Buffalo Bulls (@UBFootball)
Pete Lembo (2nd year) (9-4)
Record: 0 - 0 | Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#46) | SOS: (#124)
Power (#92) | Off (#100) | Def (#81) | Roster | Portals | Croots
Record: 0 - 0 | Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#46) | SOS: (#124)
| Buffalo's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Wed 8/27 | Buffalo at Minnesota | +21 | |||||
| Fri 9/5 | Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA) | -15.5 | |||||
| Fri 9/12 | Buffalo at Kent State | -17 | |||||
| Fri 9/19 | Buffalo vs Troy | +2.5 | |||||
| Fri 9/26 | Buffalo vs UConn | +1 | |||||
| Fri 10/3 | Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan | -9 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | Buffalo at Massachusetts | -12 | |||||
| Fri 10/24 | Buffalo vs Akron | -13.5 | |||||
| Fri 10/31 | Buffalo at Bowling Green | -1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/11 | Buffalo at Central Michigan | -4 | |||||
| Tue 11/18 | Buffalo vs Miami (OH) | -7 | |||||
| Thu 11/27 | Buffalo vs Ohio | +2.5 | |||||
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 #46
Schedule Rating: #124
Future 2026 Schedule
| Buffalo's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Buffalo vs Lafayette | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 30 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Buffalo at Missouri | +34.5 | 53.5 | L 0 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Buffalo vs Massachusetts | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 34 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Buffalo at Northern Illinois | +13.0 | 42.5 | W 23 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Buffalo at UConn | +6.0 | 44.5 | L 3 - 47 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Buffalo vs Toledo | +10.5 | 44.5 | W 30 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Buffalo vs Western Michigan | +1.0 | 49.5 | L 41 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Buffalo at Ohio | +4.0 | 46.5 | L 16 - 47 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Buffalo at Akron | +1.0 | 49.0 | W 41 - 30 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/12 | Buffalo vs Ball State | -3.5 | 55.5 | W 51 - 48 | O | N | |
| Wed 11/20 | Buffalo at Eastern Michigan | +1.0 | 53.5 | W 37 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Tue 11/26 | Buffalo vs Kent State | -23.5 | 50.5 | W 43 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 1/4 | Buffalo vs Liberty | -4.5 | 50.5 | W 26 - 7 | U | Y | |
2024 Record: 9 - 4 (MAC: 6 - 2)
Spread Record 8 - 5 - 0 | O/U 8 - 5
2025 class: 156 points #89
2024 class: 141 points #109
2023 class: 157 points #87
2022 class: 148 points #81
2021 class: 138 points #98
Average Class Ranking: #93
Average Recruiting Points: 148
2024 class: 141 points #109
2023 class: 157 points #87
2022 class: 148 points #81
2021 class: 138 points #98
Average Class Ranking: #93
Average Recruiting Points: 148
Class Averages
Mid-American Class: 135 #102
Group of 5 Class: 135 #102
FBS Class: 179 #69
Mid-American Class: 135 #102
Group of 5 Class: 135 #102
FBS Class: 179 #69
2020 class: 115 points #130
2019 class: 135 points #106
2018 class: 81 points #136
2017 class: 113 points #113
2016 class: 108 points #118
Average Class Ranking: #121
Average Recruiting Points: 110
2019 class: 135 points #106
2018 class: 81 points #136
2017 class: 113 points #113
2016 class: 108 points #118
Average Class Ranking: #121
Average Recruiting Points: 110
Offensive Coordinator Dave Patenaude
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Gray | 4 | 11 | 36% | 41 | 0 | 1 | 3.7 |
| Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr) | 3 | 7 | 43% | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jay Henderson | 204 | 1078 | 9 | 5.3 | 68 |
| Messiah Burch | 29 | 153 | 2 | 5.3 | 31 |
| Lamar Sperling | 39 | 150 | 1 | 3.8 | 22 |
| Terrance Shelton Jr. | 23 | 88 | 0 | 3.8 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Snow | 55 | 651 | 6 | 11.8 | 46 |
| Al-Jay Henderson | 19 | 238 | 1 | 12.5 | 75 |
| Messiah Burch | 9 | 99 | 0 | 11.0 | 30 |
| Nik McMillan | 5 | 76 | 1 | 15.2 | 31 |
Defensive Coordinator Joe Bowen
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Murdock | 156 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Solomon Brown | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Dion Crawford | 58 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Marquis Cooper | 55 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Stewart | 40 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 |
| Dion Crawford | 58 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Khalil Murdock | 156 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Malin White | 21 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Cooper | 55 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Solomon Brown | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Eddie Pleasant III | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 57% #62
Offense Returning Production: 41% #105
Defense Returning Production: 73% #9
Overall Returning Production: 57% #62
Offense Returning Production: 41% #105
Defense Returning Production: 73% #9
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #132
6 Commits, 83.3 Avg Rating
13% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 5% TY
2025 Portal Class #132
6 Commits, 83.3 Avg Rating
13% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 5% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 552.00 #94
Offense Talent #86 | Defense Talent #95
2024 #120 | 2023 #116 | 2022 #117 | 2021 #124
2025 Talent Rating: 552.00 #94
Offense Talent #86 | Defense Talent #95
2024 #120 | 2023 #116 | 2022 #117 | 2021 #124
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 0 - 0
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0
2024 Record: 9 - 4
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5
2023 Record: 3 - 9
2023 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8
2022 Record: 7 - 6
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6
Four Year Record: 19 - 19
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 20 - 17 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 14 - 10
2025 Record: 0 - 0
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0
2024 Record: 9 - 4
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5
2023 Record: 3 - 9
2023 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8
2022 Record: 7 - 6
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6
Four Year Record: 19 - 19
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 20 - 17 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 14 - 10
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 4 - 8
2021 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 3 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6
2020 Record: 6 - 1
2020 Conf Record: 5 - 1
Spread: 5 - 2 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 3
2019 Record: 8 - 5
2019 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5
2018 Record: 10 - 4
2018 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 10 - 4
Eight Year Record: 47 - 37
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 45 - 36 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 38 - 22
2021 Record: 4 - 8
2021 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 3 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6
2020 Record: 6 - 1
2020 Conf Record: 5 - 1
Spread: 5 - 2 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 3
2019 Record: 8 - 5
2019 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5
2018 Record: 10 - 4
2018 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 10 - 4
Eight Year Record: 47 - 37
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 45 - 36 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 38 - 22
| Buffalo Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Bahamas Bowl | Buffalo vs Liberty | -4.5 | 50.5 | W 26 - 7 |
| 2022 | Camellia Bowl | Buffalo vs Georgia Southern | +6.0 | 67.0 | W 23 - 21 |
| 2020 | Camellia Bowl | Buffalo vs Marshall | -5.5 | 53.5 | W 17 - 10 |
| 2019 | Bahamas Bowl | Buffalo vs Charlotte | -7.0 | 52.0 | W 31 - 9 |
| 2018 | General Bowl | Buffalo vs Troy | -2.0 | 50.5 | L 32 - 42 |
Power Ranking Stats (2024)
More Stats (2024)
Overall Stats (2024)
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .17 (77) | 40% (104) | 4.22 (41) | 31.2 (24) | 34% | 52% | .17 (72) | 43% (82) | 3.84 (74) | 29.5 (82) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | .03 (130) | 37% (116) | 3.54 (95) | 29.4 (65) | 34% | 37% | .14 (41) | 39% (33) | 3.55 (48) | 33.3 (130) |
More Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 26:20 (110) | 17.2 (102) | 34% | 52% | 4 (7) | 39.3 (19) | 1 (30) | 1.5 | 6.3 (29) | 2.2 (42) | 2 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 12 | 30:32 (89) | 17.2 (116) | 34% | 37% | 4.8 (15) | 41.6 (13) | 1.6 (77) | 1.6 | 5.7 (65) | 1.4 (120) | 2 |
Overall Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 28.8 | 38.2 | 20 | 39.6% (104) | 4.22 (41) | 1 | 17 | 329 | 153 | 176 | 4.2 | 55% (36) | 45% (99) | 38% (115) | 42% (70) | 17% (91) | .17 (77) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 26.4 | 22.3 | 33.7 | 42.8% (82) | 3.84 (74) | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% (21) | 53% (109) | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 18% (33) | .17 (72) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Offense | 12 | 20.9 | 22.7 | 19.2 | 37.4% (116) | 3.54 (95) | 1.6 | 17 | 319 | 134 | 185 | 3.7 | 51% (61) | 48% (77) | 43% (67) | 32% (129) | 16% (79) | .03 (130) |
| 2023 Defense | 12 | 27.4 | 29.3 | 25.5 | 38.7% (33) | 3.55 (48) | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% (119) | 43% (13) | 37% (25) | 42% (68) | 18% (39) | .14 (41) |
Run Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 55% (36) | 38% (115) | 36.2 | 153.3 | 4.2 | 23 (52) | .08 (96) | 2.7 (117) | 61% (122) | 10% (84) | 1.11 (17) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 46% (21) | 43% (71) | - | - | - | - | .08 (47) | 3.01 (68) | 63% (16) | 12% (35) | 0.94 (45) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Offense | 12 | 51% (61) | 43% (67) | 36.3 | 133.6 | 3.7 | 15 (100) | .09 (102) | 2.93 (102) | 65% (119) | 9% (40) | 0.92 (103) |
| 2023 Defense | 12 | 56% (119) | 37% (25) | - | - | - | - | .15 (76) | 2.82 (24) | 65% (25) | 12% (19) | 1.25 (131) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 45% (99) | 42% (70) | 14.2 | 25.2 | 175.8 | 7 | 12.4 | 19 (65) | 6 (10) | .29 (47) | 1.5 (80) | 33% (97) | 31% (75) | .34 (66) | 6% (89) | 1.9 (106) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 53% (109) | 43% (97) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .28 (91) | 1.7 (97) | 32% (58) | 29% (40) | .18 (18) | 7% (38) | 2.2 (100) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Offense | 12 | 48% (77) | 32% (129) | 17.7 | 32.8 | 185.3 | 5.6 | 10.5 | 14 (106) | 11 (68) | .04 (130) | 1.5 (99) | 32% (68) | 26% (108) | .16 (116) | 8% (119) | 1.9 (109) |
| 2023 Defense | 12 | 43% (13) | 42% (68) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (53) | .2 (29) | 1.4 (18) | 35% (32) | 28% (39) | .23 (30) | 5% (95) | 2 (54) |
Team Notes (3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth ❌
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth ❌
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3 ❌
(3/26) OL bad LY, 4/5 back, confident w/ no portals? ❌
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton ❌
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs ❌
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth ❌
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3 ❌
(3/26) OL bad LY, 4/5 back, confident w/ no portals? ❌
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton ❌
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs ❌
Injury Notes
Power Ratings Overall: -7.85 #87
Offense: 8.44 #98
Defense: 16.29 #79
SP+ Overall: -7.9 #96
SP+ Offense: 21.7 #102
SP+ Defense: 29.6 #83
Offense: 8.44 #98
Defense: 16.29 #79
SP+ Overall: -7.9 #96
SP+ Offense: 21.7 #102
SP+ Defense: 29.6 #83
Returning Prod BUFF lost their '24 starting QB (6%) #124
Returning Production: 57% #62
Offense: 41% #105 | Defense: 73% #9
OL Prod: 84% #15, 4 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3665 #36 | From Portal: 0 #98
Rush Prod: 70% #41 | Rec Prod: 52% #59
Def Front Seven: 70% - Secondary: 86%
Returning Production: 57% #62
Offense: 41% #105 | Defense: 73% #9
OL Prod: 84% #15, 4 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3665 #36 | From Portal: 0 #98
Rush Prod: 70% #41 | Rec Prod: 52% #59
Def Front Seven: 70% - Secondary: 86%
Roster Team Talent #94 Blue Chips: 0% #99
Offense Talent #86 Defense Talent #95
Crootin Class #89 - 4 YR Rank #93
Portal Class #132 - 6 players, 83 Avg
13% of Roster from Portal, 5% TY
21 New Players, 23% of '25 Roster #10
Offense Talent #86 Defense Talent #95
Crootin Class #89 - 4 YR Rank #93
Portal Class #132 - 6 players, 83 Avg
13% of Roster from Portal, 5% TY
21 New Players, 23% of '25 Roster #10
2025 Schedule Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 #46
Schedule Rating: -129 #124
View Schedule & Predicted Results
Opps: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 8
Schedule Rating: -129 #124
View Schedule & Predicted Results
Opps: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 8
Scoring Scoring: 28.8 - 26.4 (21 - 27) in '24
Scoring at Home: 38 - 22 | Road: 20 - 34
OC: Dave Patenaude - in his second season
DC: Joe Bowen - in his second season
Scoring at Home: 38 - 22 | Road: 20 - 34
OC: Dave Patenaude - in his second season
DC: Joe Bowen - in his second season
Records 2024 Record: 9 - 4 (8 - 5 - 0) (MAC: 6 - 2)
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (5 - 7 - 0) (MAC: 3 - 5)
2022 Record: 7 - 6 (7 - 5 - 1) (MAC: 5 - 3)
4 Yr Record: (19 - 19) | 8 Yr Record: (47 - 37)
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (5 - 7 - 0) (MAC: 3 - 5)
2022 Record: 7 - 6 (7 - 5 - 1) (MAC: 5 - 3)
4 Yr Record: (19 - 19) | 8 Yr Record: (47 - 37)
'24 OffenseRun heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Good Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Bad when off Schedule 31%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Good Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Bad when off Schedule 31%
'24 DefenseGood DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg at Forcing Turnovers
Great Penalty Team, Good Field Position
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Good when Opp is off Schedule 29%
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg at Forcing Turnovers
Great Penalty Team, Good Field Position
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Good when Opp is off Schedule 29%
Team NotesQB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
OL bad LY, 4/5 back, confident w/ no portals?
Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though
RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
OL bad LY, 4/5 back, confident w/ no portals?
Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though