Texas Tech Team Profile
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(#4) Texas Tech Red Raiders (@TexasTechFB)
Joey McGuire (4th year) (35-17)
Record: 12 - 2 (9 - 1)  |  Proj: 12 - 1 (#3)  |  SOS: (#64)
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Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.558.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-13.551.5W 35 - 11UY
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-13.558.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-7.552.5L 22 - 26UN
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-37.556.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-7.551.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-13.550.5W 29 - 7UY
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-24.548.5W 48 - 9OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-24.553.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 12/6 Texas Tech vs BYU-12.550.5W 34 - 7UY
Thu 1/1 Texas Tech vs Oregon-1.550.5L 0 - 23UN

Record Prediction: 12.0 - 1.0  #3
Schedule Rating:  #64
Record: 12 - 2( B12: 9 - 1)
Spread Record 11 - 3 - 0 | O/U 5 - 9
Future 2026 Schedule

Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-34.558.5W 52 - 51ON
Sat 9/7 Texas Tech at Washington State-2.564.5L 16 - 37UN
Sat 9/14 Texas Tech vs North Texas-10.570.5W 66 - 21OY
Sat 9/21 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-4.558.5W 30 - 22UY
Sat 9/28 Texas Tech vs Cincinnati-3.060.0W 44 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Texas Tech at Arizona+6.064.0W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas Tech vs Baylor-4.556.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 10/26 Texas Tech at TCU+5.066.0L 34 - 35OY
Sat 11/2 Texas Tech at Iowa State+13.555.0W 23 - 22UY
Sat 11/9 Texas Tech vs Colorado+5.062.0L 27 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-5.063.5W 56 - 48OY
Sat 11/30 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-2.561.5W 52 - 15OY
Fri 12/27 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39ON

2024 Schedule Rating:  #52
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (B12: 6 - 3)
Spread Record 7 - 5 - 1 | O/U 9 - 4


Opponents: 3 Elite, 1 Good, 3 Avg, 2 Bad, 3 Poor
Played: 3 Elite, 1 Good, 3 Avg, 2 Bad, 3 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 242 points   #19
2025 class: 202 points   #48
2024 class: 236 points   #25
2023 class: 222 points   #27
2022 class: 197 points   #43

Average Class Ranking:   #32
Average Recruiting Points: 220

Four Year Crootin Profile
Declining Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class:  #36 - Best:  #25 Worst:  #48



CFB Crootin Averages
Big 12 Class: 201  #49
Power 4 Class: 225  #49
FBS Class: 179  #69


2021 class: 167 points   #64
2020 class: 183 points   #49
2019 class: 178 points   #61
2018 class: 170 points   #72
2017 class: 183 points   #49

Average Class Ranking:   #59
Average Recruiting Points: 176
 

2025 Portal Class  #2 - 21 players, 89 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #30 - 14 players, 87 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #59 - 7 players, 88 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #25 - 14 players, 85 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton21933366%27802268.3
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2111138145.471
J'Koby Williams15486665.650
Will Hammond4329957.064
Adam Hill4524005.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas53830715.761
Reginald Virgil57705612.442
Coy Eakin49653613.342
Terrance Carter (Tr)55624511.350
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez12210116
Ben Roberts884035
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)756106
John Curry734124
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)512015103
Romello Height (Tr)371110131
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)4010574
Lee Hunter (Tr)4211330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez12210116
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)756106
Dontae Balfour (Tr)231005
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 75%  #4
Offense Returning Production: 68%  #25
Defense Returning Production: 82%  #1

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #2
21 Commits, 89.5 Avg Rating
27% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 22% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00  #28
Offense Talent  #27 | Defense Talent  #29
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #44 | 2021  #59


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 12 - 2
2025 Conf Record: 9 - 1
Spread: 11 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 9

2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 9 - 4

2023 Record: 7 - 6
2023 Conf Record: 5 - 4
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

2022 Record: 8 - 5
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 4
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

Four Year Record: 35 - 18
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 32 - 20 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 25 - 12
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 7 - 6
2021 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 8

2020 Record: 4 - 6
2020 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 3 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 3 - 7

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 6 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6

2018 Record: 5 - 7
2018 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4

Eight Year Record: 55 - 45
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 54 - 42 - 4
Eight Year Conference Record: 41 - 37

Texas Tech Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025CFP Quarterfinal Texas Tech vs Oregon-1.550.5L 0 - 23
2024Liberty Bowl Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39
2023Independence Bowl Texas Tech vs California-3.554.5W 34 - 14
2022Texas Bowl Texas Tech vs Ole Miss+4.573.0W 42 - 25
2021Liberty Bowl Texas Tech vs Mississippi State+10.058.5W 34 - 7
2017Birmingham Bowl Texas Tech vs South Florida+2.066.0L 34 - 38
2015Texas Bowl Texas Tech vs LSU+7.5L 27 - 56
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.24 (28)1.35 (21)43% (61)4 (41)36 (1)49%50%-.09 (1)1.17 (19)30% (1)2.41 (3)27.3 (29)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.25 (33)1.32 (40)44% (50)4.73 (7)31 (28)49%52%.23 (104)1.41 (120)44% (93)3.97 (83)30 (100)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251430:1022.749%50%6.855.71.32.37.62.92
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241327:5022.849%52%759.41.51.64.61.52



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense1439.447.936.642.8% (61)4 (41)1.3234621842784.746% (97)52% (38)43% (72)43% (51)15% (61).24 (28)
2025 Defense1411.38.713.430.1% (1)2.41 (3)2.3 - - - - - 43% (4)56% (131)29% (1)31% (3)23% (2)-.09 (1)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1337.643.731.444.2% (50)4.73 (7)1.5234251502754.545% (104)55% (27)45% (49)43% (51)14% (36).25 (33)
2024 Defense1334.835.732.843.6% (93)3.97 (83)1.6 - - - - - 45% (16)54% (120)44% (76)44% (101)13% (123).23 (104)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1446% (97)43% (72)39.11844.730 (26).17 (41)2.87 (80)80% (15)9% (59)1.09 (21)
2025 Defense1443% (4)29% (1) - - - - -.16 (1)1.94 (1)56% (3)15% (4)0.86 (17)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1345% (104)45% (49)33.2149.64.524 (45).17 (46)3.17 (45)72% (81)8% (38)1.05 (42)
2024 Defense1345% (16)44% (76) - - - - .12 (69)2.75 (30)62% (14)8% (108)1.08 (111)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1452% (38)43% (51)22.734.7277.6812.233 (5)10 (88).35 (38)1.6 (53)34% (108)33% (40).4 (28)6% (86)2.2 (24)
2025 Defense1456% (131)31% (3) - - - - - - 17 (22)- (3)1.4 (9)39% (1)22% (2).06 (4)8% (10)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1355% (27)43% (51)24.338.6275.47.111.330 (9)9 (48).31 (44)1.6 (77)32% (81)34% (39).39 (45)6% (66)2 (89)
2024 Defense1354% (120)44% (101) - - - - - - 14 (23).33 (108)1.7 (106)31% (91)36% (120).45 (116)4% (124)2.1 (94)




Overall
Power Rating  #10 | SP+ Rating  #3
Performance Grade  #3
Special Teams Grade  #6
Record Prediction 12.0 - 1.0  #3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9

5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Offense
Power  #39 | SP+  #2 | Grade  #22
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Off Success  #61 | Explosivness  #21
Rush Grade  #22 | Pass Grade  #37
Rush Success  #72 | Explosiveness  #21
Pass Success  #51 | Explosiveness  #53
Run Block  #41 | Pass Block  #23
OL YDS  #80 | Stuff Rate  #59
Scoring Zone Off:  #41

Defense
Power  #3 | SP+  #4 | Grade  #1
Def Success  #1 | Explosivness  #19
Rush Success  #1 | Explosiveness  #17
Tackling  #1 | Run Def  #1
Pass Success  #3 | Explosiveness  #9
Pass Rush  #2 | Coverage  #1
F7 Havoc  #4 | DB Havoc  #10
DL YDS  #1 | Def Stuff Rate  #13
Scoring Zone Def  #3


Roster
Team Talent  #28 Blue Chips: 20%  #26
Offense Talent  #27 Defense Talent  #29
Crootin: '25 Class  #19 - 4 YR Class:  #36
Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class  #2 - 21 players, 89 Avg
27% of Roster from Portal, 22% TY
61 New Players, 60% of '25 Roster  #63

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 39.4 - 11.3 | Scoring Margin: (28.1)
Home: 48 - 9 (39.2) | Road: 37 - 13 (23.2)
OC: Mack Leftwich - in his first season
DC: Shiel Wood - in his first season

2025 Record: 12 - 2 (11 - 3 - 0) (B12: 9 - 1)
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (7 - 5 - 1) (B12: 6 - 3)
2023 Record: 7 - 6 (6 - 7 - 0) (B12: 5 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (35 - 18) | 8 Yr Record: (55 - 45)


Notes
QB Morton cleared to play vs Kansas State
QB2 Hammond out for the season (tore ACL)
DT Gil Howard out until postseason?
Pass Def torched by ASU, Off only 276 yds w/o Morton
QB Hammond was bad, Run Off bad vs ASU.
QB Will Hammond looked better than Morton
Has 3 guys in top 15 in QB hurries thru 4 games
Class of B12, killed Utah, Def best in conference
#1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Good when off Schedule 33%

'25 Defense
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Great in Scoring Position 2.48 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great at Forcing Turnovers
Awful Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 60%
Great when Opp is off Schedule 21%

Returning Prod
'24 QB Behren Morton returns
Returning Production: 75%  #4
Offense: 68%  #25 | Defense: 82%  #1
OL Prod: 67%  #41, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 4095  #18 | From Portal: 1867  #16
Rush Prod: 33%  #111 | Rec Prod: 81%  #17
Def Front Seven: 59% - Secondary: 67%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 8.5 - 3.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #3 - Power Rating:  #10
2024 SP+ Overall:  #54 - Power Rating:  #55
2023 SP+ Overall:  #52 - Power Rating:  #49
2022 SP+ Overall:  #41

#41 #51 #55 #7

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #2 - Power Rating:  #39
2024 SP+ Offense:  #25 - Power Rating:  #49
2023 SP+ Offense:  #53 - Power Rating:  #81
2022 SP+ Offense:  #18

#18 #67 #37 #21

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #4 - Power Rating:  #3
2024 SP+ Defense:  #95 - Power Rating:  #99
2023 SP+ Defense:  #61 - Power Rating:  #46
2022 SP+ Defense:  #88

#88 #54 #97 #4