120
David Gusta (Tr)203163
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terhyon Nichols100005
David Gusta (Tr)203163
J.Q. Hardaway470003

Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia17729859%22932047.7
Eli Stowers1250%17108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia19380084.136
Sedrick Alexander16458663.631
AJ Newberry4118534.520
Chase Gillespie155103.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers49638513.041
Junior Sherrill29411314.243
Sedrick Alexander23238110.338
AJ Newberry7134219.153

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Steve Gregory
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Longwell888224
Langston Patterson785002
C.J. Heard (Tr)741001
Randon Fontenette728307
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi526600
Khordae Sydnor147422
Mason Nelson (Tr)319311
Randon Fontenette728307
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette728307
Bryan Longwell888224
Martel Hight332014