Vanderbilt at South Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo Vanderbilt Commodores at South Carolina Gamecocks(#11)South Carolina logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:45 PM EDT)
South Carolina -3 (48.5) (-155)  Open: 0.0
Vanderbilt 31 - South Carolina: 7  (SEC)

 
Commodores (7 - 2) (7 - 2 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (16 - 33)
Avg Score : 38 - 20 (30 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
VAN 2nd straight Road Game
SC 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Vanderbilt -13.5  (SP+ VAN -13.5)

Projected Score: VAN: 32 - SC: 18 (50)
SC Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
VAN Travel: 360 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gamecocks (3 - 6) (4 - 5 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (29 - 21)
Avg Score : 20 - 22 (22 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Vanderbilt's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-37.549.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech+2.546.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+3.048.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs Georgia State-27.553.5W 70 - 21OY
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt vs Utah State-23.557.5W 55 - 35ON
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Alabama+13.558.5L 14 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Vanderbilt vs LSU-1.548.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt vs Missouri-3.052.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt at Texas+3.548.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Auburn-6.046.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky-20.5
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt at Tennessee-0

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
South Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 South Carolina vs Virginia Tech-8.548.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 South Carolina vs South Carolina State-43.054.0W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/13 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-3.048.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 South Carolina at Missouri+10.048.5L 20 - 29OY
Sat 9/27 South Carolina vs Kentucky-5.546.5W 35 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 South Carolina at LSU+8.544.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 South Carolina vs Oklahoma+4.542.5L 7 - 26UN
Sat 10/25 South Carolina vs Alabama+11.547.5L 22 - 29OY
Sat 11/1 South Carolina at Ole Miss+12.555.5L 14 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Carolina at Texas A&M+22.5
Sat 11/22 South Carolina vs Coastal Carolina-19.5
Sat 11/29 South Carolina vs Clemson+8

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#1 (.43)53% (4)37.652% (6)3.36 (13)18855% (3)2455.15 (2)#86 (.17)41% (60)20.441% (56)41% (71)3.51 (57)64.60.91.2
SC#119 (.06)36% (125)19.737% (125)2.7 (86)10137% (117)1932.67 (131)#37 (.1)42% (77)22.140% (42)45% (108)3.8 (80)56.31.41.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)44% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)45% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense937.63053.3%5.150.923433188245649%50%52%55%12%.43
SC Defense922.121.842%3.81.8 - - - - - 54%46%40%45%16%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense920.422.840.7%3.511.2 - - - - - 46%53%41%41%16%.17
SC Offense919.721.836.4%2.671.4172951011932.952%47%37%37%19%.06

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt930:4722.953%64%764.60.91.262.3131.2
South Carolina927:5317.233%52%7.656.31.41.85.31.9427.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense949% (79)52% (6)31.3187.8625 (4).34 (3)3.36 (13)79% (20)8% (26)1.09 (22)
SC Defense954% (114)40% (42) - - - - -.01 (17)2.78 (73)71% (63)10% (60)0.89 (36)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense946% (29)41% (56) - - - - -.04 (16)2.23 (16)73% (77)11% (30)0.82 (13)
SC Offense952% (57)37% (125)35.2101.42.99 (107).05 (97)2.7 (86)64% (116)14% (131)1.1 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense950% (59)55% (3)19.328.6245.28.612.719 (22)5 (34).53 (4)1.5 (71)27% (14)49% (1).73 (1)5% (28)2 (80)
SC Defense946% (32)45% (108) - - - - - - 9 (22).22 (66)1.5 (51)30% (98)31% (94).19 (35)6% (84)1.9 (47)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense953% (110)41% (71) - - - - - - 4 (75).36 (117)1.6 (97)34% (26)28% (46).35 (98)5% (106)2.1 (99)
SC Offense947% (83)37% (117)16.326.6193.37.311.87 (121)8 (60).12 (119)1.5 (92)36% (128)23% (128).11 (125)5% (34)1.8 (125)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 25.40  #12
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 30.31  #4
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 4.87  #50
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Vanderbilt's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Vanderbilt's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.8  #18
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9  #12
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #37

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 25.40   South Carolina: 7.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 16.8   South Carolina: 3.2




South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 7.52  #54
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 6.35  #87
South Carolina's Defense Rating: -0.49  #30
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 36  #20
South Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
South Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.2  #61
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #94
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #28

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Vanderbilt's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 32
South Carolina 18


Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
South Carolina 31
Vanderbilt 21

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Vanderbilt 28
South Carolina 21

Total Points: 49
South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.8

South Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13South Carolina7Vanderbilt31South Carolina -3Vanderbilt48.5Under
202411/09Vanderbilt7South Carolina28South Carolina -6.0South Carolina44.5Under
202311/11South Carolina47Vanderbilt6South Carolina -13.5South Carolina53.5Under
202211/05Vanderbilt27South Carolina38South Carolina -6.5South Carolina49.0Over
202110/16South Carolina21Vanderbilt20South Carolina -19Vanderbilt50.0Under
202010/10Vanderbilt7South Carolina41South Carolina -14.0South Carolina40.5Over
201911/02South Carolina24Vanderbilt7South Carolina -15South Carolina51.0Under
201809/22Vanderbilt14South Carolina37South Carolina -1.5South Carolina53.5Under
201710/28South Carolina34Vanderbilt27South Carolina -7Push42.5Over
201609/01Vanderbilt10South Carolina13South Carolina -4Vanderbilt40.5Under
201510/17South Carolina19Vanderbilt10South Carolina -7South Carolina46.0Under
201409/20Vanderbilt34South Carolina48South Carolina -20.5Vanderbilt0
201309/14South Carolina35Vanderbilt25South Carolina -12.5Vanderbilt0
201208/30Vanderbilt13South Carolina17
201109/24South Carolina21Vanderbilt3
201010/23Vanderbilt7South Carolina21
200910/24South Carolina14Vanderbilt10
200809/04Vanderbilt24South Carolina17
200710/20South Carolina6Vanderbilt17
200610/21Vanderbilt13South Carolina31
200510/22South Carolina35Vanderbilt28
200409/04Vanderbilt6South Carolina31
200310/25South Carolina35Vanderbilt24
200209/28Vanderbilt14South Carolina20
200110/20South Carolina46Vanderbilt14
200010/20Vanderbilt14South Carolina30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Carolina2373 Overs
Vanderbilt358 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 145 - 73 - 32 - 4
Road Teams14 - 127 - 54 - 23 - 3

(#12) VAN at (#54) SC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVANSC
Power RatePwr #12 #54
SP+SP+ #18 #61
Perf GradeGrade #30 #107
OffenseOff #35 #125
DefenseDef #42 #59
Spec TeamsST #18 #73
TalentTal #47 #24
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #20
Vanderbilt Notes
(10/18) Ran all over LUS (239, 5.3 pyc). Pavia a dawg
(10/7) Hoping books sleep on Vandy after Bama L, good team
(9/30) Off Success is #1 in CFB into Bama game (5 games)
(9/21) Pavia incredible, Dores hot start. Run Off great
(9/21) Vandy is serious. Killing teams, mauling Rush Off
(5/26) Off should improve w/ better OL, more exp
(5/26) HC Lea's new building plan working
(5/15) OL bad LY, 1/5 back. 7 portal adds, 3 starters
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, both lines big focus TY
(5/15) LBs are core of D, exp'd & very productive
(5/15) WR Tre Richardson productive & KR @ Washburn
(5/11) 76% of OL exp comes from portal adds
Vanderbilt Injury Report
South Carolina Notes
(11/2) OC Mike Shula fired after Ole Miss loss
(10/22) Bottom 5 in CFB in Off scoring opportunities
(10/19) Off Success #'s bottom 10 in all CFB. Not improving
(10/19) Scored 44 pts vs 4 SEC games not named UK
(10/12) OL coach Lonnie Teasley fired after LSU game.
(9/22) RB Faison has issues blocking/protecting
(9/21) Run Off is awful, Run Def run over by Mizzu
(9/21) 51 car, 77 yds in SEC play, 431 rush yds allowed
(9/15) Sellers left Vandy game (concussion), ? Mizzu
(8/26) RB Faison (USU) cleared by NCAA to play TY
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 51% is via portals
(5/3) ST's lost K, P, holder and LS. Could be notable
South Carolina Injury Report
Vanderbilt on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
VAN OffSC Def
Perf GradePerf #35 #59
SuccessSuc #4 #77
ExplosiveExp #34 #39
PPAPPA #1 #37
PowerPwr #4 #30
SP+SP+ #12 #28
Pts POPPO #2 #80
HavocHav #21 #74
Vanderbilt Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
VAN OffSC Def
Run GameRun #21 #34
Run SuccessRSuc #6 #42
Run ExplRExp #22 #36
PPAExp #3 #17
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLY #13 #73
Stuff RateStuff #21 #29
TackleTak -  #49
Vanderbilt Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
VAN OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #12 #91
Pass SuccessPSuc #3 #108
Pass ExplPExl #71 #51
PPAExp #4 #66
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #131 #79
F7 HavocF7 #26 #60
DB HavocDB #28 #84
South Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatSC OffVAN Def
Perf GradePerf #125 #42
SuccessSuc #125 #60
ExplosiveExp #53 #77
PPAPPA #119 #86
PowerPwr #87 #50
SP+SP+ #94 #37
Pts POPPO #131 #57
HavocHav #127 #65
South Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
SC OffVAN Def
Run GameRun #123 #29
Run SuccessRSuc #125 #56
Run ExplRExp #19 #13
PPAExp #97 #16
Run BlockR Blk #118 -
OL YdsOLY #86 #16
Stuff RateStuff #51 #72
TackleTak -  #89
South Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatSC OffVAN Def
Pass GamePass #83 #66
Pass SuccessPSuc #117 #71
Pass ExplPExl #92 #97
PPAExp #119 #117
Pass Block/RushP Blk #100 #51
F7 HavocF7 #131 #30
DB HavocDB #34 #106
Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 85° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 3
South Carolina -3.0 (48.5)
Vanderbilt won at South Carolina this year (31-7)

Previous Matchups
South Carolina beat Vanderbilt last year (28-7)
South Carolina beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (47-6)
South Carolina beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (38-27)

  
VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia16624069%20631858.6
Blaze Berlowitz51242%76106.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia9950165.136
Sedrick Alexander7940265.165
Makhilyn Young34386511.480
Jamezell Lassiter8144218.048
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers38543414.367
Junior Sherrill31395512.740
Tre Richardson (Tr)26325112.537
Richie Hoskins21243211.653

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Steve Gregory (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard (Tr)472140
Bryan Longwell466042
Langston Patterson401030
Marlen Sewell350001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Miles Capers269521
Zaylin Wood194341
Khordae Sydnor237373
Keanu Koht (Tr)62210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randon Fontenette285043
Khordae Sydnor237373
Jaylon Stone (Tr)162012

SC's OC ? (Int) (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lanorris Sellers12420162%1536757.6
Luke Doty182864%148015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahsul Faison (Tr)8135034.336
Matthew Fuller5418123.472
Lanorris Sellers11715831.420
Oscar Adaway III3813113.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nyck Harbor21401419.164
Vandrevious Jacobs21343216.359
Brady Hunt1614409.020
Donovan Murph10139013.927

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DQ Smith512001
Fred Johnson424121
Justin Okoronkwo (Tr)423011
Jalon Kilgore380015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Thomas Jr.287571
Dylan Stewart2811361
Nick Barrett324201
Jatius Geer103210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalon Kilgore380015
Brandon Cisse (Tr)202014
Vicari Swain231104