Vanderbilt at South Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview
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Vanderbilt Commodores at South Carolina Gamecocks

South Carolina logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
South Carolina -13.5 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
South Carolina 47 - Vanderbilt: 6  (SEC)

 
Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 19)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SC 2nd straight Home Game
SC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: South Carolina -17.5  (SP+ SC -17)
Projected Score: VAN: 18 - SC: 35 (53)
SC Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
VAN Travel: 360 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gamecocks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (16 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 22 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#92)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i-17.0W35–2854.5W35–28ON
Sat 9/2Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M-35.0W47–1353.5W47–13ON
Sat 9/9Vanderbilt at Wake Forest+9.5L20–3655.0L20–36ON
Sat 9/16Vanderbilt at UNLV-4.5L37–4056.5L37–40ON
Sat 9/23Vanderbilt vs Kentucky+13.5L28–4550.0L28–45ON
Sat 9/30Vanderbilt vs Missouri+14.0L21–3853.5L21–38ON
Sat 10/7Vanderbilt at Florida+18.0L14–3851.0L14–38ON
Sat 10/14Vanderbilt vs Georgia+32.5L20–3755.0L20–37OY
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/28Vanderbilt at Ole Miss+24.0L7–3362.0L7–33UN
Sat 11/4Vanderbilt vs Auburn+12.5L15–3150.0L15–31UN
Sat 11/11Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13.5L6–4753.5L6–47UN
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/25Vanderbilt at Tennessee+27.0L24–4858.0L24–48OY
Record: 2–10ATS: 2–10O/U: 9–3Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
South Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2South Carolina vs North Carolina-2.5L17–3163.5L17–31UN
Sat 9/9South Carolina vs Furman-18.0W47–2152.5W47–21OY
Sat 9/16South Carolina at Georgia+27.0L14–2454.5L14–24UY
Sat 9/23South Carolina vs Mississippi State-6.0W37–3046.5W37–30OY
Sat 9/30South Carolina at Tennessee+12.0L20–4159.0L20–41ON
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/14South Carolina vs Florida+1.0L39–4150.0L39–41ON
Sat 10/21South Carolina at Missouri+7.5L12–3457.5L12–34UN
Sat 10/28South Carolina at Texas A&M+17.0L17–3051.5L17–30UY
Sat 11/4South Carolina vs Jacksonville State-15.5W38–2855.0W38–28ON
Sat 11/11South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-13.5W47–653.5W47–6UY
Sat 11/18South Carolina vs Kentucky-2.5W17–1452.5W17–14UY
Sat 11/25South Carolina vs Clemson+7.5L7–1648.0L7–16UN
Record: 5–7ATS: 6–6O/U: 5–7Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN.1640%38.540%2.9816042%1873.73.3145%22.842%49%4.1446.11.31.8
SC.2342%22.743%2.912041%2604.54.1945%22.152%39%4.1262.62.12
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1238.53340.3%3.731.3183471601874.356%43%40%42%18%.16
SC Defense1322.120.645.5%4.122 - - - - - 53%46%52%39%16%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1222.82345.5%4.141.8 - - - - - 48%52%42%49%15%.31
SC Offense1322.724.941.6%4.542.1193801202603.846%54%43%41%19%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1231:3617.537%38%5.346.11.31.84.71.4028.8
South Carolina1328:4018.939%62%6.862.62.124.31.5530.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1256%40%37.1159.94.313.12.9873%10%1
SC Defense1353%52% - - - - .263.4885%8%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1248%42% - - - - .083.2454%9%1.07
SC Offense1346%43%31.5119.63.827.152.968%14%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1243%42%16.728.8187.36.511.2226.291.733%27%.328%2.3
SC Defense1346%39% - - - - - - 15.191.630%34%.48%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1252%49% - - - - - - 6.551.729%33%.495%2.3
SC Offense1354%41%21.632.2259.98.1122314.321.832%32%.485%2.4

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -11.51  #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08  #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21  #124
2023 Talent Rating: 856.00  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7  #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 617.61

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -11.51   South Carolina: 4.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -13.7   South Carolina: 3.4




South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 4.905  #56
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.50  #66
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 11.58  #94
2023 Talent Rating: 852.00  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 35  #22
South Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 6.70
South Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4  #54
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #58
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 617.61


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
South Carolina 35
Vanderbilt 18

Projected Total Points: 53
South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

South Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13South Carolina7Vanderbilt31South Carolina -3Vanderbilt48.5Under
202411/09Vanderbilt7South Carolina28South Carolina -6.0South Carolina44.5Under
202311/11South Carolina47Vanderbilt6South Carolina -13.5South Carolina53.5Under
202211/05Vanderbilt27South Carolina38South Carolina -6.5South Carolina49.0Over
202110/16South Carolina21Vanderbilt20South Carolina -19Vanderbilt50.0Under
202010/10Vanderbilt7South Carolina41South Carolina -14.0South Carolina40.5Over
201911/02South Carolina24Vanderbilt7South Carolina -15South Carolina51.0Under
201809/22Vanderbilt14South Carolina37South Carolina -1.5South Carolina53.5Under
201710/28South Carolina34Vanderbilt27South Carolina -7Push42.5Over
201609/01Vanderbilt10South Carolina13South Carolina -4Vanderbilt40.5Under
201510/17South Carolina19Vanderbilt10South Carolina -7South Carolina46.0Under
201409/20Vanderbilt34South Carolina48South Carolina -20.5Vanderbilt0
201309/14South Carolina35Vanderbilt25South Carolina -12.5Vanderbilt0
201208/30Vanderbilt13South Carolina17
201109/24South Carolina21Vanderbilt3
201010/23Vanderbilt7South Carolina21
200910/24South Carolina14Vanderbilt10
200809/04Vanderbilt24South Carolina17
200710/20South Carolina6Vanderbilt17
200610/21Vanderbilt13South Carolina31
200510/22South Carolina35Vanderbilt28
200409/04Vanderbilt6South Carolina31
200310/25South Carolina35Vanderbilt24
200209/28Vanderbilt14South Carolina20
200110/20South Carolina46Vanderbilt14
200010/20Vanderbilt14South Carolina30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Carolina2373 Overs
Vanderbilt358 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 145 - 73 - 32 - 4
Road Teams14 - 127 - 54 - 23 - 3

(#122) VAN at (#56) SC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVANSC
Game ControlGC #122 #68
Momentum ControlMC #137 #106
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #122 #56
SP+SP+ #113 #54
Perf GradeGrade #129 #94
OffenseOff #116 #97
DefenseDef #126 #95
Spec TeamsST #115 #93
TalentTal #19 #20
Blue ChipsBC% #57 #22
Vanderbilt on Offense
CategoryCat
VAN OffSC Def
Game ControlGC #125 #73
Momentum ControlMC #110 #120
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #116 #95
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #122 #94
SP+SP+ #84 #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Vanderbilt Run Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffSC Def
Run GameRun #104 #87
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #112 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #24
Vanderbilt Pass Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #103 #109
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #122 #45
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatSC OffVAN Def
Game ControlGC #65 #119
Momentum ControlMC #52 #137
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #97 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #66 #124
SP+SP+ #58 #125
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
SC OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #102 #105
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #123 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
South Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatSC OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #45 #121
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #107 #124
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

VAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
South Carolina -13.5 (53.5)
South Carolina won vs Vanderbilt this year (47-6)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat South Carolina last year (31-7)
South Carolina beat Vanderbilt in 2024 (28-7)
South Carolina beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (47-6)

  
VAN's OC Joey Lynch (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann10619654%14181277.2
Ken Seals10617959%12181146.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sedrick Alexander9637043.927
Patrick Smith7932724.140
Jayden McGowan1910805.718
Walter Taylor3010213.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Sheppard47684814.685
London Humphreys22439420.056
Jayden McGowan36383010.650
Junior Sherrill20293314.752

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Nick Howell (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Langston Patterson748120
Jaylen Mahoney591006
CJ Taylor558313
Ethan Barr543111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Clifton308641
CJ Taylor558313
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)336330
Kane Patterson436201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Mahoney591006
Trudell Berry211004
BJ Anderson80003

SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Spencer Rattler27539969%31861988.0
Lanorris Sellers44100%862021.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Anderson14370734.975
Dakereon Joyner5012052.416
Spencer Rattler9810241.028
Juju McDowell266322.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Legette711255717.776
Trey Knox (Tr)3731228.422
Ahmarean Brown26265110.244
Joshua Simon (Tr)2825629.133

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Debo Williams1139122
Jalon Kilgore762006
DQ Smith732102
Nick Emmanwori710018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Strachan208521
T.J. Sanders4310544
Tyreek Johnson164320
Bam Martin-Scott384221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcellas Dial3621010
Nick Emmanwori710018
Tonka Hemingway325267