Alcorn State at Vanderbilt - 2024 Matchup Preview

Alcorn State Braves at Vanderbilt Commodores

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Vanderbilt -32.5 (47.5) (-20000) Open: -31.0 | 49.5
Vanderbilt 55 - Alcorn State: 0

Braves (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 2 - 48 (2 - 48 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ALCN 2nd straight Road Game
VAN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Vanderbilt -6.5 (SP+ VAN -5)
VAN Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%

Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ALCN Players
VAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alcorn State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Alcorn State at UAB	+29.5	55.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/7	Alcorn State at Vanderbilt	+32.5	47.5	L 0 - 55	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alcorn State's Schedule

Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	53.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State	-32.5	47.5	W 55 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Vanderbilt at Georgia State	-8.5	45.5	L 32 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/21	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+17.5	52.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Vanderbilt vs Alabama	+23.5	53.5	W 40 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+12.5	44.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Vanderbilt vs Ball State	-27.5	57.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/26	Vanderbilt vs Texas	+17.0	50.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Vanderbilt at Auburn	+7.5	48.0	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+6.0	44.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Vanderbilt at LSU	+10.0	53.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+9.5	45.5	L 23 - 36	O	N
Fri 12/27	Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALCN		0%	1.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	48	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)	27.3	42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)	23.4	46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALCN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)		42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)		46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALCN Offense	2	1.5	1.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
VAN Defense	13	23.4	23.9	46.9%	4.22	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	46%	48%	16%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALCN Defense	2	48	48	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
VAN Offense	13	27.3	29.6	42.2%	4.25	0.5	17	295	129	166	3.9	58%	42%	42%	43%	15%	.17

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alcorn State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Vanderbilt	13	28:39	16.6	44%	54%	5	48.3	0.5	1.1	4.8	1.7	4	31.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALCN Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
VAN Defense	13	49% (47)	46% (96)	-	-	-	-	.12 (70)	2.98 (62)	77% (88)	10% (76)	0.89 (30)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALCN Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
VAN Offense	13	58% (18)	42% (93)	33.1	129.2	3.9	16 (90)	.06 (104)	2.8 (105)	83% (10)	8% (41)	0.87 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALCN Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
VAN Defense	13	51% (90)	48% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.37 (120)	1.5 (33)	29% (111)	36% (122)	.45 (117)	7% (48)	2.1 (72)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALCN Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
VAN Offense	13	42% (115)	43% (53)	12.8	21.8	166.3	7.6	13	18 (68)	4 (1)	.33 (33)	1.7 (37)	33% (108)	31% (74)	.32 (75)	7% (96)	2.1 (64)

Alcorn State's Power Ratings
Alcorn State's Power Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Offense Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alcorn State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Alcorn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Alcorn State: Vanderbilt: 6.445

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alcorn State: Vanderbilt: 4.9

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 6.445 #49
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 12.18 #91
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Alcorn State Scoring
Offense: 1.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 1.5
Defense: 48 PPG
Defense on Road: 48

Alcorn State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Vanderbilt 28
Alcorn State 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Vanderbilt 35
Alcorn State 21

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Vanderbilt 38
Alcorn State 13

Total Points: 51

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Vanderbilt	55	Alcorn State	0	Vanderbilt -32.5	Vanderbilt	47.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Vanderbilt	1	1	1 Overs
Alcorn State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) ALCN at (#49) VAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ALCN	VAN
Power RatePwr	NR	#49
SP+SP+	NR	#50
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#81
OffenseOff	NR	#77
DefenseDef	NR	#100
Spec TeamsST	NR	#59
TalentTal	NR	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#65

Alcorn State Injury Report

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Alcorn State on Offense


CategoryCat	ALCN Off	VAN Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#100
SuccessSuc	NR	#121
ExplosiveExp	NR	#38
PPAPPA	NR	#111
PowerPwr	NR	#91
SP+SP+	NR	#59
Pts POPPO	NR	#109
HavocHav	NR	#65

Alcorn State Run Game


CategoryCat	ALCN Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	NR	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#96
Run ExplRExp	NR	#30
PPAExp	NR	#70
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#62
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#39
TackleTak	-	#105

Alcorn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALCN Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#125
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#33
PPAExp	NR	#120
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#107
F7 HavocF7	NR	#76
DB HavocDB	NR	#48

Vanderbilt on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	ALCN Def
Perf GradePerf	#77	NR
SuccessSuc	#75	NR
ExplosiveExp	#108	NR
PPAPPA	#76	NR
PowerPwr	#75	NR
SP+SP+	#60	NR
Pts POPPO	#34	NR
HavocHav	#52	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	ALCN Def
Run GameRun	#81	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#93	NR
Run ExplRExp	#116	NR
PPAExp	#104	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#107	-
OL YdsOLY	#105	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#117	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Vanderbilt Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	VAN Off	ALCN Def
Pass GamePass	#16	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#53	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#37	NR
PPAExp	#33	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#127	NR
F7 HavocF7	#41	NR
DB HavocDB	#96	NR

Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ALCN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 70° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Vanderbilt -32.5 (47.5)
Vanderbilt won vs Alcorn State this year (55-0)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Alcorn State last year (55-0)

ALCN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alcorn State's Full Roster

ALCN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Edwin Summerour	11	0	0
Geoffrey McKelton	11	1	0
Jaquez Dew	10	1	0
Stemarion Edwards	10	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Brendon Gibson	5	2	1
Stemarion Edwards	10	3	1
Jahleel Anderson	4	0	0
Brandon Rogers	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Andrew Smith	4	2
Kole Williams	6	1
Edwin Summerour	11	0

VAN's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Diego Pavia (Tr)	177	298	59%	2293	20	4	7.7
Nate Johnson (Tr)	1	3	33%	12	0	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Diego Pavia (Tr)	193	800	8	4.1	36
Sedrick Alexander	164	586	6	3.6	31
AJ Newberry	41	185	3	4.5	20
Nate Johnson (Tr)	11	114	1	10.4	56

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)	49	638	5	13.0	41
Junior Sherrill	29	411	3	14.2	43
Quincy Skinner Jr.	29	367	3	12.7	63
Sedrick Alexander	23	238	1	10.3	38

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Clark Lea (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Longwell	88	8	2	2	4
Langston Patterson	78	5	0	0	2
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
CJ Taylor	64	3	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nicholas Rinaldi	52	6	6	0	0
Khordae Sydnor (Tr)	14	7	4	2	2
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
Miles Capers	45	8	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	72	8	3	0	7
Bryan Longwell	88	8	2	2	4
Martel Hight	33	2	0	1	4