Vanderbilt at Ole Miss - 2021 Matchup Preview

Vanderbilt Commodores at Ole Miss Rebels

Saturday, November 20th 2021 (7:30 PM EST)
Ole Miss -35.5 (66.5)
Ole Miss 31 - Vanderbilt: 17 (SEC)

Commodores (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS 3rd straight Home Game
MISS is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -19.5 (SP+ MISS -34)
Projected Score: VAN: 27 - MISS: 31 (58)
MISS Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%
VAN Travel: 197 miles

Rebels (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Vanderbilt vs East Tennessee State	-21.0	45.0	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/11	Vanderbilt at Colorado State	+6.5	52.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Vanderbilt vs Stanford	+13.0	49.0	L 23 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/25	Vanderbilt vs Georgia	+36.0	54.5	L 0 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/2	Vanderbilt vs UConn	-14.5	51.5	W 30 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/9	Vanderbilt at Florida	+39.0	60.5	L 0 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/16	Vanderbilt at South Carolina	+19.0	50.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Vanderbilt vs Mississippi State	+21.0	53.0	L 6 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/30	Vanderbilt vs Missouri	+16.0	62.5	L 28 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Vanderbilt vs Kentucky	+21.5	52.5	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Vanderbilt at Ole Miss	+35.5	66.5	L 17 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Vanderbilt at Tennessee	+33.0	65.0	L 21 - 45	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/6	Ole Miss vs Louisville	-9.0	74.5	W 43 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Ole Miss vs Austin Peay	-37.0	69.5	W 54 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/18	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-14.0	77.0	W 61 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	Ole Miss at Alabama	+15.0	79.5	L 21 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/9	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-5.0	67.0	W 52 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/16	Ole Miss at Tennessee	-1.0	82.0	W 31 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Ole Miss vs LSU	-9.0	76.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Ole Miss at Auburn	+3.0	67.5	L 20 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	Ole Miss vs Liberty	-7.5	66.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	+1.0	57.5	W 29 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-35.5	66.5	W 31 - 17	U	N
Thu 11/25	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	+2.5	65.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Ole Miss vs Baylor	-1.0	60.5	L 7 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	.07	39%	38.5	36%	2.6	109	41%	220	2.43	.39	54%	22.8	51%	56%	4.05	38.1	1.9	1.1
MISS	.31	48%	36.9	45%	2.92	212	52%	345	4.21	.33	51%	21.1	53%	49%	4.3	51.6	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	9	38.5	33	38.7%	2.43	1.9	20	329	109	220	3	50%	50%	36%	41%	18%	.07
MISS Defense	10	21.1	15.6	50.6%	4.3	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	53%	49%	13%	.33

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	9	22.8	23	53.9%	4.05	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	51%	56%	12%	.39
MISS Offense	10	36.9	39	47.9%	4.21	1.8	28	557	212	345	4.6	55%	45%	45%	52%	14%	.31

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	9	29:40	20	40%	60%	4.7	38.1	1.9	1.1	3.7	1.4	0	25.6
Ole Miss	10	27:50	27.6	50%	67%	6	51.6	1.8	1.3	4.7	1.6	0	28.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	9	50%	36%	36.7	108.9	3	4	-.03	2.6	73%	12%	0.77
MISS Defense	10	49%	53%	-	-	-	-	.29	3.27	74%	8%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	9	43%	51%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.23	74%	7%	1
MISS Offense	10	55%	45%	46.1	211.6	4.6	23	.21	2.92	65%	10%	1.12

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	9	50%	41%	21.3	33.3	219.9	6.6	10.3	13	11	.18	1.5	33%	27%	.21	6%	1.8
MISS Defense	10	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.36	1.4	27%	39%	.49	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	9	57%	56%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.51	1.4	27%	36%	.44	5%	2
MISS Offense	10	45%	52%	23.8	33.5	345	10.3	14.5	30	14	.43	1.7	27%	42%	.67	4%	2.2

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2021 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.4 #123
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #125
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #116

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: Ole Miss: 9.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -19.4 Ole Miss: 14.8

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 9.9 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 #17
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 31
Vanderbilt 27

Projected Total Points: 58

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Ole Miss	33	Vanderbilt	7	Ole Miss -24	Ole Miss	62.0	Under
2022	10/08	Vanderbilt	28	Ole Miss	52	Ole Miss -17	Ole Miss	59.5	Over
2021	11/20	Ole Miss	31	Vanderbilt	17	Ole Miss -35.5	Vanderbilt	66.5	Under
2020	10/31	Vanderbilt	21	Ole Miss	54	Ole Miss -18.0	Ole Miss	0
2019	10/05	Ole Miss	31	Vanderbilt	6	Ole Miss -6.5	Ole Miss	63.5	Under
2018	11/17	Vanderbilt	36	Ole Miss	29	Vanderbilt -3	Vanderbilt	72.5	Under
2017	10/14	Ole Miss	57	Vanderbilt	35	Ole Miss -3.5	Ole Miss	56.5	Over
2016	11/19	Vanderbilt	38	Ole Miss	17	Ole Miss -9.5	Vanderbilt	50.0	Over
2015	09/26	Ole Miss	27	Vanderbilt	16	Ole Miss -28	Vanderbilt	53.5	Under
2014	09/06	Vanderbilt	3	Ole Miss	41	Ole Miss -14	Ole Miss	0
2013	08/29	Vanderbilt	35	Ole Miss	39	Vanderbilt -1.5	Ole Miss	0
2012	11/10	Ole Miss	26	Vanderbilt	27
2011	09/17	Vanderbilt	30	Ole Miss	7
2010	09/18	Ole Miss	14	Vanderbilt	28
2009	10/03	Vanderbilt	7	Ole Miss	23
2008	09/20	Ole Miss	17	Vanderbilt	23
2007	09/15	Vanderbilt	31	Ole Miss	17
2006	10/07	Ole Miss	17	Vanderbilt	10
2005	09/17	Vanderbilt	31	Ole Miss	23
2004	09/18	Ole Miss	26	Vanderbilt	23
2003	08/30	Vanderbilt	21	Ole Miss	24
2002	09/21	Ole Miss	45	Vanderbilt	38
2001	12/01	Ole Miss	38	Vanderbilt	27
2000	09/15	Vanderbilt	7	Ole Miss	12

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	16	7	3 Overs
Vanderbilt	8	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	5 - 6	4 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 14	6 - 5	3 - 1	3 - 4

(#) VAN at (#) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VAN	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#17
Perf GradeGrade	#131	#65
OffenseOff	#127	#51
DefenseDef	#121	#77
Spec TeamsST	#125	#58
TalentTal	#57	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#77
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#125	#36
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#97	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#84

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#129	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#121	#43
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	VAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#51	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#30	#116
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#118

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#111
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#41	#133
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

VAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 52° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Ole Miss -35.5 (66.5)
Ole Miss won vs Vanderbilt this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (33-7)

VAN's OC David Raih (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Jesse Minter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MISS's OC Jeff Lebby (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD