Vanderbilt at South Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo Vanderbilt Commodores at South Carolina Gamecocks(#11)South Carolina logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:45 PM EDT)
South Carolina -3 (48.5) (-155)  Open: 0.0
Vanderbilt 31 - South Carolina: 7  (SEC)

 
Commodores (10 - 3) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 2.4 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
VAN 2nd straight Road Game
SC 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Vanderbilt -8.5  (SP+ VAN -15.5)

Projected Score: VAN: 30 - SC: 22 (52)
SC Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
VAN Travel: 360 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gamecocks (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (29 - 21)
Avg Score : 23 - 22 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-37.549.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.546.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+3.048.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-27.553.5W 70 - 21OY
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-23.557.5W 55 - 35ON
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+13.558.5L 14 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU-1.548.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri-3.052.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+3.548.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn-6.046.5W 45 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-7.053.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+2.066.5W 45 - 24OY
Wed 12/31 Vanderbilt vs Iowa-3.047.5L 27 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
South Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 South Carolina vs Virginia Tech-8.548.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 South Carolina vs South Carolina State-43.054.0W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/13 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-3.048.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 South Carolina at Missouri+10.048.5L 20 - 29OY
Sat 9/27 South Carolina vs Kentucky-5.546.5W 35 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 South Carolina at LSU+8.544.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 South Carolina vs Oklahoma+4.542.5L 7 - 26UN
Sat 10/25 South Carolina vs Alabama+11.547.5L 22 - 29OY
Sat 11/1 South Carolina at Ole Miss+12.555.5L 14 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Carolina at Texas A&M+16.549.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 11/22 South Carolina vs Coastal Carolina-24.050.0W 51 - 7OY
Sat 11/29 South Carolina vs Clemson-2.545.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#1 (.44)52% (2)38.550% (8)3.37 (9)17654% (3)2875 (3)#99 (.2)42% (68)22.840% (46)43% (91)3.9 (90)59.70.91.2
SC#109 (.1)37% (118)22.739% (107)2.89 (77)11236% (120)2252.61 (134)#30 (.09)42% (67)22.139% (39)44% (106)3.15 (29)57.31.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)44% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)45% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1338.53351.9%50.9244631762875.747%52%50%54%13%.44
SC Defense1222.120.641.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 51%47%39%44%16%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1322.82341.7%3.91.2 - - - - - 44%54%40%43%17%.2
SC Offense1222.724.937.2%2.611.5183371122253.349%50%39%36%20%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1331:1824.151%56%6.859.70.91.26.22.4129.5
South Carolina1227:5817.732%50%7.357.31.51.85.31.8426.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1347% (92)50% (8)30.9175.95.735 (4).35 (1)3.37 (9)76% (38)8% (30)1.21 (2)
SC Defense1251% (86)39% (39) - - - - -.06 (8)2.7 (31)68% (42)10% (49)0.88 (24)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1344% (11)40% (46) - - - - .04 (31)2.66 (24)72% (76)11% (20)0.93 (54)
SC Offense1249% (73)39% (107)34111.63.314 (107).09 (81)2.89 (77)62% (124)14% (132)1.07 (30)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1352% (44)54% (3)21.530.8287.39.313.430 (22)8 (34).55 (1)1.5 (74)26% (13)49% (1).78 (1)5% (28)2 (78)
SC Defense1247% (54)44% (106) - - - - - - 12 (22).25 (72)1.5 (40)31% (83)29% (68).14 (14)6% (69)1.9 (39)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1354% (124)43% (91) - - - - - - 8 (75).35 (115)1.6 (75)34% (25)30% (78).38 (109)6% (69)2 (78)
SC Offense1250% (63)36% (120)17.428.5225.37.912.913 (121)11 (60).17 (109)1.7 (30)36% (131)24% (127).14 (125)6% (81)1.8 (119)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 18.41  #12
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 27.73  #2
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 9.32  #40
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 2.4
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.9  #11
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #4
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #32

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 18.41   South Carolina: 11.145

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 20.9   South Carolina: 5.2




South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 11.145  #32
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.51  #49
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.42  #20
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 36  #20
South Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2  #51
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #85
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #28

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 30
South Carolina 22


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
South Carolina 31
Vanderbilt 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Vanderbilt 28
South Carolina 24

Total Points: 52
South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

South Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13South Carolina7Vanderbilt31South Carolina -3Vanderbilt48.5Under
202411/09Vanderbilt7South Carolina28South Carolina -6.0South Carolina44.5Under
202311/11South Carolina47Vanderbilt6South Carolina -13.5South Carolina53.5Under
202211/05Vanderbilt27South Carolina38South Carolina -6.5South Carolina49.0Over
202110/16South Carolina21Vanderbilt20South Carolina -19Vanderbilt50.0Under
202010/10Vanderbilt7South Carolina41South Carolina -14.0South Carolina40.5Over
201911/02South Carolina24Vanderbilt7South Carolina -15South Carolina51.0Under
201809/22Vanderbilt14South Carolina37South Carolina -1.5South Carolina53.5Under
201710/28South Carolina34Vanderbilt27South Carolina -7Push42.5Over
201609/01Vanderbilt10South Carolina13South Carolina -4Vanderbilt40.5Under
201510/17South Carolina19Vanderbilt10South Carolina -7South Carolina46.0Under
201409/20Vanderbilt34South Carolina48South Carolina -20.5Vanderbilt0
201309/14South Carolina35Vanderbilt25South Carolina -12.5Vanderbilt0
201208/30Vanderbilt13South Carolina17
201109/24South Carolina21Vanderbilt3
201010/23Vanderbilt7South Carolina21
200910/24South Carolina14Vanderbilt10
200809/04Vanderbilt24South Carolina17
200710/20South Carolina6Vanderbilt17
200610/21Vanderbilt13South Carolina31
200510/22South Carolina35Vanderbilt28
200409/04Vanderbilt6South Carolina31
200310/25South Carolina35Vanderbilt24
200209/28Vanderbilt14South Carolina20
200110/20South Carolina46Vanderbilt14
200010/20Vanderbilt14South Carolina30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Carolina2373 Overs
Vanderbilt358 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 145 - 73 - 32 - 4
Road Teams14 - 127 - 54 - 23 - 3

(#12) VAN at (#32) SC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVANSC
Net PPPPPP #12 #65
Power RatePwr #12 #32
SP+SP+ #11 #51
Perf GradeGrade #27 #95
OffenseOff #24 #108
DefenseDef #59 #44
Spec TeamsST #16 #84
TalentTal #47 #24
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #20
Vanderbilt Notes
(11/30) Outrushed Tenn 314-83. Incredible season, CFP worthy
(11/28) HC Lea extended w/ new 6 year deal
(10/18) Ran all over LUS (239, 5.3 pyc). Pavia a dawg
(10/7) Hoping books sleep on Vandy after Bama L, good team
(9/30) Off Success is #1 in CFB into Bama game (5 games)
(9/21) Pavia incredible, Dores hot start. Run Off great
(9/21) Vandy is serious. Killing teams, mauling Rush Off
(5/26) Off should improve w/ better OL, more exp
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
Vanderbilt Injury Report
South Carolina Notes
(11/16) Blowing 30-3 lead vs A&M feels like the bottom
(11/2) OC Mike Shula fired after Ole Miss loss
(10/22) Bottom 5 in CFB in Off scoring opportunities
(10/19) Off Success #'s bottom 10 in all CFB. Not improving
(10/19) Scored 44 pts vs 4 SEC games not named UK
(10/12) OL coach Lonnie Teasley fired after LSU game.
(9/22) RB Faison has issues blocking/protecting
(9/21) Run Off is awful, Run Def run over by Mizzu
(9/21) 51 car, 77 yds in SEC play, 431 rush yds allowed
(9/15) Sellers left Vandy game (concussion), ? Mizzu
(8/26) RB Faison (USU) cleared by NCAA to play TY
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 51% is via portals
South Carolina Injury Report
Vanderbilt on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffSC Def
PPPOffPPP #5 #91
Perf GradePerf #24 #44
SuccessSuc #2 #67
ExplosiveExp #9 #36
PPAPPA #1 #30
PowerPwr #2 #20
SP+SP+ #4 #28
Pts POPPO #3 #29
HavocHav #25 #61
Vanderbilt Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffSC Def
Run GameRun #17 #25
Run SuccessRSuc #8 #39
Run ExplRExp #2 #24
PPAExp #1 #8
Run BlockR Blk #89 -
OL YdsOLY #9 #31
Stuff RateStuff #25 #26
TackleTak -  #53
Vanderbilt Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #5 #82
Pass SuccessPSuc #3 #106
Pass ExplPExl #74 #40
PPAExp #1 #72
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #129 #70
F7 HavocF7 #30 #49
DB HavocDB #28 #69
South Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatSC OffVAN Def
PPPDefPPP #73 #34
Perf GradePerf #108 #59
SuccessSuc #118 #68
ExplosiveExp #19 #103
PPAPPA #109 #99
PowerPwr #49 #40
SP+SP+ #85 #32
Pts POPPO #134 #90
HavocHav #130 #39
South Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
SC OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #116 #61
Run SuccessRSuc #107 #46
Run ExplRExp #30 #54
PPAExp #81 #31
Run BlockR Blk #121 -
OL YdsOLY #77 #24
Stuff RateStuff #44 #31
TackleTak -  #106
South Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatSC OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #50 #58
Pass SuccessPSuc #120 #91
Pass ExplPExl #30 #75
PPAExp #109 #115
Pass Block/RushP Blk #102 #63
F7 HavocF7 #132 #20
DB HavocDB #81 #69
Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 85° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 3
South Carolina -3.0 (48.5)
Vanderbilt won at South Carolina this year (31-7)

Previous Matchups
South Carolina beat Vanderbilt last year (28-7)
South Carolina beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (47-6)
South Carolina beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (38-27)

  
VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia26737871%35392989.4
Blaze Berlowitz91753%131107.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia167862105.241
Sedrick Alexander106570115.465
Makhilyn Young4541169.180
Jamezell Lassiter9143215.948
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)47810717.275
Junior Sherrill54784714.546
Eli Stowers61765412.567
Richie Hoskins28321311.553

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Steve Gregory (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard (Tr)714253
Bryan Longwell709142
Langston Patterson692030
Marlen Sewell522112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Miles Capers379531
Zaylin Wood285471
Khordae Sydnor309493
Nicholas Rinaldi477491
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette517056
Mark Davis233004
C.J. Heard (Tr)714253

SC's OC Mike Shula (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lanorris Sellers17829361%24371388.3
Luke Doty193063%153015.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahsul Faison (Tr)9647034.946
Lanorris Sellers14927051.826
Matthew Fuller7226023.672
Oscar Adaway III4114013.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nyck Harbor30618620.680
Vandrevious Jacobs32548417.174
Jayden Sellers22337115.375
Donovan Murph14197114.138

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DQ Smith642001
Justin Okoronkwo (Tr)634021
Fred Johnson624143
Jalon Kilgore5400110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Thomas Jr.40117121
Dylan Stewart3112462
Nick Barrett426211
Jatius Geer133220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalon Kilgore5400110
Vicari Swain281105
Brandon Cisse (Tr)272015