Kentucky at Vanderbilt Game Matchup
Kentucky logo Kentucky Wildcats at Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -13.5 (50.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Kentucky 45 - Vanderbilt: 28  (SEC)

 
Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VAN is playing their 4th straight game
UK is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Kentucky -16.5   (SP+ UK -23)
Projected Score: UK: 33 - VAN: 17 (47)
UK Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
UK Travel: 182 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kentucky vs Ball State-25.049.0W 44 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-35.062.5W 28 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Kentucky vs Akron-25.048.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-13.550.0W 45 - 28OY
Sat 9/30 Kentucky vs Florida-1.044.0W 33 - 14OY
Sat 10/7 Kentucky at Georgia+14.547.0L 13 - 51ON
Sat 10/14 Kentucky vs Missouri-1.550.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kentucky vs Tennessee+4.050.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Kentucky at Mississippi State-5.544.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/11 Kentucky vs Alabama+10.045.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/18 Kentucky at South Carolina+2.552.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 11/25 Kentucky at Louisville+7.547.5W 38 - 31OY
Fri 12/29 Kentucky vs Clemson+3.544.5L 35 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i-17.054.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 9/2 Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M-35.053.5W 47 - 13ON
Sat 9/9 Vanderbilt at Wake Forest+9.555.0L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/16 Vanderbilt at UNLV-4.556.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky+13.550.0L 28 - 45ON
Sat 9/30 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+14.053.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/7 Vanderbilt at Florida+18.051.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 10/14 Vanderbilt vs Georgia+32.555.0L 20 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Vanderbilt at Ole Miss+24.062.0L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/4 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+12.550.0L 15 - 31UN
Sat 11/11 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13.553.5L 6 - 47UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+27.058.0L 24 - 48OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK.1140%20.643%311637%2083.23.0737%22.138%37%3.1539.51.51.5
VAN.1640%27.340%2.9816042%1873.73.3145%23.442%49%4.1446.11.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense1320.61839.8%3.231.5183251162083.351%48%43%37%18%.11
VAN Defense1223.423.945.5%4.141.8 - - - - - 48%52%42%49%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Defense1322.13137.2%3.151.5 - - - - - 54%46%38%37%14%.07
VAN Offense1227.329.640.3%3.731.3183471601874.356%43%40%42%18%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1333:0817.634%62%5.739.51.51.541.5227.5
Vanderbilt1231:3617.537%38%5.346.11.31.84.71.4028.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1351%43%35.6116.23.39.05365%13%0.78
VAN Defense1248%42% - - - - .083.2454%9%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Defense1354%38% - - - - .062.9162%8%1
VAN Offense1256%40%37.1159.94.313.12.9873%10%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1348%37%17.226.8208.57.812.12113.231.934%28%.226%2
VAN Defense1252%49% - - - - - - 6.551.729%33%.495%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Defense1346%37% - - - - - - 10.141.534%26%.186%2.1
VAN Offense1243%42%16.728.8187.36.511.2226.291.733%27%.328%2.3

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 3.64 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37% #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 3.64   Vanderbilt: -10.105

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 9.3   Vanderbilt: -13.7




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -10.105 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 33
Vanderbilt 17

Projected Total Points: 47
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Kentucky13Vanderbilt20VanderbiltKentucky -12.5Vanderbilt44.5Under
202309/23Vanderbilt28Kentucky45KentuckyKentucky -13.5Kentucky50.0Over
202211/12Kentucky21Vanderbilt24VanderbiltKentucky -17.0Vanderbilt45.5Under
202111/13Vanderbilt17Kentucky34KentuckyKentucky -21.5Vanderbilt52.5Under
202011/14Kentucky38Vanderbilt35KentuckyKentucky -17.5Vanderbilt41.5Over
201911/16Vanderbilt14Kentucky38KentuckyKentucky -9Kentucky43.0Over
201810/20Kentucky14Vanderbilt7KentuckyKentucky -10.5Vanderbilt45.0Under
201711/11Vanderbilt21Kentucky44KentuckyVanderbilt -2.5Kentucky53.0Over
201610/08Kentucky20Vanderbilt13KentuckyKentucky -2Kentucky48.5Under
201511/14Vanderbilt21Kentucky17VanderbiltVanderbilt -2.5Vanderbilt41.5Under
201409/27Kentucky17Vanderbilt7KentuckyKentucky -14Vanderbilt0
201311/16Vanderbilt22Kentucky6VanderbiltVanderbilt -13.5Vanderbilt0
201211/03Kentucky0Vanderbilt40Vanderbilt
201111/12Vanderbilt38Kentucky8Vanderbilt
201011/13Kentucky38Vanderbilt20Kentucky
200911/14Vanderbilt13Kentucky24Kentucky
200811/15Kentucky24Vanderbilt31Vanderbilt
200711/10Vanderbilt20Kentucky27Kentucky
200611/11Kentucky38Vanderbilt26Kentucky
200511/12Vanderbilt43Kentucky48Kentucky
200411/13Kentucky14Vanderbilt13Kentucky
200311/15Vanderbilt28Kentucky17Vanderbilt
200111/10Vanderbilt30Kentucky56Kentucky
200011/10Kentucky20Vanderbilt24Vanderbilt
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt984 Overs
Kentucky1546 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 61 - 2
Road Teams13 - 118 - 42 - 16 - 3

(#43) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.64 #43
Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37% #20
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile






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Kentucky     Ratings Matchup     Vanderbilt
Power #43
#122
Off #60
#122
Def #72
#124
Talent #25
#19
SP+ #31
#113
SP+ Off #44
#84
SP+ Def #33
#125

Rematch from Week 4
Kentucky 13.5 (50.0)
Kentucky won at Vanderbilt this year (45-28)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Kentucky last year (20-13)
Kentucky beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (45-28)
Vanderbilt beat Kentucky in 2022 (24-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 82° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UK | VAN
Depth Chart: UK | VAN
Rosters: UK | VAN
(#122) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.105 #122
Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20

Team Profile






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Kentucky's OC Liam Coen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deuce Hogan61833%31021.7
Wilson Berry010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demie Sumo12958654.522
Deuce Hogan4-30-0.813
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Demie Sumo2015407.718
Shamar Porter6113318.839
Izayah Cummings333011.019
Ardell Banks220010.013

View Kentucky's Full Roster
Kentucky's DC Brad White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zion Childress556162
Deone Walker375202
Tre'Vonn Rybka345321
Elijah Reed322014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaten Wade207410
J.J. Weaver317441
Tre'Vonn Rybka345321
Octavious Oxendine205330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Reed322014
Maxwell Hairston191104
D'Eryk Jackson324103

Vanderbilt's OC Joey Lynch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
AJ Swann2450%10002.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quincy Skinner Jr.122022.022
Jayden McGowan21306.57
Ken Seals41203.07
Landon Wells1-20-2.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Sheppard48621612.947
Quincy Skinner Jr.29367312.763
London Humphreys15244216.340
Logan Kyle11132112.030

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Barr723022
CJ Taylor643013
John Howse IV514101
De'Rickey Wright471002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)233212
John Howse IV514101
Nate Clifton212102
Ethan Barr723022
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Taylor643013
Ethan Barr723022
De'Rickey Wright471002