Vanderbilt at Missouri - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#20)Vanderbilt Commodores at Missouri Tigers(#23)

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (4:15 PM EDT)
Missouri -17.5 (52.0) (-950) Open: 0.0
Missouri 30 - Vanderbilt: 27 (SEC)

Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (23 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VAN 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ 4th straight Home Game
MIZ is playing their 4th straight game
VAN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -11.5 (SP+ MIZ -9)
Projected Score: VAN: 20 - MIZ: 32 (52)
MIZ Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
VAN Travel: 359 miles

Tigers (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (28 - 21)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	53.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State	-32.5	47.5	W 55 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Vanderbilt at Georgia State	-8.5	45.5	L 32 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/21	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+17.5	52.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Vanderbilt vs Alabama	+23.5	53.5	W 40 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+12.5	44.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Vanderbilt vs Ball State	-27.5	57.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/26	Vanderbilt vs Texas	+17.0	50.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Vanderbilt at Auburn	+7.5	48.0	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+6.0	44.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Vanderbilt at LSU	+10.0	53.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+9.5	45.5	L 23 - 36	O	N
Fri 12/27	Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Missouri's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Missouri vs Murray State	-50.5	62.5	W 51 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Missouri vs Buffalo	-34.5	53.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Missouri vs Boston College	-14.5	51.5	W 27 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/21	Missouri vs Vanderbilt	-17.5	52.0	W 30 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Missouri at Texas A&M	+3.0	47.5	L 10 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/12	Missouri at Massachusetts	-27.0	54.0	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Missouri vs Auburn	-3.5	49.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Missouri at Alabama	+16.0	51.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Missouri vs Oklahoma	+3.5	41.5	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Missouri at South Carolina	+10.5	42.5	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Missouri at Mississippi State	-9.5	58.0	W 39 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Missouri vs Arkansas	-3.5	51.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Mon 12/30	Missouri vs Iowa	-1.0	41.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)	27.3	42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)	23.4	46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1
MIZ	#70 (.19)	44% (54)	28.9	47% (28)	3.04 (67)	159	41% (80)	202	3.91 (68)	#32 (.11)	41% (54)	20.4	42% (57)	39% (56)	3.38 (28)	46	0.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)		42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)		46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1
MIZ	#70 (.19)	44% (54)		47% (28)	3.04 (67)	159	41% (80)	202	3.91 (68)	#32 (.11)	41% (54)		42% (57)	39% (56)	3.38 (28)	46	0.7	1.2

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	13	27.3	22.6	42.2%	4.25	0.5	17	295	129	166	3.9	58%	42%	42%	43%	15%	.17
MIZ Defense	13	20.4	15.6	40.6%	3.38	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	42%	39%	18%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	13	23.4	22	46.9%	4.22	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	46%	48%	16%	.25
MIZ Offense	13	28.9	32.1	44%	3.91	0.7	19	361	159	202	4.3	53%	47%	47%	41%	11%	.19

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	13	28:39	16.6	44%	54%	5	48.3	0.5	1.1	4.8	1.7	4	31.3
Missouri	13	30:28	19.5	47%	53%	5.2	46	0.7	1.2	5	1.9	2	31

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	13	58% (18)	42% (93)	33.1	129.2	3.9	16 (90)	.06 (104)	2.8 (105)	83% (10)	8% (41)	0.87 (116)
MIZ Defense	13	53% (91)	42% (57)	-	-	-	-	.01 (18)	2.75 (29)	73% (64)	12% (22)	0.92 (43)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	13	49% (47)	46% (96)	-	-	-	-	.12 (70)	2.98 (62)	77% (88)	10% (76)	0.89 (30)
MIZ Offense	13	53% (48)	47% (28)	37.1	158.7	4.3	25 (41)	.12 (73)	3.04 (67)	79% (26)	8% (31)	0.9 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	13	42% (115)	43% (53)	12.8	21.8	166.3	7.6	13	18 (68)	4 (1)	.33 (33)	1.7 (37)	33% (108)	31% (74)	.32 (75)	7% (96)	2.1 (64)
MIZ Defense	13	47% (47)	39% (56)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.23 (65)	1.6 (70)	32% (61)	27% (20)	.2 (27)	6% (54)	2 (65)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	13	51% (90)	48% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.37 (120)	1.5 (33)	29% (111)	36% (122)	.45 (117)	7% (48)	2.1 (72)
MIZ Offense	13	47% (85)	41% (80)	17.8	28.5	202.2	7.1	11.4	12 (118)	5 (6)	.26 (66)	1.6 (69)	30% (49)	33% (52)	.39 (44)	4% (10)	2.1 (49)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 2.99 #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 2.99 Missouri: 15.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 4.9 Missouri: 14.0

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 15.405 #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Missouri's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Missouri's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 32
Vanderbilt 20

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 33
Vanderbilt 22

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 27
Vanderbilt 22

Total Points: 49

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Missouri's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri	10	Vanderbilt -3	Vanderbilt	52.5	Under
2024	09/21	Missouri	30	Vanderbilt	27	Missouri -17.5	Vanderbilt	52.0	Over
2023	09/30	Vanderbilt	21	Missouri	38	Missouri -14	Missouri	53.5	Over
2022	10/22	Missouri	17	Vanderbilt	14	Missouri -14	Vanderbilt	49.0	Under
2021	10/30	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri	37	Missouri -16	Vanderbilt	62.5	Over
2020	11/28	Missouri	41	Vanderbilt	0	Vanderbilt -2	Missouri	52.5	Under
2019	10/19	Vanderbilt	21	Missouri	14	Missouri -21	Vanderbilt	56.5	Under
2018	11/10	Missouri	33	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri -13.5	Vanderbilt	65.0	Under
2017	11/18	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri	45	Missouri -8.5	Missouri	65.0	Under
2016	11/12	Missouri	26	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri -1	Missouri	53.0	Under
2015	10/24	Vanderbilt	10	Missouri	3	Missouri -2	Vanderbilt	34.0	Under
2014	10/25	Missouri	24	Vanderbilt	14	Missouri -24	Vanderbilt	0
2013	10/05	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri	51	Vanderbilt -2.5	Missouri	0
2012	10/06	Missouri	15	Vanderbilt	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	10	5	3 Overs
Vanderbilt	4	8	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	6 - 7	2 - 5	4 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 9	7 - 6	2 - 4	5 - 2

(#49) VAN at (#26) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VAN	MIZ
Power RatePwr	#49	#26
SP+SP+	#50	#19
Perf GradeGrade	#81	#24
OffenseOff	#77	#26
DefenseDef	#100	#37
Spec TeamsST	#59	#12
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#23

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Missouri Notes(11/30) 3-1 finish. Even w/ Ark, forced 2 TOs, good 3rd Def
(11/24) Off OK vs Miss St, Def held 2-10 on 3rd downs
(11/18) Cook nearly beat SC, Run Def great, Pass D WTF?
(11/13) Off bad, Def good, great Pyne drive beat OU
(11/12) C Tollison (top in CFB) out for season
(10/27) Off is broken, all stats < '23. Cook/Rgame bad
(10/23) QB Brady Cook doubtful for Bama game (ankle)
(10/23) RB Noel doubtful for Bama game
(10/22) Def stop rate is 72% (#20) into Bama game
(10/19) Rallied (Aub), Off was bad but clutch. Def held
(10/18) 2ndary getting cooked, repeatedly & big plays
(10/7) Killed by A&M. Cook, RB, Def all awful. Shocking
Missouri Injury Report

Vanderbilt on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	MIZ Def
Perf GradePerf	#77	#37
SuccessSuc	#75	#54
ExplosiveExp	#108	#51
PPAPPA	#76	#32
PowerPwr	#75	#33
SP+SP+	#60	#20
Pts POPPO	#34	#28
HavocHav	#52	#32

Vanderbilt Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	#81	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	#93	#57
Run ExplRExp	#116	#43
PPAExp	#104	#18
Run BlockR Blk	#107	-
OL YdsOLY	#105	#29
Stuff RateStuff	#117	#46
TackleTak	-	#52

Vanderbilt Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#16	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	#53	#56
Pass ExplPExl	#37	#70
PPAExp	#33	#65
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#127	#34
F7 HavocF7	#41	#22
DB HavocDB	#96	#54

Missouri on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	VAN Def
Perf GradePerf	#26	#100
SuccessSuc	#54	#121
ExplosiveExp	#114	#38
PPAPPA	#70	#111
PowerPwr	#55	#91
SP+SP+	#23	#59
Pts POPPO	#68	#109
HavocHav	#9	#65

Missouri Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#53	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	#28	#96
Run ExplRExp	#100	#30
PPAExp	#73	#70
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	#67	#62
Stuff RateStuff	#25	#39
TackleTak	-	#105

Missouri Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	#80	#125
Pass ExplPExl	#69	#33
PPAExp	#66	#120
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#29	#107
F7 HavocF7	#31	#76
DB HavocDB	#10	#48

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 76° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Missouri -17.5 (52.0)
Missouri won vs Vanderbilt this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Vanderbilt last year (30-27)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-21)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (17-14)

VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)	177	298	59%	2293	20	4	7.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)	1	3	33%	12	0	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)	193	800	8	4.1	36
Sedrick Alexander	164	586	6	3.6	31
AJ Newberry	41	185	3	4.5	20
Nate Johnson (Tr)	11	114	1	10.4	56

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)	49	638	5	13.0	41
Junior Sherrill	29	411	3	14.2	43
Quincy Skinner Jr.	29	367	3	12.7	63
Sedrick Alexander	23	238	1	10.3	38

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Clark Lea (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Longwell	88	8	2	2	4
Langston Patterson	78	5	0	0	2
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
CJ Taylor	64	3	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nicholas Rinaldi	52	6	6	0	0
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)	14	7	4	2	2
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
Miles Capers	45	8	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
Bryan Longwell	88	8	2	2	4
Martel Hight	33	2	0	1	4

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brady Cook	200	320	63%	2525	11	2	7.9
Drew Pyne (Tr)	49	82	60%	391	3	3	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Noel (Tr)	163	818	3	5.0	64
Marcus Carroll (Tr)	140	595	12	4.3	35
Brady Cook	87	223	5	2.6	31
Jamal Roberts	53	216	3	4.1	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Theo Wease	60	884	4	14.7	70
Luther Burden III	60	666	6	11.1	44
Marquis Johnson	25	352	1	14.1	49
Brett Norfleet	26	235	2	9.0	36

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Corey Flagg Jr.	81	5	1	1	0
Triston Newson	72	7	2	4	1
Marvin Burks Jr.	66	2	0	0	2
Daylan Carnell	51	5	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Walker	43	13	10	4	1
Zion Young (Tr)	41	6	3	5	3
Chris McClellan (Tr)	39	6	3	3	2
Khalil Jacobs (Tr)	12	3	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Daylan Carnell	51	5	6
Joseph Charleston	44	2	4
Nicholas Deloach Jr.	23	1	4