Buffalo Football Team Profile

Buffalo Bulls (@UBFootball)

Pete Lembo (3rd year) (14-11) #74
Record: 0 - 0 (0 - 0) | Proj: 0 - 12 (#104) | SOS: (#76)
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Overview
Schedule
Stats
Roster
Notes
Records
Recruiting
Bowls

Buffalo's 2026 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/19	Buffalo at Penn State	+30	—	—	—	—

Record Prediction: 0 - 12 #104
Schedule Rating: #76
Future 2027 Schedule

Buffalo's 2025 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Buffalo at Minnesota	+16.5L10–23	45.5	L10–23	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA)	-37.0W45–6	48.0	W45–6	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Buffalo at Kent State	-23.5W31–28	48.5	W31–28	O	N
Sat 9/20	Buffalo vs Troy	-5.5L17–21	43.5	L17–21	U	N
Sat 9/27	Buffalo vs UConn	+3.0L17–20	51.5	L17–20	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan	-9.5W31–30	53.5	W31–30	O	N
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/18	Buffalo at Massachusetts	-16.5W28–21	47.5	W28–21	O	N
Sat 10/25	Buffalo vs Akron	-10.0L16–24	48.5	L16–24	U	N
Sat 11/1	Buffalo at Bowling Green	+2.5W28–3	44.5	W28–3	U	Y
— Bye Week —
Wed 11/12	Buffalo at Central Michigan	+2.5L19–38	44.5	L19–38	O	N
Wed 11/19	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	+2.5L20–37	38.5	L20–37	O	N
Fri 11/28	Buffalo vs Ohio	+7.0L26–31	44.5	L26–31	O	Y

2025 Schedule Rating: #131
2025 Record: 5 - 7 (MAC: 4 - 4)
Spread Record 4 - 7 - 1 | O/U 7 - 5

Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Reg Season Opponents: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 2 Avg, 2 Bad, 7 Poor

Show Past Schedules

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Buffalo vs Lafayette	-3.5W30–13	45.5	W30–13	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Buffalo at Missouri	+34.5L0–38	53.5	L0–38	U	N
Sat 9/14	Buffalo vs Massachusetts	-3.5W34–3	45.5	W34–3	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Buffalo at Northern Illinois	+13.0W23–20	42.5	W23–20	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Buffalo at UConn	+6.0L3–47	44.5	L3–47	O	N
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/12	Buffalo vs Toledo	+10.5W30–15	44.5	W30–15	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Buffalo vs Western Michigan	+1.0L41–48	49.5	L41–48	O	N
Sat 10/26	Buffalo at Ohio	+4.0L16–47	46.5	L16–47	O	N
Sat 11/2	Buffalo at Akron	+1.0W41–30	49.0	W41–30	O	Y
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/12	Buffalo vs Ball State	-3.5W51–48	55.5	W51–48	O	N
Wed 11/20	Buffalo at Eastern Michigan	+1.0W37–20	53.5	W37–20	O	Y
Tue 11/26	Buffalo vs Kent State	-23.5W43–7	50.5	W43–7	U	Y
Sat 1/4	Buffalo vs Liberty	-4.5W26–7	50.5	W26–7	U	Y

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Buffalo at Wisconsin	+29.0L17–38	52.5	L17–38	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Buffalo vs Fordham	-23.5L37–40	55.5	L37–40	O	N
Sat 9/16	Buffalo vs Liberty	+2.5L27–55	54.0	L27–55	O	N
Sat 9/23	Buffalo at Louisiana	+10.5L38–45	57.5	L38–45	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Buffalo at Akron	+3.0W13–10	53.0	W13–10	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Buffalo vs Central Michigan	+2.5W37–13	51.5	W37–13	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-3.0L14–24	44.5	L14–24	U	N
Sat 10/21	Buffalo at Kent State	-6.5W24–6	44.0	W24–6	U	Y
— Bye Week —
Tue 10/31	Buffalo at Toledo	+14.0L13–31	47.0	L13–31	U	N
Tue 11/7	Buffalo vs Ohio	+9.5L10–20	45.5	L10–20	U	N
Wed 11/15	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+7.5L10–23	36.5	L10–23	U	N
Tue 11/21	Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5L11–24	38.5	L11–24	U	N

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Buffalo at Maryland	+24.0L10–31	66.0	L10–31	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Buffalo vs Holy Cross	-6.0L31–37	51.5	L31–37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Buffalo at Coastal Carolina	+12.0L26–38	60.0	L26–38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Buffalo at Eastern Michigan	+6.5W50–31	57.5	W50–31	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	-3.0W24–20	50.0	W24–20	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Buffalo at Bowling Green	-2.0W38–7	55.5	W38–7	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Buffalo at Massachusetts	-17.0W34–7	47.5	W34–7	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Buffalo vs Toledo	+7.0W34–27	56.0	W34–27	O	Y
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/1	Buffalo at Ohio	-2.5L24–45	61.0	L24–45	O	N
Wed 11/9	Buffalo at Central Michigan	+3.0L27–31	54.0	L27–31	O	N
Sat 11/19	Buffalo vs Akron	-14.0	43.5	—	—	—
Sat 11/26	Buffalo vs Kent State	-4.5L27–30	51.0	L27–30	O	N
Fri 12/2	Buffalo vs Akron	-12.0W23–22	55.0	W23–22	U	N
Tue 12/27	Buffalo vs Georgia Southern	+6.0W23–21	67.0	W23–21	U	Y

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Buffalo vs Wagner	-44.0W69–7	54.5	W69–7	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Buffalo at Nebraska	+13.5L3–28	54.0	L3–28	U	N
Sat 9/18	Buffalo vs Coastal Carolina	+14.0L25–28	58.0	L25–28	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Buffalo at Old Dominion	-13.0W35–34	50.5	W35–34	O	N
Sat 10/2	Buffalo vs Western Michigan	+7.0L17–24	59.5	L17–24	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Buffalo at Kent State	+7.0L38–48	66.0	L38–48	O	N
Sat 10/16	Buffalo vs Ohio	-7.5W27–26	54.5	W27–26	U	N
Sat 10/23	Buffalo at Akron	-13.5W45–10	58.5	W45–10	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-13.5L44–56	51.5	L44–56	O	N
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/9	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+7.0L18–45	58.0	L18–45	O	N
Wed 11/17	Buffalo vs Northern Illinois	+2.0L27–33	59.5	L27–33	O	N
Tue 11/23	Buffalo at Ball State	+6.0L3–20	59.5	L3–20	U	N

2026 class: 173 points   #94
2025 class: 156 points   #109
2024 class: 141 points   #123
2023 class: 160 points   #86
2022 class: 148 points   #81

Average Class Ranking:   #99
Average Recruiting Points: 156

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Below Avg G5
4 Year Class: #103 - Best: #86 Worst: #123

CFB Crootin Averages
Mid-American Class: 164  #110
Group of 5 Class: 169  #101
FBS Class: 198  #70

2021 class: 141 points   #96
2020 class: 118 points   #131
2019 class: 140 points   #108
2018 class: 81 points   #136
2017 class: 113 points   #105

Average Class Ranking:   #115
Average Recruiting Points: 119

Transfer Portal Classes
2026 Portal Class #121 - 19 players, 83 Avg
2025 Portal Class #133 - 9 players, 82 Avg
2024 Portal Class #115 - 17 players, 83 Avg
2023 Portal Class #66 - 10 players, 84 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes

Transfer Portal Classes
2022 Portal Class #44 - 20 players, 83 Avg
2021 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2020 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2019 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg

Offensive Coordinator Tony Tokarz (in his first season) #67

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terrance Shelton Jr.	57	244	1	4.3	20
James McNeil Jr.	12	67	2	5.6	26
Jason Wright	14	45	0	3.2	9
Messiah Burch	11	41	0	3.7	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jasaiah Gathings	36	410	3	11.4	39
Trevor Wilson (Tr)	22	193	1	8.8	30
Chance Morrow	8	129	2	16.1	26
Patrick Clacks III	12	71	2	5.9	11

(Tr) - new transfer in 2026

Defensive Coordinator Joe Bowen (been DC for 3 years) #58

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Miles Greer	74	3	3	1	3
Saveon Brown	52	7	2	2	4
Keontez Bradley	28	0	0	0	4
Kobi Blackwell	20	0	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Miles Greer	74	3	3	1	3
Saveon Brown	52	7	2	2	4
Cornell Evans	14	2	1	1	1
Messiah Burch	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kobi Blackwell	20	0	0	0	7
Keontez Bradley	28	0	0	0	4
Saveon Brown	52	7	2	2	4

Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 58% #107
Offense Returning Production: 58% #106
Defense Returning Production: 58% #84
Buffalo's Official Roster

Transfer Portal
2026 Portal Class #121
19 Commits, 83.2 Avg Rating
25% of 2026 Roster from Portal, 17% TY

Team Talent
2026 Talent Rating: 564.00 #102
Offense Talent #117 | Defense Talent #98
2025 #109 | 2024 #121 | 2023 #131 | 2022 #117

2026 - 2023 Records
2026 Record: 0 - 0
2026 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0

2025 Record: 5 - 7
2025 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 4 - 7 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 5

2024 Record: 9 - 4
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

2023 Record: 3 - 9
2023 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8

Four Year Record: 17 - 20
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 17 - 19 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 13 - 11

2022 - 2019 Records
2022 Record: 7 - 6
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6

2021 Record: 4 - 8
2021 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 3 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6

2020 Record: 6 - 1
2020 Conf Record: 5 - 1
Spread: 5 - 2 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 3

2019 Record: 8 - 5
2019 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

Eight Year Record: 42 - 40
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 40 - 39 - 3
Eight Year Conference Record: 33 - 24

Buffalo Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Bahamas Bowl	Buffalo vs Liberty	-4.5	50.5	W 26 - 7
2022	Camellia Bowl	Buffalo vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	67.0	W 23 - 21
2020	Camellia Bowl	Buffalo vs Marshall	-5.5	53.5	W 17 - 10
2019	Bahamas Bowl	Buffalo vs Charlotte	-7.0	52.0	W 31 - 9
2018	General Bowl	Buffalo vs Troy	-2.0	50.5	L 32 - 42

Power Ranking Stats (2025)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Expl	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Expl	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2025	.07 (116)	1.2 (104)	39% (109)	3.5 (91)	29.5 (54)	36%	40%	.12 (49)	1.23 (56)	39% (35)	3.07 (21)	28.5 (58)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Expl	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Expl	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2024	.17 (77)	1.31 (41)	40% (104)	4.22 (41)	31.2 (24)	34%	52%	.17 (72)	1.33 (97)	43% (82)	3.84 (74)	29.5 (82)

More Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2025	12	28:03	19.4	36%	40%	5.4	45.7	1.8	1.3	6.1	2.8	1

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2024	13	26:20	17.2	34%	52%	4	39.3	1	1.5	6.3	2.2	2

Overall Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2025 Offense	12	24	24.6	23.2	38.8% (109)	3.5 (91)	1.8	19	362	133	229	3.9	45% (105)	53% (31)	39% (108)	39% (104)	16% (87)	.07 (116)
2025 Defense	12	23.5	24.1	22.6	39.1% (35)	3.07 (21)	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55% (124)	43% (11)	39% (27)	40% (47)	15% (75)	.12 (49)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2024 Offense	13	28.8	38.2	20	39.6% (104)	4.22 (41)	1	17	329	153	176	4.2	55% (36)	45% (99)	38% (115)	42% (70)	17% (91)	.17 (77)
2024 Defense	13	26.4	22.3	33.7	42.8% (82)	3.84 (74)	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46% (21)	53% (109)	43% (71)	43% (97)	18% (33)	.17 (72)

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2025 Offense	12	45% (105)	39% (108)	34.4	133.2	3.9	15 (70)	-.03 (128)	2.68 (115)	69% (93)	9% (65)	0.88 (108)
2025 Defense	12	55% (124)	39% (27)	-	-	-	-	.05 (38)	2.96 (79)	66% (30)	10% (52)	0.89 (34)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2024 Offense	13	55% (36)	38% (115)	36.2	153.3	4.2	23 (52)	.08 (96)	2.7 (117)	61% (122)	10% (84)	1.11 (17)
2024 Defense	13	46% (21)	43% (71)	-	-	-	-	.08 (47)	3.01 (68)	63% (16)	12% (35)	0.94 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2025 Offense	12	53% (31)	39% (104)	19.6	34.3	229	6.7	11.7	19 (75)	14 (34)	.19 (103)	1.5 (101)	34% (112)	27% (108)	.28 (76)	7% (104)	2 (76)
2025 Defense	12	43% (11)	40% (47)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (123)	.23 (61)	1.6 (98)	32% (51)	28% (36)	.17 (18)	5% (95)	1.7 (4)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2024 Offense	13	45% (99)	42% (70)	14.2	25.2	175.8	7	12.4	19 (65)	6 (10)	.29 (47)	1.5 (80)	33% (97)	31% (75)	.34 (66)	6% (89)	1.9 (106)
2024 Defense	13	53% (109)	43% (97)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.28 (91)	1.7 (97)	32% (58)	29% (40)	.18 (18)	7% (38)	2.2 (100)

Team Notes
(3/4) QB Holmes (D II) 3K yds, 24 TD, 240 rushing ❌
(3/4) RB Shelton (#2 LY) some exp, Enlow (Fr) ready? ❌
(3/4) WR Gathings (#2 LY) good, some exp, big guys ❌
(3/4) OL is ?, 2 starters, 1 PT and 4 portal adds ❌
(3/4) F7 lost most from good Def LY, only 6 portals ❌
(3/4) DL is light on exp, size, talent. LB a little better ❌
(3/4) CB looks really strong, Greer a good S. Good unit ❌

Injury Notes

Staff/Schedule Notes
(3/4) Vibes: Lembo won 9 in '24, but regressed LY ❌

Overall

Team Info

Power #119SP+ #95

Record Prediction: Schedule Not Releaased Yet

Coaching staff Rank #76

2025 Record

5 - 7
MAC 4 - 4

Vs Spread4 - 7 - 1Totals7 - 5

One Score Games '25: (3-4)(5-5 under P.L.)

5 Year Profile

Consistent Average G5

'26 Profile

Remains Average G5

Performance #58

Special Teams #23

Returning Production

From 2025

54% #117

BUFF lost their 25 starting QB

Offense 58% #106

Defense 58% #84

Returning Starters: 6 (Off: 3) - (Def: 3)

Proj Portal Starters: 5 (Off: 2) - (Def: 3)

Exp'd Depth: 4 (Off: 2) - (Def: 2)

OL Prod: 25% #1311 starters, 0 exp'd depth

OL Snaps: 1,310 #131From Portal: 648 #86

Rush Prod: 25% #128

Rec Prod: 29% #126

Front Seven: 58% #76

Secondary: 58% #91

Roster

Talent Info

Talent #102

Blue Chips (0%) #103

Offense Talent #117

Defense Talent #98

Portal Class #12119 players (83 Avg)

Crootin '26 Class #944 YR Class Rating #103

Talent Profile

Consistent Below Avg G5

25% of Roster from Portal, 17% TY

39% of '26 Roster are New (Fr + Portals)

(OC) Tony Tokarz 1

#67

(DC) Joe Bowen 3

#58

2026 Schedule

Information

SOS #76

Buffalo plays 0 opps off a bye

OppsElite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

2025 Record: 5 - 7 (4 - 7 - 1) (MAC: 4 - 4)

2024 Record: 9 - 4 (8 - 5 - 0) (MAC: 6 - 2)

Win History

Past 5 years 5.2

Avg under Pete L 7

4 Yr Record (17 - 20)

8 Yr Record (42 - 40)

Notes

Live Team Notes

Vibes: Lembo won 9 in '24, but regressed LY

QB Holmes (D II) 3K yds, 24 TD, 240 rushing

RB Shelton (#2 LY) some exp, Enlow (Fr) ready?

WR Gathings (#2 LY) good, some exp, big guys

OL is ?, 2 starters, 1 PT and 4 portal adds

F7 lost most from good Def LY, only 6 portals

DL is light on exp, size, talent. LB a little better

CB looks really strong, Greer a good S. Good unit

Roster Experience

Snaps & Starter Info

Snaps Returning

8,428 (54%) #130

69%of Snaps by Upperclass

Offense: 3,357 #132

Defense: 5,071 #114

Players with Starting Exp (17) 7 on Off, 10 on Def

Upperclass

Starters 5 of 22 (22.7%)2-Deep 8 of 44 (18.2%)

Senior/Gr starters: 5 (22.7%) (Off: 2, Def: 3)

Upperclass Two-Deep: 8 of 44 (18.2%)

Upperclass on Roster: 36.9%(38 of 103)

Portals

Top '26 Incoming Portals

Drayson Crane (DB)3★ (.85)

Logan Goodwin (EDGE)3★ (.84)

Stantavious Smith (DL)3★ (.84)

Joe Crocker (IOL)3★ (.84)

Nino Francavilla (IOL)3★ (.84)

Stevie Bracey (LB)3★ (.83)

Zach Bergmann (LB)3★ (.83)

Caleb Oliver (EDGE)3★ (.83)

Top Players

Top Performers on Roster

Miles Greer (S)(0 Int, 3 Pd)

SaVeon Brown (LB)(52 Tac, 7 TFL)

Drayson Crane (CB)(1 Int, 0 Pd)

Joey Cheshire (LB)(0 Tac, 0 TFL)

Jasaiah Gathings (WR)(410 Yds, 3 TD)

Trevor Wilson (TE)(193 Yds, 1 TD)

Caleb Oliver (DE)(2 Tac, 0 TFL)

Alex Heininger (G)(C Block Grade)

Recruits

Top '26 Incoming Recruits

Malachi Ervin (EDGE)3★ (.89)

Chase Enlow (RB)3★ (.88)

Qur'an McNeill (QB)3★ (.86)

Na'Rod Jarvis (LB)3★ (.85)

William Reed (DL)3★ (.85)

Bryce Williams (CB)3★ (.85)

Aaron Clark (WR)3★ (.85)

Jack Garbolino (LB)3★ (.85)

Overall

Four Year Ratings Profile

Offense

Four Year Ratings Profile

Defense

Four Year Ratings Profile