Vanderbilt at Kentucky - 2022 Matchup Preview

Vanderbilt Commodores at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Kentucky -17.0 (45.5)
Vanderbilt 24 - Kentucky: 21 (SEC)

Commodores (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -11.5 (SP+ UK -18)
Projected Score: VAN: 30 - UK: 25 (55)
UK Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
VAN Travel: 182 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (59 - 53)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Vanderbilt at Hawai'i	-9.5	54.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/3	Vanderbilt vs Elon	-18.5	51.5	W 42 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Vanderbilt vs Wake Forest	+13.5	65.5	L 25 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Vanderbilt at Northern Illinois	+2.5	58.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Vanderbilt at Alabama	+40.5	61.0	L 3 - 55	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss	+17.0	59.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/15	Vanderbilt at Georgia	+37.5	56.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 10/22	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+14.0	49.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+6.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/12	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+17.0	45.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Vanderbilt vs Florida	+14.0	58.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+14.0	63.5	L 0 - 56	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Kentucky's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kentucky vs Miami (OH)	-15.0	55.0	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Kentucky at Florida	+6.0	53.0	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Kentucky vs Youngstown State	-30.0	49.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Kentucky vs Northern Illinois	-27.0	52.5	W 31 - 23	O	N
Sat 10/1	Kentucky at Ole Miss	+6.5	55.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-4.0	45.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/15	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+3.5	50.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Kentucky at Tennessee	+10.5	62.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 11/5	Kentucky at Missouri	+1.0	40.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-17.0	45.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Kentucky vs Georgia	+22.5	47.5	L 6 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Kentucky vs Louisville	-3.5	42.5	W 26 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/31	Kentucky vs Iowa	+3.0	31.5	L 0 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	.1	34%	38.5	35%	2.69	124	33%	189	3.31	.34	49%	22.8	49%	49%	4.37	42.3	1.6	1.3
UK	.26	50%	23	52%	3.57	200	49%	226	4.88	.16	44%	26.4	42%	47%	3.61	42.2	1.8	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	12	38.5	33	33.7%	3.31	1.6	18	313	124	189	3.5	49%	51%	35%	33%	18%	.1
UK Defense	13	26.4	22.6	44.4%	3.61	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	42%	47%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	12	22.8	23	48.7%	4.37	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	49%	49%	15%	.34
UK Offense	13	23	31.7	50.4%	4.88	1.8	23	425	200	226	5.2	55%	45%	52%	49%	15%	.26

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	12	30:53	17.6	32%	63%	5.5	42.3	1.6	1.3	4.3	0.8	0	24.6
Kentucky	13	32:35	22.8	50%	38%	4.8	42.2	1.8	0.9	6.1	2.2	4	27.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	12	49%	35%	35.3	123.5	3.5	8	.06	2.69	70%	10%	1.07
UK Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	.06	3.03	76%	11%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	12	48%	49%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.5	68%	8%	1.06
UK Offense	13	55%	52%	38.2	199.5	5.2	27	.23	3.57	78%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	12	51%	33%	18.8	34	189.3	5.6	10.1	13	14	.15	1.7	36%	28%	.36	8%	2.1
UK Defense	13	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.4	32%	29%	.2	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	12	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.41	1.5	30%	37%	.5	7%	2.1
UK Offense	13	45%	49%	18.6	28.2	225.6	8	12.1	24	13	.31	1.5	27%	39%	.44	6%	1.8

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2022 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.7 #87
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #58
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #97

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: Kentucky: 9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -4.7 Kentucky: 13.0

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 9 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2022 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #25
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #91
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.9 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Vanderbilt 30
Kentucky 25

Projected Total Points: 55

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Vanderbilt	45	Kentucky	17	Vanderbilt -7	Vanderbilt	53.5	Over
2024	10/12	Kentucky	13	Vanderbilt	20	Kentucky -12.5	Vanderbilt	44.5	Under
2023	09/23	Vanderbilt	28	Kentucky	45	Kentucky -13.5	Kentucky	50.0	Over
2022	11/12	Kentucky	21	Vanderbilt	24	Kentucky -17.0	Vanderbilt	45.5	Under
2021	11/13	Vanderbilt	17	Kentucky	34	Kentucky -21.5	Vanderbilt	52.5	Under
2020	11/14	Kentucky	38	Vanderbilt	35	Kentucky -17.5	Vanderbilt	41.5	Over
2019	11/16	Vanderbilt	14	Kentucky	38	Kentucky -9	Kentucky	43.0	Over
2018	10/20	Kentucky	14	Vanderbilt	7	Kentucky -10.5	Vanderbilt	45.0	Under
2017	11/11	Vanderbilt	21	Kentucky	44	Vanderbilt -2.5	Kentucky	53.0	Over
2016	10/08	Kentucky	20	Vanderbilt	13	Kentucky -2	Kentucky	48.5	Under
2015	11/14	Vanderbilt	21	Kentucky	17	Vanderbilt -2.5	Vanderbilt	41.5	Under
2014	09/27	Kentucky	17	Vanderbilt	7	Kentucky -14	Vanderbilt	0
2013	11/16	Vanderbilt	22	Kentucky	6	Vanderbilt -13.5	Vanderbilt	0
2012	11/03	Kentucky	0	Vanderbilt	40
2011	11/12	Vanderbilt	38	Kentucky	8
2010	11/13	Kentucky	38	Vanderbilt	20
2009	11/14	Vanderbilt	13	Kentucky	24
2008	11/15	Kentucky	24	Vanderbilt	31
2007	11/10	Vanderbilt	20	Kentucky	27
2006	11/11	Kentucky	38	Vanderbilt	26
2005	11/12	Vanderbilt	43	Kentucky	48
2004	11/13	Kentucky	14	Vanderbilt	13
2003	11/15	Vanderbilt	28	Kentucky	17
2001	11/10	Vanderbilt	30	Kentucky	56
2000	11/10	Kentucky	20	Vanderbilt	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	15	4	5 Overs
Vanderbilt	10	9	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 13	5 - 8	4 - 6	1 - 2
Road Teams	13 - 12	8 - 5	2 - 1	6 - 4

(#) VAN at (#) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VAN	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#25
Perf GradeGrade	#131	#61
OffenseOff	#118	#72
DefenseDef	#131	#38
Spec TeamsST	#91	#131
TalentTal	#57	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#38
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#79	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#124	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#122	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#96	#66
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	VAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#131
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#97
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#54	#121
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#91	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#126

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#120
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#70	#136
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Kentucky -17.0 (45.5)
Vanderbilt won at Kentucky this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Kentucky last year (45-17)
Vanderbilt beat Kentucky in 2024 (20-13)
Kentucky beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (45-28)

VAN's OC Joey Lynch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Nick Howell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UK's OC Rich Scangarello (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD