Missouri at Vanderbilt - 2021 Matchup Preview

Missouri Tigers at Vanderbilt Commodores

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (3:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -16 (62.5)
Missouri 37 - Vanderbilt: 28 (SEC)

Tigers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (18 - 17 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VAN 2nd straight Home Game
MIZ coming off BYE
VAN is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ MIZ -22.5)
Projected Score: MIZ: 23 - VAN: 30 (53)
MIZ Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
MIZ Travel: 359 miles

Commodores (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIZ Players
VAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Missouri vs Central Michigan	-13.5	59.0	W 34 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/11	Missouri at Kentucky	+5.5	56.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/18	Missouri vs Southeast Missouri State	-34.5	59.0	W 59 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/25	Missouri at Boston College	+1.0	58.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/2	Missouri vs Tennessee	-2.5	66.5	L 24 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/9	Missouri vs North Texas	-18.5	69.0	W 48 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/16	Missouri vs Texas A&M	+11.5	59.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Missouri at Vanderbilt	-16.0	62.5	W 37 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/6	Missouri at Georgia	+40.0	59.0	L 6 - 43	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Missouri vs South Carolina	-1.0	56.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Missouri vs Florida	+9.5	69.0	W 24 - 23	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Missouri at Arkansas	+14.5	63.0	L 17 - 34	U	N
Wed 12/22	Missouri vs Army	+7.0	54.0	L 22 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Vanderbilt's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Vanderbilt vs East Tennessee State	-21.0	45.0	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/11	Vanderbilt at Colorado State	+6.5	52.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Vanderbilt vs Stanford	+13.0	49.0	L 23 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/25	Vanderbilt vs Georgia	+36.0	54.5	L 0 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/2	Vanderbilt vs UConn	-14.5	51.5	W 30 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/9	Vanderbilt at Florida	+39.0	60.5	L 0 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/16	Vanderbilt at South Carolina	+19.0	50.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Vanderbilt vs Mississippi State	+21.0	53.0	L 6 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/30	Vanderbilt vs Missouri	+16.0	62.5	L 28 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Vanderbilt vs Kentucky	+21.5	52.5	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Vanderbilt at Ole Miss	+35.5	66.5	L 17 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Vanderbilt at Tennessee	+33.0	65.0	L 21 - 45	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	.18	44%	30.2	42%	2.55	136	46%	267	3.6	.28	47%	18.9	53%	42%	4.91	50	1.4	0.7
VAN	.07	39%	38.5	36%	2.6	109	41%	220	2.43	.39	54%	22.8	51%	56%	4.05	38.1	1.9	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	10	30.2	17.5	44.1%	3.6	1.4	22	403	136	267	3.9	50%	50%	42%	46%	14%	.18
VAN Defense	9	22.8	21.1	53.9%	4.05	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	51%	56%	12%	.39

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	10	18.9	17	47.2%	4.91	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	53%	42%	16%	.28
VAN Offense	9	38.5	44	38.7%	2.43	1.9	20	329	109	220	3	50%	50%	36%	41%	18%	.07

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	10	30:41	22.2	43%	56%	5.8	50	1.4	0.7	5	1.9	1	27.3
Vanderbilt	9	29:40	20	40%	60%	4.7	38.1	1.9	1.1	3.7	1.4	0	25.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	10	50%	42%	35	136.2	3.9	21	.04	2.55	64%	10%	0.89
VAN Defense	9	43%	51%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.23	74%	7%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	10	50%	53%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.32	75%	9%	0.86
VAN Offense	9	50%	36%	36.7	108.9	3	4	-.03	2.6	73%	12%	0.77

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	10	50%	46%	24.6	36.3	266.8	7.4	10.9	9	6	.33	1.5	30%	34%	.38	4%	1.9
VAN Defense	9	57%	56%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.51	1.4	27%	36%	.44	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	10	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.35	1.8	30%	36%	.44	6%	2
VAN Offense	9	50%	41%	21.3	33.3	219.9	6.6	10.3	13	11	.18	1.5	33%	27%	.21	6%	1.8

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Missouri's 2021 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #69
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #52
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #97

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: Vanderbilt: -7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 3.1 Vanderbilt: -19.4

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -7.2 NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Vanderbilt's 2021 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.4 #123
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #125
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #116

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Missouri's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Vanderbilt 30
Missouri 23

Projected Total Points: 53

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

Vanderbilt's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri	10	Vanderbilt -3	Vanderbilt	52.5	Under
2024	09/21	Missouri	30	Vanderbilt	27	Missouri -17.5	Vanderbilt	52.0	Over
2023	09/30	Vanderbilt	21	Missouri	38	Missouri -14	Missouri	53.5	Over
2022	10/22	Missouri	17	Vanderbilt	14	Missouri -14	Vanderbilt	49.0	Under
2021	10/30	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri	37	Missouri -16	Vanderbilt	62.5	Over
2020	11/28	Missouri	41	Vanderbilt	0	Vanderbilt -2	Missouri	52.5	Under
2019	10/19	Vanderbilt	21	Missouri	14	Missouri -21	Vanderbilt	56.5	Under
2018	11/10	Missouri	33	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri -13.5	Vanderbilt	65.0	Under
2017	11/18	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri	45	Missouri -8.5	Missouri	65.0	Under
2016	11/12	Missouri	26	Vanderbilt	17	Missouri -1	Missouri	53.0	Under
2015	10/24	Vanderbilt	10	Missouri	3	Missouri -2	Vanderbilt	34.0	Under
2014	10/25	Missouri	24	Vanderbilt	14	Missouri -24	Vanderbilt	0
2013	10/05	Vanderbilt	28	Missouri	51	Vanderbilt -2.5	Missouri	0
2012	10/06	Missouri	15	Vanderbilt	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Vanderbilt	4	8	3 Overs
Missouri	10	5	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	6 - 7	2 - 5	4 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 9	7 - 6	2 - 4	5 - 2

(#) MIZ at (#) VAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIZ	VAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#123
Perf GradeGrade	#63	#131
OffenseOff	#57	#127
DefenseDef	#97	#121
Spec TeamsST	#16	#125
TalentTal	#45	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Missouri Injury Report

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	VAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#57	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#45	#116
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#118

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#111
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#19	#133
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#97
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#125	#97
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	#97	#92
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#70

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#129	#92
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#121	#58
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Missouri 16.0 (62.5)
Missouri won at Vanderbilt this year (37-28)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Missouri last year (17-10)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2024 (30-27)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-21)

MIZ's OC Eliah Drinkwitz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Steve Wilks (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

VAN's OC David Raih (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Jesse Minter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD