Iowa State at Arizona State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Iowa State logo Iowa State Cyclones vs Arizona State Sun DevilsArizona State logo
Saturday, December 7th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Iowa State -1.5 (51.5) (-110)  Open: -2.5 | 50.5
Arizona State 45 - Iowa State: 19  (Dr Pepper Big 12 Championship)

 
Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (25 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
ASU is playing their 6th straight game
ISU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -1.5  (SP+ ISU -1)

Projected Score: ISU: 26 - ASU: 27 (53)
ISU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ISU Travel: 668 miles
Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Iowa State vs North Dakota-30.551.5W 21 - 3UN
Sat 9/7 Iowa State at Iowa+3.035.0W 20 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Iowa State vs Arkansas State-20.552.0W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/28 Iowa State at Houston-16.043.0W 20 - 0UY
Sat 10/5 Iowa State vs Baylor-13.045.0W 43 - 21OY
Sat 10/12 Iowa State at West Virginia-3.054.0W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/19 Iowa State vs UCF-13.049.5W 38 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Iowa State vs Texas Tech-13.555.0L 22 - 23UN
Sat 11/9 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.550.5L 36 - 45ON
Sat 11/16 Iowa State vs Cincinnati-7.052.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Iowa State at Utah-6.542.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 11/30 Iowa State vs Kansas State-2.551.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 12/7 Iowa State vs Arizona State-1.551.5L 19 - 45ON
Sat 12/28 Iowa State vs Miami+5.062.0W 42 - 41OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Arizona State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona State vs Wyoming-6.547.0W 48 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Arizona State vs Mississippi State-6.557.5W 30 - 23UY
Thu 9/12 Arizona State at Texas State+2.558.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/21 Arizona State at Texas Tech+4.558.5L 22 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Arizona State vs Kansas-2.550.0W 35 - 31OY
Fri 10/11 Arizona State vs Utah+6.046.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 10/19 Arizona State at Cincinnati+5.551.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Arizona State at Oklahoma State-5.057.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Arizona State vs UCF-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Arizona State at Kansas State+7.551.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona State vs BYU-3.549.0W 28 - 23OY
Sat 11/30 Arizona State at Arizona-7.552.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Arizona State vs Iowa State+1.551.5W 45 - 19OY
Wed 1/1 Arizona State vs Texas+13.552.5L 31 - 39OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)31.140% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)22.946% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)32.952% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)22.641% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1431.124.840.4%4.231.1213871502364.451%49%40%41%14%.2
ASU Defense1422.622.342.4%3.641.4 - - - - - 45%54%41%44%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1422.915.842.6%3.441.5 - - - - - 55%45%46%38%15%.18
ASU Offense1432.933.849.8%4.140.6203951872084.959%41%52%47%12%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1430:0020.942%81%3.625.91.11.54.71.1130
Arizona State1429:5420.447%53%650.10.61.441.3328.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1451% (68)40% (106)34.4150.24.424 (45).12 (74)2.83 (102)70% (88)8% (22)1.1 (19)
ASU Defense1445% (14)41% (49) - - - - .04 (27)2.97 (61)63% (19)8% (116)1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1455% (114)46% (101) - - - - .22 (114)3.05 (76)76% (81)9% (85)1.08 (112)
ASU Offense1459% (14)52% (6)38.11874.928 (25).27 (12)3.35 (19)73% (76)7% (18)0.96 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1449% (67)41% (77)18.331.1236.47.612.922 (46)10 (63).29 (49)1.7 (27)30% (52)35% (29).39 (41)7% (94)2 (70)
ASU Defense1454% (119)44% (106) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (57)1.4 (18)32% (65)30% (68).14 (5)8% (21)1.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1445% (21)38% (41) - - - - - - 14 (23).17 (36)1.6 (73)32% (63)32% (86).32 (78)5% (86)2 (48)
ASU Offense1441% (120)47% (21)14.923.9208.48.71425 (31)5 (6).39 (14)1.6 (43)27% (11)38% (5).45 (21)4% (16)1.9 (115)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 12.07  #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95  #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20  #37
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 12.07   Arizona State: 12.705

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 10.3   Arizona State: 9.4




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 12.705  #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03  #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01  #43
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 27
Iowa State 26


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Arizona State 30
Iowa State 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Arizona State 26
Iowa State 25

Total Points: 51
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Iowa State19Arizona State24Iowa State -7.5Arizona State48.5Under
202412/07Arizona State45Iowa State19Iowa State -1.5Arizona State51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State221 Overs
Iowa State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#23) ISU at (#12) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatISUASU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #23 #12
SP+SP+ #28 #35
Perf GradeGrade #81 #76
OffenseOff #81 #40
DefenseDef #77 #98
Spec TeamsST #73 #86
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #97 #53
Iowa State Notes
(11/30) Even w/ KSU, forced 2 TOs, Becht 13/35 for 137?
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury
(9/1) Line play awful vs N Dak, 86 yds rush vs 174 gave up
Iowa State Injury Report
Iowa State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ISU OffASU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #98
SuccessSuc #99 #79
ExplosiveExp #7 #55
PPAPPA #62 #36
PowerPwr #42 #43
SP+SP+ #44 #26
Pts POPPO #37 #51
HavocHav #40 #75
Iowa State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ISU OffASU Def
Run GameRun #51 #81
Run SuccessRSuc #106 #49
Run ExplRExp #19 #76
PPAExp #74 #27
Run BlockR Blk #121 -
OL YdsOLY #102 #61
Stuff RateStuff #115 #47
TackleTak -  #78
Iowa State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ISU OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #92 #69
Pass SuccessPSuc #77 #106
Pass ExplPExl #27 #18
PPAExp #49 #57
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #104 #134
F7 HavocF7 #22 #116
DB HavocDB #94 #21
Arizona State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatASU OffISU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #40 #77
SuccessSuc #8 #81
ExplosiveExp #100 #83
PPAPPA #13 #79
PowerPwr #7 #37
SP+SP+ #32 #24
Pts POPPO #48 #29
HavocHav #11 #84
Arizona State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ASU OffISU Def
Run GameRun #7 #116
Run SuccessRSuc #6 #101
Run ExplRExp #71 #112
PPAExp #12 #114
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLY #19 #76
Stuff RateStuff #30 #43
TackleTak -  #114
Arizona State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatASU OffISU Def
Pass GamePass #19 #17
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #41
Pass ExplPExl #43 #73
PPAExp #14 #36
Pass Block/RushP Blk #20 #129
F7 HavocF7 #18 #85
DB HavocDB #16 #86
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 48°
Rematch from Week 15
Iowa State 1.5 (51.5)
Arizona State won vs Iowa State this year (45-19)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Iowa State last year (45-19)

  
ISU's OC Taylor Mouser (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht27245760%35052597.7
Connor Moberly51050%49014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen151752135.057
Abu Sama III12458724.777
Jaylon Jackson (Tr)9338824.251
Rocco Becht9831883.232
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylin Noel811194814.775
Jayden Higgins871183913.639
Gabe Burkle26296111.432
Benjamin Brahmer10179117.939

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler843004
Malik Verdon754115
Kooper Ebel696110
Jeremiah Cooper481008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton325471
Kenard Snyder (Tr)82200
Joey Petersen466290
Domonique Orange245131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Myles Purchase354006
Malik Verdon754115

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)21635062%28852468.2
Jeff Sims (Tr)132552%168006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo2931715215.953
Sam Leavitt (Tr)11044354.040
Kyson Brown7335124.838
DeCarlos Brooks3714814.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson7511011014.759
Cameron Skattebo45605313.466
Xavier Guillory22339515.461
Chamon Metayer (Tr)3230659.629

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Xavion Alford850015
Caleb McCullough768111
Shamari Simmons729044
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah O'Neal285455
Jacob Kongaika (Tr)105310
Prince Dorbah124331
Clayton Smith3363124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney520019
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
Xavion Alford850015