Kentucky at Vanderbilt - 2023 Matchup Preview
Kentucky logo Kentucky Wildcats at Vanderbilt Commodores(#20)Vanderbilt logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -13.5 (50.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Kentucky 45 - Vanderbilt: 28  (SEC)

 
Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (27 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VAN is playing their 4th straight game
UK is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Kentucky -16.5   (SP+ UK -23)
Projected Score: UK: 35 - VAN: 18 (53)
UK Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
UK Travel: 182 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (28 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kentucky vs Ball State-25.049.0W 44 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-35.062.5W 28 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Kentucky vs Akron-25.048.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-13.550.0W 45 - 28OY
Sat 9/30 Kentucky vs Florida-1.044.0W 33 - 14OY
Sat 10/7 Kentucky at Georgia+14.547.0L 13 - 51ON
Sat 10/14 Kentucky vs Missouri-1.550.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kentucky vs Tennessee+4.050.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Kentucky at Mississippi State-5.544.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/11 Kentucky vs Alabama+10.045.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/18 Kentucky at South Carolina+2.552.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 11/25 Kentucky at Louisville+7.547.5W 38 - 31OY
Fri 12/29 Kentucky vs Clemson+3.544.5L 35 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i-17.054.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 9/2 Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M-35.053.5W 47 - 13ON
Sat 9/9 Vanderbilt at Wake Forest+9.555.0L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/16 Vanderbilt at UNLV-4.556.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky+13.550.0L 28 - 45ON
Sat 9/30 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+14.053.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/7 Vanderbilt at Florida+18.051.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 10/14 Vanderbilt vs Georgia+32.555.0L 20 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Vanderbilt at Ole Miss+24.062.0L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/4 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+12.550.0L 15 - 31UN
Sat 11/11 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13.553.5L 6 - 47UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+27.058.0L 24 - 48OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK#49 (.22)40% (93)29.141% (88)2.79 (118)12840% (83)2124.46 (23)#50 (.16)43% (87)25.842% (56)45% (116)3.95 (84)50.81.51.4
VAN#127 (.05)36% (123)22.837% (124)2.92 (103)9537% (109)2234.09 (50)#131 (.33)45% (106)36.242% (59)48% (131)4.11 (98)42.51.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense1329.126.840%4.461.5173391282124.943%55%41%40%18%.22
VAN Defense1236.23244.8%4.111.3 - - - - - 47%52%42%48%15%.33
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Defense1325.82643.3%3.951.4 - - - - - 48%51%42%45%14%.16
VAN Offense1222.827.736.4%4.091.717319952233.342%56%37%37%22%.05

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1327:3416.938%20%6.150.81.51.45.52629.3
Vanderbilt1228:461733%30%4.942.51.71.35.41.8329.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1343% (108)41% (88)26.1127.74.918 (77).15 (71)2.79 (118)68% (106)11% (79)1.12 (17)
VAN Defense1247% (28)42% (59) - - - - .25 (119)3.08 (61)72% (60)9% (90)1.17 (122)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Defense1348% (46)42% (56) - - - - .1 (40)2.87 (29)70% (48)10% (75)0.87 (18)
VAN Offense1242% (116)37% (124)29.295.33.310 (124)-.01 (128)2.92 (103)74% (63)12% (102)0.96 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1355% (26)40% (83)16.228.8211.67.41325 (37)11 (68).32 (54)1.7 (25)35% (114)28% (88).31 (77)8% (113)2.2 (19)
VAN Defense1252% (100)48% (131) - - - - - - 12 (37).43 (126)1.6 (56)31% (88)37% (126).46 (123)5% (96)1.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Defense1351% (92)45% (116) - - - - - - 11 (53).23 (45)1.4 (11)31% (76)30% (70).39 (104)5% (114)2.1 (75)
VAN Offense1256% (21)37% (109)18.132.5223.36.912.423 (51)13 (97).14 (113)1.7 (30)37% (130)25% (113).1 (129)10% (133)2 (91)

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 3.64 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 37% #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 3.64   Vanderbilt: -10.105

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 9.3   Vanderbilt: -13.7




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -10.105 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.8
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 35
Vanderbilt 18

Total Points: 53

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Kentucky13Vanderbilt20VanderbiltKentucky -12.5Vanderbilt44.5Under
202309/23Vanderbilt28Kentucky45KentuckyKentucky -13.5Kentucky50.0Over
202211/12Kentucky21Vanderbilt24VanderbiltKentucky -17.0Vanderbilt45.5Under
202111/13Vanderbilt17Kentucky34KentuckyKentucky -21.5Vanderbilt52.5Under
202011/14Kentucky38Vanderbilt35KentuckyKentucky -17.5Vanderbilt41.5Over
201911/16Vanderbilt14Kentucky38KentuckyKentucky -9Kentucky43.0Over
201810/20Kentucky14Vanderbilt7KentuckyKentucky -10.5Vanderbilt45.0Under
201711/11Vanderbilt21Kentucky44KentuckyVanderbilt -2.5Kentucky53.0Over
201610/08Kentucky20Vanderbilt13KentuckyKentucky -2Kentucky48.5Under
201511/14Vanderbilt21Kentucky17VanderbiltVanderbilt -2.5Vanderbilt41.5Under
201409/27Kentucky17Vanderbilt7KentuckyKentucky -14Vanderbilt0
201311/16Vanderbilt22Kentucky6VanderbiltVanderbilt -13.5Vanderbilt0
201211/03Kentucky0Vanderbilt40Vanderbilt
201111/12Vanderbilt38Kentucky8Vanderbilt
201011/13Kentucky38Vanderbilt20Kentucky
200911/14Vanderbilt13Kentucky24Kentucky
200811/15Kentucky24Vanderbilt31Vanderbilt
200711/10Vanderbilt20Kentucky27Kentucky
200611/11Kentucky38Vanderbilt26Kentucky
200511/12Vanderbilt43Kentucky48Kentucky
200411/13Kentucky14Vanderbilt13Kentucky
200311/15Vanderbilt28Kentucky17Vanderbilt
200111/10Vanderbilt30Kentucky56Kentucky
200011/10Kentucky20Vanderbilt24Vanderbilt
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt984 Overs
Kentucky1546 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 61 - 2
Road Teams13 - 118 - 42 - 16 - 3

(#43) Kentucky Info
Power Rating: 3.64 #43
Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 37% #20
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30


Kentucky has won 3 straight
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Kentucky Highlights
Kentucky offense is explosive (#92)
Kentucky offense is good in red zone (#60)
Kentucky defense does not give up big plays (#89)
Kentucky Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#46)
Kentucky Defensive Line is very good (#45)

Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#28)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatVANUK
OverallOver#108#32
OffenseOff#99#59
DefenseDef#99#26
Special TeamsST#93#49
PassingPass#88#51
RushingRush#73#12
Run BlockRBLK#85#74
Pass BlockPBLK#106#53
Route RunningWR Rt#65#50
TacklingTkl#89#40
Run DefenseR Def#89#31
Pass Rush DefPRush#91#46
Coverage DefCov#100#33

Rematch from Week 4
Kentucky 13.5 (50.0)
Kentucky won at Vanderbilt this year (45-28)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Kentucky last year (20-13)
Kentucky beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (45-28)
Vanderbilt beat Kentucky in 2022 (24-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UK | VAN
Depth Chart: UK | VAN
Rosters: UK | VAN
(#122) Vanderbilt Info
Power Rating: -10.105 #122
Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20


Vanderbilt has lost 2 straight
Vanderbilt has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Vanderbilt Highlights
Vanderbilt offense is explosive (#51)
Vanderbilt commits very few Penalties (#103)

Vanderbilt Deficiencies
Vanderbilt Can Not Run the Ball (#31)
Vanderbilt offense is really bad (#4)
Vanderbilt run game is really bad (#7)
Vanderbilt pass game is really bad (#2)
Vanderbilt offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Vanderbilt Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Vanderbilt Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Vanderbilt has a bad defense (#47)
Vanderbilt gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#21)


  
Kentucky's OC Liam Coen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devin Leary (Tr)20937156%274625127.4
Kaiya Sheron2450%5001.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Re'Mahn Davis1991129145.775
Ramon Jefferson2818406.674
Barion Brown12147112.326
Demie Sumo2013917.042
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dane Key42636615.158
Tayvion Robinson41552413.556
Barion Brown43539412.560
Re'Mahn Davis3332379.858

View Kentucky's Full Roster
Kentucky's DC Brad White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Eryk Jackson898224
Trevin Wallace809630
Maxwell Hairston662006
Zion Childress582103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deone Walker5513882
J.J. Weaver448622
Trevin Wallace809630
Octavious Oxendine194320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maxwell Hairston662006
Andru Phillips482005
D'Eryk Jackson898224

Vanderbilt's OC Joey Lynch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann10619654%14181277.2
Ken Seals10617959%12181146.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sedrick Alexander9637043.927
Patrick Smith7932724.140
Jayden McGowan1910805.718
Walter Taylor3010213.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Sheppard47684814.685
London Humphreys22439420.056
Jayden McGowan36383010.650
Junior Sherrill20293314.752

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster
Vanderbilt's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Langston Patterson748120
Jaylen Mahoney591006
CJ Taylor558313
Ethan Barr543111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Clifton308641
CJ Taylor558313
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)336330
Kane Patterson436201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Mahoney591006
Trudell Berry211004
BJ Anderson80003