Vanderbilt at Wake Forest Game Matchup

Vanderbilt Commodores at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (11:00 AM EDT)
Wake Forest -9.5 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Wake Forest 36 - Vanderbilt: 20

Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (23 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WAKE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Wake Forest -7.5 (SP+ WAKE -6)
Projected Score: VAN: 24 - WAKE: 31 (55)
WAKE Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
VAN Travel: 366 miles, 1 hrs behind

Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (62 - 53)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (27 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VAN Players
WAKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i	-17.0	54.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/2	Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M	-35.0	53.5	W 47 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/9	Vanderbilt at Wake Forest	+9.5	55.0	L 20 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/16	Vanderbilt at UNLV	-4.5	56.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Vanderbilt vs Kentucky	+13.5	50.0	L 28 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/30	Vanderbilt vs Missouri	+14.0	53.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/7	Vanderbilt at Florida	+18.0	51.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/14	Vanderbilt vs Georgia	+32.5	55.0	L 20 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Vanderbilt at Ole Miss	+24.0	62.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/4	Vanderbilt vs Auburn	+12.5	50.0	L 15 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Vanderbilt at South Carolina	+13.5	53.5	L 6 - 47	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25	Vanderbilt at Tennessee	+27.0	58.0	L 24 - 48	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule

Wake Forest's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Wake Forest vs Elon	-33.5	53.5	W 37 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt	-9.5	55.0	W 36 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Wake Forest at Old Dominion	-13.5	60.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech	-3.5	58.5	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wake Forest at Clemson	+21.0	53.5	L 12 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wake Forest at Virginia Tech	+1.5	48.5	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	45.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Wake Forest vs Florida State	+21.0	53.5	L 16 - 41	O	N
Thu 11/2	Wake Forest at Duke	+6.5	41.0	L 21 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Wake Forest vs NC State	-0.5	42.5	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wake Forest at Notre Dame	+22.5	47.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wake Forest at Syracuse	+3.0	43.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN	.16	40%	27.3	40%	2.98	160	42%	187	3.73	.31	45%	23.4	42%	49%	4.14	46.1	1.3	1.8
WAKE	.24	47%	25.7	44%	2.97	132	51%	312	4.73	.2	43%	32.5	44%	43%	3.81	40.8	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WAKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Offense	12	27.3	22.6	40.3%	3.73	1.3	18	347	160	187	4.3	56%	43%	40%	42%	18%	.16
WAKE Defense	13	32.5	34.7	43.2%	3.81	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	44%	43%	17%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VAN Defense	12	23.4	22	45.5%	4.14	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	42%	49%	15%	.31
WAKE Offense	13	25.7	26.6	47.1%	4.73	1.5	25	444	132	312	3.4	45%	54%	44%	51%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Vanderbilt	12	31:36	17.5	37%	38%	5.3	46.1	1.3	1.8	4.7	1.4	0	28.8
Wake Forest	13	28:27	25.2	46%	50%	4.8	40.8	1.5	1.5	5.9	2.2	2	30.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Offense	12	56%	40%	37.1	159.9	4.3	13	.1	2.98	73%	10%	1
WAKE Defense	13	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.98	77%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VAN Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.24	54%	9%	1.07
WAKE Offense	13	45%	44%	38.6	131.6	3.4	17	.03	2.97	73%	8%	0.72

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Offense	12	43%	42%	16.7	28.8	187.3	6.5	11.2	22	6	.29	1.7	33%	27%	.32	8%	2.3
WAKE Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.29	1.7	35%	34%	.45	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VAN Defense	12	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.55	1.7	29%	33%	.49	5%	2.3
WAKE Offense	13	54%	51%	23.2	36.5	311.9	8.6	13.4	43	13	.45	1.6	30%	37%	.43	7%	2

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -11.51 Wake Forest: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -13.7 Wake Forest: -7.5

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -4.95 #103
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
2023 Talent Rating: 656.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Wake Forest's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Wake Forest's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Wake Forest 31
Vanderbilt 24

Projected Total Points: 55

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Wake Forest's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Wake Forest	36	Vanderbilt	20	Wake Forest	Wake Forest -9.5	Wake Forest	55.0	Over
2022	09/10	Vanderbilt	25	Wake Forest	45	Wake Forest	Wake Forest -13.5	Wake Forest	65.5	Over
2013	11/30	Vanderbilt	23	Wake Forest	21	Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt -14	Wake Forest	0
2012	11/24	Wake Forest	21	Vanderbilt	55	Vanderbilt
2011	11/26	Wake Forest	7	Vanderbilt	41	Vanderbilt
2010	11/27	Vanderbilt	13	Wake Forest	34	Wake Forest
2008	11/29	Wake Forest	23	Vanderbilt	10	Wake Forest
2007	11/24	Vanderbilt	17	Wake Forest	31	Wake Forest
2005	09/01	Wake Forest	20	Vanderbilt	24	Vanderbilt
2000	10/06	Wake Forest	10	Vanderbilt	17	Vanderbilt

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wake Forest	5	3	2 Overs
Vanderbilt	5	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 7	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 3	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

(#122) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20

Team Profile

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Vanderbilt Ratings Matchup Wake Forest

Power #122

#103

Off #122

#123

Def #124

#80

Talent #19

#63

SP+ #113

#92

SP+ Off #84

#101

SP+ Def #125

#66

Rematch from Week 2
Wake Forest -9.5 (55.0)
Wake Forest won vs Vanderbilt this year (36-20)

Previous Matchups
Wake Forest beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (36-20)
Wake Forest beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (45-25)

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 81°

Team Information
Injuries: VAN | WAKE
Depth Chart: VAN | WAKE
Rosters: VAN | WAKE

(#103) Wake Forest Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.95 #103
Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 656.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20

Team Profile

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Vanderbilt's OC Joey Lynch

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ken Seals	10	13	77%	97	1	0	7.5
AJ Swann	2	4	50%	10	0	0	2.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Quincy Skinner Jr.	1	22	22.0	22
Jayden McGowan	2	13	6.5	7
Ken Seals	4	12	3.0	7
Landon Wells	1	-2	-2.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Sheppard	48	621	6	12.9	47
Quincy Skinner Jr.	29	367	3	12.7	63
London Humphreys	15	244	2	16.3	40
Logan Kyle	11	132	1	12.0	30

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

Vanderbilt's DC Nick Howell

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Barr	72	3	0	2	2
CJ Taylor	64	3	0	1	3
John Howse IV	51	4	1	0	1
De'Rickey Wright	47	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aeneas DiCosmo (Tr)	23	3	2	1	2
John Howse IV	51	4	1	0	1
Nate Clifton	21	2	1	0	2
Ethan Barr	72	3	0	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
CJ Taylor	64	3	1	3
Ethan Barr	72	3	2	2
De'Rickey Wright	47	1	0	2

Wake Forest's OC Warren Ruggiero

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Santino Marucci	49	112	44%	519	3	5	4.6
Michael Kern	24	45	53%	288	1	3	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justice Ellison	159	848	10	5.3	47
Santino Marucci	37	131	1	3.5	38
Ke'Shawn Williams	2	27	0	13.5	14
Taylor Morin	1	9	0	9.0	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Taylor Morin	64	756	2	11.8	51
Jahmal Banks	44	587	3	13.3	31
Ke'Shawn Williams	39	448	5	11.5	52
Wesley Grimes	24	319	1	13.3	30

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

Wake Forest's DC Brad Lambert

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nick Andersen	122	1	0	1	1
Evan Slocum	65	1	0	0	2
AJ Williams	48	2	0	0	1
Kevin Pointer	33	7	4	8	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jasheen Davis	31	11	6	5	0
Kevin Pointer	33	7	4	8	1
Bryce Ganious (Tr)	26	5	3	7	0
Justin Williams	9	3	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Evan Slocum	65	1	0	0	2
Dashawn Jones	23	3	1	0	2
Nick Andersen	122	1	0	1	1