Vanderbilt at South Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview

Vanderbilt Commodores at South Carolina Gamecocks

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:45 PM EDT)
South Carolina -3 (48.5) (-155) Open: 0.0
Vanderbilt 31 - South Carolina: 7 (SEC)

Commodores (10 - 3) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 2.4 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)

VAN 2nd straight Road Game
SC 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Vanderbilt -8 (SP+ VAN -14.5)
Projected Score: VAN: 29 - SC: 21 (50)
SC Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
VAN Travel: 360 miles, 1 hrs behind

Gamecocks (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (29 - 21)
Avg Score : 23 - 22 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
SC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern	-37.5	49.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech	+2.5	46.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Vanderbilt at South Carolina	+3.0	48.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Vanderbilt vs Georgia State	-27.5	53.5	W 70 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Vanderbilt vs Utah State	-23.5	57.5	W 55 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/4	Vanderbilt at Alabama	+13.5	58.5	L 14 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Vanderbilt vs LSU	-1.5	48.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Vanderbilt vs Missouri	-3.0	52.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/1	Vanderbilt at Texas	+3.5	48.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Vanderbilt vs Auburn	-6.0	46.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Vanderbilt vs Kentucky	-7.0	53.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Vanderbilt at Tennessee	+2.0	66.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Wed 12/31	Vanderbilt vs Iowa	-3.0	47.5	L 27 - 34	O	N

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

South Carolina's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 8/31	South Carolina vs Virginia Tech	-8.5	48.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/6	South Carolina vs South Carolina State	-43.0	54.0	W 38 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/13	South Carolina vs Vanderbilt	-3.0	48.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/20	South Carolina at Missouri	+10.0	48.5	L 20 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/27	South Carolina vs Kentucky	-5.5	46.5	W 35 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	South Carolina at LSU	+8.5	44.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/18	South Carolina vs Oklahoma	+4.5	42.5	L 7 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/25	South Carolina vs Alabama	+11.5	47.5	L 22 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/1	South Carolina at Ole Miss	+12.5	55.5	L 14 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	South Carolina at Texas A&M	+16.5	49.5	L 30 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/22	South Carolina vs Coastal Carolina	-24.0	50.0	W 51 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/29	South Carolina vs Clemson	-2.5	45.5	L 14 - 28	U	N

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)	38.5	42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)	22.8	46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1
SC	#48 (.22)	44% (58)	22.7	44% (74)	3.01 (73)	175	44% (42)	203	3.97 (62)	#15 (.08)	42% (73)	22.1	45% (93)	40% (61)	3.19 (16)	53.8	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	13	38.5	33	42.2%	4.25	0.5	17	295	129	166	3.9	58%	42%	42%	43%	15%	.17
SC Defense	13	22.1	20.6	42.1%	3.19	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	40%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	13	22.8	23	46.9%	4.22	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	46%	48%	16%	.25
SC Offense	13	22.7	24.9	43.7%	3.97	1.5	20	378	175	203	4.4	58%	41%	44%	44%	17%	.22

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	13	28:39	16.6	44%	54%	5	48.3	0.5	1.1	4.8	1.7	4	31.3
South Carolina	13	28:44	20	42%	50%	6.2	53.8	1.5	1.7	6.5	3.1	2	30.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	13	58% (18)	42% (93)	33.1	129.2	3.9	16 (90)	.06 (104)	2.8 (105)	83% (10)	8% (41)	0.87 (116)
SC Defense	13	49% (52)	45% (93)	-	-	-	-	.03 (23)	2.87 (46)	69% (43)	13% (10)	0.73 (4)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	13	49% (47)	46% (96)	-	-	-	-	.12 (70)	2.98 (62)	77% (88)	10% (76)	0.89 (30)
SC Offense	13	58% (15)	44% (74)	39.5	175.2	4.4	25 (41)	.13 (70)	3.01 (73)	79% (29)	13% (121)	0.95 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	13	42% (115)	43% (53)	12.8	21.8	166.3	7.6	13	18 (68)	4 (1)	.33 (33)	1.7 (37)	33% (108)	31% (74)	.32 (75)	7% (96)	2.1 (64)
SC Defense	13	50% (74)	40% (61)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.15 (31)	1.5 (35)	30% (104)	29% (49)	.26 (45)	6% (76)	2.1 (76)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	13	51% (90)	48% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.37 (120)	1.5 (33)	29% (111)	36% (122)	.45 (117)	7% (48)	2.1 (72)
SC Offense	13	41% (118)	44% (42)	15.5	23.6	202.8	8.6	13.1	20 (58)	7 (26)	.37 (23)	1.8 (14)	30% (45)	32% (61)	.35 (63)	4% (17)	2.1 (47)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 18.41 #12
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 27.73 #2
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 9.32 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 2.4
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.3 #11
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #5
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #39

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 18.41 South Carolina: 11.495

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 20.3 South Carolina: 5.9

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 11.495 #32
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.51 #49
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.42 #20
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #20
South Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #49
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #86
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Vanderbilt 29
South Carolina 21

Projected Total Points: 50

South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

South Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	South Carolina	7	Vanderbilt	31	South Carolina -3	Vanderbilt	48.5	Under
2024	11/09	Vanderbilt	7	South Carolina	28	South Carolina -6.0	South Carolina	44.5	Under
2023	11/11	South Carolina	47	Vanderbilt	6	South Carolina -13.5	South Carolina	53.5	Under
2022	11/05	Vanderbilt	27	South Carolina	38	South Carolina -6.5	South Carolina	49.0	Over
2021	10/16	South Carolina	21	Vanderbilt	20	South Carolina -19	Vanderbilt	50.0	Under
2020	10/10	Vanderbilt	7	South Carolina	41	South Carolina -14.0	South Carolina	40.5	Over
2019	11/02	South Carolina	24	Vanderbilt	7	South Carolina -15	South Carolina	51.0	Under
2018	09/22	Vanderbilt	14	South Carolina	37	South Carolina -1.5	South Carolina	53.5	Under
2017	10/28	South Carolina	34	Vanderbilt	27	South Carolina -7	Push	42.5	Over
2016	09/01	Vanderbilt	10	South Carolina	13	South Carolina -4	Vanderbilt	40.5	Under
2015	10/17	South Carolina	19	Vanderbilt	10	South Carolina -7	South Carolina	46.0	Under
2014	09/20	Vanderbilt	34	South Carolina	48	South Carolina -20.5	Vanderbilt	0
2013	09/14	South Carolina	35	Vanderbilt	25	South Carolina -12.5	Vanderbilt	0
2012	08/30	Vanderbilt	13	South Carolina	17
2011	09/24	South Carolina	21	Vanderbilt	3
2010	10/23	Vanderbilt	7	South Carolina	21
2009	10/24	South Carolina	14	Vanderbilt	10
2008	09/04	Vanderbilt	24	South Carolina	17
2007	10/20	South Carolina	6	Vanderbilt	17
2006	10/21	Vanderbilt	13	South Carolina	31
2005	10/22	South Carolina	35	Vanderbilt	28
2004	09/04	Vanderbilt	6	South Carolina	31
2003	10/25	South Carolina	35	Vanderbilt	24
2002	09/28	Vanderbilt	14	South Carolina	20
2001	10/20	South Carolina	46	Vanderbilt	14
2000	10/20	Vanderbilt	14	South Carolina	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Carolina	23	7	3 Overs
Vanderbilt	3	5	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 14	5 - 7	3 - 3	2 - 4
Road Teams	14 - 12	7 - 5	4 - 2	3 - 3

(#12) VAN at (#32) SC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VAN	SC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#12	#32
SP+SP+	#11	#49
Perf GradeGrade	#27	#95
OffenseOff	#24	#108
DefenseDef	#59	#44
Spec TeamsST	#16	#84
TalentTal	#47	#24
Blue ChipsBC%	#49	#20

Vanderbilt Notes(11/30) Outrushed Tenn 314-83. Incredible season, CFP worthy
(11/28) HC Lea extended w/ new 6 year deal
(10/18) Ran all over LUS (239, 5.3 pyc). Pavia a dawg
(10/7) Hoping books sleep on Vandy after Bama L, good team
(9/30) Off Success is #1 in CFB into Bama game (5 games)
(9/21) Pavia incredible, Dores hot start. Run Off great
(9/21) Vandy is serious. Killing teams, mauling Rush Off
(5/26) Off should improve w/ better OL, more exp
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
Vanderbilt Injury Report

South Carolina Notes(11/16) Blowing 30-3 lead vs A&M feels like the bottom
(11/2) OC Mike Shula fired after Ole Miss loss
(10/22) Bottom 5 in CFB in Off scoring opportunities
(10/19) Off Success #'s bottom 10 in all CFB. Not improving
(10/19) Scored 44 pts vs 4 SEC games not named UK
(10/12) OL coach Lonnie Teasley fired after LSU game.
(9/22) RB Faison has issues blocking/protecting
(9/21) Run Off is awful, Run Def run over by Mizzu
(9/21) 51 car, 77 yds in SEC play, 431 rush yds allowed
(9/15) Sellers left Vandy game (concussion), ? Mizzu
(8/26) RB Faison (USU) cleared by NCAA to play TY
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 51% is via portals
South Carolina Injury Report

Vanderbilt on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	SC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#24	#44
SuccessSuc	#75	#73
ExplosiveExp	#108	#5
PPAPPA	#76	#15
PowerPwr	#2	#20
SP+SP+	#5	#31
Pts POPPO	#34	#16
HavocHav	#52	#21

Vanderbilt Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	SC Def
Run GameRun	#17	#25
Run SuccessRSuc	#93	#93
Run ExplRExp	#116	#4
PPAExp	#104	#23
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#105	#46
Stuff RateStuff	#117	#74
TackleTak	-	#53

Vanderbilt Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	SC Def
Pass GamePass	#5	#82
Pass SuccessPSuc	#53	#61
Pass ExplPExl	#37	#35
PPAExp	#33	#31
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#129	#70
F7 HavocF7	#41	#10
DB HavocDB	#96	#76

South Carolina on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	SC Off	VAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#108	#59
SuccessSuc	#58	#121
ExplosiveExp	#56	#38
PPAPPA	#48	#111
PowerPwr	#49	#41
SP+SP+	#86	#39
Pts POPPO	#62	#109
HavocHav	#93	#65

South Carolina Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	SC Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#116	#61
Run SuccessRSuc	#74	#96
Run ExplRExp	#79	#30
PPAExp	#70	#70
Run BlockR Blk	#121	-
OL YdsOLY	#73	#62
Stuff RateStuff	#41	#39
TackleTak	-	#106

South Carolina Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	SC Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	#42	#125
Pass ExplPExl	#14	#33
PPAExp	#23	#120
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#102	#63
F7 HavocF7	#121	#76
DB HavocDB	#17	#48

Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
South Carolina -3.0 (48.5)
Vanderbilt won at South Carolina this year (31-7)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat South Carolina last year (31-7)
South Carolina beat Vanderbilt in 2024 (28-7)
South Carolina beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (47-6)

VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Diego Pavia	267	378	71%	3539	29	8	9.4
Blaze Berlowitz	9	17	53%	131	1	0	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Diego Pavia	167	862	10	5.2	41
Sedrick Alexander	106	570	11	5.4	65
Makhilyn Young	45	411	6	9.1	80
Jamezell Lassiter	9	143	2	15.9	48

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)	47	810	7	17.2	75
Junior Sherrill	54	784	7	14.5	46
Eli Stowers	61	765	4	12.5	67
Richie Hoskins	28	321	3	11.5	53

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Steve Gregory (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Heard (Tr)	71	4	2	5	3
Bryan Longwell	70	9	1	4	2
Langston Patterson	69	2	0	3	0
Marlen Sewell	52	2	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Miles Capers	37	9	5	3	1
Zaylin Wood	28	5	4	7	1
Khordae Sydnor	30	9	4	9	3
Nicholas Rinaldi	47	7	4	9	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Randon Fontenette	51	7	0	5	6
Mark Davis	23	3	0	0	4
C.J. Heard (Tr)	71	4	2	5	3

SC's OC Mike Shula (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Lanorris Sellers	178	293	61%	2437	13	8	8.3
Luke Doty	19	30	63%	153	0	1	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rahsul Faison (Tr)	96	470	3	4.9	46
Lanorris Sellers	149	270	5	1.8	26
Matthew Fuller	72	260	2	3.6	72
Oscar Adaway III	41	140	1	3.4	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nyck Harbor	30	618	6	20.6	80
Vandrevious Jacobs	32	548	4	17.1	74
Jayden Sellers	22	337	1	15.3	75
Donovan Murph	14	197	1	14.1	38

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DQ Smith	64	2	0	0	1
Justin Okoronkwo (Tr)	63	4	0	2	1
Fred Johnson	62	4	1	4	3
Jalon Kilgore	54	0	0	1	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Thomas Jr.	40	11	7	12	1
Dylan Stewart	31	12	4	6	2
Nick Barrett	42	6	2	1	1
Jatius Geer	13	3	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalon Kilgore	54	0	0	1	10
Vicari Swain	28	1	1	0	5
Brandon Cisse (Tr)	27	2	0	1	5