Vanderbilt at Tennessee - 2021 Matchup Preview

Vanderbilt Commodores at Tennessee Volunteers

Saturday, November 27th 2021 (3:45 PM EST)
Tennessee -33 (65.0)
Tennessee 45 - Vanderbilt: 21 (SEC)

Commodores (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VAN 2nd straight Road Game
TENN 3rd straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -21 (SP+ TENN -37)
Projected Score: VAN: 33 - TENN: 32 (65)
TENN Win prob: 99% | Cover: 52%
VAN Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs behind

Volunteers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Vanderbilt vs East Tennessee State	-21.0	45.0	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/11	Vanderbilt at Colorado State	+6.5	52.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Vanderbilt vs Stanford	+13.0	49.0	L 23 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/25	Vanderbilt vs Georgia	+36.0	54.5	L 0 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/2	Vanderbilt vs UConn	-14.5	51.5	W 30 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/9	Vanderbilt at Florida	+39.0	60.5	L 0 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/16	Vanderbilt at South Carolina	+19.0	50.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Vanderbilt vs Mississippi State	+21.0	53.0	L 6 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/30	Vanderbilt vs Missouri	+16.0	62.5	L 28 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Vanderbilt vs Kentucky	+21.5	52.5	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Vanderbilt at Ole Miss	+35.5	66.5	L 17 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Vanderbilt at Tennessee	+33.0	65.0	L 21 - 45	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Tennessee vs Bowling Green	-37.0	60.5	W 38 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/11	Tennessee vs Pittsburgh	+3.5	56.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/18	Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech	-38.0	53.0	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Tennessee at Florida	+19.0	65.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/2	Tennessee at Missouri	+2.5	66.5	W 62 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Tennessee vs South Carolina	-10.5	57.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Tennessee vs Ole Miss	+1.0	82.0	L 26 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/23	Tennessee at Alabama	+24.5	68.0	L 24 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Tennessee at Kentucky	-1.0	57.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Tennessee vs Georgia	+19.0	56.0	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/20	Tennessee vs South Alabama	-28.5	61.5	W 60 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Tennessee vs Vanderbilt	-33.0	65.0	W 45 - 21	O	N
Thu 12/30	Tennessee vs Purdue	-8.0	67.0	L 45 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	.07	39%	38.5	36%	2.6	109	41%	220	2.43	.39	54%	22.8	51%	56%	4.05	38.1	1.9	1.1
TENN	.14	43%	39.8	44%	3.13	142	43%	205	3.02	.2	48%	28.8	46%	51%	3.83	50.2	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	9	38.5	33	38.7%	2.43	1.9	20	329	109	220	3	50%	50%	36%	41%	18%	.07
TENN Defense	10	28.8	29	48.3%	3.83	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	51%	15%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	9	22.8	23	53.9%	4.05	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	51%	56%	12%	.39
TENN Offense	10	39.8	42.3	43.2%	3.02	1.5	20	346	142	205	3.8	52%	48%	44%	43%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	9	29:40	20	40%	60%	4.7	38.1	1.9	1.1	3.7	1.4	0	25.6
Tennessee	10	27:56	20.1	30%	67%	6.1	50.2	1.5	1	5.5	2	2	27.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	9	50%	36%	36.7	108.9	3	4	-.03	2.6	73%	12%	0.77
TENN Defense	10	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.61	78%	10%	0.77

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	9	43%	51%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.23	74%	7%	1
TENN Offense	10	52%	44%	37.5	141.5	3.8	12	.13	3.13	74%	10%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	9	50%	41%	21.3	33.3	219.9	6.6	10.3	13	11	.18	1.5	33%	27%	.21	6%	1.8
TENN Defense	10	48%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.35	1.4	28%	35%	.25	5%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	9	57%	56%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.51	1.4	27%	36%	.44	5%	2
TENN Offense	10	48%	43%	17.9	28.5	204.7	7.2	11.4	14	9	.16	1.6	29%	28%	.18	6%	1.8

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2021 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.4 #123
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #125
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #116

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: Tennessee: 11.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -19.4 Tennessee: 17.5

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 11.25 NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #10
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #47

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Vanderbilt 33
Tennessee 32

Projected Total Points: 65

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Tennessee	24	Vanderbilt	45	Tennessee -2.0	Vanderbilt	66.5	Over
2024	11/30	Vanderbilt	23	Tennessee	36	Tennessee -9.5	Tennessee	45.5	Over
2023	11/25	Tennessee	48	Vanderbilt	24	Tennessee -27.0	Vanderbilt	58.0	Over
2022	11/26	Vanderbilt	0	Tennessee	56	Tennessee -14	Tennessee	63.5	Under
2021	11/27	Tennessee	45	Vanderbilt	21	Tennessee -33	Vanderbilt	65.0	Over
2020	12/12	Vanderbilt	17	Tennessee	42	Tennessee -15	Tennessee	51.0	Over
2019	11/30	Tennessee	28	Vanderbilt	10	Tennessee -23	Vanderbilt	48.0	Under
2018	11/24	Vanderbilt	38	Tennessee	13	Vanderbilt -3.5	Vanderbilt	51.5	Under
2017	11/25	Tennessee	24	Vanderbilt	42	Tennessee -2.5	Vanderbilt	45.5	Over
2016	11/26	Vanderbilt	45	Tennessee	34	Tennessee -10	Vanderbilt	50.0	Over
2015	11/28	Tennessee	53	Vanderbilt	28	Tennessee -17.5	Tennessee	41.0	Over
2014	11/29	Vanderbilt	17	Tennessee	24	Tennessee -14.5	Vanderbilt	0
2013	11/23	Tennessee	10	Vanderbilt	14	Tennessee -2.5	Vanderbilt	0
2012	11/17	Vanderbilt	41	Tennessee	18
2011	11/19	Tennessee	27	Vanderbilt	21
2010	11/20	Vanderbilt	10	Tennessee	24
2009	11/21	Tennessee	31	Vanderbilt	16
2008	11/22	Vanderbilt	10	Tennessee	20
2007	11/17	Tennessee	25	Vanderbilt	24
2006	11/18	Vanderbilt	10	Tennessee	39
2005	11/19	Tennessee	24	Vanderbilt	28
2004	11/20	Vanderbilt	33	Tennessee	38
2003	11/22	Tennessee	48	Vanderbilt	0
2001	11/24	Tennessee	38	Vanderbilt	0
2000	11/24	Vanderbilt	26	Tennessee	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	18	4	8 Overs
Vanderbilt	7	9	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 13	4 - 9	2 - 6	2 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 12	9 - 4	3 - 2	6 - 2

(#) VAN at (#) TENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VAN	TENN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#10
Perf GradeGrade	#131	#78
OffenseOff	#127	#81
DefenseDef	#121	#68
Spec TeamsST	#125	#110
TalentTal	#57	#19
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Tennessee Injury Report

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	TENN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#68
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#125	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#97	#52
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#86

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#129	#83
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#121	#76
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	TENN Off	VAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#81	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#7	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	#11	#116
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#118

Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	#60	#111
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#115	#133
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

VAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Tennessee -33.0 (65.0)
Tennessee won vs Vanderbilt this year (45-21)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Tennessee last year (45-24)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2024 (36-23)
Tennessee beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (48-24)

VAN's OC David Raih (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Jesse Minter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD