Vanderbilt at Alabama - 2022 Matchup Preview

Vanderbilt Commodores at Alabama Crimson Tide

Saturday, September 24th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -40.5 (61.0)
Alabama 55 - Vanderbilt: 3 (SEC)

Commodores (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VAN 2nd straight Road Game
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
VAN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -20 (SP+ ALA -35)
Projected Score: VAN: 26 - ALA: 29 (55)
ALA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 49%
VAN Travel: 207 miles

Crimson Tide (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Nick Saban (177 - 25)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Vanderbilt at Hawai'i	-9.5	54.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/3	Vanderbilt vs Elon	-18.5	51.5	W 42 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Vanderbilt vs Wake Forest	+13.5	65.5	L 25 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Vanderbilt at Northern Illinois	+2.5	58.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Vanderbilt at Alabama	+40.5	61.0	L 3 - 55	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss	+17.0	59.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/15	Vanderbilt at Georgia	+37.5	56.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 10/22	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+14.0	49.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+6.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/12	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+17.0	45.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Vanderbilt vs Florida	+14.0	58.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+14.0	63.5	L 0 - 56	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Alabama's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Alabama vs Utah State	-42.0	63.0	W 55 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Alabama at Texas	-21.0	64.0	W 20 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/17	Alabama vs UL Monroe	-49.5	68.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Alabama vs Vanderbilt	-40.5	61.0	W 55 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Alabama at Arkansas	-17.0	61.0	W 49 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Alabama vs Texas A&M	-24.0	48.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/15	Alabama at Tennessee	-9.0	68.0	L 49 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/22	Alabama vs Mississippi State	-21.5	61.5	W 30 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Alabama at LSU	-13.5	56.5	L 31 - 32	O	N
Sat 11/12	Alabama at Ole Miss	-11.0	65.5	W 30 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Alabama vs Austin Peay	-45.0	58.0	W 34 - 0	U	N
Sat 11/26	Alabama vs Auburn	-22.0	51.0	W 49 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/31	Alabama vs Kansas State	-8.0	58.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	.1	34%	38.5	35%	2.69	124	33%	189	3.31	.34	49%	22.8	49%	49%	4.37	42.3	1.6	1.3
ALA	.3	47%	29.5	49%	3.15	150	45%	338	4.53	.07	38%	19.2	37%	39%	3.89	66	0.9	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	12	38.5	33	33.7%	3.31	1.6	18	313	124	189	3.5	49%	51%	35%	33%	18%	.1
ALA Defense	15	19.2	11.4	38.2%	3.89	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	37%	39%	20%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	12	22.8	23	48.7%	4.37	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	49%	49%	15%	.34
ALA Offense	15	29.5	39.3	46.6%	4.53	0.9	24	488	150	338	4.1	43%	57%	49%	45%	15%	.3

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	12	30:53	17.6	32%	63%	5.5	42.3	1.6	1.3	4.3	0.8	0	24.6
Alabama	15	32:22	24.5	52%	53%	7.1	66	0.9	1.4	7.9	3.8	6	29

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	12	49%	35%	35.3	123.5	3.5	8	.06	2.69	70%	10%	1.07
ALA Defense	15	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.55	71%	14%	0.83

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	12	48%	49%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.5	68%	8%	1.06
ALA Offense	15	43%	49%	36.5	150	4.1	21	.14	3.15	76%	11%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	12	51%	33%	18.8	34	189.3	5.6	10.1	13	14	.15	1.7	36%	28%	.36	8%	2.1
ALA Defense	15	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.14	1.6	35%	25%	.15	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	12	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.41	1.5	30%	37%	.5	7%	2.1
ALA Offense	15	57%	45%	25.3	38.1	338.2	8.9	13.4	48	7	.42	1.8	31%	41%	.59	4%	2.2

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2022 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.7 #87
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #58
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #97

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: Alabama: 17.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -4.7 Alabama: 30.3

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 17.65 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2022 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 30.3 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.9 #8
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #12

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 29
Vanderbilt 26

Projected Total Points: 55

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Alabama	30	Vanderbilt	14	Alabama -13.5	Alabama	58.5	Under
2024	10/05	Vanderbilt	40	Alabama	35	Alabama -23.5	Vanderbilt	53.5	Over
2022	09/24	Alabama	55	Vanderbilt	3	Alabama -40.5	Alabama	61.0	Under
2017	09/23	Vanderbilt	0	Alabama	59	Alabama -20	Alabama	42.5	Over
2011	10/08	Alabama	34	Vanderbilt	0
2007	09/08	Vanderbilt	10	Alabama	24
2006	09/09	Alabama	13	Vanderbilt	10
2002	11/02	Vanderbilt	8	Alabama	30
2001	09/08	Vanderbilt	9	Alabama	12
2000	09/08	Alabama	28	Vanderbilt	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	9	3	2 Overs
Vanderbilt	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 6	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 2

(#) VAN at (#) ALA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VAN	ALA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#4
Perf GradeGrade	#131	#6
OffenseOff	#118	#13
DefenseDef	#131	#6
Spec TeamsST	#91	#31
TalentTal	#57	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Alabama Injury Report

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	ALA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#6
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	#79	#6
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#124	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#8

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	#122	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#96	#12
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	ALA Off	VAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#13	#131
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#8	#97
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#28	#121
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#18	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#126

Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#10	#120
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#6	#136
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'22 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Alabama -40.5 (61.0)
Alabama won vs Vanderbilt this year (55-3)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Vanderbilt last year (30-14)
Vanderbilt beat Alabama in 2024 (40-35)

VAN's OC Joey Lynch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Nick Howell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ALA's OC Bill O'Brien (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Pete Golding (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD